MLB Grind Down: Friday, May 16th - Page 3

Atlanta at St. Louis

Atlanta St. Louis
Ervin Santana Vegas Moneyline Lance Lynn Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT ATL (-102) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.248 0.677 0.304 17.9% SP vs. Left 0.263 0.758 0.343 18.3%
SP vs. Right 0.221 0.620 0.278 22.8% SP vs. Right 0.242 0.624 0.287 27.3%
Batter Splits ATL BvP pop up 2 ATL vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits STL BvP pop up 2 STL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Ervin Santana – Santana has been lights out this season with a 1.99 ERA and a K/9 of 9.7. Even though the Cardinals are ranked 20th against RH pitching this season, they are finally starting to hit the ball well over the last couple of weeks. The total for this game is low, but I think Lynn is the better starting pitching option in this game. Rating = 6

Lance Lynn – Lynn has a 3.83 ERA this season with a 1.31 WHIP and a K/9 of 9.6. Even though he has struggled in his 2 home starts this season, he was terrific at home last season with an ERA under 3.00. The Braves are a team that strikes out often and I have a feeling that Lynn pitches a gem this evening. Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Freddie Freeman – If you are targeting an Braves’ bats tonight, target the ones from the left side of the plate as Lynn has given up a .343 wOBA to LH batters over the last 2 seasons.

Additional Plays: Jason Heyward

St. Louis

Yadier Molina – The catcher position is always a tough one in daily fantasy baseball and my typical fallback when I’m unsure of who to take is either Yadier Molina or John Jaso. Molina hits LH and RH pitching well and is always batting in the middle of the order. He’s a nice play tonight if he’s not too expensive on the site(s) that you are playing on.

Additional Plays: Matt Holliday, Matt Carpenter


San Diego at Colorado

San Diego Colorado
Eric Stults Vegas Moneyline Jorge De La Rosa Vegas Over/Under
LEFT COL (-155) LEFT 10.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.211 0.580 0.259 16.9% SP vs. Left 0.204 0.532 0.243 24.4%
SP vs. Right 0.309 0.803 0.352 13.8% SP vs. Right 0.279 0.756 0.345 14.4%
Batter Splits SDP BvP pop up 2 SDP vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits COL BvP pop up 2 COL vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Eric Stults / Jorge De La Rosa – If this series were taking in place in Petco Park, both pitchers would be decent fantasy options. Unfortunately for them, this series is taking place in Coors Field which is the most hitter friendly ballpark in baseball. Avoid both pitchers in this one. Rating =1

Batter Grind Down

San Diego

Jedd Gyorko – There are very few instances where the Padres are playing in a game that features a double-digit run total, so we have to take advantage while we can. Even though teams have struggled in Coors in their first game of the series, the Padres are too good of a value to pass on tonight.

Additional Plays: Chase Headley, Carlos Quentin

Colorado

Troy Tulowitzki – Tulo is back at home and the love fest for Tulo will be at an all-time high around the industry as he faces a an average LH pitcher in Stults. In case you have been hiding under a rock, Tulo has had a historic start at home this season batting .608 with a 1.77 OPS. Get him in your lineups tonight at all costs.

Additional Plays: The rest of the Rockies’ lineup.


LA Dodgers at Arizona

LA Dodgers Arizona
Zack Greinke Vegas Moneyline Wade Miley Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT LAD (-137) LEFT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.256 0.718 0.323 20.6% SP vs. Left 0.265 0.713 0.321 17.7%
SP vs. Right 0.216 0.574 0.263 24.1% SP vs. Right 0.256 0.725 0.323 18.0%
Batter Splits LAD BvP pop up 2 LAD vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits ARI BvP pop up 2 ARI vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Zack Greinke – Greinke has had one poor outing this season and has been absolutely dominant in his other 7 starts. On the season he has a 2.38 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a K/9 of 11.0. I typically like to avoid pitchers facing the D-Backs in the hitter friendly Chase Field, but I think Greinke makes a terrific play in a GPP. Rating = 7

Wade Miley – Miley has an ERA of 4.82 this season with a 1.21 WHIP. He draws a very tough matchup against the Dodgers who have a lot of power in their lineup. Even though the Dodgers haven’t been great against LH pitching as a team this season, guys like Hanley Ramirez and Yasiel Puig are terrific against southpaws. I’ll be avoiding Miley tonight. Rating = 4

Batter Grind Down

L.A. Dodgers

Yasiel Puig – Since the start of last season Miley has given up a .323 wOBA to RH batters. Puig is a rare combination of incredible power and incredible speed. Puig has 7 HR’s on the season and 4 SB’s. He’s also batting .323 against LH pitching. He is my top OF play tonight.

Additional Plays: Hanley Ramirez

Arizona

I’m not too crazy about any of the D-Backs’ hitters tonight against Greinke. Paul Goldschmidt is in play for GPP’s, but that’s pretty much the only exposure that I will have to the D-Backs’ tonight.


Tampa Bay at LA Angels

Tampa Bay LA Angels
Chris Archer Vegas Moneyline Jered Weaver Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT LAA (-143) RIGHT 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.253 0.730 0.327 20.6% SP vs. Left 0.230 0.634 0.288 19.6%
SP vs. Right 0.231 0.589 0.271 16.5% SP vs. Right 0.242 0.691 0.305 17.3%
Batter Splits TBR BvP pop up 2 TBR vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits LAA BvP pop up 2 LAA vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Chris Archer – Archer has really struggled on the road this season with a 6.35 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. I expect him to pick it up here soon as he has proven that he can be a very good big league pitcher. I’m not banking on that happening tonight against the Angels though. Rating = 4

Jered Weaver – Weaver has pitched well this season with a 3.22 ERA and a K/9 of 7.2. He is a sizable favorite tonight against the Rays who are ranked 12th against RH pitching this season. Weaver is in play on multi-pitcher sites. Rating = 6

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Evan Longoria – Even though Weaver is a RHP, he has given up a higher wOBA and OPS to RH batters than he has to LH batters over the last 2 seasons. Longo hits RH pitching well and always has great upside thanks to his power.

Additional Plays: Wil Myers

L.A. Angels

Mike Trout – Even though Archer has historically been much better against RH batters than he has against LH batters, Trout is my top play here. He hit a walk-off HR against the Rays last night and should be considered right up there with Puig as the top options in the OF tonight.

Additional Plays: Albert Pujols, Erick Aybar


Miami at San Francisco

Miami San Francisco
Henderson Alvarez Vegas Moneyline Yusmeiro Petit Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT SFG (-135) RIGHT 6.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.260 0.697 0.314 13.1% SP vs. Left 0.207 0.585 0.276 21.6%
SP vs. Right 0.245 0.609 0.282 15.1% SP vs. Right 0.289 0.733 0.324 25.6%
Batter Splits MIA BvP pop up 2 MIA vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits SFG BvP pop up 2 SFG vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Henderson Alvarez – After throwing a complete game shutout against the Mets, I was finally turning into a believer. Then he went out and gave up 5 earned runs to the worst offense in baseball in the most pitcher friendly park in baseball. Alvarez is a huge underdog here and doesn’t have enough upside to make him a viable option tonight. Rating = 5

Yusmeiro Petit – Petit has a 4.85 ERA on the season with a K/9 of 9.0. While his numbers don’t neccessarily jump out at you, what jumps out at me is the fact that he is a -135 favorite. I think he makes a terrific value play on multi-pitcher sites as this Marlins’ offense has really struggled on the road this season. Rating = 6

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Giancarlo Stanton – Stanton makes a decent play if you don’t have very much faith in Petit. Petit has given up a .324 wOBA to RH batters over the last 2 seasons and we all know the upside that Stanton provides.

Additional Plays: None

San Francisco

Buster Posey – Posey is another catcher option that you can never really go wrong with. He hits both RH and LH pitching well and he is very good at home. He’s a solid option if the price is cheap on the site(s) that you are playing on.

Additional Plays: Hunter Pence


About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious