NFL Week 14 Lines and Betting Picks
We saw underdogs come out on top again (9-7 ATS) in Week 13, including outright upsets by the Dolphins, Bengals and Redskins. Totals were more evenly split with the Over-Under finishing 7-8 prior to Monday Night Football. Though we have one more game left Monday night, it’s time to start looking at NFL Week 14 lines and locking in our early NFL betting picks.
NFL Week 14 Lines and Betting Picks
- Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears +2.5, O/U 43.5
- Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills +5, O/U 44
- Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons -2, O/U 48
- Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns -10, O/U 42.5
- Denver Broncos at Houston Texans -10, O/U 41.5
- Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings -13.5, O/U 42.5
- Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3, O/U 47.5
- Miami Dolphins at New York Jets -6, O/U 44
- San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints -3, O/U 45.5
- Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers -13, O/U 42.5
- Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5, O/U 43.5
- Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots -3, O/U 48.5
- Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders +3, O/U 46.5
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals +1.5, O/U 43.5
- Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams +2.5, O/U 46.5
- New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles -8.5, O/U 47
All odds referenced herein are from FanDuel Sportsbook and accurate as of Tuesday morning unless otherwise stated.
Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears +2.5, O/U 43.5
The Dallas Cowboys lost on Thanksgiving but the Miami Dolphins came to their rescue on Sunday. The Cowboys are still in the driver’s seat to represent the NFC East in the playoffs and I like Dallas to redeem themselves in another Thursday game. Check back on Wednesday for an in-depth Thursday Night Football Betting preview as we break down the game from top to bottom.
My Pick: Cowboys -2.5
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills +5, O/U 44
The Bills proved they could beat a better team than the Dolphins and Jets as they made Thanksgiving trip to Dallas. They’ll have their hands full in Week 14, though. The Baltimore Ravens and Lamar Jackson are Super Bowl and MVP favorites, respectively. Jackson looks like a Madden cheat code while Baltimore’s defense is finally healthy and proving it’s every bit as good as it was a year ago. Jackson’s running ability has created an extremely high floor when it comes to DFS. The Bills might have beaten the Cowboys at Jerry’s world but that doesn’t make me a believer. I’m backing the Ravens as early as I can because I expect it to move closer to Ravens -6 as bets pile in throughout the week.
My Picks: Ravens -5
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots -3, O/U 48.5
This just in, the Patriots have problems. They trailed by as many as 19 points Sunday night against the Texans and suffered their second loss of the night. To put into perspective how much the Patriots have struggled offensively, only two teams have punted more than New England — the Jets and the Bears. Next closest is Denver, Tennessee, Washington and Cincinnati. Minus the Titans, these aren’t teams you want to be in conversation with. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are flying under the radar in the AFC. We’ll see just how bad New England’s offense is when the two teams go head to head in Week 14. I won’t need to wait to place a bet. This is my favorite game of the week and I’m happy to take the three points with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill on my side.
My Pick: Chiefs +3
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons -2, O/U 48
The Falcons have had little to play for most of the season and now the Panthers are in the same boat following a disappointing loss to the Washington Redskins. In the game, Carolina allowed 129 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries to Derrius Guice. Even worse, veteran running back Adrian Peterson was a yard shy of a 100-yard game of his own. Overall, the Panthers gave up 248 yards on the ground while quarterback Kyle Allen looked lost despite playing against a secondary that has been inept for most of the season. The Falcons are used to having nothing to play for; the Panthers not so much. Hopefully Julio Jones can help us cover the 2-point spread.
My Pick: Falcons -2
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns -10, O/U 42.5
The Cincinnati Bengals continued the trend of outright upsets in Week 13, beating the Jets 22-6 to finally put a number in the win column. The Bengals did so with the help of Andy Dalton who returned to the starting lineup and looks to have the jobs for at least the rest of the season. The Browns couldn’t win their fourth game in a row, giving up an early 10-point lead to the Steelers. Cleveland missed the presence of Myles Garrett against the Steelers and I’m not comfortable backing them as a 10-point favorite to anyone. I’ll probably pass on this game but I currently lean Under 42.5.
My Lean: Under 42.5
Denver Broncos at Houston Texans -10, O/U 41.5
Drew Lock is 1-0 and Broncos fans hope they have their quarterback of the future. The Texans come off their biggest win of their season. Denver isn’t going to score many points and their defense is good enough to keep this below 41.5 points.
My Lean: Under
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings -13.5, O/U 42.5
The Lions covered the closing line on Thanksgiving despite playing with their third string quarterback. The Vikings have yet to play their Week 13 game which is why I’ll pass on this one for the time-being.
My Lean: Pass
Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3, O/U 47.5
For only the fourth time all season Jameis Winston went four quarters without throwing an interception. It made a difference, helping the Buccaneers beat the Jaguars 28-11. Winston and Tampa Bay are 3-point favorites in their Week 14 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts who come off a 31-17 defeat to Tennessee. I’m not betting this one yet, but I think Tampa Bay matches up well with the Colts whose receiving corps has been depleted with injuries.
Lean: Tampa Bay -3
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets -6, O/U 44
Not long ago we were questioning if the Dolphins would win a single game. Five weeks later and they’re 3-9. There’s a case to be made that it’s one of the more impressive coaching jobs 2019. The Jets will try to bounce back after giving the Bengals their first win. Sunday was ugly, but I think Sam Darnold and the Jets covering the spread at home.
My Pick: Jets -6
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints -3, O/U 45.5
This is the premier NFC matchup of NFL Week 14 and could very well determine which team gets the top seed and home field advantage in the playoffs. The 49ers are on the third leg of arguably the toughest three-week stretch in football. First they clobbered the Packers before falling short in Baltimore. We’ll likely have more on this game later in the week. I’m staying away for now.
Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers -13, O/U 42.5
The Packers return to Lambeau for their first game at home in four weeks after dominating the Giants 31-13 in snowy weather. They find themselves in position to dominate again against the Washington Redskins. I like the Packers to run away with this one as well.
My Pick: Packers -13
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5, O/U 43.5
The Jaguars have fallen apart, losing four consecutive games and locking their 11th .500 or worse season in the past 12 years. Head coach Doug Marron named rookie Gardner Minshew the starting quarterback Monday. Nick Foles was benched after a pair of turnovers to Tampa Bay. The Jaguars are home underdogs but I’m not sure I’m brave enough to take them.
Early NFL Week 14 Betting Card
- Chiefs +3 (Favorite bet of the week)
- Ravens -5
- Packers -13
- Jets -6
- Falcons -2
- Under 42.5 Browns-Bengals
Check back for more in-depth NFL betting previews for Thursday Night Football, Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football later in the week.
Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images