NFL DFS First Look: Divisional Round - Odds and Matchup Preview

Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Created 2 weeks ago, Last Updated 1 week ago

The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, adjusted sack rates, and adjusted line yards.

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NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Line Total Road Total Home Total Date Time (ET)
Los Angeles Rams Green Bay Packers GBP -6.5 45.5 19.5 26.0 Saturday 4:35 pm
Baltimore Ravens Buffalo Bills BUF -2.5 50.0 23.8 26.3 Saturday 8:15 pm
Cleveland Browns Kansas City Chiefs KCC -10.0 57.0 23.5 33.5 Sunday 3:05 pm
Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints NOS -3.0 51.5 24.3 27.3 Sunday 6:40 pm

Implied Team Totals, DVOA Rankings, and DVP Matchups

Offense Line Total Opp. DVOA vs. PASS vs. RUN DvP – QB DvP – RB DvP – WR DvP – TE
Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 33.5 CLE 25 25 19 26 4 24 28
New Orleans Saints -3.0 27.3 TBB 5 5 1 18 7 23 23
Buffalo Bills -2.5 26.3 BAL 9 10 12 4 13 7 15
Green Bay Packers -6.5 26.0 LAR 4 4 3 1 4 1 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.0 24.3 NOS 2 3 2 8 1 16 18
Baltimore Ravens 2.5 23.8 BUF 12 12 17 15 20 5 28
Cleveland Browns 10.0 23.5 KCC 22 16 31 25 25 2 26
Los Angeles Rams 6.5 19.5 GBP 17 15 18 3 28 3 3

Adjusted Sack Rates

Defensive Line ASR Opp. O-Line ASR Sack Potential
Kansas City Chiefs 18 Cleveland Browns 16 7
New Orleans Saints 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 3
Buffalo Bills 14 Baltimore Ravens 23 4
Green Bay Packers 10 Los Angeles Rams 2 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6 New Orleans Saints 13 2
Baltimore Ravens 13 Buffalo Bills 5 5
Cleveland Browns 19 Kansas City Chiefs 4 8
Los Angeles Rams 2 Green Bay Packers 6 1

Adjusted Line Yards

Offensive Line ALY Opp. D-Line ALY Run Potential
Kansas City Chiefs 14 Cleveland Browns 24 6
New Orleans Saints 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 4
Buffalo Bills 15 Baltimore Ravens 10 8
Green Bay Packers 5 Los Angeles Rams 15 2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 New Orleans Saints 4 6
Baltimore Ravens 8 Buffalo Bills 19 4
Cleveland Browns 6 Kansas City Chiefs 25 1
Los Angeles Rams 7 Green Bay Packers 23 2

Pace of Play

Team Sec/Play Sit. Neut. Opponent Sec/Play Sit. Neut. Game Avg. Game Rank
Kansas City Chiefs 13 7 CLE 27 21 17.0 1
New Orleans Saints 29 28 TBB 9 4 17.5 3
Buffalo Bills 28 11 BAL 31 30 25.0 7
Green Bay Packers 32 32 LAR 16 12 23.0 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 4 NOS 29 28 17.5 3
Baltimore Ravens 31 30 BUF 28 11 25.0 7
Cleveland Browns 27 21 KCC 13 7 17.0 1
Los Angeles Rams 16 12 GBP 32 32 23.0 5

Quarterbacks

Player Team Line Total DK Sal FD Sal YH Sal Pass Y/G Rush Y/G FPPG Opponent DVOA DVP
Patrick Mahomes KCC -10.0 33.5 $8,000 $9,200 $42 316.0 20.5 25.2 CLE 25 26
Lamar Jackson BAL 2.5 23.8 $7,600 $8,000 $33 183.8 67.0 23.2 BUF 12 15
Josh Allen BUF -2.5 26.3 $7,400 $8,800 $39 284.0 26.3 25.6 BAL 10 4
Aaron Rodgers GBP -6.5 26.0 $6,900 $8,400 $33 268.7 9.3 24.5 LAR 4 1
Tom Brady TBB 3.0 24.3 $6,300 $7,700 $28 289.6 0.4 22.0 NOS 3 8
Drew Brees NOS -3.0 27.3 $5,600 $7,300 $27 245.2 -0.2 18.3 TBB 5 18
Baker Mayfield CLE 10.0 23.5 $5,300 $7,400 $26 222.7 10.3 16.3 KCC 16 25
Jared Goff LAR 6.5 19.5 $5,200 $6,700 $20 263.5 6.6 17.3 GBP 15 3

Running Backs

Player Team Line Total DK Sal FD Sal YH Sal Car/G Tar/G RZ/G FPPG Opp. DVOA DVP
Alvin Kamara NOS -3.0 27.3 $7,900 $9,000 $37 12.5 7.1 3.7 25.2 TBB 1 7
Aaron Jones GBP -6.5 26.0 $6,800 $7,800 $29 14.4 4.5 3.4 18.5 LAR 3 4
Nick Chubb CLE 10.0 23.5 $6,600 $8,200 $36 15.8 1.5 3.1 17.5 KCC 31 25
J.K. Dobbins BAL 2.5 23.8 $6,000 $6,500 $21 8.9 1.6 1.8 11.0 BUF 17 20
Cam Akers LAR 6.5 19.5 $5,700 $7,000 $29 11.2 1.1 2.5 8.0 GBP 18 28
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KCC -10.0 33.5 $5,500 $6,100 $19 13.9 4.2 2.6 13.5 CLE 19 4
Ronald Jones TBB 3.0 24.3 $5,200 $6,300 $17 13.7 3.0 2.4 13.6 NOS 2 1
Le’Veon Bell KCC -10.0 33.5 $5,100 $6,000 $18 7.5 1.8 1.5 6.8 CLE 19 4
Leonard Fournette TBB 3.0 24.3 $4,900 $6,300 $17 7.5 3.6 2.1 10.2 NOS 2 1
Kareem Hunt CLE 10.0 23.5 $4,800 $6,200 $26 12.4 3.2 3.1 13.7 KCC 31 25
Devin Singletary BUF -2.5 26.3 $4,500 $5,700 $17 9.8 3.1 1.7 9.1 BAL 12 13
Latavius Murray NOS -3.0 27.3 $4,300 $5,300 $15 9.7 1.7 1.9 9.1 TBB 1 7
Gus Edwards BAL 2.5 23.8 $4,200 $5,300 $17 9.0 0.8 1.6 8.1 BUF 17 20

Wide Receivers

Player Team Line Total DK Sal FD Sal YH Sal Tar/G RZ/G FPPG Opponent DVP
Davante Adams GBP -6.5 26.0 $8,600 $9,000 $35 10.6 2.0 25.7 LAR 1
Tyreek Hill KCC -10.0 33.5 $8,000 $8,800 $37 9.0 1.3 21.9 CLE 24
Stefon Diggs BUF -2.5 26.3 $7,300 $8,600 $31 10.4 1.0 20.5 BAL 7
Michael Thomas NOS -3.0 27.3 $6,700 $7,200 $33 7.9 1.4 12.0 TBB 23
Mike Evans TBB 3.0 24.3 $6,400 $7,100 $27 6.8 1.1 15.5 NOS 16
Chris Godwin TBB 3.0 24.3 $6,100 $7,500 $30 7.0 0.8 15.9 NOS 16
Robert Woods LAR 6.5 19.5 $5,900 $6,600 $20 8.1 0.9 15.4 GBP 3
Jarvis Landry CLE 10.0 23.5 $5,600 $6,900 $21 6.7 1.1 12.1 KCC 2
Antonio Brown TBB 3.0 24.3 $5,400 $6,400 $22 7.8 0.6 14.6 NOS 16
Cooper Kupp LAR 6.5 19.5 $5,300 $6,100 $19 8.3 0.8 14.0 GBP 3
Marquise Brown BAL 2.5 23.8 $5,200 $6,500 $20 6.3 0.6 11.4 BUF 5
Cole Beasley BUF -2.5 26.3 $4,900 $5,900 $15 7.1 0.6 13.5 BAL 7
Sammy Watkins KCC -10.0 33.5 $4,800 $5,400 $17 5.5 0.9 9.1 CLE 24
John Brown BUF -2.5 26.3 $4,600 $5,500 $12 5.8 0.8 10.8 BAL 7
Emmanuel Sanders NOS -3.0 27.3 $4,500 $5,700 $17 5.9 0.9 11.7 TBB 23
Rashard Higgins CLE 10.0 23.5 $4,100 $5,300 $11 4.0 0.6 9.3 KCC 2
Allen Lazard GBP -6.5 26.0 $3,900 $5,300 $11 4.6 0.6 9.8 LAR 1

Tight Ends

Player Team Line Total DK Sal FD Sal YH Sal Tar/G RZ/G FPPG Opponent DVP
Travis Kelce KCC -10.0 33.5 $7,800 $8,500 $34 9.7 1.3 20.8 CLE 28
Mark Andrews BAL 2.5 23.8 $5,000 $6,600 $24 6.3 1.2 12.2 BUF 28
Robert Tonyan GBP -6.5 26.0 $4,200 $6,200 $16 3.7 0.7 11.0 LAR 10
Jared Cook NOS -3.0 27.3 $4,000 $5,600 $16 4.0 0.8 8.6 TBB 23
Austin Hooper CLE 10.0 23.5 $3,800 $5,500 $15 5.4 0.8 8.7 KCC 26
Rob Gronkowski TBB 3.0 24.3 $3,600 $5,600 $17 4.8 0.9 9.3 NOS 18
Tyler Higbee LAR 6.5 19.5 $3,000 $5,200 $10 4.0 0.4 8.4 GBP 3

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

Comments

  • nnow0819

    Packers players?

  • gatillin

    KC players ?

  • Notorious

    Lead RG Analyst

    • 234

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    • 2013 FanDuel WFBBC Finalist

    Sorry about that, my sheet was pulling players from last week’s lineups page. Should be good to go now!

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