MLB Daily Grind Down May 9th Part 2
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Toronto at Tampa Bay
| Toronto | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| R.A. Dickey – (2-5), 5.36 ERA, 7.07 K/9, 1.31 WHIP | David Price – (1-2), 5.21 ERA, 8.29 K/9, 1.37 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (6-52 H/AB) 0.115 BA-A, 28.85 K%, 0.365 OPS-A | PvB | (46-183 H/AB) 0.251 BA-A, 24.59 K%, 0.716 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 3.72 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.6 K/9, 1.19 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 6.16 ERA, 3 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.579 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
TOR BvP  | TOR vs L | TBR BvP | TBR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored TAM -150
Pitchers
- Home David Price stat line is not indicative of a man who has won a Cy Young. Vegas still has faith him making him a huge favorite in this game with a low OU but I do not trust him even against a free swinging TOR team. TOR is batting .243 on the road, .251 versus left-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days with 10 HRs. Price has GPP upside if you want to gamble. In Play
- Away Everything I just said about David Price you can repeat for R. A. Dickey. Dickey has been a much better pitcher on the road this year but is a huge dog, not that I trust this line. TAM is batting .270 at home, .237 versus right-handers, and .306 over the last 7 days. Dickey has held them to a .115 BAA. In Play
Batters
- Home James Loney is batting .346 versus right-handed pitching. The left-hander, Kelley Johnson is the hottest Ray producing 31.25 fp over the last week. Evan Longoria is always a soid play and has 30.25 fp over the last 7 days.
- Away Jose Bautista is 11-31 versus Price with 4 HRs. Melky Cabrera and Maicer Izturis have positive BvPs also. Cabrera is batting .299 vs. left-handed pitching and has produced 22.5 fp over the last week. The super cheap Munenori Kawasaki is batting .289 versus left-handers
Pittsburgh at NY Mets
| Pittsburgh | NY Mets | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citi Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeff Locke – (3-1), 3.21 ERA, 5.15 K/9, 1.25 WHIP | Dillon Gee – (2-4), 6.16 ERA, 5.66 K/9, 1.63 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (8-16 H/AB) 0.5 BA-A, 25 K%, 1.25 OPS-A | PvB | (10-48 H/AB) 0.208 BA-A, 27.08 K%, 0.583 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 1.89 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.2 K/9, 0.947 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 2.5 ERA, 1 HRA, 7 K/9, 1.111 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | NYM BvP | NYM vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored NYM -112
Pitchers
- Home Dillon Gee has not looked good. I do not need to tell you that a 6.16 ERA and 1.63 WHIP are bad. If you are a trend follower then his only two good starts came at home. PIT is batting .224 on the road, .249 vs. right-handers and .232 over the last 7 days. They have 267 Ks on the year and Gee has held them to a .208 BAA. In Play
- Away Jeff Locke is the same kind of pitcher as Gee but he is off to a good start on the year. He is pitching better on the road this year and is only the slight dog in this one so if I was going to take a pitcher from this game it would be him. Still, he does not get enough Ks to matter on a single pitcher site but NYM are batting .214 at home, .234 versus left-handers, and .225 over the last 7 days so he seems to be catching them at the right time. In Play
Batters
- Home Not a lot of BvP data but John Buch, David Wright and the super cheap Ruben Tejada are always solid plays versus a left-hander. David Wright has been the hottest Met over the last 7 days and gains the splits in his favor today.
- Away Jose Tabata is 4-10 vs. Gee. Starlin Marte has been hot over the last week producing 27.25 fp and is hitting right-handers at a .310 clip. Gee has not been good so I like a few of the left-handers today but PIT just is not the same team on the road so do not expect too much.
LA Angels at Houston
| LA Angels | Houston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minute Maid Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jason Vargas – (1-3), 3.72 ERA, 4.71 K/9, 1.47 WHIP | Lucas Harrell – (3-3), 5.03 ERA, 6.21 K/9, 1.73 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (2-27 H/AB) 0.074 BA-A, 29.63 K%, 0.222 OPS-A | PvB | (9-27 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 18.52 K%, 0.889 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 4.24 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.8 K/9, 1.706 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 4.7 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.9 K/9, 1.652 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored LAA -148
Pitchers
- Home Lucas Harrell got pounded versus DET but he has only given up more than 2 ERs in 2 of his 7 starts. It just happens that those 2 starts were really bad which is why his ERA is over 5. His K totals are too low and the fact that he is effective is only annoying for daily fantasy because it makes the opposing pitcher less desirable. LAA is batting .243 on the road, .259 versus left-handers, and .242 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Jason Vargas gets a bump up from the Astros but his K totals are so low I do not think it matters. The Astros have proven themselves to be dangerous and I am not sure he gets the win today versus Harrell. The high OU just seals the deal for me. Avoid
Batters
- Home The Astros always offer value. It is hard to say who well be playing on a day to day bases outside of Altuve. Jose Altuve is crushing left-handed pitching and should be consider.
- Away Josh Hamilton hit an HR yesterday. He has an HR versus Harrell in 5 AB> Eric Aybar is batting .313 versus right-handed pitching. Mike Trout and Mark Trumbo are both hot producing over 20 fp in the last 7 days.
Philadelphia at Arizona
| Philadelphia | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Cole Hamels – (1-4), 4.34 ERA, 7.96 K/9, 1.18 WHIP | Patrick Corbin – (3-0), 1.91 ERA, 6.82 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (33-138 H/AB) 0.239 BA-A, 13.77 K%, 0.732 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 3.71 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.5 K/9, 1.294 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 1.42 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.184 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PHI BvP | PHI vs L | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored ARI -120
Pitchers
- Home Patrick Corbin is 4-0 on the season with a 1.80 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and 32 Ks. If these numbers snuck up on you then do not worry because they came to me as a surprise as well. There is no arguing his start to the season and he has pitched phenomenal at home. PHI is batting .234 on the road, .218 versus left-handers, and .212 over the last 7 days so the splits favor him as well. Target
- Away Cole Hamels is not the favorite in this one but has great GPP upside. He is off to a rough start, which is great for us daily players because that means his price has dropped. His K totals are there and he is nearly a full point better on the road this year. ARI is tough at home. They are batting .252 at home, .226 versus left-handers, and .279 over the last 7 days with 10 HRs. Lee has held them to a .239 BAA. In Play
Batters
- Home Martin Prado and Cody Ross have the best BvPs versus Lee. They are positive but not stellar. Paul Goldshmidt kills all lefties at home and is super hot producing 43.5 fp over the last week. If he can hit a bomb off of Kershaw then why not Lee?
- Away Chase Utley and Ryan Howard are both batting under .200 vs. left-handers. Carlos Ruis is batting .375 versus left-handers but only has 4.5 fp over the last week. I might look to Young in this one for a cheap option or Rollins in a GPP but I am pretty much avoiding PHI today because the numbers do not look good.
Atlanta at San Francisco
| Atlanta | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 10:15 PM | ||||||
| Julio Teheran – (1-0), 5.08 ERA, 6.41 K/9, 1.66 WHIP | Ryan Vogelsong – (1-2), 6.23 ERA, 7.77 K/9, 1.55 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (1-2 H/AB) 0.5 BA-A, 0 K%, 1.5 OPS-A | PvB | (15-57 H/AB) 0.263 BA-A, 21.05 K%, 0.93 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 4.5 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 6.57 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1.622 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ATL BvP | ATL vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored SFO -115
Pitchers
- Home Ryan Vogelsong has been getting popped all over the park. He seems to unravel at the worst possible time and has been a worse pitcher at home. His K totals are there and he is the slight favorite today but I do not trust him. He was dependable a year ago. ATL is batting .247 on the road, .246 versus right-handers, and .242 over the last 7 days. They have a .264 BAA vs. Vogelsong. In Play
- Away Julio Teheran will only become relevant when he faces a bad team at home. He is on the road and SFO is batting .274 at home, .267 versus right-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days so the splits are not in his favor. Avoid
Batters
- Home Pablo Sandoval and Gregor Blanco have been SFO best hitters versus right-handed pitching. Hunter Pence, Marco Scutaro, and Buster Posey have all produced over 20 fp in the last 7 days.
- Away Freddie Freeman has the best numbers versus Vogelsong. He is 3-7 with 2 HRs. Justin Upton is 4-13 with 2 doubles. Dan Uggla has been the hottest brave over the last week producing 32.25 fp. He is a streaky hitter. Brian McCann has not done much because of injury but is a dangerous hitter versus right-handers. His price is cheap and Vogelsong is struggling.