NBA First Look: Sunday, February 28th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-03-01 15:33:05

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The NBA First Look, complete with sortable odds, offensive rankings, and DvP rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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First Look Legend

Term	Description
Team Total	The implied number of points a team is expected to score based on the Vegas line and total.
PPG	The number of points scored per game by each team.
Total +/-	The difference between a team’s implied total and their average points scored per game.
Pace	The number of possessions a team averages per game.
Projected Pace	Formula = (Team 1 Pace – League Average Pace) + (Team 2 Pace – League Average Pace) + League Average Pace
Pace +/-	The difference between a team’s pace and the projected pace of that night’s game.
Total FPs	The total number of fantasy points allowed by each team.
Usage	The percentage of possessions a player uses while on the floor, adjusted for turnovers.
L5 + / –	The average MPG and FPPG over the last five games, compared to season averages.

NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Favorite	Spread	Total	Tip-Off
Cleveland Cavaliers (41-15)	at	Washington Wizards (26-30)	CLE	-5.0	211.0	1:00 PM
Charlotte Hornets (29-27)	at	Atlanta Hawks (31-27)	ATL	-3.5	202.0	3:30 PM
Portland Trail Blazers (30-28)	at	Indiana Pacers (31-26)	IND	-4.5	211.5	6:00 PM
Toronto Raptors (38-18)	at	Detroit Pistons (29-29)	TBD	TBD	TBD	6:00 PM
Philadelphia 76ers (8-49)	at	Orlando Magic (25-31)	ORL	-10.5	211.0	6:00 PM
Minnesota Timberwolves (18-40)	at	Dallas Mavericks (30-28)	DAL	-6.5	214.0	7:00 PM
Miami Heat (32-25)	at	New York Knicks (24-35)	NY	-2.5	205.0	7:30 PM

Team Offense Rankings

Team Offense	Opponent	Team Total	PPG	Total +/-	Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
Orlando Magic	PHI	110.8	100.4	10.4	96.9	98.9	2.0
Dallas Mavericks	MIN	110.3	101.4	8.8	96.4	95.4	-1.0
Cleveland Cavaliers	WAS	108.0	103.1	4.9	95.2	97.5	2.3
Indiana Pacers	POR	108.0	102.5	5.5	99.5	99.1	-0.4
New York Knicks	MIA	103.8	99.2	4.6	95.9	93.1	-2.8
Minnesota Timberwolves	DAL	103.8	100.9	2.8	97.0	95.4	-1.6
Portland Trail Blazers	IND	103.5	103.5	0.0	97.6	99.1	1.5
Washington Wizards	CLE	103.0	102.6	0.4	100.3	97.5	-2.8
Atlanta Hawks	CHA	102.8	102.5	0.3	99.4	99.1	-0.3
Miami Heat	NY	101.3	97.1	4.2	95.2	93.1	-2.1
Philadelphia 76ers	ORL	100.3	95.9	4.3	100.0	98.9	-1.1
Charlotte Hornets	ATL	99.3	102.0	-2.8	97.7	99.1	1.4
Toronto Raptors	DET	TBD	102.4	TBD	95.7	95.6	-0.1
Detroit Pistons	TOR	TBD	101.6	TBD	97.9	95.6	-2.3

Defense vs. Position Rankings

Team Defense	vs. PG	vs. SG	vs. SF	vs. PF	vs. C	Total FPA	Opponent
Philadelphia 76ers	22	16	27	28	30	28	Orlando
Minnesota Timberwolves	23	17	16	7	8	14	Dallas
Washington Wizards	14	24	26	10	13	17	Cleveland
Portland Trail Blazers	16	20	6	20	20	13	Indiana
Miami Heat	2	3	17	3	6	4	New York
Dallas Mavericks	11	7	10	27	12	15	Minnesota
Indiana Pacers	6	17	5	12	15	10	Portland
Cleveland Cavaliers	18	6	7	2	2	3	Washington
Charlotte Hornets	13	15	22	25	14	20	Atlanta
New York Knicks	19	13	11	5	16	11	Miami
Orlando Magic	24	4	20	19	11	19	Philadelphia
Atlanta Hawks	9	22	18	17	24	18	Charlotte
Detroit Pistons	11	8	2	16	10	8	Toronto
Toronto Raptors	4	12	4	4	18	5	Detroit

Point Guard

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Elfrid Payton	PG	$5,200	PG	$4,800	29.5	-1.0	18.2	24.4	-3.8	0.83	PHI	22
Deron Williams	PG	$5,700	PG	$5,800	32.3	4.5	19.2	25.9	7.9	0.80	MIN	23
Kyrie Irving	PG	$7,000	PG	$7,700	29.5	-0.2	26.3	29.7	3.6	1.01	WAS	14
George Hill	PG	$5,800	PG	$5,400	35.2	-0.8	14.0	24.2	-1.1	0.69	POR	16
Jose Calderon	PG	$4,200	PG	$4,100	27.6	-0.2	11.6	18.2	-1.4	0.66	MIA	2
Ricky Rubio	PG	$6,900	PG	$6,400	30.6	4.4	16.4	30.5	3.6	1.00	DAL	11
Damian Lillard	PG	$9,400	PG	$9,600	36.0	-0.6	27.8	40.7	8.7	1.13	IND	6
John Wall	PG	$9,800	PG	$9,400	35.9	-2.8	24.6	41.8	-1.6	1.17	CLE	18
Jeff Teague	PG	$6,400	PG	$6,100	28.4	-0.7	21.7	27.0	2.3	0.95	CHA	13
Goran Dragic	PG	$6,300	PG	$6,400	32.5	1.4	17.5	25.1	9.2	0.77	NY	19
Ishmael Smith	PG	$6,400	PG	$6,400	26.6	1.6	22.1	26.3	-4.6	0.99	ORL	24
Kemba Walker	PG	$8,400	PG	$7,800	35.9	2.4	23.0	35.7	4.3	0.99	ATL	9
Kyle Lowry	PG	$9,000	PG	$8,600	36.9	1.1	22.4	38.9	0.4	1.05	DET	11
Reggie Jackson	PG	$6,700	PG	$6,900	30.9	-0.5	25.8	31.8	1.4	1.03	TOR	4

Shooting Guard

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Evan Fournier	SG	$5,400	SG	$6,000	32.1	7.8	16.8	23.1	8.4	0.72	PHI	16
Wesley Matthews	SG	$4,300	SG	$4,600	33.1	0.9	15.1	19.8	-1.1	0.60	MIN	17
J.R. Smith	SG	$4,800	SG	$5,000	30.8	3.4	16.5	20.6	-4.2	0.67	WAS	24
Monta Ellis	SG	$6,100	SG	$5,900	34.0	4.2	17.9	26.9	1.8	0.79	POR	20
Arron Afflalo	SG	$4,800	SG	$4,700	34.1	0.6	16.2	21.4	-4.5	0.63	MIA	3
Andrew Wiggins	SG	$6,600	SG	$6,300	35.1	-0.1	23.4	28.7	2.9	0.82	DAL	7
C.J. McCollum	SG	$7,500	SG	$7,500	35.1	-0.7	24.0	32.6	1.3	0.93	IND	17
Garrett Temple	SG	$3,500	SG	$3,300	25.6	-0.3	13.0	15.2	-2.5	0.59	CLE	6
Kyle Korver	SG	$3,800	SG	$4,200	30.4	3.8	11.6	17.9	2.2	0.59	CHA	15
Dwyane Wade	SG	$7,500	SG	$7,000	30.5	3.7	27.0	31.1	2.1	1.02	NY	13
Nik Stauskas	SG	$3,500	SG	$3,600	24.0	1.3	13.1	13.5	1.2	0.56	ORL	4
Courtney Lee	SG	$3,700	SG	$3,900	29.1	-2.9	12.9	16.5	-3.5	0.57	ATL	22
DeMar DeRozan	SG	$7,700	SG	$7,300	36.2	0.4	25.8	35.2	1.6	0.97	DET	8
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	SG	$5,200	SG	$5,100	36.7	-3.5	15.6	23.7	-6.0	0.65	TOR	12

Small Forward

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Victor Oladipo	SG	$6,800	SG	$7,100	31.8	6.8	19.8	28.3	5.5	0.89	PHI	27
Chandler Parsons	SF	$6,600	SF	$6,300	28.3	4.7	16.9	22.1	8.0	0.78	MIN	16
LeBron James	SF	$9,800	SF	$9,500	35.8	-0.5	27.5	44.3	1.3	1.24	WAS	26
Paul George	SF	$9,000	SF	$8,700	35.5	0.9	24.9	38.9	3.1	1.10	POR	6
Carmelo Anthony	SF	$9,000	SF	$8,400	35.0	2.8	25.5	37.7	4.9	1.08	MIA	17
Tayshaun Prince	SF	$3,500	SF	$3,100	21.0	-6.7	6.9	8.0	-2.6	0.38	DAL	10
Al-Farouq Aminu	SF	$4,700	SF	$4,900	29.2	-2.0	14.3	21.8	-2.9	0.75	IND	5
Otto Porter	SF	$5,000	SF	$4,900	30.7	-3.1	14.2	23.8	-6.8	0.78	CLE	7
Kent Bazemore	SF	$4,600	SF	$5,000	28.1	-1.7	16.2	22.8	-8.2	0.81	CHA	22
Justise Winslow	SF	$4,600	SF	$5,000	28.2	3.6	9.8	15.9	7.4	0.56	NY	11
Robert Covington	SF	$5,000	SF	$5,500	26.7	-0.7	16.4	22.2	0.1	0.83	ORL	20
Nicolas Batum	SG	$6,500	SG	$6,700	35.3	2.3	17.5	30.5	0.8	0.86	ATL	18
James Johnson	SF	$3,500	SF	$3,300	15.7	3.2	12.7	10.4	-0.5	0.66	DET	2
Marcus Morris	SF	$5,400	SF	$5,500	36.1	-0.8	15.9	24.1	-1.6	0.67	TOR	4

Power Forward

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Aaron Gordon	PF	$6,300	PF	$6,700	22.3	7.3	14.4	19.8	12.3	0.89	PHI	28
Dirk Nowitzki	PF	$7,000	PF	$6,500	31.1	4.4	21.5	29.7	0.7	0.96	MIN	7
Kevin Love	PF	$7,300	PF	$7,400	32.1	-2.4	19.6	32.9	-1.5	1.03	WAS	10
Myles Turner	PF	$5,600	PF	$6,000	21.6	8.3	17.8	20.3	7.2	0.94	POR	20
Kristaps Porzingis	PF	$6,400	PF	$6,600	28.3	0.6	19.9	28.3	-2.0	1.00	MIA	3
Karl-Anthony Towns	C	$8,900	C	$8,500	30.7	6.5	20.0	34.4	8.5	1.12	DAL	27
Noah Vonleh	PF	$3,500	PF	$3,200	16.0	0.0	10.1	10.1	-0.9	0.63	IND	12
Jared Dudley	PF	$4,800	SF	$4,500	28.7	-1.9	11.1	18.4	4.3	0.64	CLE	2
Paul Millsap	PF	$7,900	PF	$8,000	32.6	2.6	20.2	37.0	-0.7	1.13	CHA	25
Luol Deng	SF	$6,000	SF	$6,400	31.7	2.6	14.5	21.5	15.1	0.68	NY	5
Nerlens Noel	PF	$6,500	PF	$6,200	29.1	-2.5	13.8	27.4	1.6	0.94	ORL	19
Marvin Williams	PF	$6,000	PF	$5,600	29.1	-2.6	13.5	23.2	0.1	0.80	ATL	17
Luis Scola	PF	$3,500	PF	$3,700	22.4	-5.4	16.9	17.9	-6.1	0.80	DET	16
Tobias Harris	SF	$5,900	SF	$6,400	32.8	-0.3	16.1	26.9	2.4	0.82	TOR	4

Center

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Nikola Vucevic	C	$8,200	C	$7,900	32.1	3.1	22.5	34.8	6.7	1.08	PHI	30
Zaza Pachulia	C	$5,300	C	$5,500	29.5	1.7	13.4	26.6	-1.3	0.90	MIN	8
Tristan Thompson	PF	$4,900	PF	$5,300	28.2	0.9	9.9	21.4	6.5	0.76	WAS	13
Ian Mahinmi	C	$5,000	C	$5,000	24.8	6.1	12.2	21.9	5.5	0.88	POR	20
Robin Lopez	C	$5,800	C	$5,600	25.8	3.6	13.9	21.4	8.1	0.83	MIA	6
Gorgui Dieng	PF	$6,500	PF	$6,800	26.3	11.3	13.1	23.0	8.9	0.88	DAL	12
Mason Plumlee	C	$5,300	C	$5,000	25.5	-1.6	14.3	23.8	-0.4	0.93	IND	15
Marcin Gortat	C	$6,900	C	$6,700	31.0	-1.6	15.5	30.4	4.4	0.98	CLE	2
Al Horford	C	$7,800	C	$7,200	32.0	6.0	18.1	31.9	8.9	1.00	CHA	14
Amar’e Stoudemire	PF	$3,700	C	$3,800	14.1	-1.0	14.4	12.9	-0.8	0.91	NY	16
Jahlil Okafor	C	$6,300	C	$6,100	30.0	-2.1	21.8	28.4	0.0	0.95	ORL	11
Cody Zeller	PF	$4,600	C	$4,500	24.8	-1.2	13.3	19.8	0.6	0.80	ATL	24
Jonas Valanciunas	C	$6,400	C	$5,700	26.3	0.2	17.0	26.9	2.8	1.02	DET	10
Andre Drummond	C	$8,500	C	$8,200	33.7	0.4	20.4	40.0	1.8	1.19	TOR	18

Notes:

The DvP rankings listed above are on a per-48 minutes basis and are based on FanDuel’s scoring system. The DvP rankings are for that of the entire season. The players in each table are in listed in order of team total, highest to lowest. The tables are sortable, so you can sort by any of the criteria listed.

1) Stats in BLUE represent elite matchups against a bottom 25th percentile defense.
2) Stats in GREEN represent good matchups against a bottom 50th percentile defense.
3) Stats in YELLOW represent mediocre matchups against a top 50th percentile defense.
4) Stats in RED represent poor matchups against a top 25th percentile defense.