NFL Playoffs 2020: Super Bowl 54 Odds Before the Divisional Round

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The 2020 NFL Playoffs started off with a bang as two Wild Card teams knocked out Tom Brady and Drew Brees. The NFL Divisional Round is just a few days away, leaving eight teams battling to advance to the NFC and AFC championships. Let’s take a look at each team and their Super Bowl 2020 odds at online sports betting sites as we head into Divisional Weekend.

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Also read Three Ways to Bet on the Super Bowl without Betting on the Super Bowl

NFL Playoffs 2020: Super Bowl 54 Odds

Here are the best Super Bowl 54 odds across legal US. sportsbooks. Be sure to use our promo codes to sign up for free bets at Golden Nugget Sportsbook, PointsBet, William Hill, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Team Odds Sportsbook
Ravens +200 DK
49ers +325 FD
Chiefs +450 PB
Packers +900 PB
Seahawks +1400 FD
Vikings +1400 DK
Texans +3500 WH
Titans +3500 WH

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Baltimore Ravens +200 (33%) – Last week we touched on the Ravens’ Super Bowl chances according to FiveThirtyEight (46%) ESPN FPI (36%), Football Outsiders (44%), Massey-Peabody Analytics (43%), and PFF (26%). With the Tom Brady and Drew Brees out, the Ravens chances increased slightly. You can bet on them +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which still holds value so long as you aren’t more bearish on the Ravens like PFF.

San Francisco 49ers +325 (23.5%) – Like the Ravens, the 49ers are heavy favorites in their Divisional Round matchup against the Vikings. Their path through the NFC got significantly easier with the early exit of Drew Brees and the Saints. It’s no cakewalk with either Aaron Rodgers or Russell Wilson traveling to San Francisco next week (assuming 49ers beat the Vikings, of course). San Francisco dominated Green Bay 37-8 earlier in the season, and though the Seahawks beat the 49ers in overtime in San Francisco two months go, the 49ers ended the season with a win in Seattle.

Kansas Chiefs +450 (18.2%) – The Kansas City Chiefs have been one of my favorite bets throughout the season. In Week 11, before their Mexico City matchup with the Chargers, I asked if it was time to buy low on Chiefs futures. At the time, Kansas City was +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Looking back on it now, that number is a steal. For those arriving late to the Kansas City party, I wrote about several ways to boost Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds last week in Three Ways to Bet on Super Bowl 2020 without Betting on the Super Bowl. The first way was to bet on playoff specials like Patrick Mahomes +550 to have the most passing yards in the 2020 NFL Playoffs. That bet is looking a lot sweeter now that the favorite, Drew Brees, is out of the picture. Those markets are now off the betting board at legal US sportsbooks the another option I looked at — Super Bowl MVP odds — are still available. MVP odds are for Tyreek Hill and Damien Williams have both lost a lot of value. Mahomes is down to +500 from +650, while Kelce is down to +4400. The Chiefs are no longer +1200, but this is the team I’d be betting on if I didn’t bet them already.

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Green Bay Packers +900 (10%) – The Packers are fresh off a bye week after ending the season 13-3 in head coach Matt LafLeur’s first season with the team. But as a Packers fan myself, I don’t feel like the Packers are as good as their record says. They’ve struggled offensively, nearly just as much as they did with McCarthy. Missing routine passes, it’s Rodgers isn’t the same player he was a few years ago. And it doesn’t help that the Rodgers doesn’t have a big-play receiver beyond Davante Adams. While Rodgers is no longer the best quarterback in the NFC, I do like the Packers to beat the Seahawks. Unfortunately, I don’t see them getting past the 49ers, and even the Vikings would be a tough test for them with Dalvin Cook back. Stay away from this one.

Seattle Seahawks +1400 (6.7%) – This sounds like a great price to back two former Super Bowl winners, Russell Wilson and Pete Carrol. It’s less enticing when you dive into the numbers. The Seahawks have been historically lucky this season, winning 11 games while outscoring their opponents by only seven points. Their luck continued against the Philadelphia Eagles. If Carson Wentz had stayed in them, do we really think Seattle would have walked out of Philadelphia with a win? This is the worst remain team in the NFL playoffs. I have zero interest in backing them.

Minnesota Vikings +1400 (6.37%) – As we discussed last week, using a rollover betting strategy is typically a better way to bet on futures. Unfortunately, it’s a little more difficult to do with as large as moneyline favorites as the Ravens and 49ers are. However, rollover strategy still might pay off for a team with odds like the Vikings.

To estimate how rolling over the Vikings will play out we can use our NFL odds comparison tool to find the best NFL Divisional Round betting lines. The Vikings are +280 in San Francisco at FanDuel Sportsbook. This is how expect things to go from there if the Vikings were to upset another NFC favorite.

Divisional Round: Vikings +280 at San Francisco, $100 bet pays out $280 ($380 rollover bankroll)

NFC Championship: Vikings +180 (roughly 3-point underdogs) at Green Bay, $380 bet pays out $680 ($1064 rollover bankroll)
Super Bowl: Vikings +280 (conservative guess) vs. Ravens/Chiefs, $1064 bet pays out $2,980, ending our bankroll at just over $4000.

If I’m right, rolling over potential Vikings moneylines could give us nearly +4000 odds compared to their current futures price of +1400. We could even guarantee a profit by risking less than our hypothetical ~$1000 bankroll and still likely end up with more cash than we would have by risking $100 at +1400 to win the Super Bowl. Rolling over also gives us options in the Super Bowl to bail on the Vikings or take spread.

Houston Texans +3500 (2.8%)- The Texans beat the Chiefs earlier in the season, but I don’t see them getting past both Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson in the playoffs. This isn’t a good enough price to add to Houston to my Super Bowl betting card.

Tennessee Titans +3500 (2.8%) – The Titans interest me more than the Texans. They not only have the league’s rushing leader, but quarterback Ryan Tannehill also has the league’s best passer rating. Like the Texans, the Titans also beat the Chiefs in the regular season. If they can get past the Ravens, I think they’ll give the Chiefs more of a run for their money than Houston.

For more general betting tips, read our NFL betting guide.

Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images

About the Author

schmitto
Matt Schmitto (schmitto)

Matt Schmitto is an Organic Strategy Lead for Better Collective. He was introduced to daily fantasy sports in 2012 and soon became a member at RotoGrinders. Seven years later, Schmitto joined RotoGrinders Network full time as a staff writer shortly after the Supreme Court overturned PASPA. He has since covered important stories in the sports betting and fantasy sports industries for sites like SportsHandle and USBets and has had roles as a sports betting editor and commercial content manager. He continues to play DFS and loves placing Futures bets at sportsbooks. His favorite DFS sites are DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, and PrizePicks. Follow Schmitto on Twitter – @Matt_Schmitto