MLB First Look: Thursday, September 27th
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | CC Sabathia – L | at | Tampa Bay Rays | Jaime Schultz – R | NYY-136 | 8.5 | Tropicana Field | 1:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Jake Arrieta – R | at | Colorado Rockies | Antonio Senzatela – R | COL-170 | 11.0 | Coors Field | 3:10 PM |
| Houston Astros | Gerrit Cole – R | at | Baltimore Orioles | David Hess – R | HOU-210 | 8.5 | Camden Yards | 7:05 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | Julio Teheran – R | at | New York Mets | Jason Vargas – L | ATL-105 | 8.0 | Citi Field | 7:10 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Trevor Williams – R | at | Chicago Cubs | Jon Lester – L | CHC-155 | 9.5 | Wrigley Field | 8:05 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | Francisco Liriano – L | at | Minnesota Twins | Gabriel Moya – L | MIN-130 | 9.5 | Target Field | 8:10 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | Josh Tomlin – R | at | Kansas City Royals | Glenn Sparkman – R | CLE-145 | 9.5 | Kauffman Stadium | 8:15 PM |
| Texas Rangers | Ariel Jurado – R | at | Seattle Mariners | Marco Gonzales – L | SEA-171 | 9.0 | Safeco Field | 10:10 PM |
Ballpark Ratings
Implied Run Totals
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | FBv | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | HOU | at BAL | 23.4% | -210 | $11,400 | $12,800 | $24,700 | 2.87 | 2.92 | 35.1% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 36.1% | 31.8% | 96.5 | 7:05 PM |
| Jon Lester | CHC | PIT | 21.5% | -155 | $9,300 | $9,800 | $18,500 | 4.51 | 3.43 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 37.1% | 32.3% | 91.0 | 8:05 PM |
| Trevor Williams | PIT | at CHC | 21.5% | 155 | $9,600 | $9,300 | $17,900 | 4.66 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 40.2% | 29.3% | 90.4 | 8:05 PM |
| Marco Gonzales | SEA | TEX | 22.9% | -171 | $6,300 | $8,800 | $17,000 | 3.83 | 4.12 | 20.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 45.1% | 34.6% | 90.1 | 10:10 PM |
| Julio Teheran | ATL | at NYM | 21.8% | -105 | $8,000 | $8,500 | $16,100 | 4.67 | 4.03 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 38.6% | 36.8% | 89.8 | 7:10 PM |
| CC Sabathia | NYY | at TB | 23.7% | -136 | $7,700 | $7,600 | N/A | 4.28 | 3.77 | 20.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 44.4% | 29.2% | 90.4 | 1:10 PM |
| Jake Arrieta | PHI | at COL | 23.6% | 170 | $7,000 | $7,100 | N/A | 4.25 | 3.94 | 19.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 51.8% | 27.5% | 93.0 | 3:10 PM |
| Francisco Liriano | DET | at MIN | 22.3% | 130 | $7,200 | $6,300 | $12,900 | 5.07 | 4.40 | 18.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 48.8% | 33.7% | 92.0 | 8:10 PM |
| Antonio Senzatela | COL | PHI | 24.8% | -170 | $6,600 | $6,000 | N/A | 4.43 | 4.52 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 47.4% | 36.3% | 93.7 | 3:10 PM |
| David Hess | BAL | HOU | 19.2% | 210 | $6,300 | $5,800 | $11,400 | 5.07 | 5.14 | 16.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 34.0% | 32.0% | 92.0 | 7:05 PM |
| Josh Tomlin | CLE | at KC | 20.8% | -145 | $5,600 | $5,600 | $10,900 | 4.91 | 6.44 | 13.6% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 31.3% | 39.4% | 87.8 | 8:15 PM |
| Jason Vargas | NYM | ATL | 19.9% | 105 | $7,400 | $5,400 | $11,100 | 4.39 | 6.25 | 20.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 39.9% | 34.5% | 86.5 | 7:10 PM |
| Glenn Sparkman | KC | CLE | 18.9% | 145 | $5,500 | $4,900 | $9,100 | 4.67 | 4.86 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 48.2% | 35.7% | 94.0 | 8:15 PM |
| Ariel Jurado | TEX | at SEA | 20.0% | 171 | $5,800 | $4,800 | $9,100 | 5.45 | 6.66 | 8.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 50.3% | 44.6% | 91.8 | 10:10 PM |
| Gabriel Moya | MIN | DET | 20.4% | -130 | $5,500 | $4,000 | $8,000 | 4.28 | 4.72 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 37.7% | 34.0% | 89.7 | 8:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 and 2018 seasons.
Offenses
| Offense | Run Total | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | L/R | Team wOBA | Team ISO | Team K% | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 6.07 | 4.75 | 1.32 | Jake Arrieta | 0.352 | 0.304 | RIGHT | 0.310 | 0.163 | 23.6% | 3:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | 5.20 | 4.73 | 0.46 | Trevor Williams | 0.326 | 0.319 | RIGHT | 0.323 | 0.159 | 21.5% | 8:05 PM |
| Houston Astros | 5.14 | 4.94 | 0.20 | David Hess | 0.361 | 0.347 | RIGHT | 0.320 | 0.164 | 19.2% | 7:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | 5.12 | 4.99 | 0.13 | Glenn Sparkman | 0.340 | 0.304 | RIGHT | 0.331 | 0.186 | 18.9% | 8:15 PM |
| Seattle Mariners | 5.08 | 4.10 | 0.98 | Ariel Jurado | 0.417 | 0.393 | RIGHT | 0.314 | 0.161 | 20.0% | 10:10 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | 5.00 | 4.39 | 0.61 | Francisco Liriano | 0.309 | 0.377 | LEFT | 0.297 | 0.123 | 22.3% | 8:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.93 | 4.30 | 0.63 | Antonio Senzatela | 0.319 | 0.340 | RIGHT | 0.312 | 0.170 | 24.8% | 3:10 PM |
| New York Yankees | 4.55 | 5.13 | -0.58 | Jaime Schultz | 0.191 | 0.398 | RIGHT | 0.331 | 0.193 | 22.4% | 1:10 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 4.50 | 3.92 | 0.58 | Gabriel Moya | 0.256 | 0.334 | LEFT | 0.313 | 0.144 | 20.4% | 8:10 PM |
| Kansas City Royals | 4.38 | 3.86 | 0.52 | Josh Tomlin | 0.443 | 0.364 | RIGHT | 0.308 | 0.156 | 20.8% | 8:15 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.30 | 4.33 | -0.03 | Jon Lester | 0.380 | 0.351 | LEFT | 0.310 | 0.156 | 21.5% | 8:05 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 4.05 | 4.76 | -0.71 | Jason Vargas | 0.359 | 0.336 | LEFT | 0.337 | 0.178 | 19.9% | 7:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 3.95 | 4.32 | -0.37 | CC Sabathia | 0.272 | 0.311 | LEFT | 0.324 | 0.150 | 23.7% | 1:10 PM |
| New York Mets | 3.95 | 4.28 | -0.33 | Julio Teheran | 0.366 | 0.308 | RIGHT | 0.313 | 0.167 | 21.8% | 7:10 PM |
| Texas Rangers | 3.92 | 4.73 | -0.80 | Marco Gonzales | 0.354 | 0.319 | LEFT | 0.311 | 0.157 | 22.9% | 10:10 PM |
| Baltimore Orioles | 3.36 | 3.86 | -0.50 | Gerrit Cole | 0.245 | 0.321 | RIGHT | 0.305 | 0.163 | 23.4% | 7:05 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2018 season.