NBA First Look: Friday, February 1st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2019-02-01 16:34:20

The NBA First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Vegas Line	Over/Under	Away Total	Home Total	Game Time (ET)
Memphis Grizzlies	at	Charlotte Hornets	CHA-6.0	204.5	99.3	105.3	7:00 PM
Boston Celtics	at	New York Knicks	BOS13.0	216.0	114.5	101.5	7:30 PM
Oklahoma City Thunder	at	Miami Heat	OKC5.0	219.5	112.3	107.3	8:00 PM
Atlanta Hawks	at	Utah Jazz	UTA-11.0	227.0	108.0	119.0	9:00 PM
Houston Rockets	at	Denver Nuggets	DEN-4.5	226.5	111.0	115.5	10:00 PM

Pace of Play

Team	Opponent	Spread	Implied Total	Points / Game	Points +/-	Team Pace	Opp. Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
Utah Jazz	Atlanta	-11.0	119.0	108.6	10.4	102.2	106.8	106.6	4.4
Denver Nuggets	Houston	-4.5	115.5	111.5	4.0	99.6	100.2	97.4	-2.2
Boston Celtics	New York	-13.0	114.5	112.4	2.1	101.7	102.6	101.9	0.2
Oklahoma City Thunder	Miami	-5.0	112.3	114.5	-2.3	105.7	100.7	104.0	-1.7
Houston Rockets	Denver	+ 4.5	111.0	112.3	-1.3	100.2	99.6	97.4	-2.8
Atlanta Hawks	Utah	+ 11.0	108.0	110.2	-2.2	106.8	102.2	106.6	-0.2
Miami Heat	Oklahoma City	+ 5.0	107.3	105.3	2.0	100.7	105.7	104.0	3.3
Charlotte Hornets	Memphis	-6.0	105.3	111.5	-6.3	102.1	97.9	97.6	-4.5
New York Knicks	Boston	+ 13.0	101.5	106.2	-4.7	102.6	101.7	101.9	-0.7
Memphis Grizzlies	Charlotte	+ 6.0	99.3	100.5	-1.3	97.9	102.1	97.6	-0.3

Matchup Cheatsheet

Note: The defensive efficiency rankings are for the opponent of the team listed in the first column.

Offense	Opponent	Total – DEFF	PG – DEFF	SG – DEFF	SF – DEFF	PF – DEFF	C – DEFF
Utah Jazz	Atlanta	26	21	26	24	13	26
Denver Nuggets	Houston	21	23	1	25	30	17
Boston Celtics	New York	29	24	27	26	29	21
Oklahoma City Thunder	Miami	15	12	22	8	27	6
Houston Rockets	Denver	5	9	19	12	10	4
Atlanta Hawks	Utah	8	13	5	13	23	1
Miami Heat	Oklahoma City	9	4	29	2	24	13
Charlotte Hornets	Memphis	19	15	28	16	7	15
New York Knicks	Boston	3	2	4	9	6	16
Memphis Grizzlies	Charlotte	23	6	21	17	15	27

Starting Point Guards

Projected Starter	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA	DEFF	DRPM
Ricky Rubio	119.0	$6,300	$6,100	28.6	-2.8	27.5	0.7	0.96	22.9%	ATL	25	21	30
Monte Morris	115.5	$4,500	$5,100	24.4	4.9	20.8	2.7	0.85	19.0%	HOU	10	23	1
Kyrie Irving	114.5	$10,500	$9,600	32.6	7.3	43.7	12.5	1.34	28.8%	NY	25	24	30
Russell Westbrook	112.3	$11,600	$11,000	35.5	1.5	54.3	4.6	1.53	31.9%	MIA	7	12	6
Chris Paul	111.0	$7,300	$6,800	32.6	-6.8	36.5	-3.9	1.12	24.1%	DEN	11	9	12
Trae Young	108.0	$7,300	$7,000	29.8	0.8	30.5	7.7	1.02	26.3%	UTA	3	13	5
Justise Winslow	107.3	$6,600	$5,800	29.3	4.8	26.7	0.8	0.91	20.2%	OKC	26	4	4
Kemba Walker	105.3	$8,600	$8,100	34.2	-0.1	40.4	-5.9	1.18	29.7%	MEM	9	15	12
Allonzo Trier	101.5	$4,000	$5,400	22.2	-1.3	17.7	0.2	0.80	19.1%	BOS	8	2	2
Mike Conley	99.3	$8,500	$7,900	33.8	2.2	36.9	8.6	1.09	27.3%	CHA	24	6	22

Starting Shooting Guards

Projected Starter	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA	DEFF	DRPM
Donovan Mitchell	119.0	$8,800	$8,800	33.1	2.0	36.2	10.1	1.09	29.3%	ATL	30	26	24
Gary Harris	115.5	$5,500	$5,300	29.9	-2.3	25.5	-3.2	0.85	21.5%	HOU	15	1	8
Marcus Smart	114.5	$5,300	$5,100	26.7	2.3	22.8	3.9	0.85	14.3%	NY	25	27	22
Terrance Ferguson	112.3	$4,500	$3,700	23.4	9.5	11.6	13.2	0.50	10.3%	MIA	15	22	13
James Harden	111.0	$13,600	$12,900	37.4	1.8	59.4	11.0	1.59	37.7%	DEN	11	19	13
DeAndre Bembry	108.0	$4,000	$4,200	25.1	-0.1	21.7	-5.8	0.86	16.0%	UTA	1	5	2
Wayne Ellington	107.3	$4,300	$3,600	22.0	9.8	15.5	6.8	0.70	16.4%	OKC	26	29	20
Jeremy Lamb	105.3	$5,700	$5,600	28.8	-1.4	27.3	-2.8	0.95	21.3%	MEM	9	28	12
Damyean Dotson	101.5	$3,600	$3,700	24.8	-4.0	17.6	-2.7	0.71	15.5%	BOS	3	4	1
Justin Holiday	99.3	$4,300	$4,100	32.5	-1.6	23.0	-7.3	0.71	14.5%	CHA	22	21	10

Starting Small Forwards

Projected Starter	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA	DEFF	DRPM
Joe Ingles	119.0	$5,800	$5,300	31.2	1.8	26.1	2.3	0.84	17.4%	ATL	28	24	7
Will Barton	115.5	$6,500	$6,600	24.7	3.7	23.5	1.3	0.95	22.5%	HOU	15	25	28
Jayson Tatum	114.5	$6,600	$5,800	31.0	-1.1	30.3	-1.9	0.98	20.9%	NY	30	26	30
Paul George	112.3	$11,400	$9,900	36.0	2.1	48.7	10.5	1.35	27.7%	MIA	17	8	6
Eric Gordon	111.0	$5,300	$5,000	32.9	3.0	24.0	3.2	0.73	21.6%	DEN	4	12	19
Kevin Huerter	108.0	$4,700	$4,400	26.9	-2.8	19.0	0.8	0.71	14.5%	UTA	7	13	1
Josh Richardson	107.3	$6,500	$6,200	34.6	1.9	30.5	-6.4	0.88	21.9%	OKC	14	2	1
Nicolas Batum	105.3	$5,100	$4,800	30.8	2.3	22.9	4.6	0.74	12.8%	MEM	2	16	1
Kevin Knox	101.5	$5,000	$5,700	27.3	0.0	20.1	-2.6	0.74	19.8%	BOS	8	9	9
Kyle Anderson	99.3	$5,600	$4,400	29.8	2.6	24.8	-2.1	0.83	12.4%	CHA	20	17	18

Starting Power Forwards

Projected Starter	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA	DEFF	DRPM
Derrick Favors	119.0	$5,300	$5,100	23.2	-3.3	25.7	-6.1	1.11	17.0%	ATL	21	13	28
Paul Millsap	115.5	$5,400	$5,000	25.7	-0.1	27.7	-3.3	1.08	19.3%	HOU	8	30	3
Marcus Morris	114.5	$5,500	$5,300	27.3	0.6	25.4	2.7	0.93	19.1%	NY	28	29	3
Jerami Grant	112.3	$6,000	$5,800	32.2	3.7	26.6	5.2	0.83	13.6%	MIA	17	27	25
PJ Tucker	111.0	$4,800	$4,600	35.5	2.2	22.2	2.2	0.63	9.5%	DEN	17	10	2
John Collins	108.0	$7,200	$7,400	29.8	-1.4	34.5	0.3	1.16	20.5%	UTA	18	23	5
James Johnson	107.3	$3,800	$4,000	21.1	3.3	16.8	-1.1	0.80	18.1%	OKC	13	24	2
Marvin Williams	105.3	$5,000	$4,900	27.9	4.0	22.8	-1.7	0.82	14.1%	MEM	2	7	3
Noah Vonleh	101.5	$5,500	$6,000	26.5	0.3	25.7	-0.9	0.97	13.8%	BOS	1	6	26
Jaren Jackson	99.3	$5,900	$5,300	25.8	0.6	26.2	-2.3	1.02	19.5%	CHA	27	15	17

Starting Centers

Projected Starter	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA	DEFF	DRPM
Rudy Gobert	119.0	$9,200	$8,500	31.6	1.3	41.5	2.7	1.31	15.7%	ATL	24	26	13
Nikola Jokic	115.5	$11,500	$10,800	31.4	3.8	47.3	11.8	1.51	27.4%	HOU	12	17	14
Al Horford	114.5	$7,900	$7,000	28.3	1.1	31.3	15.3	1.11	18.2%	NY	28	21	10
Steven Adams	112.3	$7,300	$6,400	34.1	0.2	35.4	-0.8	1.04	15.4%	MIA	3	6	2
Kenneth Faried	111.0	$7,900	$6,900	16.0	16.6	18.0	21.7	1.12	18.6%	DEN	17	4	11
Dewayne Dedmon	108.0	$6,000	$5,400	24.7	0.0	25.9	3.6	1.05	14.8%	UTA	18	1	1
Hassan Whiteside	107.3	$7,600	$6,700	25.5	-2.0	35.7	1.6	1.40	19.7%	OKC	11	13	14
Bismack Biyombo	105.3	$3,900	$3,900	14.7	3.1	15.0	0.1	1.02	11.8%	MEM	2	15	5
Luke Kornet	101.5	$5,500	$4,300	15.2		14.7		0.96	16.6%	BOS	3	16	12
Marc Gasol	99.3	$8,200	$7,800	33.9	0.2	38.0	-4.5	1.12	21.1%	CHA	27	27	19

Notable Bench Players

Player	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	L4 +/-	FP/Game	L4 +/-	FP/Min	Usage	Opponent	DvsA
Jae Crowder	119.0	$4,500	$4,700	27.4	0.3	22.3	-5.5	0.81	17.7%	ATL	30
Royce O’Neale	119.0	$3,600	$3,600	18.4	3.7	12.7	1.5	0.69	10.9%	ATL	30
Kyle Korver	119.0	$3,500	$3,700	18.6	1.1	13.5	3.3	0.73	16.5%	ATL	28
Mason Plumlee	115.5	$4,100	$4,100	19.6	0.4	21.9	1.5	1.12	16.1%	HOU	22
Malik Beasley	115.5	$4,500	$4,400	22.9	1.4	17.0	8.7	0.74	16.7%	HOU	16
Torrey Craig	115.5	$3,600	$4,200	22.6	-1.5	15.4	3.1	0.68	11.8%	HOU	16
Jaylen Brown	114.5	$5,500	$4,900	26.1	1.1	22.6	6.1	0.87	19.5%	NY	28
Terry Rozier	114.5	$7,600	$5,500	23.0	4.7	21.2	12.8	0.92	19.0%	NY	20
Gordon Hayward	114.5	$5,300	$5,000	25.8	-2.9	23.7	-0.4	0.92	19.1%	NY	30
Patrick Patterson	112.3	$3,500	$3,400	14.6	0.7	9.1	-2.4	0.62	11.6%	MIA	19
Dennis Schroder	112.3	$5,000	$4,900	28.5	-3.3	26.8	-1.5	0.94	24.4%	MIA	7
Nerlens Noel	112.3	$4,200	$3,900	14.2	4.6	17.9	3.0	1.26	12.5%	MIA	3
Austin Rivers	111.0	$3,800	$4,200	28.3	2.2	17.4	1.4	0.61	14.7%	DEN	7
Gerald Green	111.0	$3,500	$4,000	21.0	-3.9	14.5	-2.0	0.69	16.8%	DEN	4
James Ennis III	111.0	$3,800	$3,500	23.1	1.4	14.9	2.6	0.65	10.8%	DEN	17
Taurean Prince	108.0	$5,000	$4,900	27.2	1.4	23.1	-2.4	0.85	19.0%	UTA	1
Jeremy Lin	108.0	$3,900	$4,000	19.9	0.7	19.7	-0.5	0.99	21.7%	UTA	3
Alex Len	108.0	$4,500	$4,400	19.8	-2.5	21.2	2.3	1.07	19.7%	UTA	18
Bam Adebayo	107.3	$4,400	$4,200	22.2	1.0	22.2	-2.4	1.00	14.5%	OKC	11
Dwyane Wade	107.3	$5,300	$5,000	25.4	0.9	25.7	1.3	1.01	26.1%	OKC	14
Tyler Johnson	107.3	$5,300	$4,200	25.6	5.7	21.7	2.3	0.85	18.8%	OKC	6
Willy Hernangomez	105.3	$4,100	$4,000	14.1	0.0	17.0	-1.4	1.21	20.1%	MEM	2
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	105.3	$3,900	$3,700	19.7	-1.2	18.1	-1.6	0.92	15.7%	MEM	11
Malik Monk	105.3	$4,100	$3,400	18.6	1.0	16.2	0.1	0.87	23.5%	MEM	9
Mitchell Robinson	101.5	$5,000	$4,200	17.1	1.8	18.4	8.1	1.07	9.7%	BOS	8
Mario Hezonja	101.5	$4,400	$4,200	18.9	10.3	15.5	7.8	0.82	18.1%	BOS	16
Kadeem Allen	101.5	$3,500	$3,300	17.9	0.0	17.2	0.0	0.96	17.5%	BOS
JaMychal Green	99.3	$3,600	$4,500	22.3	-8.2	21.9	-11.5	0.98	17.3%	CHA	27
Bruno Caboclo	99.3	$3,900	$3,400	22.9	0.0	17.9	0.0	0.78	11.9%	CHA
Shelvin Mack	99.3	$3,500	$3,500	22.5	-3.7	16.9	-3.4	0.75	18.8%	CHA	24

Legend & Tutorial Video

Color Coding

1) BLUE represents the “elite” category (top 25th percentile).
2) GREEN represents the “above-average” category (top 50th percentile).
3) YELLOW represents the “below-average” category (bottom 50th percentile).
4) RED represents the “poor” category (bottom 25th percentile).