DFS Alerts

Huascar Ynoa

Los Angeles Angels
4/11/22, 1:54 PM ET

Strikeout Upside Facing Offense with 30 wRC+ Through Four Games

If you’re looking for an arm off the middle of the board tonight, Huascar Ynoa (3-4.2 IP this spring) may be your man. He produced and impressive 20.2 K-BB% last season, but some issues in his contact profile (90.7 mph EV, 9.1% Barrels/BBE, 18.4 HR/FB) resulted in a 4.05 ERA and 4.30 xERA much higher than his contact neutral estimators. The Nationals produced a board low 30 wRC+ in their four game series against the Mets this weekend. Ynoa costs $8.6K on either site and does not project to be all that popular currently.

Luis Patino (2-1.2) was shelled for two home runs and four runs very quickly in his second and last spring outing. He’s one of those guys with great stuff, who hasn’t been able to successfully develop a platoon busting third pitch yet. LHBs have a .340 career xwOBA against him, while he’s suffered from control (10.3%) and contact (89.4 mph EV) issues at the major league level with just a 22.7 K%. The Tampa Bay defense should benefit him as should the fact that he resides in a pitcher friendly park. There’s not much to fear in this Oakland lineup (70 wRC+ this year), but we probably should have some workload concerns with Patino here.

Nick Martinez (3-4-5) last threw a major league pitch in 2017 and with 415.1 innings of a 4.9 K-BB%, there probably weren’t many who thought we’d ever see him in a major league rotation again. He’s been a bit more productive in Japan since then, though ZIPs is the only projection system that sees him registering an ERA below four with a 15.3 K-BB%. Should he be able to accomplish anything close to that, it’ll be a quality signing for the Padres, and could be a decent value tonight for less than $6K. He currently projects to single digit ownership on either site.

Alek Manoah

Los Angeles Angels
4/11/22, 1:46 PM ET

2022 Breakout Candidate & 2021 Bounce Back Are Top Monday Arms

Tonight’s seven game slate starts a bit earlier, at 6:40 ET, and features just one pitcher to reach the $10K price point on either site. That’s Alek Manoah, who costs $10.2K on DraftKings and $9.8K on FanDuel. Manoah (2-3.1-4-4.2 IP this spring) is a 2022 breakout candidate, though you could argue that it’s already happened with a 111.2 innings of a 19.0 K-BB% in his rookie campaign. While his 3.22 ERA was about half a run below most of his estimators, his contact profile (86.8 mph EV, 5.8% Barrels/BBE) produced a 3.37 xERA. Despite it’s reputation as band box, Yankee Stadium actually plays fairly neutrally and even slightly negatively via Statcast Park Factors in terms of run environment. Manoah is not projected to be highly owned with other pitchers owning comparable projections in terms of fantasy points (PlateIQ). Perhaps that serves as the attraction here.

Additional pitchers crossing the $9K barrier on either site are Alex Wood, who is the only pitcher to do so on both sites at $9.2K, Ranger Suarez ($9.6K on FD) and Chris Flexen ($9.6K on DK). Alex Wood (2-3.2-4.1-3.1) had a career resurgence in his first year in San Francisco (though he was lit up in his last spring start) with a 19.3 K-BB%, allowing just 5.3% Barrels/BBE with just 50.8% of his contact on the ground. While Wood did suffer a bit of a mid-season slump, he finished it off with just eight runs over his last 30 innings. A 3.83 ERA was within half a run of all his estimators and below only one (3.87 xERA). The Padres have started the season with a team 123 wRC+ against a weak Arizona staff. This is not a terrible spot for him with only four batters in the projected San Diego lineup above a .320 wOBA vs LHP last year. Wood certainly has the potential to be tonight’s top pitcher and even projects as such, but also projects to be the most popular arm on the slate currently.

To say that Suarez (2-3.2) had success in transitioning to the rotation would be a vast under-statement. He flat out dominated with a 1.36 ERA, 2.72 FIP, 25 K%, and 56.7 GB%, allowing just three barrels in 11 starts. Today’s concerns would be about his workload, the Philadelphia defense and the addition of key RH bats to the Mets’ lineup. He’s projected for much lower ownership on FanDuel, where he’s the second most expensive pitcher, but costs just $8.9K on DraftKings. Flexen (3-4-5-4) got about as much as he could out of a 16.9 K% (8.6 SwStr%) last year, due mostly to a 5.4 BB% and allowing just 6.3% Barrels/BBE. Still, his 3.61 ERA was far lower than both his contact including (4.27 xERA) and omitting (4.70 SIERA) estimators. Flexen had a 71 point reverse split last year (RHBs .339 wOBA) that was confirmed by his Statcast profile. His high DK cost is perplexing, as he costs $2.6K less on FD.

Dakota Hudson

Los Angeles Angels
4/11/22, 12:35 PM ET

Pirates-Cardinals postponed due to rain Monday

Game update: Pirates-Cardinals postponed due to rain Monday

As reported by: Jeff Jones via Twitter

Corey Seager

Texas Rangers
4/08/22, 3:52 PM ET

Top Pitcher Struggled with LHBs Last Year

Projections are currently suggesting the Mets might be tonight’s most popular stack against a home run prone Josiah Gray (10.7 BB%, 12.2% Barrels/BBE), who is certainly not without potential (14.3 SwStr%), though they are a bit behind the teams in Los Angeles tonight (Astros & Angels) in PlateIQ simulations. If you’re looking for the highest leverage, that would be either Washington or Cincinnati. Of course, they’re facing the two toughest pitchers on the board in Max Scherzer and Charlie Morton. As we certainly saw last night, high leverage stacks are generally high risk, as neither Pittsburgh, nor Arizona really paid off, but when they do, players are likely to profit the most because not many other players are expected to be on them. Scherzer has been dealing with some hamstring issues recently too. He claims to be fine, but even if there’s a small chance that he’s not…

One of the remaining teams currently with a positive leverage ratio on DraftKings is the Braves (3.1). While Reiver Sanmartin had an impressive 19.2 K-BB% at AAA last year, Fangraphs gives him just a 35 Future Value grade and he didn’t get much work in during major league games in camp this year. Atlanta is one of the few teams with strong Smash%, Value% and Leverage numbers in LineupHQ tonight. It’s a bit different on FanDuel where both Texas and Los Angeles (AL) score well in all those numbers. The Rangers face Jose Berrios, who can either shut a team down or get lit up on occasion. Berrios had a nearly 100 point split by wOBA and more than 40 by xwOBA as well. LH Texas bats like Corey Seager (147 wRC+, .214 ISO vs RHP last year) or more cheaply, Brad Miller (123 wRC+, .244 ISO), should draw your interest in large GPPs.

The Angels are a bit more obvious a choice. Jake Odorizzi pitched just two innings this spring after averaging not much more than four innings per start last season. The Astros like to limit his workload, as he produced just a 20.6 K% last year with a 4.21 ERA that was about a half run below his estimators, likely due to Houston’s excellent defense. While Odorizzi was 36 points better against RHBs last year, Statcast gives him an xwOBA within a point of .327 against batters from either side of the plate and he’s had a tendency towards a reverse platoon split in the past, which may not serve him well here. One reason the Angels may score so well here is due to their high cost bats. Shohei Ohtani (150 wRC+, .313 vs RHP) and Mike Trout (222 wRC+, .398 ISO) are tough to fit in the same lineup, while Anthony Rendon (104 wRC+) is a bit cheaper ($3.2K).

Robinson Cano

Atlanta Braves
4/08/22, 1:21 PM ET

High Value Potential Against a Volatile Pitcher

The Mets offense did their job against the Nationals last night against a veteran pitcher and the Washington bullpen, but tonight they face a more volatile arm in Josiah Gray. The key piece in the trade for the guy the Nationals are facing last night, Gray exhibited swing and miss stuff beyond his 24.8 K% over 70.2 IP last year (14.3 SwStr%). However, everything else was a problem. He walked 10.7% of the batters he faced and when batters made contact, it was only on the ground 30.8% of the time and left the park 18.6% of the time when in the air. He was barreled up on 12.2% of the contact he allowed. Batters from either side of the plate hammered Gray for a wOBA above .330, Statcast suggests a wider spilt (RHBs .290 xwOBA, LHBs .361). An interesting case can be made for some exposure to Gray, but also playing a few lineups against him. The Mets are one of the five teams currently bunched on the top half of the board between 4.75 and 5.25 implied runs tonight, while the projected lineup supplies both strong overall bats and some of the potentially better values tonight. Most obviously, Robinson Cano costs less than $2.5K on either side. Plate IQ projections have him as a top five point per dollar play on FanDuel and the top value play on DraftKings. Brandon Nimmo (136 wRC+ vs RHP last year) has been dealing with a neck issue, but should he be atop the Mets lineup, he costs just $2.6K on FanDuel where projections peg him as a top three value. Jeff McNeil (94 wRC+) is looking to bounce back tonight, but is fairly cheap on both sites, while Francisco Lindor (106 wRC+, .190 ISO) is coming off a red hot spring.

Ozzie Albies

Atlanta Braves
4/08/22, 12:45 PM ET

Looking at a Pair of Rookie Starters on Friday

Reid Detmers is the top prospect for the Angels (via Fangraphs), moving pretty quickly through the minors last season (just 62 innings with a strikeout rate above one-third of batters) after being drafted in 2020. He did struggle to a 7.9 K-BB% over five major league starts (20.2 IP) and 11.6% Barrels/BBE, but also had an 11.6 SwStr%. He struck out 11 in 5.2 spring innings. While his Fangraphs scouting report doesn’t see a ton of further upside, it does suggest he’s ready to be a mid-rotation contributor this year. The contact prone Astros had a 117 wRC+ vs RHP last year. This will be a very difficult spot for the rookie.

Reiver Sanmartin made his major league debut last season with two starts after splitting his 82.1 AAA innings between the pen and rotation with an impressive 25.9 K% (19.2 K-BB%). However, his Fangraphs player page gives him a 35 Future Value grade without a prospect ranking within the organization. Sanmartin covered just four innings over two spring starts. We’re likely to see a lot of bullpen in this one. This should be a decent spot to expect an Atlanta bounce back. Despite owning the highest implied run line on the slate currently (5.19), Atlanta bats don’t project to be over-owned at this point. Ozzie Albies was much more efficient from the right-side last year (144 wRC+, .262 ISO).

Justin Steele

Chicago Cubs
4/08/22, 12:44 PM ET

Brewers-Cubs postponed due to inclement weather Friday

Game update: Brewers-Cubs postponed due to inclement weather Friday

As reported by: the Chicago Cubs via Twitter

Max Scherzer

Toronto Blue Jays
4/08/22, 12:33 PM ET

Rare Five Game Friday Slate with a Clear Top Arm

A rare five game Friday night slate awaits daily fantasy players tonight, but that’s early April for you. Of the 10 available starters, just one reaches the $10K price point on either site and Max Scherzer does so on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Shooting right out of the gate like it was mid-season with five and six innings pitched in his two spring starts, Scherzer struck out 12 in 11 innings pitched. The bad news was that this start had been in doubt until very recently due to a hamstring issue, as the injuries are beginning to pile up on his nearly 38 year old frame. Yet, if we ignore the injury potential, Scherzer is a no-brainer because the stuff still dominates (34.1 K%, 5.2 BB%). A 3.24 xFIP was his lone estimator above three last year. The Nationals had just a 96 wRC+ vs RHP last year and that’s unlikely to improve much this year. Batters from either side were held below a .280 wOBA and xwOBA against him. In addition, the Mets had one of the better defenses in the league last year (+17 Runs Prevented). Ignoring the possibility of an early injury exit, Scherzer is the top pitcher on the board tonight, although early ownership projections also expect him to be treated as such. The other piece of relevant information here is that this is the only game on the board with any delay risk, though not significant.

Charlie Morton excelled in his return to Atlanta last season (28.6 K%, 4.9% Barrels/BBE) with a 3.53 SIERA being his worst estimator, but his post-season ended almost immediately with a broken leg. Morton made one start this spring, but was a single out away from competing five innings and shouldn’t be too limited here. The Reds had a 105 wRC+ vs RHP, but gone are Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos, so we can probably expect something a bit less this year. They also had just an 89 wRC+ away from home. Morton had almost no split with batters from either side of the plate below a .285 wOBA and xwOBA last year. He’s expected to be the second most popular pitcher tonight with a top four price tag on either site.

Josiah Gray is a cheap secondary option, as he exhibited swing and miss stuff beyond his 24.8 K% over 70.2 IP last year (14.3 SwStr%). However, everything else was a problem. He walked 10.7% of the batters he faced and when batters made contact, it was only on the ground 30.8% of the time and left the park 18.6% of the time when in the air. He was barreled up on 12.2% of the contact he allowed. Jon Gray struck out 10 in six spring training innings, mostly on a new, reworked slider that’s been hyped. Last year, he had a 4.59 ERA that was about a half run above most of his estimators. He has to face the mighty Blue Jays (111 wRC+ vs RHP last year) in Toronto though. His low price tag may make a strong value none the less, but also a popular one.

Jose Berrios had slightly better peripherals post-trade (22.3 K-BB%) than prior (19.2%). The 26.1 K% was a career high with an ERA and estimators in the mid-threes. The Rangers should improve their 86 wRC+ vs RHP last year. Berrios had a nearly 100 point split by wOBA and more than 40 by xwOBA as well in 2021. The Texas lineup projects to be somewhat balanced, making this a decent matchup for Berrios. Sean Manaea quietly had a very strong season for the A’s last year, exceeding a 20 K-BB (20.3%) with a 3.91 ERA that was within one-third of a run of all his estimators. There was some concern about a drop in velocity this spring, but that seemed to rectify in his post-trade outing. Manaea did have a fairly sizeable split, more than 50 points by wOBA and xwOBA last year. He’s an interesting arm tonight with a low enough ownership projection on a slate this small, facing a projected lineup that includes several rookies and was nearly no-hit last night until the San Diego bullpen imploded.

Ketel Marte

Arizona Diamondbacks
4/07/22, 12:04 PM ET

Might This Stack Provide the Most Value on Opening Day?

Chaotic weather forecasts have changed a number of thing since yesterday, particularly in the early games. A quick glance at Weather Edge (for Premium subscribers) confirms that many of the parks in play today have never even seen weather circumstances like today. Team run totals have dropped substantially, with the Brewers (5.15) now the only team reaching five implied runs. The Braves (4.88) and Padres (4.79) the only other ones even substantially above four and a half.

An often underutilized tool in LineupHQ is Team Smash%, which can be found under Player Pool and Stacks tabs. The numbers combine ownership projections along with thousands of simulations to forecast not only which stacks have the best chance of producing success, but which ones may have the most value and leverage. For example, today on DraftKings, the Padres are expected to be the most popular stack, though the Mets project to come through more often via simulations. However, on a value basis, the Diamondbacks project best. Remember, Yu Darvish was very hittable in the second half of the season last year. In an 11 start stretch beginning in July, Darvish allowed 17 of his 28 home runs and 21 of his 38 barrels. The signs may even have been there earlier with a velocity reduction and drop in swinging strike rate from the year before that wasn’t really affecting his bottom line early on.

The only team to offer more leverage than the Diamondbacks are the Pirates, who must face Adam Wainwright and the best defense in the league under cold and wet conditions in a pitcher’s park. However, the wind is blowing out strongly to right and if the Bucs do pop off, Pittsburgh stacks are likely to be fairly rare today. However, for large GPP players, while many players are expected to lean towards San Diego bats, perhaps Ketel Marte (112 wRC+ vs RHP last year) and company is the superior tactic. Do note though, that these numbers can change throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Alex Dickerson

Atlanta Braves
4/06/22, 8:26 PM ET

A Lineup Worth Paying Up For on Opening Day

The Milwaukee Brewers currently have the highest implied run line on the board (5.98) on Opening Day. In fact, they are the only team that exceeds five runs and are only on the main FanDuel slate. For DraftKings players, the Braves (against Tyler Mahle) and Padres (against Madison Bumgarner) are right at five runs. Unsurprisingly, four of the six highest projected ownership percentages among batters belong to San Diego Padres in LineupHQ, as this should be a pretty strong spot against a pitcher who allowed RHBs a .323 wOBA last season and the Padres should be better than their 94 wRC+ against southpaws last year, even without Fernando Tatis. Luke Voit (111 wRC+ vs LHP last year) and Wil Myers (126 wRC+) project as top point per dollar plays (PlateIQ projections), though nobody in the projected lineup reached a .200 ISO against lefties last year.

The Braves project for lower ownership numbers, likely due to their higher price tags with Marcell Ozuna being the exception in both cost and ownership projection. Alex Dickerson (92 wRC+, .191 ISO vs RHP last year) projects as a top point per dollar value. Tyler Mahle had a reverse split last year (RHBs .357 wOBA, LHBs .257), but including Dickerson in stacks could help differentiate your lineup with more Atlanta hitters, which shouldn’t be too difficult to afford due to a lack of high priced pitching.

J.D. Davis

Los Angeles Angels
4/06/22, 6:30 PM ET

RHBs Belted This Opening Day Starter Last Year (.387 wOBA)

Assuming weather cooperates, RH Mets should be at the top of daily fantasy player shopping lists on Thursday. Patrick Corbin has seen three straight years of decline in his estimators and ERA since signing with Washington, but since he was starting from such a high point, it took a while to get to the point of absolute absurdity last year with a 5.82 ERA, 4.61 SIERA and 5.62 xERA. His 11.9 K-BB% was not terrible, but nearly a quarter of his fly balls (22.6%) left the yard and RHBs destroyed him (.387 wOBA). The Mets had just an 85 wRC+ vs LHP last year, despite Pete Alonso’s 137 wRC+ and .325 ISO against them. However, they imported several RHBs into their starting lineup this year (Mark Canha, Starling Marte, Eduardo Esobar). Escobar had the most success against southpaws last year of the three (129 wRC+, .242 ISO). Using PlateIQ projections in LineupHQ, Alonso and Marte project as top overall bats, while J.D. Davis is currently a top three point per dollar play on DraftKings, behind only Bobby Witt Jr. and Hoy Park.

Bobby Witt

Kansas City Royals
4/06/22, 6:15 PM ET

The Shiny New Toys Projected to Debut on Thursday

One of the positive aspects of the new collective bargaining agreement is that it discourages the gaming of service time, resulting in some shiny new toys expected to debut on Opening Day. Bobby Witt Jr., Seiya Suzuki, Diego Castillo, Steven Kwan and Jeremy Pena are all projected to be in their teams’ lineups on Thursday, many of them pummeling spring pitching after excelling at AAA last season. Just as importantly none of them even reach $2.5K on either site currently.

Bobby Witt Jr. is the biggest name here, the pre-season Rookie of the Year favorite. Witt wrecked AA and AAA last year with a wRC+ above 140, 33 home runs and 29 stolen bases. He had six extra-base hits in 32 ABs this spring. Witt has a very tough assignment against Shane Bieber though, against whom RHBs have just a .258 career wOBA. Suzuki doesn’t fit the mold of the other names, coming over from Japan, he has projections ranging from a 107 wRC+ to a 142 wRC+ on his Fangraphs player page, but has an even tougher matchup against Corbin Burnes and is only available on the FanDuel slate.

Diego Castillo (146 wRC+ in 70 AAA PAs last year) made the club after homering six times in 35 ABs this spring. The Pirates will start in St Louis, facing Adam Wainwright against whom batters from either side were within two points of a .300 xwOBA last year, which doesn’t sound great, but Statcast doesn’t consider that St Louis had the best defense in the league last year, which helped Wainwright beat his estimators by over half a run last year and could do so again this year.

Kwan is coming off a 159 wRC+ and AA and 144 wRC+ at AAA last season in 341 combined PAs (12 HRs, 6 SBs). He also tore it up with a 1.031 OPS in camp this spring. While Father Time has been gaining on the opposing pitcher, Zack Greinke, he exhibited a large platoon split with just a .245 wOBA and .278 xwOBA against LHBs last year. Pena (126 wRC+ at AAA last season) will take Correa’s place at Shortstop, but is projected to bat near the bottom of the order against Shohei Ohtani (RHBs .245 wOBA, .252 xwOBA last year). None of these young talents has an easy path on Thursday, but the level of talent at such low price points may dictate some exposure to them on Opening Day.

Adam Wainwright

St. Louis Cardinals
4/06/22, 5:43 PM ET

Pitcher Workloads May Be an Issue in Early April

We’re already handicapped by a lack of information on Opening Day, having to rely on last season’s statistics and a few relevant spring training notes. Add in a shortened spring training, which will likely hinder pitcher workloads the first time or two through rotation and chaotic April weather to the obstacles facing daily fantasy players on Opening Day 2022.

FanDuel is offering a full day seven game main slate on Thursday, while DraftKings will start at 4pm ET and offer six. The difference being the Brewers and Cubs at Wrigley on FanDuel. Where players have the option, Corbin Burnes is the top pitcher on the board, despite his high cost. Burnes is the reigning NL Cy Young winner despite throwing just 167 innings last season, speaking to how dominant he was, striking out 35.6% of the batters he faced with a 16.6 SwStr%, both best on the board today. He had just one estimators (2.61 SIERA) slightly above his 2.43 ERA and allowed just 3.1% Barrels/BBE on the season. Burnes has already completed six innings this spring as well.

That last point is a huge deal, as Patrick Corbin, Adam Wainwright and Madison Bumgarner are the only other Opening Day pitchers to have completed five innings in a start this spring. That may make Adam Wainwright the arm to own on DraftKings, costing just $7.5K against the Pirates (75 wRC+ on the road, 85 wRC+ vs RHP last year) in what is the most negative run environment on the board over the last three years. Shane Bieber is the highest upside arm left (33.1 K%, 3.17 ERA, 3.21 SIERA, 3.76 xERA in 16 2022 starts), but only pitched 1.1 and 3.1 innings in his two spring starts, although we don’t know if pitchers are further ramping up on the side. Bieber and Ohtani are the only other pitchers above $10K on FanDuel, while nobody reaches that price point on DraftKings. Bieber costs just $8.3K on DK, while Ohtani only pitched 2.1 and 3.1 innings in his two spring starts and starts in a very tough spot against the Astros (20 K% vs RHP last year).

Two lower priced arms to consider are Tyler Megill or J.T. Brubaker in your secondary slots on DraftKings. Both 2021 rookies showed some strikeout upside (Megill 26.1%, Brubaker 24%) with home run issues late in the year. Brubaker will open in a power suppressing park in St Louis, while Megill will face a light lineup in Washington. Megill is currently projected for the lower ownership rate in LineupHQ. Make sure to watch out for Kevin’s Opening Day forecast with potential rain issues in Washington though.

Kris Bryant

Colorado Rockies
4/06/22, 1:15 PM ET

30 Humidors For 30 Parks

At the end of March, news was broken that MLB will employ humidors in all 30 parks this season. Like most Manfred regime innovations, it’s an imperfect solution to a problem that doesn’t exist, but at least they’re telling everyone up front this year. In recent seasons, the league covertly placed humidors in several stadiums, including Boston, Seattle and New York (NL) in 2020 and then Houston, Miami, Texas and St Louis last year. Colorado and Arizona had previously been using the technology.

What does this mean? The intention is to close the gap on park, or more accurately, environmental effects, bringing everything closer to neutral. Less park to park variance. Although park factors will certainly still exist, we may have to take previously existing ones with a grain of salt for a while until the new norms are established.

What this also means is that Colorado bats could become even more valuable. As other parks trend back towards the middle (think of it as regression), Coors has used the humidor for years, longer than any other MLB park, and is still an extreme offensive environment. It’s one park we can be sure won’t be affected by the changes occurring in most others this season.

Corey Seager

Texas Rangers
10/12/21, 12:20 PM ET

More Than One-Third of This Pitcher's Runs Were Surrendered to This Offense

While Anthony DeSclafani did struggle against the Dodgers this year (22 of his 61 runs allowed), he did toss quality starts in two of his last three starts against them and finished the season strong with a 2.25 ERA and 2.58 FIP over his last six starts (32 IP). DeSclafani rode good control (6.2 BB%) and a league average strikeout rate (22.5%) to estimators ranging from a 3.59 DRA to a 4.10 SIERA, but only exceeded five innings pitched in three of his last 11 starts and also has not pitched since October 1st. The Dodgers had a 117 wRC+ at home and 107 wRC+ vs RHP this year with only one batter in the projected lineup above a 20.1 K% vs RHP. DeSclafani is the cheapest currently confirmed pitcher on DraftKings though ($7.6K) with his team in a position to end the series tonight and Dodger Stadium is likely the most pitcher friendly park on the slate with the help of some cooler temperatures, though not nearly as pitcher friendly as last night with the wind holding everything in the air up.

As usual, DeSclafani exhibited a substantial split this year (LHBs .301 wOBA, .335 xwOBA) – RHBs .252 wOBA, .271 xwOBA). Luckily for him, the Dodgers are light on quality LHBs at the moment with Muncy injured and Cody Bellinger (61 wRC+, .166 ISO vs RHP) falling off a cliff. In fact, Corey Seager (147 wRC+, .214 ISO) and Matt Beaty (111 wRC+, .130 ISO) the only other LHBs projected, although every RHB exceeds a 120 wRC+ vs RHP this year with at least a .170 ISO.

While Tony Gonsolin actually increased his rookie season strikeout rate a full point this year (27.2%), he also nearly quadrupled his walk rate (14.2%), resulting in the Dodgers allowing him to record sixth inning outs in only two outings this year. An 86.2 LOB% generated a 3.23 ERA that was well below estimators, although a 3.68 xERA was also more than half a run below any other estimator. After missing the month of August, Gonsolin did return to walk eight of his last 81 batters in September, but has not pitched yet in the month of October. Gonsolin would be the cheapest pitcher on the board once the Dodgers confirm him, but the Giants have a 110 wRC+ vs RHP. As far as strikeouts go, half the lineup exceeded a 22.5 K% vs RHP this year.

Every batter in the projected San Francisco lineup has at least a 99 wRC+ and .169 ISO vs RHP this season. Mike Yastrzemski (125 wRC+, .278 ISO) could be the most interesting bat here, should he bat second again. Brandon Crawford (156 wRC+, .241 ISO) and LaMonte Wade (130 wRC+, .251 ISO) have also displayed great power numbers with a platoon advantage this year. The Giants (3.39) are the only team on the board below four implied runs though.