There is no major news to report ahead of the final regular event of the season. The news this week surrounds the health of Tiger Woods. After pulling out of last week’s event, Woods went on record as saying he felt way better this week. It’s worth noting that Woods has two wins in his career at Medinah. With no tee time draws or cut to worry about this week weather should not be a factor in terms of picking golfers. There is a chance of rain on the weekend, but overall the weather for golf looks pretty decent. Good luck this week. ResultsDB will be up and running within 15 minutes of roster lock. Make sure to check out how your lineups stack up against the field.
Rafael Cabrera Bello missed last week’s Northern Trust to be with his wife as she gave birth to their daughter. With mom and baby, healthy RCB returns to action this week as he barley snuck into the top 70. Needing a top 3 or better finish to make it to East Lake RCB will have his work cut out for him at Medinah. From a DFS standpoint, RCB at his price point would prove to be very effective with a top 20 type of finish. Currently projected to be right in the middle of our projections in terms of Pt/$/K, RCB could be a sneaky pick in terms of exceeding that projection. Making a ton of bridies has not been the issue for RCB of late, it’s been the bogies and big numbers keeping this talented golfer from playing the weekend. With no cut this week and really no big pressure to speak of we can look at RCB being the type of player to crush his value in light of a strong finish position. In his last start ( also a no-cut event) RCB crushed his value for the week and ended up being one of the top points per dollar golfers despite only finishing in a tie for twelfth.
In a vacumn, Paul Casey could be viewed as a frustrating roster option this year. Untimely missed cuts at The Players Championship and The Masters, combined with an injury withdrawal at Colonial could have burned quite a few in the DFS community this year. Looking instead at Casey’s whole body of work for the season will provide a better sense of Casey’s game heading into the final two events of the season. Casey ranks inside the top 10 in most strokes gained ball striking metrics this season and comes into this week with a chance to improve on what has been a very good season. The Copperhead course at Innisbrook is gaining traction as a good corollary course for this week, and as we have seen by his back to back wins at The Valspar, Casey really likes that type of course. With 13 top 25’s in 20 starts this season Casey stands out as a great mid-range option for the week.
After his play and subsequent withdrawal from last week’s Northern Trust, there was a strong doubt that Tiger Woods would play again this year. Tiger played nine holes this morning in the Pro-Am and appears on track to play in The BMW Championship. Tiger will have a press conference after the round, so we should know more about the state of his game later today. The big if’s surrounding Tiger’s game has more to do with health than skill, so if he can play this week there is a chance that the defending Tour Champion from last year can make a return to East Lake. Currently ranked in the 38th position in this year’s race, Tiger will need a good week to advance in the playoffs. Tiger has the track record at this course and knowing that he has to hit less than driver seems to be a perfect fit for his game at the moment. With both a discount in price and low projected ownership, Tiger if healthy could be a great GPP option for the week.
Slow play has been an issue on The PGA Tour for many years. Thanks to the advent of social media it’s become a lot easier for PGA Tour players to vent how they feel about the issue of slow play. This past weekend Bryson DeChambeau took some heat both on and off the course for his very deliberate style of play. In a post-round press conference, DeChambeau took offense to the issue by standing behind the way he plays the game. While many players were critical of DeChambeau he did not quite get the harsh treatment that J.B. Holmes received at The Open Championship. Already a five-time winner on tour, DeChambeau is possibly the biggest name associated with the slow play issue. After meetings with players such as Brooks Koepka, DeChambeau has decided to try and improve the pace of his play. Looking to take the high road, DeChambeau took to Instagram to vow an improvement to the issue at hand. Hopefully, DeChambeau can put this behind him as he prepares to try and make this year’s Presidents Cup team.
If you are new to DFS golf, or to just golf in general than you might not associate the game of Vaughn Taylor to that of a player worthy of making a Ryder Cup Team. With a win during the 2005 season and 17 top 25 seasons in the 2005 and 2006 seasons combined Taylor played in the 2006 Ryder Cup team as a captain’s pick. Since that time Taylor has done little to earn that type of recognition in his game. Currently, in the 62nd position in this year’s FedEx Cup race, Taylor will need a special week if he hopes to make a trip to East Lake for the first time. Entering this week with having made 8 straight cuts including 4 top 20 or better showings, Taylor is a player that has consistently outperformed his price. With yet another low price tag for this week’s BMW Championship, Taylor sits near the top in terms of Pt/$/K in our projection model for the week. Looking to have his best season in quite some time, Taylor is in a good spot to once again be a top value option for the week.
After only two short months of time together, Jason Day has decided to part ways with caddie Steve Williams. Searching for answers Day hired Williams ahead of The U.S. Open with hopes of turning his game back into the right direction. Day will have longtime friend David Lutterus on the bag this week at The BMW Championship. Currently, in the 50th position in this year’s FedEx Cup race, Day will have to play very well if he hopes to make it to East Lake next week. With, The Presidents Cup team also on his mind, Day currently sits one spot out of an automatic bid to make the team. This former number one player in the world will have plenty to play for his week as he prepares to keep his 2019 season alive.
Kevin Na has decided to take a pass on The BMW Championship. Currently ranked outside the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings Na’s 2019 season is over. He will not be replaced in the field.
A pretty good storm moved through the New Jersey area late on Wednesday afternoon. The grounds crew will be able to get the course ready for round one tee times, but due to damage that occurred to spectator areas the gates for The Northern Trust will not open on time. Early morning golfers will play with no spectators as the gates will not open until 10. Players like Rory and Tiger will play close to nine holes before they see any spectators. For now, it appears the course is ready to go and there is no other major news to report. ResultsDB will be up shortly after roster lock. Good luck this week Grinders!!!!
Vaughn Taylor ended up being one of the more popular golfers in cash game formats for last week’s Wyndham Championship. While his top 40 finish did not exactly exceed the expectations needed to pay off his salary, Taylor’s play did very little in terms of hurting your lineups. Priced-down in this strong field, Taylor is a player you can look for as a source of salary relief for the week. Looking to play his way into next week’s BMW Championship, Taylor will need a made cut and a decent finish if he hopes to improve his current ranking ( 63rd) in this year’s FedEx Cup race. Taylor has made 8 straight cuts since the start of May and with 4 of those finishes coming inside the top 25 or better this former Ryder Cup member could end up being a sneaky point per dollar play for the week.
Kevin Roth’s weather report for the year’s final cut event of the season is up in the main forum. For the second straight week, it appears that while there will be some weather to contend with it will be very hard to guess if any tee time wave will have an advantage. As the day progresses on Thursday golfers could see an isolated shower or two, but nothing of great alarm. For DFS purposes we are more concerned about high winds and with projected winds of 5 to 10 mph ( gusts at 15mph) there is a major concern of wind creating an edge for one wave this week. For the most part wind conditions will be very similar on both Thursday and Friday. Tee time wave staking is always an option for GPP’s but there is no need to avoid players due to the predicted weather this week.
Missed cuts and Hideki Matsuyama are things we often won’t see in the same sentence. Since he started playing The PGA Tour full-time Matsuyama has only missed more than 2 cuts in a season twice. Since the start of the 2014 season, Matsuyama has played 136 events while only missing the cut 12 % of the time. With two missed cuts in his last three starts, Matsuyama will look to bounce back from an uncharacteristic stretch of poor golf. Priced-down due to his recent form Matsuyama stands out as a great buy-low option for the week. Recency biases could be very large against Matsuyama, but despite his poor recent form he still rates out as a great fit for this course. Historically an elite ball-striker Matsuyama should find Liberty National to his liking this week.
Tuesday’s practice round went as planned for current Master’s Champion Tiger Woods. With the operations too numerous to count, there is no doubt that Woods back will always be an issue moving forward. Some days are better than others for Woods, and today was one of those not so good days. Tiger considered pulling out of the Wednesday Pro-Am with back stiffness but decided to play through nine holes before just chipping and putting on the back nine. Woods is hopeful that tomorrow he will wake up and feel better, but for now, it’s worth noting that the back could be an issue. We will keep an eye on Tiger news up until lock tomorrow morning.
In less than a month from now, Presidents Cup Captian Tiger Woods will have a few very tough choices to make in terms of his picks to make the 2019 team. As the season winds down the last three events could have a big impact on who makes the team. With his strong performance last week Webb Simpson made a big push to make the team by moving into the sixth place spot in the current standings. Captian Woods had an impromptu meeting with hopeful team members yesterday at The Northern Trust. The group took a picture at that meeting, but one staple of past National Teams was not in the picture. Jordan Spieth who will almost certainly need a pick to make this year’s team was not in attendance. Not currently in the top 8 automatic spots, Captian Woods is rumored to take a spot as a playing captain this year. With plenty of points still up for grabs, you should keep an eye on Presidents Cup standings over the next three weeks.
With less than spectacular recent results, it will be easy for many in the community to get off Jason Day. Outside of a 5th place showing at this year’s Masters Day has really not played well in the big events this season. Day now has Steve Williams on his bag and is in the process of recommitting himself to whatever it takes to become the number one golfer in the world. Still, a very talented golfer Day at both low ownership and a decreased price screams GPP upside this week. In terms of course comparisons, there have been quite a few correlations with Augusta National. Par five scoring and accurate iron play will be big this week, and Day can certainly excel in both areas. If you like the narrative angle then Day can lean on his caddie Steve Williams a bit more this week. Williams was on the bag for Tiger second-place showing in 2009 and Adam Scott’s win in 2013. Despite his poor overall play this season Day still ranks inside the top 10 in DraftKings scoring in this field over the last 50 rounds.
Are you a DFS player who wants to get into sports betting?
If you have access to New Jersey sports betting, then use our DraftKings Sportsbook promo code and our FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to get the best bonuses in the NJ industry.
Those who can take advantage of PA online sports betting should use our SugarHouse PA promo code to get the best sports betting bonus in Pennsylvania.
If you don't yet have access to an online sportsbook, check out Monkey Knife Fight, a prop betting platform available in 31 states. Use our Monkey Knife Fight promo code to get a fantastic bonus.