NFL Betting Picks: Best Player Props for Week 2
Week 1 has come and gone. In last week’s article, I loved the Patrick Mahomes under on 310.5 yards. Mahomes went over by halftime. Kerryon Johnson split work with C.J. Anderson and could not go over his rushing total. Brandin Cooks saved me from a complete wash by staying under his yardage prop.
Starting 1-2 on the season, I am looking to bounce back in Week 2. Looking through the major online sports betting sites, I am going to pick one quarterback, running back, and receiver prop for Sunday.
Here are some NFL betting tips along with the three props for NFL Week 2.
NFL Betting Picks Week 2 — QB Player Prop for Seahawks at Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 280.5 Passing Yards (use our DraftKings promo code to get these odds)
The conversation after the Steelers’ 3-33 defeat in New England last Sunday night was not positive. Most of the talk centered on Ben Roethlisberger and his poor performance. Big Ben played a terrible game — completing 27 of 47 passes with an interception and a sack. The Steelers looked unprepared and Ben seemed incapable against a very good Patriot defense.
Fast forward to this weekend and the Steelers are home against a Seahawks team that was taken to the limit against the hapless Cinncinatti Bengals. Since 2017, the home and road splits for the Steelers’ passing offense differ by a wide margin. Roethlisberger averaged 316.6 yards per game in 2017 at home when the Steelers rostered both Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown. Last season, Ben saw a bit of a change with more yards coming on the road but a better passer rating coming at home.
The Seahawks allowed 418 passing yards last week to Andy Dalton and four passing touchdowns. Traveling across the country to play the Steelers, the Seahawks should struggle against a much better offense in Pittsburgh. Not tot mention we get a 10-yard discount at DraftKings relative to other sportsbooks. In his home confines, Ben should bounce back and get over this passing total against a shoddy pass defense.
My Pick: Over 280.5 Passing Yards
NFL Betting Picks Week 2 — RB Player Prop for Bills at Giants
Saquon Barkley Over/Under 82.5 Rushing Yards (use our FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to get these odds)
The Giants were dominated last weekend against the Cowboys in Dallas. In the loss, Saquon Barkley piled up the rushing yards — words Giants fans should probably get used to in 2019. Barkley rushed for 120 yards on just 11 carries. Barkley was targeted six times in the game but was held out late when the game got away from the Giants.
The 10.9 yards per carry last week is impressive but certainly a concern when considering an 82.5-yard prop against a formidable Bills’ defense. Nobody should expect Saquon to keep up this average especially considering it was buoyed by a 59-yard run. The Giants already showed a willingness to put Barkley on ice if the game is out of reach. That lingering concern can absolutely impact his ability to get over this total.
While the Bills’ offense would not be considered well-oiled, their defense is stout. The Giants passing game is void of weapons with Evan Engram and Saquon Barkley representing the last men standing after a Sterling Shepard concussion. The Bills incredible defense will not have many targets to fixate on and could put plenty of pressure on the Giants’ front early — daring Eli Manning to beat them with the pass. Only giving up 60 yards on the ground to Le’Veon Bell last week, I like buying the Bills defense for a second week. Give me the under.
My Pick: Under 82.5 Rushing Yards
NFL Betting Picks Week 2 — WR Player Prop for Cardinals at Ravens
Marquise Brown Over/Under 48.5 Receiving Yards (use our FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to get these odds)
Marquise “Hollywood” Brown lit the Dolphins up in Week 1 for two touchdowns and 147 yards on four catches. He only needed five targets to produce the incredible stat line. Brown was electric — leaving Dolphins’ defensive backs in the dust as one of the major talking points of the early slate of games. Hollywood’s debut was certainly one to remember.
Now, back to Earth… Brown only played 18% of the offensive snaps for the Ravens during the lopsided victory. Surely, the game got out of hand quickly and Brown’s downfield explosiveness was not necessary late. Yet, betting on this type of production for a player who hit a ceiling with only 14 snaps is worrisome. Brown was incredibly efficient — nearly averaging 30 receiving yards per target. Without the two big plays, we would be remiss to think that Brown could exceed this yardage total.
While the Cardinals play at a fast pace — averaging just above 20 seconds per play last week — the Ravens will likely look to control the flow of the game as big favorites at home. A run-heavy approach could leave Hollywood without the requisite opportunities to get over this yardage total. Give me the under.
My Pick: Under 48.5 Receiving Yards
Be sure to use RotoGrinders’ new NFL odds comparison tool to look at NFL Week 1 lines across the industry and find out what online sports betting site has the best price for your favorite NFL Week 1 betting picks.