MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 31st - Page Three
San Francisco at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| San Francisco | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
 | Jake Peavy |  | Brett Anderson | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-137) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.755 | 0.329 | 0.18 | SP vs. Left | 0.282 | 0.674 | 0.301 | 0.16 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0.72 | 0.317 | 0.184 | SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0.715 | 0.311 | 0.163 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jake Peavy : FD: $7,200 — DK: $6,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 271.0 — SIERA: 4.19 — ERA: 3.85 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 4.21 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 0.5
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Peavy has been in good form recently, but he draws one of the worst pitching matchups on the board. The Dodgers are ranked fifth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. They also average the fifth-most pitches per plate appearance. With so many other great pitching options on the board, Peavy is not on my radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 50.2
Brett Anderson : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 190.2 — SIERA: 3.46 — ERA: 3.26 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.2 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.93 — K%: 13.1% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 1.2
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Anderson’s strikeout rate continues to plummet. Over the last month of play, Anderson has a 13.1% strikeout rate. Add in a matchup against the Giants, who have the sixth-lowest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season, and we have ourselves an easy avoid.
Pitcher Rating: 70.8
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
Even though I won’t be targeting Brett Anderson against the Giants, I am not going to heavily target this offense either. Since the start of the 2014 season, Anderson has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 287 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 96
LA Dodgers
The Dodgers draw a decent matchup tonight against Jake Peavy, who has given up a .317+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Adrian Gonzalez deserves consideration as an elite play at his extremely discounted price point.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 869 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.238 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 88
Secondary Plays:
Jimmy Rollins : FD: $2,700 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 824 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 81
Texas at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| Texas | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Colby Lewis |  | Tyson Ross | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-134) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.291 | 0.807 | 0.349 | 0.149 | SP vs. Left | 0.243 | 0.682 | 0.308 | 0.24 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.761 | 0.33 | 0.204 | SP vs. Right | 0.228 | 0.617 | 0.277 | 0.251 |
| Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Colby Lewis : FD: $6,900 — DK: $7,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 334.2 — SIERA: 4.27 — ERA: 4.79 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 4.86 — ERA: 4.03 — K%: 13.2% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 1.9
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.368 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Lewis is always an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. Over the last month of play, Lewis has a 4.86 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 13.2%. Even though he draws a favorable matchup against the Padres in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park, he is not a recommended fantasy option tonight. Kyle Hendricks and Bartolo Colon are both better options at this price point.
Pitcher Rating: 48.5
Tyson Ross : FD: $8,900 — DK: $9,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 353.2 — SIERA: 3.28 — ERA: 3.08 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.36 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 10.1% — HR/9: 0.5
Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Ross has always pitched well at home and he comes into tonight’s start in good form, posting a 3.36 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.0% over the last month of play. Ross does walk a lot of batters, but his high strikeout rate more than makes up for it. With all of the aces on the mound tonight, he should get overlooked, which makes him a great tournament play at home against the Rangers.
Pitcher Rating: 83.4
Batter Grind Down
Texas
The Rangers hit right-handed pitching well as a team, but they draw a tough matchup against Tyson Ross in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Prince Fielder is cheap and makes a decent punt option at first base. The rest of the Rangers are secondary options at best.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 437 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 70
San Diego
The Padres may be playing at home in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, but they do draw a nice matchup against Colby Lewis, who has given up a .330+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Justin Upton and Matt Kemp are both nice tournament plays.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Justin Upton : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 902 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.253 — wRC+: 148
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,900 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 854 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 121