NBA DFS First Look: Saturday, December 25th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2021-12-24 16:59:25

The NBA DFS First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team	Home Team	Favorite	Spread	Game Total		Road Total	Home Total	Time (ET)
Atlanta Hawks	New York Knicks	NYK	-5.5	211.5		103.0	108.5	0:00 PM
Boston Celtics	Milwaukee Bucks	MIL	-3.0	219.0		108.0	111.0	2:30 PM
Golden State Warriors	Phoenix Suns	PHO	-6.0	217.5		105.8	111.8	5:00 PM
Brooklyn Nets	Los Angeles Lakers	BKN	-1.0	226.0		113.5	112.5	8:00 PM
Dallas Mavericks	Utah Jazz	UTA	-12.5	214.0		100.8	113.3	10:30 PM

Implied Totals, Team Stats, and Pace of Play

Offense	Line	Total	O-Rating	Pace		Opp.	D-Rating	Pace		P-Pace
Brooklyn Nets	-1.0	113.5	109.5	99.8		LAL	107.9	101.3		100.6
Utah Jazz	-12.5	113.3	117.1	98.8		DAL	108.4	95.8		97.3
Los Angeles Lakers	1.0	112.5	105.7	101.3		BKN	106.1	99.8		100.6
Phoenix Suns	-6.0	111.8	110.4	100.9		GSW	101.4	99.3		100.1
Milwaukee Bucks	-3.0	111.0	110.2	99.5		BOS	107.3	98.1		98.8
New York Knicks	-5.5	108.5	109.2	96.4		ATL	111.0	98.5		97.4
Boston Celtics	3.0	108.0	108.1	98.1		MIL	106.8	99.5		98.8
Golden State Warriors	6.0	105.8	112.0	99.3		PHO	102.8	100.9		100.1
Atlanta Hawks	5.5	103.0	112.4	98.5		NYK	110.9	96.4		97.4
Dallas Mavericks	12.5	100.8	108.2	95.8		UTA	106.7	98.8		97.3

Point Guard (Projected Starters)

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
James Harden	BKN	113.5	$10,700	PG	$10,200	SG/PG	36.2	49.5		27%		58%		1.37		1.28		LAL
Mike Conley	UTA	113.3	$6,200	PG	$5,800	PG	28.1	28.3	1.9	19%	0%	63%	-6%	1.01	0.12	0.98	0.13	DAL
Russell Westbrook	LAL	112.5	$10,000	PG	$9,800	PG	36.0	43.9	-1.4	27%	2%	53%	2%	1.22	-0.04	1.15	0.00	BKN
Chris Paul	PHO	111.8	$8,400	PG	$8,200	PG	31.9	38.8	-4.9	20%	0%	58%	8%	1.22	0.00	1.22	0.01	GSW
Jrue Holiday	MIL	111.0	$9,300	PG	$9,500	PG/SG	32.7	36.8	3.7	24%	8%	56%	4%	1.13	0.28	1.11	0.27	BOS
Alec Burks	NYK	108.5	$7,400	PG/SG	$5,600	SG/SF	27.5	23.9	11.4	18%	-1%	55%	-4%	0.87	-0.11	0.87	-0.15	ATL
Marcus Smart	BOS	108.0	$6,000	PG/SG	$5,800	SG/PG	34.2	28.3	-0.1	16%	-2%	49%	8%	0.83	-0.05	0.85	-0.06	MIL
Stephen Curry	GSW	105.8	$11,200	PG	$10,000	PG	34.5	48.9	1.8	31%	5%	61%	5%	1.42	-0.03	1.34	-0.04	PHO
Skylar Mays	ATL	103.0	$3,400	SG	$3,500	SG	6.9	6.0	14.3	16%	-1%	71%	-15%	0.86	0.00	0.81	0.00	NYK
Jalen Brunson	DAL	100.8	$7,600	PG/SG	$7,400	PG/SG	30.4	30.1	8.5	22%	3%	58%	5%	0.99	0.07	0.97	0.04	UTA

Shooting Guard (Projected Starters)

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
Patty Mills	BKN	113.5	$7,200	PG/SG	$6,500	SG/PG	30.2	22.5	8.3	17%	6%	60%	-5%	0.75	0.16	0.70	0.14	LAL
Donovan Mitchell	UTA	113.3	$9,600	PG/SG	$8,400	SG/PG	32.7	41.2	2.0	32%	-2%	57%	-2%	1.26	0.01	1.22	-0.01	DAL
Wayne Ellington	LAL	112.5	$3,700	SG/SF	$3,800	SG	22.0	12.0	8.5	12%	-1%	56%	-13%	0.54	-0.08	0.52	-0.07	BKN
Devin Booker	PHO	111.8	$8,700	PG/SG	$7,600	SG	32.0	39.5	-1.0	31%	-3%	57%	6%	1.23	0.25	1.19	0.23	GSW
Pat Connaughton	MIL	111.0	$5,200	SG/SF	$5,500	SG/SF	29.1	23.7	1.3	14%	-1%	64%	-23%	0.81	-0.08	0.80	-0.04	BOS
RJ Barrett	NYK	108.5	$5,900	SF	$5,800	SF/SG	31.4	26.8		22%		51%		0.85		0.82		ATL
Romeo Langford	BOS	108.0	$3,600	SF	$3,900	SG	18.6	11.1	2.5	12%	-1%	51%	-8%	0.60	-0.02	0.60	0.03	MIL
Gary Payton	GSW	105.8	$4,300	PG/SG	$4,700	SG	15.0	15.2	5.5	15%	7%	71%	-9%	1.02	0.10	1.08	0.08	PHO
Bogdan Bogdanovic	ATL	103.0	$4,700	PG/SG	$6,000	SF/SG	27.9	21.8	-3.0	18%	8%	54%	-19%	0.78	0.02	0.76	0.04	NYK
Sterling Brown	DAL	100.8	$3,900	SG/SF	$4,400	SG	15.0	11.4	14.8	13%	1%	47%	1%	0.76	0.11	0.74	0.07	UTA

Small Forward (Projected Starters)

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
James Ennis	BKN	113.5	$4,200	SF	$3,700	SF	12.4	12.5	0.0	19%	0%	25%	0%	1.01	0.00	1.13	0.00	LAL
Bojan Bogdanovic	UTA	113.3	$5,100	SF/PF	$5,400	SF/PF	29.8	25.7	0.1	21%	0%	63%	1%	0.86	-0.02	0.81	-0.03	DAL
Talen Horton-Tucker	LAL	112.5	$5,400	SF	$5,000	SG/SF	29.5	23.6	5.0	19%	-2%	46%	-18%	0.80	-0.38	0.81	-0.40	BKN
Mikal Bridges	PHO	111.8	$5,100	SG/SF	$5,000	SF/PF	34.1	23.7	-3.8	13%	4%	61%	-12%	0.70	0.05	0.72	0.03	GSW
Jordan Nwora	MIL	111.0	$4,600	PF	$6,500	PF/SF	19.6	17.1	15.1	19%	1%	50%	3%	0.87	0.19	0.85	0.18	BOS
Evan Fournier	NYK	108.5	$5,500	SG/SF	$5,600	SF/SG	29.3	22.1	8.0	20%	4%	54%	1%	0.76	0.11	0.73	0.11	ATL
Jaylen Brown	BOS	108.0	$9,400	SG/SF	$7,800	SF/SG	32.9	36.3	1.0	28%	4%	58%	1%	1.10	0.18	1.07	0.14	MIL
Otto Porter	GSW	105.8	$3,900	SF/PF	$4,500	SF/PF	20.2	18.7	5.3	14%	-2%	60%	2%	0.93	0.15	0.94	0.24	PHO
Cam Reddish	ATL	103.0	$5,400	SG/SF	$5,300	SG/SF	23.2	20.0	4.5	22%	2%	56%	8%	0.86	0.09	0.85	0.07	NYK
Dorian Finney-Smith	DAL	100.8	$5,700	SF/PF	$6,200	SF/SG	32.8	23.2	7.0	14%	3%	57%	2%	0.71	0.07	0.72	0.05	UTA

Power Forward (Projected Starters)

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
Blake Griffin	BKN	113.5	$5,600	PF/C	$6,300	PF/C	22.1	18.6	3.9	15%	3%	46%	13%	0.84	0.23	0.86	0.21	LAL
Royce O’Neale	UTA	113.3	$3,900	PF	$4,800	SF/PF	30.8	22.1	-0.2	10%	0%	62%	-13%	0.72	0.00	0.74	-0.01	DAL
LeBron James	LAL	112.5	$10,800	PG/SF	$10,900	SF/PF	36.9	50.7	-1.0	29%	1%	61%	3%	1.37	0.16	1.34	0.18	BKN
Jae Crowder	PHO	111.8	$4,300	PF	$4,800	PF/SF	28.0	20.9	-2.2	15%	-2%	55%	15%	0.75	-0.05	0.75	-0.06	GSW
Khris Middleton	MIL	111.0	$8,300	SF	$8,100	SF/SG	30.8	34.9	-0.9	26%	4%	55%	9%	1.13	0.23	1.09	0.24	BOS
Julius Randle	NYK	108.5	$10,200	PF/C	$8,700	PF/C	35.5	42.3	1.1	27%	4%	52%	-4%	1.19	-0.10	1.14	-0.11	ATL
Jayson Tatum	BOS	108.0	$10,400	SF/PF	$9,500	SF/PF	36.6	46.1	1.8	31%	-5%	53%	-3%	1.26	-0.12	1.22	-0.09	MIL
Draymond Green	GSW	105.8	$7,300	PF/C	$7,600	PF/C	30.5	33.2	2.2	14%	3%	59%	-3%	1.09	0.09	1.10	0.06	PHO
John Collins	ATL	103.0	$7,800	PF/C	$8,500	PF/C	32.6	34.8	2.5	19%	3%	65%	3%	1.07	0.06	1.07	0.00	NYK
Kristaps Porzingis	DAL	100.8	$8,800	PF	$8,700	PF/C	29.9	37.5	1.1	28%	4%	55%	-8%	1.25	-0.15	1.26	-0.17	UTA

Center (Projected Starters)

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
Nic Claxton	BKN	113.5	$4,500	C	$5,900	C/PF	18.6	15.8	5.2	15%	0%	65%	13%	0.85	0.09	0.90	0.14	LAL
Rudy Gobert	UTA	113.3	$9,200	C	$9,200	C	32.0	42.5	3.5	17%	2%	73%	-7%	1.33	0.09	1.36	0.08	DAL
Dwight Howard	LAL	112.5	$4,800	C	$4,500	C	15.4	15.2	6.4	13%	-6%	67%	-14%	0.99	0.03	1.05	0.07	BKN
Deandre Ayton	PHO	111.8	$8,100	C	$8,100	C	30.7	37.0	-4.3	22%	3%	63%	1%	1.20	0.33	1.19	0.33	GSW
DeMarcus Cousins	MIL	111.0	$4,900	C	$6,000	C	16.9	20.3	7.8	21%	2%	54%	4%	1.20	0.18	1.22	0.19	BOS
Mitchell Robinson	NYK	108.5	$4,800	C	$5,700	C	24.2	22.0	1.2	10%	2%	76%	12%	0.91	0.15	0.98	0.16	ATL
Robert Williams	BOS	108.0	$5,800	C	$5,600	PF/C	28.0	27.1	5.4	12%	3%	74%	-4%	0.97	0.09	1.02	0.06	MIL
Kevon Looney	GSW	105.8	$3,900	C	$4,400	C/PF	18.7	17.7	1.2	13%	-1%	57%	8%	0.95	-0.06	0.99	-0.04	PHO
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	103.0	$3,300	PF/C	$3,800	C	22.2	24.1	0.0	16%	0%	77%	0%	1.09	0.00	1.18	0.00	NYK
Dwight Powell	DAL	100.8	$3,300	C	$4,500	C/PF	19.3	15.0	-0.2	12%	3%	66%	15%	0.78	0.11	0.80	0.07	UTA

Notable Bench Players

The +/- columns show the difference between season averages and the last four games.

Starter	Team	Total	DK	Pos	FD	Pos	MIN/G	FP/G	+/-	USG%	+/-	TS%	+/-	DK/M	+/-	FD/M	+/-	OPP
Paul Millsap	BKN	113.5	$3,000	PF/C	$3,600	PF/C	11.2	10.4		16%		43%		0.93		0.94		LAL
Jevon Carter	BKN	113.5	$3,100	PG	$3,600	PG/SG	11.7	7.2	-6.4	12%	11%	41%		0.61	0.80	0.62	0.80	LAL
Langston Galloway	BKN	113.5	$3,200	SG	$3,700	SG/SF	15.8	8.6	0.0	11%	0%	50%	0%	0.55	0.00	0.50	0.00	LAL
Jordan Clarkson	UTA	113.3	$5,300	PG/SG	$5,000	PG/SG	25.0	24.6	0.1	26%	-3%	50%	-1%	0.98	0.01	0.95	0.03	DAL
Joe Ingles	UTA	113.3	$3,800	SG/SF	$4,200	SG/SF	24.8	19.0	1.2	13%	3%	61%	-5%	0.77	0.14	0.73	0.15	DAL
Rudy Gay	UTA	113.3	$3,500	SF/PF	$4,000	PF/SF	19.1	17.6	0.2	19%	-3%	56%	-13%	0.92	-0.22	0.89	-0.20	DAL
Carmelo Anthony	LAL	112.5	$4,800	PF	$5,500	SF/PF	27.1	23.1	-3.4	19%	3%	57%	-9%	0.85	0.12	0.84	0.15	BKN
Isaiah Thomas	LAL	112.5	$3,800	PG/SG	$5,000	PG	25.2	15.1	0.0	19%	0%	42%	0%	0.60	0.00	0.57	0.00	BKN
Rajon Rondo	LAL	112.5	$3,600	PG	$3,900	PG	16.1	13.3	4.2	15%	-4%	38%	7%	0.82	-0.16	0.82	-0.18	BKN
Cameron Johnson	PHO	111.8	$5,000	SF/PF	$5,400	SF	24.3	20.8	0.1	16%	0%	60%	19%	0.85	0.35	0.84	0.33	GSW
Cameron Payne	PHO	111.8	$4,800	PG/SG	$5,700	PG/SG	19.9	21.1	2.2	26%	-3%	48%	0%	1.06	0.11	1.03	0.14	GSW
Landry Shamet	PHO	111.8	$3,800	SG/SF	$3,800	SG	20.8	14.7	2.4	16%	0%	53%	4%	0.71	-0.08	0.67	-0.08	GSW
George Hill	MIL	111.0	$3,700	PG	$3,900	PG	26.4	17.1	-0.6	12%	0%	56%	-1%	0.65	-0.04	0.64	-0.04	BOS
Wesley Matthews	MIL	111.0	$3,400	SF	$3,500	SG	15.8	10.2	3.6	12%	5%	61%	15%	0.64	0.32	0.65	0.31	BOS
Rodney Hood	MIL	111.0	$3,600	SG	$4,000	SG/SF	16.0	8.4	2.7	11%	2%	48%	-23%	0.53	-0.09	0.52	-0.10	BOS
Kemba Walker	NYK	108.5	$6,100	PG	$6,600	PG	26.7	26.7	13.4	23%	6%	57%	4%	1.00	0.28	0.97	0.24	ATL
Obi Toppin	NYK	108.5	$3,800	PF	$5,000	PF	15.8	16.2	-2.8	21%	-15%	60%	-7%	1.02	-0.47	1.04	-0.48	ATL
Damyean Dotson	NYK	108.5	$3,100	SG/SF	$3,600	SG	10.3	4.0	0.0	9%	0%	50%	0%	0.39	0.00	0.39	0.00	ATL
Dennis Schroder	BOS	108.0	$6,400	PG	$5,700	PG/SG	32.3	29.1	-10.5	24%	0%	53%	-29%	0.90	-0.34	0.87	-0.31	MIL
Aaron Nesmith	BOS	108.0	$3,100	SG/SF	$3,700	SG	10.9	6.5	7.4	16%	-1%	45%	3%	0.60	-0.09	0.57	-0.10	MIL
Payton Pritchard	BOS	108.0	$3,500	PG	$4,300	PG/SG	11.0	8.2	9.9	17%	-1%	47%	19%	0.74	0.14	0.69	0.17	MIL
Andre Iguodala	GSW	105.8	$4,000	SF	$3,900	SF/SG	20.2	17.7	3.9	11%	4%	50%	24%	0.88	0.32	0.93	0.32	PHO
Juan Toscano-Anderson	GSW	105.8	$3,900	PF	$3,900	SF/PF	16.5	13.6	3.2	15%	3%	56%	-9%	0.82	-0.01	0.84	-0.03	PHO
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	105.8	$3,400	PF	$3,900	SF	8.5	7.6	5.9	23%	3%	55%	10%	0.89	0.00	0.89	-0.05	PHO
Wes Iwundu	ATL	103.0	$3,100	SG	$3,700	SG	23.3	7.8	0.0	12%	0%	20%	0%	0.33	0.00	0.31	0.00	NYK
Gorgui Dieng	ATL	103.0	$3,600	C	$3,500	C	9.0	9.5	2.6	15%	2%	58%	6%	1.05	-0.05	1.06	-0.05	NYK
Lance Stephenson	ATL	103.0	$3,200	SG	$4,100	SF	16.8	10.6	0.0	12%	0%	19%	0%	0.63	0.00	0.62	0.00	NYK
Theo Pinson	DAL	100.8	$3,400	SG	$4,600	SG/SF	21.8	21.8	0.0	18%	0%	47%	0%	1.00	0.00	1.06	0.00	UTA
Marquese Chriss	DAL	100.8	$3,100	PF	$4,000	PF	14.7	19.9	0.0	26%	0%	56%	0%	1.35	0.00	1.40	0.00	UTA
Frank Ntilikina	DAL	100.8	$3,400	PG	$3,900	PG	13.9	10.3	10.0	17%	2%	46%	-10%	0.74	-0.15	0.74	-0.17	UTA

Legend

Term	Description
USG%	Percentage of possessions a player used while on the floor this season.
TS%	Shooting efficiency from this season.
DK/M	DraftKings fantasy points per minute from this season.
FD/M	FanDuel fantasy points per minute from this season.

Cover Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Notorious

Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious