NBA Grind Down: Sunday, November 20th
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Welcome to the RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down. In this all-encompassing preview of today’s NBA action, every game will be broken down statistically, with several key elements highlighted in our charts.
Vegas lines are broken down to show projected team totals, to give you an idea of who is favored to win, and often more importantly, how many points they’re expected to score. We also provide pace numbers, so you can spot a game that might have a few extra possessions and more opportunities for fantasy points.
We also provide position-by-position matchup rankings for every team, to give you an idea of the players who will be in better situations to succeed. Using Defense versus Position data, every projected starter is listed along with his opponent’s rank in points allowed to players of his position. These color-coded charts will help you spot the best matchups of the night at a glance.
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Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks – 12:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks | New York Knicks | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 211.5 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 211.5 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | -2.5 | Vegas Spread | 2.5 | |||||||||
Team Total | 107.0 | Team Total | 104.5 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | -0.8 | Pace +/- | 3.4 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Dennis Schroder | Kyle Korver | Kent Bazemore | Paul Millsap | Dwight Howard | Proj. Starter | Derrick Rose | Courtney Lee | Carmelo Anthony | Kristaps Porzingis | Joakim Noah | |
Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016-17 | 9 | 29 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 2016-17 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 5 |
Atlanta Hawks
- Injury Watch:
Thabo Sefolosha (questionable)
Mike Scott (out)
Tiago Splitter (out)
- Atlanta Hawks Offense
Points Per Game: 107.8 (8 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 107.0 (4 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: -0.8 (8 of 12)
Pace of Play: 102.7 (5 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: -0.8 (8 of 12)
- New York Knicks Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 107.2 (22 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 108.8 (30 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 0.7 (14 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 202.9 (19 of 30)
Greetings Grinders! Welcome to the early Sunday edition of the Grind Down. We start with a nice game in the Big Apple with the Hawks traveling to New York. The Hawks currently sit as the second best team in the East, while the Knicks are sitting in the 10th spot. This should be a close game with a fun amount of fantasy goodness. The Hawks currently have only two guys averaging over 30 MPG Paul Millsap and Dennis Schroder. Since his big games last week against Cleveland and Philadelphia, Schroder has been in a slump. He has hit a season-low salary on DraftKings and FanDuel. This might be a nice buy-low opportunity on a guy averaging 30.2 MPG on the season. Derrick Rose has never been known as an elite defender but since Schroder is slumping we can only use him in tournaments for the all day slate on FanDuel. DraftKings is not even offering this game in the all day slate, so if you’re playing cash, Schroder is a fine option.
Dwight Howard was ejected his previous game for elbowing Cody Zeller and it looks like he should he’s back to his dominant ways. He’s currently averaging 39.2 FPS on DraftKings, which is 5x above his current salary of $7.2k. His splits show that he is a better player at home than on the road, so Dwight should only be used for tournaments as Brook Lopez should be the cash game C on the short slate games.
Paul Millsap has scored 40+ fantasy points in consecutive games and looks to be over his early season funk and looks like the most consistent option in Atlanta for this game. Porzingas’s length could bother him but he should be able to still make value. At this salary level, he’ll need 40 FPs to exceed value. Kent Bazemore has played 30 minutes in three consecutive games and should be able to at least make value if he can stay out of foul trouble against Carmelo Anthony. If Thabo Sefolosha misses the game again, Tim Hardaway Jr. should be considered a viable punt option.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dennis Schroder | $5,900 | $5,700 | 0.90 | 30.3 | 0.2 | 27.2 | 0.2 | 28.2% | -1.3% | 9 | |
Kyle Korver | $3,600 | $3,800 | 0.63 | 26.6 | 1.4 | 16.8 | 3.6 | 15.7% | 0.6% | 29 | |
Kent Bazemore | $4,900 | $5,300 | 0.81 | 28.3 | 1.5 | 23.0 | 1.6 | 19.6% | 1.4% | 21 | |
Paul Millsap | $7,500 | $7,600 | 1.02 | 32.8 | 0.5 | 33.4 | -5.7 | 25.3% | -5.2% | 13 | |
Dwight Howard | $7,800 | $7,400 | 1.25 | 28.3 | -2.0 | 35.3 | -7.9 | 21.4% | -3.5% | 13 | |
Mike Muscala | $4,300 | $4,400 | 0.92 | 21.6 | 3.3 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 15.9% | 1.1% | 13 |
Elite Plays – Dennis Schroder, Paul Millsap
Secondary Plays – Dwight Howard, Kent Bazemore, Tim Hardaway Jr. (if Sefolosha is out)
New York Knicks
- Injury Watch:
Lance Thomas (out)
- New York Knicks Offense
Points Per Game: 102.3 (18 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 104.5 (7 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 2.2 (5 of 12)
Pace of Play: 98.5 (19 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 3.4 (3 of 12)
- Atlanta Hawks Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 98.2 (7 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 95.1 (2 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 4.0 (4 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 192.5 (4 of 30)
Carmelo Anthony is averaging 35.75 MPG over his last four games, and his splits show that he is a better player at home than on the road. It could also be because he got kicked out of a game in Boston, but still Anthony is an elite option on the short slate. Derrick Rose has been averaging 34.75 over his last four games, having hit 39 and 38 in two contests. He should see extended run in this game and is an elite option at his relatively cheap salary. He should be able to exceed value easily and likely has a higher ceiling than Schroder.
Kristaps Porzingis has been playing well and is also seeing the minutes necessary to provide us with fantasy gold. He has an elevated salary and gets a tough DvP matchup tonight. He’s too risky for cash games, but his length and recent strong play make him viable for tournaments on a short slate. On the all-day slate on FanDuel, Porzingis is still a strong tournament play with more upside that most at the position. It might just be better to punt the position and pay up for all the great guards on the slate.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derrick Rose | $5,900 | $5,600 | 0.83 | 32.1 | 1.4 | 26.5 | -2.7 | 27.4% | -3.1% | 18 | |
Courtney Lee | $3,500 | $3,600 | 0.52 | 29.8 | -1.9 | 15.4 | -1.7 | 14.7% | 0.4% | 14 | |
Carmelo Anthony | $7,700 | $7,500 | 1.02 | 32.7 | 2.4 | 33.4 | -0.6 | 28.5% | -2.8% | 13 | |
Kristaps Porzingis | $7,200 | $7,200 | 1.02 | 32.6 | 5.3 | 33.1 | 7.6 | 23.3% | 1.2% | 5 | |
Joakim Noah | $4,600 | $4,500 | 0.94 | 23.4 | -3.5 | 22.0 | -2.9 | 14.3% | 1.0% | 5 | |
Justin Holiday | $3,700 | $3,300 | 0.65 | 18.4 | 5.7 | 12.0 | 8.4 | 15.7% | -1.5% | 14 |
Elite Plays – Carmelo Anthony, Derrick Rose
Secondary Plays – Kristaps Porzingis (GPP)
Portland Trail Blazers at Brooklyn Nets – 3:30 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers | Brooklyn Nets | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 222.5 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 222.5 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | -4.0 | Vegas Spread | 4.0 | |||||||||
Team Total | 113.3 | Team Total | 109.3 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | 5.2 | Pace +/- | 1.8 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Damian Lillard | C.J. McCollum | Maurice Harkless | Ed Davis | Mason Plumlee | Proj. Starter | Sean Kilpatrick | Bojan Bogdanovic | Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | Trevor Booker | Brook Lopez | |
Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016-17 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 26 | 2016-17 | 11 | 17 | 22 | 26 | 28 |
Portland Trail Blazers
- Injury Watch:
Al-Farouq Aminu (out)
- Portland Trail Blazers Offense
Points Per Game: 107.2 (10 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 113.3 (1 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 6.1 (2 of 12)
Pace of Play: 101.1 (8 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 5.2 (1 of 12)
- Brooklyn Nets Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 110.9 (28 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 105.4 (18 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -2.6 (22 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 224.1 (29 of 30)
Damian Lillard has been in a slump and this is the perfect game for him to break out of it. Lillard has been averaging 33.75 DKFPs over his last three games, and that could keep his ownership down on the full slate with Russell Westbrook and Kyle Lowry available. If you’re making multiple teams, Lillard needs to be on there. Since the game is expected to be close, we can look for Lillard to put his stamp on it. C.J. McCollum is also interesting because he’s basically Lillard Lite. He’s averaging 36.2 DKFPs on the season and would need 36.5 to reach 5x today. Getting exposure to Portland through McColloum is not a bad idea. Lillard just has the higher ceiling and should come at low ownership for the all day slate.
Moe Harkless had his first game of not reaching value in the past three but I think the whole team deserves a break because it was a 3-in-4 back-to-back on the road situation. He will be better today and has been a focal point of the first unit, putting up 11 or more shot attempts in three out of his last four games. Mason Plumlee has been playing and had his first double-double of the season against New Orleans on Friday. He should be considered a top value play at C today but Brook Lopez is ahead of him in overall ranking because of the possible 50 burger he can drop. Evan Turner and Allen Crabbe are also viable in this one but anytime I play them it feels like I’m going to Vegas, sitting down at the Roulette table and trying to pick red or black and the winning number is green.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Damian Lillard | $9,200 | $8,900 | 1.13 | 35.9 | -0.8 | 40.7 | -1.3 | 32.7% | 0.4% | 29 | |
C.J. McCollum | $7,400 | $7,300 | 0.97 | 34.5 | 0.0 | 33.4 | -3.6 | 27.2% | 2.9% | 26 | |
Maurice Harkless | $4,600 | $4,900 | 0.69 | 30.6 | 0.2 | 21.3 | 4.5 | 14.9% | 0.3% | 29 | |
Ed Davis | $3,500 | $3,000 | 0.65 | 14.2 | 3.3 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 11.2% | 2.4% | 30 | |
Mason Plumlee | $5,300 | $5,400 | 0.94 | 26.2 | -1.1 | 24.6 | 1.2 | 18.8% | -1.4% | 26 | |
Evan Turner | $3,900 | $3,900 | 0.67 | 24.1 | 1.6 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 18.8% | 5.9% | 29 |
Elite Plays – Damian Lillard, C.J. McCollum, Mason Plumlee
Secondary Plays – Moe Harkless
Brooklyn Nets
- Injury Watch:
Jeremy Lin (out)
- Brooklyn Nets Offense
Points Per Game: 106.4 (11 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 109.3 (3 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 2.8 (4 of 12)
Pace of Play: 104.5 (2 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 1.8 (6 of 12)
- Portland Trail Blazers Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 112.4 (29 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 108.5 (29 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -8.7 (30 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 214.7 (27 of 30)
It looks like Jeremy Lin is close to his eventual return, but the team has not provided an update for today’s game. Randy Foye started their last game against the Thunder but did not make an impact. None of their guards really did. Brook Lopez was solid and should be considered an elite option against the Blazers today at home. Lopez averaged 49.5 DKFPs against the Blazers last season and is pretty cheap considering we’re used to seeing him in the $7k range. Plug in Lopez with confidence in both cash games and tournaments for the short slate and look at him as a possible sleeper for the all-day slate. Everyone else on this team is too random to fit with any confidence. Someone has to play well to keep it close but I’m just not sure. It could be Bojan Bogdanovic or Rondae Hollis-Jefferso,n but are they really worth it?
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sean Kilpatrick | $5,000 | $5,000 | 0.89 | 25.7 | -2.6 | 22.8 | -1.5 | 27.0% | 4.2% | 11 | |
Bojan Bogdanovic | $4,300 | $4,700 | 0.74 | 28.3 | 0.4 | 20.9 | 2.3 | 20.4% | 1.4% | 17 | |
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | $4,000 | $4,300 | 0.67 | 25.4 | -2.5 | 17.1 | 3.5 | 15.0% | 6.3% | 22 | |
Trevor Booker | $5,200 | $5,200 | 1.03 | 26.6 | -0.9 | 27.4 | -0.4 | 16.3% | -0.9% | 26 | |
Brook Lopez | $7,300 | $6,500 | 1.15 | 26.3 | 3.1 | 30.4 | 9.4 | 31.4% | 1.4% | 28 | |
Randy Foye | $3,700 | $3,000 | 0.66 | 18.7 | 2.8 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 18.8% | -0.2% | 17 |
Elite Plays – Brook Lopez
Secondary Plays – N/A
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder – 7:00 PM ET
Indiana Pacers | Oklahoma City Thunder | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 214.0 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 214.0 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | 5.0 | Vegas Spread | -5.0 | |||||||||
Team Total | 104.5 | Team Total | 109.5 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | 2.9 | Pace +/- | 1.1 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Jeff Teague | Monta Ellis | Glenn Robinson III | Thaddeus Young | Myles Turner | Proj. Starter | Russell Westbrook | Victor Oladipo | Andre Roberson | Domantas Sabonis | Steven Adams | |
Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016-17 | 26 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 1 | 2016-17 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 23 |
Indiana Pacers
- Injury Watch:
Paul George (questionable)
C.J. Miles (out)
- Indiana Pacers Offense
Points Per Game: 106.3 (12 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 104.5 (7 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: -1.8 (10 of 12)
Pace of Play: 100.4 (10 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 2.9 (5 of 12)
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 102.8 (13 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 100.5 (6 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 3.9 (5 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 201.3 (16 of 30)
Update: Since Stuckey will play nearly 20 minutes, he’s been upgraded to an elite option. He is minimum priced on both FD and DK and plays SG.
Paul George sat out the Pacers’ previous contest and C.J. Miles injured his knee after nine minutes of action and did not return. Miles will not play today, while Paul George is a game-time decision. This can swing a lot for this game. If George is out, Jeff Teague is an elite option. If George is in Teague is a secondary option with elite upside and is still in play because of the plus matchup against the Thunder. Glenn Robinson III will likely start if George is ruled out and he is a viable tournament punt. Thad Young’s value rests on the ankle of Paul George as well and his salary makes it easy to play him in cash games and tournaments if George is out. Since the all-day slates start so early today, it’s too tough to decipher this situation. It’s better to just avoid it and move on. We’ll get some clarity before lineups lock for the main slate.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Teague | $6,600 | $10,400 | 0.94 | 31.6 | 1.5 | 29.7 4.2 | 26.7% | -1.2% | 26 | ||
Monta Ellis | $5,500 | $9,500 | 0.71 | 33.9 | 1.2 | 24.1 1.5 | 18.1% | -1.0% | 5 | ||
Glenn Robinson III | $3,500 | $6,000 | 19 | ||||||||
Thaddeus Young | $5,200 | $9,900 | 0.79 | 29.5 | 0.8 | 23.3 3.0 | 15.4% | 1.9% | 22 | ||
Myles Turner | $6,200 | $11,000 | 1.08 | 27.5 | 1.3 | 29.6 -1.6 | 20.1% | -1.0% | 1 | ||
Aaron Brooks | $3,500 | $7,000 | 0.77 | 16.2 | -1.8 | 12.4 1.4 | 23.1% | 7.3% | 26 |
Elite Plays – Jeff Teague, Rodney Stuckey
Secondary Plays – Jeff Teague Thaddeus Young (if George is out)
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Injury Watch:
Cameron Payne (out)
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offense
Points Per Game: 103.3 (17 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 109.5 (2 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 6.2 (1 of 12)
Pace of Play: 102.2 (7 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 1.1 (7 of 12)
- Indiana Pacers Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 106.8 (21 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 104.0 (13 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -4.7 (27 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 207.0 (21 of 30)
Regardless of George’s status, Russell Westbrook is an elite play. He’s pretty expensive on DraftKings but a little more affordable on FanDuel. He’s a solid cash game play and on a four-game main slate might be mandatory for tournaments as well. As we saw last week with James Harden on Thursday, these guys have the highest upside and you’re falling really far behind if you don’t roster them. Still, from a game theory perspective it does not look wise to fade Westbrook today because you’ll have to chase DeMarcus Cousins 73.25 for the same type of ceiling. While it’s a possibility, it’s not a lock like Westbrook is.
Victor Oladipo seems to be finally turning it around. His shot has been on three out of the last four games and he should be considered a solid tournament option against the Pacers. He’s still too volatile for cash games but is a cheap option compared to Jimmy Butler or DeMar DeRozan. Since you need two SGs on FanDuel, he’s in play but not mandatory on the all day slate. For the four-game slate he’s a better second SG that has the same upside as Rodney Hood. Steven Adams looks like a perfect pairing with Russell Westbrook today. He’s also too volatile for cash games and should only be used in tournaments.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russell Westbrook | $11,500 | $15,900 | 1.63 | 34.4 | 1.4 | 55.9 5.2 | 45.3% | -2.5% | 13 | ||
Victor Oladipo | $5,700 | $10,400 | 0.72 | 33.6 | -2.4 | 24.3 2.8 | 21.3% | 0.7% | 8 | ||
Andre Roberson | $4,000 | $7,000 | 0.63 | 29.1 | 1.9 | 18.2 0.8 | 11.4% | 1.4% | 11 | ||
Domantas Sabonis | $3,500 | $7,800 | 0.62 | 22.0 | 1.1 | 13.7 -7.1 | 14.7% | -1.3% | 17 | ||
Steven Adams | $5,000 | $8,700 | 0.75 | 31.9 | 0.6 | 24.0 -2.3 | 14.0% | -1.0% | 23 | ||
Enes Kanter | $4,600 | $9,300 | 1.16 | 18.4 | -0.1 | 21.4 1.1 | 24.5% | -1.8% | 17 |
Elite Plays – Russell Westbrook, Victor Oladipo
Secondary Plays – Steven Adams
Toronto Raptors at Sacramento Kings – 9:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors | Sacramento Kings | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 210.5 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 210.5 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | -3.0 | Vegas Spread | 3.0 | |||||||||
Team Total | 106.8 | Team Total | 103.8 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | -3.9 | Pace +/- | -1.6 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Kyle Lowry | DeMar DeRozan | DeMarre Carroll | Pascal Siakam | Jonas Valanciunas | Proj. Starter | Ty Lawson | Arron Afflalo | Rudy Gay | DeMarcus Cousins | Kosta Koufos | |
Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016-17 | 8 | 26 | 14 | 24 | 4 | 2016-17 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 19 |
Toronto Raptors
Update: After further consideration of the slate, I moved DeMar DeRozan to an elite option on DraftKings.
- Injury Watch:
N/A
- Toronto Raptors Offense
Points Per Game: 107.8 (8 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 106.8 (5 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: -1.1 (9 of 12)
Pace of Play: 97.7 (21 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: -3.9 (11 of 12)
- Sacramento Kings Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 104.2 (16 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 107.6 (27 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 0.1 (16 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 205.3 (18 of 30)
Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan have been cash game studs that now don’t really have much upside left in their salaries. DeRozan has been at $9.2k on FanDuel for the past three games and will continue to do so for tonight. In a pace down game for a slow team, this does not look like the spot to go to DeRozn for tournaments. His cash game viability is also in question but he does get a nice matchup tonight. Since he has been playing so well and is the league’s leading scorer he can’t just be completely ignored. Kyle Lowry has been pretty consistent and only dropped two duds on us this season. He’s at a season-high $8.2k on DraftKings and continues to be at a season-high $8.3k on FanDuel. I don’t see the tournament upside but get the cash game appeal. Terrence Ross is starting to come on after a slow start and is a viable tournament option that carries considerable risk. He’s priced under $4k on both FD and DK, helping with your roster flexibility. I would not touch any of the Raptors’ big men as they can easily get into foul trouble against Boogie.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Lowry | $8,300 | $8,200 | $12,100 | 0.98 | 38.7 | 0.7 | 37.8 | 3.6 | 26.8% | 0.3% | 8 |
DeMar DeRozan | $9,200 | $8,600 | $13,000 | 1.21 | 36.9 | -0.8 | 44.6 | 1.0 | 37.2% | 1.0% | 26 |
DeMarre Carroll | $3,700 | $3,500 | $8,500 | 0.60 | 25.2 | -1.1 | 15.0 | 0.6 | 13.1% | 1.5% | 14 |
Pascal Siakam | $3,700 | $3,200 | $7,200 | 0.70 | 18.1 | 3.9 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 13.3% | 1.8% | 24 |
Jonas Valanciunas | $5,700 | $5,600 | $10,300 | 0.96 | 27.9 | -2.8 | 26.8 | -3.5 | 19.1% | 0.2% | 4 |
Patrick Patterson | $3,800 | $3,700 | $7,600 | 0.61 | 30.6 | -1.9 | 18.6 | -2.2 | 12.2% | 0.1% | 24 |
Elite Plays – DeMar DeRozan (DK)
Secondary Plays – Kyle Lowry (cash), , Terrence Ross (GPP)
Sacramento Kings
- Injury Watch:
N/A
- Sacramento Kings Offense
Points Per Game: 100.3 (22 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 103.8 (9 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 3.5 (3 of 12)
Pace of Play: 95.4 (28 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: -1.6 (9 of 12)
- Toronto Raptors Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 103.7 (15 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 105.8 (22 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: 0.0 (17 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 194.1 (12 of 30)
DeMarcus Cousins had his best game of the season against the Clippers and will look to keep the momentum going against the Raptors. His salary has spiked back over $10k on DraftKings and is at a season-high $10.2k on FanDuel. He leads the team with a true usage rate of 34.2% and has played 30+ minutes in six consecutive games, with the low being 33 minutes. He makes for a solid cash game play but the 9th ranked implied team total worries me a little. Still, this game looks like it will lead the Kings to score over their season average, meaning the ceiling is a little bit higher than normal. Cousins looks like more of a cash game play that tournament monster tonight. Still, since he is Boogie, he has the tournament-winning upside.
Rudy Gay has a solid true usage rate of 26.5% and has not seen less than 31 minutes this season. He’s been in a slump since his huge game in Portland and should only be used in tournaments. Ty Lawson exploded against the Clippers but was struggling mightly before that since Darren Collison is back in the mix. Darren Collison has been solid since returning from suspension but is does not really have any upside as long as he’s coming off the bench.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ty Lawson | $4,000 | $3,800 | $6,500 | 0.62 | 28.1 | -8.2 | 17.5 | -7.4 | 17.0% | -1.6% | 26 |
Arron Afflalo | $3,500 | $3,100 | $7,900 | 0.49 | 29.1 | -0.9 | 14.3 | 0.2 | 14.8% | 1.8% | 1 |
Rudy Gay | $7,000 | $6,600 | $11,000 | 1.01 | 34.5 | 1.4 | 35.0 | -2.3 | 26.5% | -1.4% | 15 |
DeMarcus Cousins | $10,200 | $10,400 | $14,800 | 1.30 | 33.7 | 3.3 | 44.0 | 6.2 | 34.2% | 1.9% | 11 |
Kosta Koufos | $3,500 | $3,000 | $7,200 | 0.71 | 20.2 | -2.4 | 14.3 | -2.7 | 15.3% | -0.3% | 19 |
Darren Collison | $5,800 | $5,100 | $8,500 | 0.82 | 29.4 | 0.7 | 24.2 | 2.0 | 24.2% | -0.2% | 26 |
Elite Plays – DeMarcus Cousins
Secondary Plays – Rudy Gay (GPP), Ty Lawson (GPP) or Darren Collison (GPP)
Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets – 9:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 197.0 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 197.0 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | 3.0 | Vegas Spread | -3.0 | |||||||||
Team Total | 97.0 | Team Total | 100.0 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | 3.1 | Pace +/- | -6.6 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Dante Exum | Rodney Hood | Gordon Hayward | Boris Diaw | Rudy Gobert | Proj. Starter | Emmanuel Mudiay | Jameer Nelson | Danilo Gallinari | Kenneth Faried | Jusuf Nurkic | |
Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent DvP Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016-17 | 30 | 29 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 2016-17 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Utah Jazz
- Injury Watch:
Boris Diaw (questionable)
George Hill (out)
Derrick Favors (out)
- Utah Jazz Offense
Points Per Game: 95.9 (26 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 97.0 (12 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: 1.1 (6 of 12)
Pace of Play: 92.7 (30 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 3.1 (4 of 12)
- Denver Nuggets Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 107.8 (24 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 105.4 (18 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 8.6 (1 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 211.3 (25 of 30)
Rodney Hood had that breakout game that I predicted, just sucks we were not able to use it on the main slate. Trey Lyles also exceeded value and saw his saw his salary drop slightly on DraftKings and remain the same on FanDuel. Hood should be a strong option again tonight against the Nuggets. This is a pace up game for the Jazz and Hood will continue chucking threes like it’s all he knows. Boris Diaw sat out the first leg of a back-to-back and should be back tonight. He’s not a viable option even if he starts. With Diaw expected back, Lyles should come off the bench, where he could be more effective. Lyles has not shown any consistency and is better served for tournaments.
Rudy Gobert continues to play well and has a double-double in four out of his last five starts. Keep plugging him in at these salary levels on DraftKings. He is the perfect play when using two centers tonight. Over on FanDuel, he’s still a solid option but Cousins and Lopez have higher ceilings than him. Gordon Hayward is struggling right now and is only a tournament option against the Nuggets. He’s still worth a shot because he’ll come with low ownership in a plus matchup. Dante Exum is playing more than Shelvin Mack and is in a nice spot to exceed value. Just don’t expect him to score more than 25 fps because Hood, Favors, and Gobert are the primary options with the first unit. This is the third game in four nights for the Jazz with it being the second night of a back-to-back on the road. Tread carefully here.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dante Exum | $3,600 | $3,500 | $7,700 | 0.59 | 22.1 | 9.1 | 13.1 | 5.2 | 17.1% | 1.5% | 30 |
Rodney Hood | $5,200 | $5,700 | $9,300 | 0.80 | 32.7 | 1.4 | 26.1 | -3.4 | 23.5% | 0.1% | 29 |
Gordon Hayward | $7,300 | $7,400 | $12,700 | 0.97 | 36.1 | 0.8 | 34.9 | -4.9 | 29.2% | -3.2% | 4 |
Boris Diaw | $3,500 | $3,000 | $6,000 | 0.18 | 22.3 | -1.2 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 12.9% | 0.3% | 17 |
Rudy Gobert | $6,500 | $6,300 | $11,200 | 0.93 | 30.6 | 1.2 | 28.6 | 0.5 | 14.5% | -0.7% | 7 |
Shelvin Mack | $3,700 | $3,300 | $6,900 | 0.68 | 20.0 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 0.9 | 23.5% | -3.1% | 30 |
Trey Lyles | $4,000 | $4,800 | $7,200 | 0.71 | 22.9 | 1.4 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 19.9% | 2.0% | 17 |
Elite Plays – Rodney Hood, Rudy Gobert
Secondary Plays – Gordon Hayward (GPP), Dante Exum
Denver Nuggets
- Injury Watch:
Gary Harris (out)
Will Barton (questionable)
- Denver Nuggets Offense
Points Per Game: 105.5 (14 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 100.0 (11 of 12)
Projected Point Differential: -5.5 (11 of 12)
Pace of Play: 102.4 (6 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: -6.6 (12 of 12)
- Utah Jazz Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 93.2 (1 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 100.0 (5 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 0.5 (15 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 178.8 (2 of 30)
Wilson Chandler continues to play well off the bench and also gets time at PF when Danilo Gallinari is in the game with him. Wilson Chandler remains a strong option against the Jazz, but the ownership should finally catch up to the production. The Nuggets rotation have been an absolute mess, but welcome to life with Mike Malone. Nikola Jokic finally saw 27 minutes and wouldn’t ya know it, had a productive game. Jokic could go back to playing under 27 minutes or play 30 against a big team like the Jazz. No one know, so he’ll be relegated to a tournament option only. Danilo Gallinari has been solid for the Nuggets but his salary has his upside baked in. He’s a better cash game play than tournament option. Against the Jazz, that cash game viability is at risk as well.
Emmanuel Mudiay finally put together two consecutive good games, but I would suggest not getting on his train today with so many better guards available. Kenneth Faried has played like a manimal on a mission, but he also has his upside priced in. This is not a great spot for the Nuggets but if they were actually a good team they would take advantage of the fact the Jazz are playing on the second night of a back-to-back on the road with all the injuries their dealing with.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | Rosters Sal. | FP/Min | Minutes | L3 +/- | FP/Game | L3 +/- | True Usage | L3 +/- | DvP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emmanuel Mudiay | $6,000 | $5,900 | $9,500 | 0.84 | 31.7 | -0.5 | 26.6 | -2.0 | 28.5% | -2.4% | 3 |
Jameer Nelson | $3,700 | $4,100 | $7,200 | 0.64 | 25.2 | 4.2 | 16.1 | -0.5 | 19.6% | -1.8% | 3 |
Danilo Gallinari | $6,000 | $5,800 | $10,900 | 0.71 | 35.6 | -1.3 | 25.4 | 1.5 | 18.6% | 1.4% | 7 |
Kenneth Faried | $6,300 | $5,800 | $8,200 | 1.10 | 24.1 | 0.7 | 26.5 | 10.7 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 3 |
Jusuf Nurkic | $4,700 | $4,300 | $9,200 | 1.03 | 22.4 | -5.6 | 23.1 | -11.9 | 22.7% | -1.7% | 5 |
Wilson Chandler | $6,000 | $5,700 | $9,400 | 0.90 | 29.8 | 0.9 | 26.7 | 7.2 | 23.3% | 1.4% | 7 |
Nikola Jokic | $4,400 | $4,700 | $9,100 | 0.84 | 22.7 | -0.8 | 19.1 | -6.6 | 18.7% | -4.1% | 3 |