MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, August 1st Part 2

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-01 17:49:17

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San Francisco vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.261	0.705	17.30%	0.52		0.254	0.716	19.80%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.261	0.689	17.10%	0.39		0.258	0.703	19.50%	0.41
SP STATS	Cain – RHP					Hamels – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.19	4.79	8.27	9.33		1.25	4.09	8.23	10.09
LAST 14 DAYS	1.25	2.25	8.25	12.00		1.50	4.50	8.25	8.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs L		SFG BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – PHI -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Cole Hamels as lost his first 2 starts after the break but he is pitching fantastic here in July with a 2.57 ERA. There are two stats you can look at today. You can either take SFO great BAA versus left-handed pitching and .287 BAA versus Lee and use that a sign not to spend top dollar on the hurler or you can chose to focus on the fact that SFO has scored the fewest runs for the month of July and play the hot left-hander versus a struggling team. SFO is batting .260 on the road, .258 versus left-handers, and .255 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away Matt Cain has become an automatic start for me every time he takes the mound. His 4.79 ERA is horrible but all of his other numbers are very good. He has a 1.19 WHIP, a .225 BAA, and K/9 just a shade under 9. Because of his struggles, he is much cheaper than he should be and has GPP winning upside. PHI is batting .257 at home, .258 versus right-handers, and .207 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jimmy Rollins 7-23 versus Cain. Chase Utley is 8-23 with 4 HRs versus him as well. Darin Ruf has been the only productive Phillie. He is batting .333 versus right-handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Buster Posey is 5-7 with 1 HR versus Hamels. Pablo Sandoval is 6-21 with 2 HRs. Both those players plus Marco Scuttaro and Hunter Pence are batting over .300 versus left-handers. Jeff Francoeur has a nice 15-53 with 2 HR line versus Hamels if he plays. RG Stack Rating 4

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Colorado vs. Atlanta

7:10 PM	Colorado – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.263	0.746	19.80%	0.61		0.250	0.735	22.70%	0.59
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.267	0.761	19.90%	0.50		0.252	0.738	22.60%	0.48
SP STATS	Bettis – RHP					Teheran – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON						1.18	3.07	7.57	10.85
LAST 14 DAYS						0.69	0.69	8.31	12.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	COL vs R		COL BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – ATL -220

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Julio Teheran is the second biggest favorite of the night. He has been pretty darn good at home with a 2.73 ERA and K/9 over 9, In his one start versus COL on the year he held them to 1 ER over 7 IP. He is near lock to get the win today versus Bettis and COL is not as potent on the road as they are at home. COL is batting .249 on the road, .269 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Chad Bettis has been a K per inning player in the Minors. His ERA in a not special 3.71 but his WHIP is a very good 1.15. He has only lasted around 5 IP in his 12 games started because he goes to deep into counts. He should get a few Ks today but he will be gone after 5 and could get lit up in the process. He will be cheap if you want to gamble. RG Start-Ability 2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Everyone from ATL is playable. Freddie Freeman, Jason Heywar and Brian McCann draw special consideration versus this young right-hander. All three have been hot for ATL. RG Stack Rating 8

• Away Michael Cuddyer, Wilin Rosario and Troy Tulowitzki have been producing for COL if you are playing the fade. RG Stack Rating 3

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Seattle vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Seattle – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.713	21.70%	0.55		0.273	0.792	20.70%	0.69
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.732	21.20%	0.48		0.284	0.815	19.90%	0.57
SP STATS	Hernandez – RHP					Dempster – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.06	2.34	9.28	14.33		1.46	4.24	8.33	9.52
LAST 14 DAYS	0.67	0.60	10.80	18.00		1.77	4.22	7.06	8.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SEA vs R		SEA BvP			BOS vs R		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – BOS -110

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Ryan Dempster is the slight favorite in this one but it is hard sale for me to buy into him today versus the King. Yes, he plays in front of the league’s highest scoring offense but SEA actually has more runs scored in July than BOS does and the team just hit him hard in SEA hanging him for 4 ER in 3.1 IP. SEA is batting .234 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Felix Hernandez is not a product of Safeco field. His numbers are actually slightly better on the road than they are at home. BOS is the league’s highest scoring offense but they have also recorded the league’s 5th most Ks and Felix is good at getting people to do just that, strikeout. BOS is batting .282 at home, .283 versus right-handers, and .228 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jacoby Ellsbury is 6-21 with 2 HRs versus Felix. David Ortiz is 9-29 with 1 HR. Dustin Pedroia is 10-35 with 1 HR as well. David Ortiz, Mike Carp, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Daniel Nava are all batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away Nick Franklin and Kyle Seager have been hot for SEA. Rual Ibanez is 5-18 versus Dempster. Kendrys Morales is 3-10 with 1 HR. RG Stack Rating 3

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LA Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

8:05 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					Chicago Cubs – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.265	0.715	18.30%	0.56		0.242	0.712	19.10%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.266	0.735	18.60%	0.47		0.248	0.717	18.20%	0.45
SP STATS	Nolasco – RHP					Rusin – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.24	3.72	7.06	9.50		0.99	2.93	5.36	7.70
LAST 14 DAYS	1.46	3.27	5.73	7.00		0.75	1.50	5.25	10.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs L		LAD BvP			CHC vs R		CHC BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – LAD -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Chris Rusin has been very good in his first 3 starts. All 3 of those came on the road. This one will be at home which could factor into things and he draws a very hot LAD team. He is holding left-handers to a mere .167 BAA which tempers the expectations of LAD best offensive bats. LAD is batting .275 on the road, .262 versus left-handers and .266 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Ricky Nolasco gets a very easy matchup in CHC. The Cubs are becoming like HOU in the fact that you can make an argument for using any pitcher who is facing them no matter who it may be. Nolasco has been very good since joining the Dodgers. His ERA in July is a 3.00. CHC is batting .254 at home, .247 versus right-handers, and .214 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home Nate Schierholtz and Starlin Castro have positive BvPs versus Nolasco. Anthony Rizzo ‘s bat is heating up and I always like him as a darkhorse play at home RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Hanley Ramirez and Yasiel Puig have been producing for LAD. Both of them are batting well over .300 versus left-handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 5

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Toronto vs. LA Angels

10:05 PM	Toronto – ROAD					LA Angels – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.732	18.70%	0.64		0.265	0.752	18.20%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.254	0.752	18.90%	0.51		0.274	0.765	17.90%	0.49
SP STATS	Johnson – RHP					Richards – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.57	6.08	9.36	7.50		1.30	4.33	6.48	2.78
LAST 14 DAYS	2.36	14.09	12.50	2.60		0.88	0.00	7.88	5.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs R		TOR BvP			LAA vs R		LAA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – LAA -110

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Garrett Richards will make another spot start for LAA. He threw 80 pitches his last time out and I expect around the same total for him today. He looked good in his first outing but there is no need to take a player with this little upside versus a very dangerous TOR team. TOR is batting .243 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .259 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

• Away If Josh Johnson can get shelled by the worst team in baseball at home then what do you think his odds are today versus a very good LAA team. Johnson has a 7.66 road ERA. Moreover, he is allowing right-handers to bat .339 versus him on the season and LAA is loaded with right-handed bats that hit right-handers well. LAA is batting .276 at home, .273 versus right-handers, and .246 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

Batter Grind Down

• Home Ladies and Gentlemen start your LAA stacks!! A hot Mike Trout and Josh Hamilton are playable either way. RG Stack Rating 8

• Away Edwin Encarnacion is super hot with 43 fp over the last 7 days. Jose Reyes, Jose Bautista, and Colby Rasmus have all been hot as well. Brett Lawrie offers nice value and is heating up. RG Stack Rating 6

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Arizona vs. Texas

7:05 PM	Arizona – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.255	0.704	18.50%	0.55		0.258	0.738	17.30%	0.58
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.716	19.10%	0.45		0.262	0.741	17.10%	0.47
SP STATS	Struill – RHP					Darvish – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON						1.04	2.80	11.80	14.91
LAST 14 DAYS						0.91	0.73	11.16	15.05
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ARI vs R		ARI BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TEX -190

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home You don’t really need me to tell you take Yu Darvish at home. He is a K machine and pitching better than anyone in the American League. He is holding right-handed hitters to a .136 BAA and He is facing an easy opponent on the hill. ARI is batting .259 on the road, .254 versus right-handers and .257 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Do people still name their kids Zeke? Zeke Spriull gets his first MLB start ever tonight against the early leader for the AL Cy Young award. I cannot see him throwing over 80 pitches and there is not much data to go off of anyway. It is probably best to just avoid him tonight. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home You can consider everyone playable today for TEX but the low OU says enough for me. This Tex offense has been lackluster for a while. Elvis Andrus and Nelson Cruz have been hot over the last 7 days for TEX. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away No one from ARI has noticeable BvPs and no one has been hot. This is not a good matchup either. DiDi Gregorius hits right-handers at a high clip and has an HR off of Darvish. RG Stack Rating 2

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