Fanball NFL Auction Breakdown: Week 9 – Thursday, November 1st
Hey everyone, welcome to the Fanball NFL Auction breakdown. If you haven’t played on this site before, it’s a product unlike anything you’ve ever seen before in DFS. They will be offering an Auction-style format drafting with four players on the board at all times, meaning you have to be on your toes and be aware of what is going on, because split-second mistakes can be costly.
Each team must draft 1 QB, 2 WR, 2 RB, and 1 TE. No player can be left on the board at the end of the draft, so if you are the last player not to draft a TE, then when the last TE goes on the board you will autodraft them for $1.
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There are four players up for auction at all times, so you need to be able to adlib on the fly if someone goes drastically over or under what you are projecting to pay for them. You can find the full scoring system for Fanball NFL here.
Be sure to check out Kevin Cole’s overall look at his projected values before my breakdown below.
Thursday, November 1st
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes – $14
Aaron Rodgers – $11
Deshaun Watson – $9
Philip Rivers – $7
Matthew Stafford – $7
Sam Darnold – $1
The strategy at QB today is pretty darn simple. Don’t get stuck with Sam Darnold. There are three QBs at the top of the pool that offer you a nice little advantage over the rest of the field in today’s player pool. Mahomes, Rodgers, and Watson are all quite a bit better than the rest of the field, but they are a full 8-10 points better than Darnold. My plan is to bid on every single QB, not named Darnold, as they come on the board and my guess is that I should be able to get one of them for around $3-$5.
Running Back
Alvin Kamara – $25
James White – $19
Latavius Murray – $15
Kenyan Drake – $12
Lamar Miller – $12
Phillip Lindsay – $12
Isaiah Crowell – $10
Aaron Jones – $10
LeSean McCoy – $10
Duke Johnson – $3
Jamaal Williams – $2
LeGarrette Blount – $1
Kamara – Kamara is clearly the top option on the board in this draft and will likely end up going for around $30 in most of your drafts. My plan is just to completely avoid him altogether. There are players at every single position which can completely ruin your lineup and if you end up paying a lot for Kamara then it’s fairly likely you end up getting stuck with one of them at the end of the draft. The only situation where you should pay $30+ for Kamara is if you already have all other positions filled and you have the money for it at the end of the draft.
White, Murray, Drake, Miller, Lindsay, Crowell, Jones, McCoy – All these RBs grade out as a decent degree worse than Kamara, but this is where you probably want to end up with your RBs in this player pool. The likely situation that you are going to run into today is that people will likely entirely forgo bidding on some of these RBs and a few of these will go for less than $5 early on in the draft. My plan is to bid on them as they come on the board and likely snag up two of them for near nothing.
Johnson, Williams, Blount – I am going out of my way to make sure none of these RBs end up in any of my lineups today and you should put added emphasis on Blount. Blount could end up with a TD or two this weekend, but considering that this site is a full PPR format, the likelier situation is that he completely destroys your lineup and ends up with two to four points.
Wide Receiver
Adam Thielen – $22
DeAndre Hopkins – $19
Davante Adams – $18
Robert Woods – $13
Keenan Allen – $13
Emmanuel Sanders – $13
Kenny Golladay – $12
Marvin Jones – $12
Julian Edelman – $12
Tyrell Williams – $4
Courtland Sutton – $4
Demaryius Thomas – $1
Thielen, Hopkins, Adams – The top tier of WR is absolutely stacked today in comparison to RB. Although the drop off from the top WR to the bottom one isn’t nearly as drastic as it is at RB, you likely don’t want to get stuck with any of the bottom tier WRs. My plan is to spend the majority of my money on one of these top WRs and then go with the mid-tier with my second one.
Sanders, Golladay, Jones, Edelman, Allen, Woods – Each of these WRs hold a similar floor to the top tier guys with a slightly lower ceiling and this is where I’m expecting to get my WR2. With the move of both Golden Tate and Thomas, these DET and DEN WRs are expected to get an increased workload and in this full point PPR format, they are likely to be a value if you get them at the prices listed above. My suggestion, bid on them as they come on the board and hope you get them for single digits.
Williams, Sutton, Thomas – While I’m grouping all these guys in the same tier, Thomas has a much more likely scenario to kill your lineup than either Williams or Sutton. Thomas will have less than one full week of practice and will likely not be in on all the snaps this weekend. Thomas isn’t the same WR as Fuller was and they will likely have to change up the offense without Fuller in there. If you have a chance early on in the draft it could be worth it to try and get Williams or Sutton for $1 early on in the draft if you are planning on getting Kamara in the draft.
Tight End
Rob Gronkowski – $14
Kyle Rudolph – $9
Benjamin Watson – $7
Michael Roberts – $2
Jordan Thomas – $2
Vernon Davis – $1
Gronk – There are three very distinct tiers in today’s pool at TE and Gronk leads it. Although he hasn’t performed well this year, none of the other TEs are anywhere close to his level. With how bad he’s been this year, it’s very likely you can get up in the single digits either early on or at the end of the draft.
Rudolph and Watson – Both of these players aren’t fantastic TEs, but they are a huge improvement over the next group. When you run into this type of scenario, it is very likely that people won’t bid much on bad players. You should plan on trying to get one of these two TEs as they will likely end up going for $1-$3 in most drafts.
Roberts, Thomas, Davis – Your plan should be not to get stuck with any of these players in any of your drafts. Although there are landmines in each of the other tiers, this is one of the tiers where it’s fairly easy not to get stuck with one.
The Stack Spots
As we all know, in football DFS, pairing your QB with a WR or TE can have a drastic effect on your upside in any given competition and auction-style like this is no different. As you can clearly see from the player pool, each QB has WRs and/or TEs which you can pair with them to raise your upside. Below is my favorite stacking spot.
Stafford with Golladay & Jones – This is the clear spot where you can get the majority of a QBs productivity as the majority of Stafford’s yards should be focused on these two WRs with Golden Tate being traded. In all likelihood, you should be able to get all three of these players for under $30, which leaves you enough to fill out the rest of your team.
Remember guys, keep an eye out for what’s happening in your draft and if guys are going for way less than they are projected for here, you should know that some of these prices may be too low. Likewise, if guys are going for higher than the above price early on you can get a lot of these guys at a huge discount.