MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 26 - Page Two
San Francisco at Oakland – 4:05 PM EST
| San Francisco | Oakland | ||||||||
 | Tim Hudson |  | Barry Zito | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-122) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.292 | 0.78 | 0.342 | 0.102 | SP vs. Left | 1 | 5 | 2.065 | 0 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.252 | 0.668 | 0.292 | 0.18 | SP vs. Right | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.314 | 0 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
The old-timer game occurs this afternoon as Hudson takes on Zito. Both of these guys are at the tail end of their careers and while Hudson has pitched decently over his last few starts, he does not go deep into ballgames and has literally no upside due to his 12.5% strikeout rate this year. Rating = 4.5
Salaries: $5,800 FD, $5,500 DK
Zito made one appearance this year and allowed two earned runs in one inning pitched last week. He is not in play this afternoon as he is not worth the roster spot in any format. Rating = 2
Salaries: $5,000 FD, $5,100 DK
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
This Giants squad has a 4.40 team total today against Zito. The main right-handed bats are in play as Buster Posey is an elite play at the catcher position for the day slate.
Elite Plays:
Buster Posey
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.195
Secondary Plays:
Marlon Byrd
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323— ISO: 0.206
Matt Duffy
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 — ISO: 0.104
Oakland
Hudson has struggled against lefties this year and has allowed a .362 wOBA. This game features a total of 8.5 and Oakland have a 4.10 projected score.
Elite Plays:
Josh Reddick
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.198
Secondary Plays:
Stephen Vogt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.224
Philadelphia at Washington – 4:05 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Washington | ||||||||
 | Aaron Nola |  | Stephen Strasburg | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-250) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.3 | 0.826 | 0.355 | 0.118 | SP vs. Left | 0.224 | 0.636 | 0.281 | 0.261 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.21 | 0.634 | 0.277 | 0.274 | SP vs. Right | 0.254 | 0.707 | 0.308 | 0.299 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | WAS vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Nola has had a decent rookie season, but has been a bit hit or miss recently. He has traded six earned run performances over his last four games with very solid starts. Over the last month, he has posted a 3.49 SIERA and a 23.3% strikeout rate. He has a tough matchup against the Nationals and Strasburg as run support should be tough. Rating = 5.5
Salaries: $6,500 FD, $8,400 DK
Strasburg has had two great starts in a row and three starts in a row where he has posted double-digit strikeouts. He is in a great spot this afternoon and has some of the highest upside on the slate due to his matchup against the Phillies. He is a massive favorite and should be viewed as the top option on the slate as Harvey has some pitch count issues and Price is facing an elite starter and may not get run support. Rating = 9
Salaries: $11,000 FD, $10,700 DK
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
Strasburg has been mowing batters down recently. This Phillies squad has a the lowest team total on the board at 2.58. The bats should be avoided today.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
None
Washington
Bryce Harper is an elite play in the outfield today against Nola who has allowed a wOBA of .355 against left-handed batters. Clint Robinson makes a decent secondary punt play in this game as well.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.493 — ISO: 0.368
Secondary Plays:
Clint Robinson
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.160
NY Mets at Cincinnati – 4:10 PM EST
| NY Mets | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | Matt Harvey |  | John Lamb | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-157) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.671 | 0.292 | 0.248 | SP vs. Left | 0.313 | 1.013 | 0.436 | 0.25 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.216 | 0.553 | 0.241 | 0.238 | SP vs. Right | 0.288 | 0.765 | 0.332 | 0.259 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs L | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
While we can talk about what a great year Harvey has had and his 24.3% strikeout rate on the season, the problem becomes the innings limit. With a few other studs going, it is very difficult to pay up for Harvey knowing you may only get five innings out of him. Rating = 7.5
Salaries: $10,000 FD, $10,500 DK
Lamb has been solid so far this year. In eight starts, he has a 3.51 SIERA and backs his fantasy value up with a 25.7% strikeout rate. He has a difficult matchup against the offense of the Mets that has been the second best squad in team wOBA over the last month. He has the upside to pair with a stud this afternoon, but does have a bit of risk attached. Rating = 6
Salaries: $5,500 FD, $7,200 DK
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
While Lamb has pitched well, he has also given up five home runs in eight starts and a .332 wOBA to right-handed bats. The Mets have a 4.10 team total and the big righties in this lineup are in play.
Elite Plays:
David Wright
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.460 — ISO: 0.265
Yoenis Cespedes
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.340 (with Mets)
Secondary Plays:
Juan Lagares
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.171
Travis d’Arnaud
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.481 — ISO: 0.375
Cincinnati
Harvey may not be the best bang for your buck today, but he also is not someone you want to target bats against. He has kept batters to a wOBA under .292 on the season and the Reds have a team total of only 3.40.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
None
Minnesota at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST
| Minnesota | Detroit | ||||||||
 | Tyler Duffey |  | Alfredo Simon | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-120) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.279 | 0.734 | 0.327 | 0.271 | SP vs. Left | 0.268 | 0.801 | 0.346 | 0.137 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.205 | 0.623 | 0.274 | 0.188 | SP vs. Right | 0.244 | 0.702 | 0.31 | 0.169 |
| Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | Batter Splits | DET vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Duffey has actually been decent in his first eight major league starts. During this span, he has a 3.91 SIERA and a 22.9% strikeout rate. He gets a tough matchup against the Tigers who are ranked in the middle in the league against right-handed pitching. Vegas has the Twins as slight favorites in this game with a high total, but Duffey is a bit of a risk to play outside of tournaments. Rating = 5.5
Salaries: $6,400 FD, $9,200 DK
Simon has been one of the best pitchers to pick on all year long. He comes into this game with a 4.89 SIERA as well as a very low sub 15% strikeout rate. He gives up runs in bunches (1.26 HR/9 rate) and poor control (8.9% walk rate). All of this leads to a pitcher that you can safely ignore tonight. Rating = 3
Salaries: $7,800 FD, $5,400 DK
Batter Grind Down
Minnesota
Simon has been very poor all year long. He has allowed a wOBA of .377 to lefties and a .327 wOBA to righties this season. This puts the entire Twins’ squad into play today, especially Miguel Sano, Brian Dozier and Eddie Rosario.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Sano
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.299
Brian Dozier
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.220
Eddie Rosario
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.190
Secondary Plays:
Trevor Plouffe
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.195
Aaron Hicks
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 — ISO: 0.129
Detroit
While Duffey is tough to play tonight, he has not been pitching poorly so far this year. He has kept batters from the right side of the plate to a wOBA of .274. With that said, Miguel Cabrera is always an elite play when facing a young pitcher like Duffey.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.187
Secondary Plays:
Victor Martinez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.263 — ISO: 0.124
Cleveland at Kansas City – 7:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Josh Tomlin |  | Kris Medlen | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-133) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.206 | 0.595 | 0.255 | 0.219 | SP vs. Left | 0.202 | 0.625 | 0.284 | 0.176 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.288 | 0.853 | 0.368 | 0.228 | SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.675 | 0.294 | 0.144 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tomlin was one of the best value plays of the season a few weeks back and has continued to pitch well for the Indians. In his eight starts this year, he holds a 3.19 SIERA and a solid 25% strikeout rate. The matchup today is the problem against the Royals who strikeout at a very low rate 16.2% strikeout rate. Due to the price rising and the matchup, Tomlin is a tough play. Rating = 7
Salaries: $8,600 FD, $10,800 DK
Medlen has been a decent play due to his very low price (DK). Yet, his upside has been limited by his innings as well as strikeout rate (16.3%). Due to these factors, Medlen makes a tough play unless you are using him on DraftKings to save salary and hoping for a perfect start. Rating = 4.5
Salaries: $6,900 FD, $5,000 DK
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
While Medlen does not have huge upside, he has pitched well in his few starts this year. He has kept batters to a wOBA under .294 this year from both sides of the plate this year. The cheap Indians that hit up front are secondary plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
Jason Kipnis
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.159
Francisco Lindor
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.159
Jose Ramirez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.096
Kansas City
Tomlin has pitched very well this year and has elite numbers against lefties (.140 wOBA allowed). With that said, righties have a .364 wOBA against him this year, which puts Lorenzo Cain into a decent secondary play.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.147