NBA DFS First Look: Thursday, January 16th - NBA Odds Preview

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2020-01-16 16:53:42

The NBA DFS First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Vegas Line	Over/Under	Away Total	Home Total	Game Time (ET)
Phoenix Suns	at	New York Knicks	PHO-3.0	226.0	114.5	111.5	7:30 PM
Utah Jazz	at	New Orleans Pelicans	UTA-4.5	225.5	115.0	110.5	8:00 PM
Boston Celtics	at	Milwaukee Bucks	MIL-9.0	223.0	107.0	116.0	8:00 PM
Orlando Magic	at	LA Clippers	LAC-11.5	218.0	103.3	114.8	10:30 PM
Denver Nuggets	at	Golden State Warriors	DEN-5.0	212.5	108.8	103.8	10:30 PM

Points Per Game and Pace of Play

Team	Opponent	Spread	Implied Total	Points/Game	Points +/-	Team Pace	Opp. Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
New York Knicks	Phoenix Suns	3.0	111.5	104.8	6.7	103.2	105.5	104.6	1.4
Phoenix Suns	New York Knicks	-3.0	114.5	113.1	1.4	105.5	103.2	104.6	-0.9
New Orleans Pelicans	Utah Jazz	4.5	110.5	113.2	-2.7	107.2	101.5	104.6	-2.6
Utah Jazz	New Orleans Pelicans	-4.5	115.0	109.7	5.3	101.5	107.2	104.6	3.1
Milwaukee Bucks	Boston Celtics	-9.0	116.0	119.4	-3.4	107.8	102.6	106.2	-1.5
Boston Celtics	Milwaukee Bucks	9.0	107.0	111.2	-4.2	102.6	107.8	106.2	3.7
LA Clippers	Orlando Magic	-11.5	114.8	115.6	-0.9	106.6	101.4	104.0	-2.7
Orlando Magic	LA Clippers	11.5	103.3	104.1	-0.9	101.4	106.6	104.0	2.5
Golden State Warriors	Denver Nuggets	5.0	103.8	104.5	-0.8	104.0	101.4	101.3	-2.8
Denver Nuggets	Golden State Warriors	-5.0	108.8	108.9	-0.1	101.4	104.0	101.3	-0.1

Matchup Cheat Sheet

Note: The defensive efficiency rankings are for the opponent of the team listed in the first column and are for the season.

Offense	Opponent	Total	DIS	CG	SCW	SHW	3DW	VF	VB	PB
New York Knicks	Phoenix Suns	18	19	12	20	27	7	16	26	17
Phoenix Suns	New York Knicks	28	21	29	25	18	8	26	13	19
New Orleans Pelicans	Utah Jazz	8	13	9	8	15	21	13	14	2
Utah Jazz	New Orleans Pelicans	25	27	17	11	25	25	28	10	26
Milwaukee Bucks	Boston Celtics	4	18	1	9	28	5	12	9	6
Boston Celtics	Milwaukee Bucks	1	8	3	1	17	1	6	11	5
LA Clippers	Orlando Magic	6	16	27	7	19	4	15	3	7
Orlando Magic	LA Clippers	7	6	4	5	22	30	11	5	10
Golden State Warriors	Denver Nuggets	11	22	14	2	7	11	7	8	20
Denver Nuggets	Golden State Warriors	24	29	23	21	21	24	10	20	13

Legend: DIS = Distributor, CG = Combo Guard, SCW = Scoring Wing, SHW = Shooting Wing, 3DW = 3 & D Wing, VF = Versatile Forward, VB = Versatile Big, PB = Post Big

Point Guards

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
Elfrid Payton	NYK	111.5	$5,500	$5,700	$20	$10,600	25.1	25.0	27.0	2.0	1.00	21.0%	PHO	4	19
Ricky Rubio	PHO	114.5	$7,200	$6,300	$26	$13,500	32.2	35.4	32.2	-3.2	1.10	23.2%	NYK	8	21
Lonzo Ball	NOP	110.5	$7,900	$6,500	$32	$14,500	30.1	31.1	43.1	12.0	1.03	22.4%	UTA	10	13
Donovan Mitchell	UTA	115.0	$7,400	$6,600	$31	$13,800	34.5	38.9	33.0	-5.8	1.13	29.7%	NOP	30	17
Eric Bledsoe	MIL	116.0	$6,300	$6,100	$22	$12,700	26.1	31.6	32.7	1.1	1.21	26.3%	BOS	5	1
Kemba Walker	BOS	107.0	$7,300	$6,700	$30	$13,500	31.7	37.5	29.3	-8.2	1.18	28.3%	MIL	1	3
Patrick Beverley	LAC	114.8	$5,600	$5,300	$20	$11,000	28.9	25.8	34.3	8.5	0.89	14.3%	ORL	9	16
Markelle Fultz	ORL	103.3	$5,500	$5,500	$19	$11,300	27.0	25.1	32.2	7.1	0.93	22.1%	LAC	27	4
D’Angelo Russell	GSW	103.8	$7,500	$7,400	$34	$13,600	31.6	39.2	40.3	1.0	1.24	33.0%	DEN	3	14
Monte Morris	DEN	108.8	$4,400	$4,000	$10	$9,100	18.0	16.3	17.7	1.4	0.90	19.6%	GSW	29	23

Shooting Guards

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
RJ Barrett	NYK	111.5	$5,900	$5,900	$19	$11,600	31.7	27.1	30.3	3.2	0.86	23.0%	PHO	16	20
Devin Booker	PHO	114.5	$9,000	$8,800	$39	$16,500	36.1	41.8	47.9	6.1	1.16	29.8%	NYK	16	29
Josh Hart	NOP	110.5	$4,800	$4,100	$18	$9,200	28.4	23.6	24.2	0.6	0.83	16.1%	UTA	16	15
Joe Ingles	UTA	115.0	$6,100	$5,600	$23	$11,700	29.8	25.8	32.4	6.6	0.87	16.8%	NOP	5	25
Wesley Matthews	MIL	116.0	$3,600	$3,500	$10	$6,900	24.1	14.6	12.0	-2.6	0.61	13.0%	BOS	22	28
Jaylen Brown	BOS	107.0	$6,500	$6,000	$24	$12,200	33.4	34.8	31.4	-3.4	1.04	23.6%	MIL	9	1
Landry Shamet	LAC	114.8	$3,600	$3,800	$10	$7,000	26.4	15.5	15.2	-0.4	0.59	13.1%	ORL	23	19
Evan Fournier	ORL	103.3	$6,200	$5,700	$20	$12,100	31.3	30.2	30.2	0.0	0.97	24.3%	LAC	13	22
Damion Lee	GSW	103.8	$5,000	$4,900	$19	$9,800	26.8	24.5	25.8	1.2	0.92	20.2%	DEN	3	14
Gary Harris	DEN	108.8	$5,100	$4,600	$12	$10,500	32.9	21.4	20.1	-1.4	0.65	15.0%	GSW	21	21

Small Forwards

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
Marcus Morris	NYK	111.5	$6,300	$5,500	$23	$12,800	31.7	31.6	46.5	14.9	0.99	23.2%	PHO	7	7
Mikal Bridges	PHO	114.5	$4,500	$4,500	$12	$8,400	22.7	17.4	19.4	2.0	0.76	12.5%	NYK	3	8
J.J. Redick	NOP	110.5	$5,400	$4,400	$12	$10,400	28.4	24.5	28.9	4.4	0.86	19.7%	UTA	16	15
Bojan Bogdanovic	UTA	115.0	$6,000	$5,700	$21	$12,300	33.2	30.9	29.2	-1.7	0.93	25.2%	NOP	5	25
Khris Middleton	MIL	116.0	$7,300	$6,800	$29	$13,500	28.3	34.5	37.0	2.5	1.22	27.1%	BOS	18	9
Gordon Hayward	BOS	107.0	$6,400	$5,800	$26	$12,400	31.6	32.4	30.7	-1.7	1.03	20.8%	MIL	19	6
Kawhi Leonard	LAC	114.8	$10,100	$10,100	$48	$17,800	32.1	47.5	51.0	3.5	1.48	34.9%	ORL	6	7
Aaron Gordon	ORL	103.3	$6,000	$5,700	$22	$12,100	31.2	29.4	32.2	2.8	0.94	20.7%	LAC	17	11
“(player-popup #glenn-robinson-iii)Glenn Robinson III	GSW	103.8	$4,500	$4,400	$15	$8,600	31.8	23.1	24.5	1.3	0.73	16.0%	DEN	22	11
Will Barton	DEN	108.8	$6,800	$6,400	$25	$12,600	33.1	32.2	32.5	0.3	0.97	19.5%	GSW	21	21

Power Forwards

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
Julius Randle	NYK	111.5	$8,000	$7,900	$33	$14,600	32.0	36.5	41.0	4.5	1.14	27.1%	PHO	11	26
Dario Saric	PHO	114.5	$3,800	$3,500	$10	$7,400	25.0	22.3	9.5	-12.8	0.89	17.3%	NYK	29	26
Brandon Ingram	NOP	110.5	$8,400	$8,900	$36	$15,700	34.3	43.3	44.7	1.4	1.26	29.7%	UTA	13	8
Royce O’Neale	UTA	115.0	$4,000	$4,100	$10	$7,600	29.3	18.8	18.5	-0.3	0.64	9.1%	NOP	27	25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	116.0	$11,700	$11,500	$55	$20,700	30.6	57.9	52.6	-5.3	1.89	38.6%	BOS	6	12
Jayson Tatum	BOS	107.0	$7,800	$7,600	$33	$14,200	34.0	38.8	38.8	0.0	1.14	27.0%	MIL	19	6
Maurice Harkless	LAC	114.8	$3,800	$3,800	$10	$7,200	23.0	15.5	16.2	0.6	0.68	10.6%	ORL	17	4
Khem Birch	ORL	103.3	$3,500	$3,700	$10	$7,100	21.6	14.0	11.3	-2.7	0.65	8.9%	LAC	27	10
Draymond Green	GSW	103.8	$5,800	$5,900	$23	$11,300	29.0	28.6	23.2	-5.4	0.99	17.9%	DEN	12	8
Jerami Grant	DEN	108.8	$4,800	$4,000	$11	$9,300	23.8	18.0	19.1	1.1	0.76	16.7%	GSW	16	10

Centers

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
Taj Gibson	NYK	111.5	$3,900	$3,700	$10	$7,400	16.4	13.6	16.5	2.9	0.83	14.1%	PHO	19	17
Aron Baynes	PHO	114.5	$4,300	$4,200	$12	$8,300	23.5	24.3	21.1	-3.2	1.03	20.3%	NYK	13	19
Derrick Favors	NOP	110.5	$5,900	$5,400	$24	$11,400	23.5	27.0	29.7	2.7	1.15	16.0%	UTA	20	14
Rudy Gobert	UTA	115.0	$9,200	$9,200	$36	$16,700	34.3	39.8	43.7	3.9	1.16	15.8%	NOP	14	26
Brook Lopez	MIL	116.0	$4,800	$4,800	$16	$9,200	26.2	24.9	21.4	-3.5	0.95	16.7%	BOS	22	9
Daniel Theis	BOS	107.0	$4,000	$4,400	$10	$7,600	21.8	21.2	24.1	2.9	0.97	14.4%	MIL	6	5
Ivica Zubac	LAC	114.8	$4,800	$4,300	$11	$9,200	17.5	20.2	20.6	0.4	1.16	17.6%	ORL	4	7
Nikola Vucevic	ORL	103.3	$8,500	$8,700	$39	$15,400	31.6	41.8	45.5	3.7	1.32	25.6%	LAC	5	5
Omari Spellman	GSW	103.8	$4,800	$4,800	$14	$9,300	17.7	17.9	27.2	9.3	1.01	18.8%	DEN	3	7
Nikola Jokic	DEN	108.8	$9,600	$9,400	$41	$17,500	31.1	43.5	46.6	3.1	1.40	26.7%	GSW	1	20

Notable Bench Players

Projected Starter	Team	Total	DK	FD	YH	FDT	MIN	FP/GM	L2WKS	FP +/-	FP/Min	USG%	OPP	DvsA	DEFF
Mitchell Robinson	NYK	111.5	$4,700	$4,700	$16	$8,800	22.4	23.7	17.0	-6.8	1.06	14.0%	PHO	19	17
Bobby Portis	NYK	111.5	$4,500	$4,400	$18	$8,800	21.3	21.1	23.0	1.9	0.99	20.8%	PHO	11	26
Deandre Ayton	PHO	114.5	$7,700	$7,400	$31	$14,100	30.5	36.3	37.2	0.9	1.19	22.0%	NYK	13	19
Cameron Johnson	PHO	114.5	$3,100	$3,600	$10	$6,000	19.8	15.1	8.5	-6.7	0.77	15.6%	NYK	3	8
E’Twaun Moore	NOP	110.5	$5,200	$4,200	$14	$10,000	21.4	19.1	22.8	3.6	0.90	21.5%	UTA	16	15
Jaxson Hayes	NOP	110.5	$4,400	$4,100	$16	$8,700	20.3	19.2	22.8	3.5	0.95	15.0%	UTA	10	2
Jordan Clarkson	UTA	115.0	$5,200	$4,300	$13	$10,200	23.6	23.0	21.9	-1.1	0.97	25.0%	NOP	7	11
Emmanuel Mudiay	UTA	115.0	$4,100	$4,000	$10	$7,900	17.5	16.0	22.2	6.2	0.91	21.6%	NOP	13	27
Donte DiVincenzo	MIL	116.0	$4,100	$4,200	$13	$7,800	22.5	21.4	25.9	4.5	0.95	17.5%	BOS	22	28
George Hill	MIL	116.0	$3,800	$3,600	$10	$7,400	21.2	20.6	21.2	0.6	0.98	17.1%	BOS	6	18
Marcus Smart	BOS	107.0	$5,500	$5,000	$19	$10,700	31.2	26.8	28.1	1.3	0.86	18.2%	MIL	1	3
Enes Kanter	BOS	107.0	$5,700	$5,300	$22	$11,200	18.4	23.6	26.8	3.2	1.28	19.5%	MIL	6	5
Lou Williams	LAC	114.8	$6,900	$6,200	$26	$13,000	30.1	34.1	38.8	4.8	1.13	30.4%	ORL	6	7
Montrezl Harrell	LAC	114.8	$6,600	$6,200	$27	$12,100	28.9	33.7	35.9	2.2	1.16	25.7%	ORL	16	3
Terrence Ross	ORL	103.3	$5,300	$4,600	$11	$10,300	25.5	21.6	25.7	4.1	0.85	21.1%	LAC	13	22
Wes Iwundu	ORL	103.3	$3,200	$3,700	$10	$6,000	17.7	11.5	18.8	7.3	0.65	13.6%	LAC	10	30
Alec Burks	GSW	103.8	$4,900	$5,200	$19	$9,900	29.1	29.1	29.0	-0.2	1.00	23.3%	DEN	10	2
Eric Paschall	GSW	103.8	$4,100	$4,000	$12	$8,000	27.0	23.0	20.4	-2.6	0.85	21.0%	DEN	3	7
Mason Plumlee	DEN	108.8	$4,200	$3,700	$10	$8,700	17.4	19.2	19.4	0.2	1.10	18.8%	GSW	28	13
“(player-popup #michael-porter-jr)Michael Porter Jr	DEN	108.8	$3,600	$3,600	$10	$6,800	11.4	12.1	17.8	5.6	1.06	21.2%	GSW	16	10

Color Coding

1) BLUE represents the “elite” category (top 25th percentile).
2) GREEN represents the “above-average” category (top 50th percentile).
3) YELLOW represents the “below-average” category (bottom 50th percentile).
4) RED represents the “poor” category (bottom 25th percentile).