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MLB DFS First Look: Monday, July 1st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2024-07-01 15:58:19

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The MLB DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines

Away Pitcher Handed Line Total Home Pitcher Handed Line Total Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Houston Astros Hunter Brown RHP -144 8.5 Toronto Blue Jays Yariel Rodriguez RHP 122 8.5 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets David Peterson LHP -108 8.5 Washington Nationals MacKenzie Gore LHP -108 8.5 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Milwaukee Brewers Bryse Wilson RHP -164 11.5 Colorado Rockies Austin Gomber LHP 138 11.5 8:40 PM EDT Main Main

Pitcher Breakdown

The expected stats are from 2024, the rest of the stats are from the last 2 seasons combined.

Pitcher Team Handed Opponent Line Total DK FD xwOBA xERA SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% HC% Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Hunter Brown HOU RHP at TOR -144 8.5 $8,500 $9,300 0.295 3.42 3.70 4.97 26% 9% 11% 52% 32% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Yariel Rodriguez TOR RHP vs HOU 122 8.5 $6,900 $6,900 0.371 5.73 4.92 5.94 21% 14% 10% 39% 33% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
David Peterson NYM LHP at WAS -108 8.5 $7,300 $8,600 0.368 5.62 4.09 4.85 24% 10% 12% 55% 33% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
MacKenzie Gore WAS LHP vs NYM -108 8.5 $9,800 $9,800 0.307 3.73 3.86 4.08 27% 9% 13% 38% 32% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Bryse Wilson MIL RHP at COL -164 11.5 $6,000 $7,400 0.346 4.86 4.37 3.36 19% 8% 8% 39% 36% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Austin Gomber COL LHP vs MIL 138 11.5 $6,500 $7,900 0.349 4.96 5.06 5.10 15% 7% 8% 42% 37% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main

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Offense Breakdown (Team Stats by Handedness)

The expected stats are from 2024, the rest of the stats are from the last 2 seasons combined.

Offense Total TvsLHP TvsRHP Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed PvsLHB PvsRHB Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Toronto Blue Jays 3.93 0.299 0.306 vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 0.355 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Houston Astros 4.57 0.321 0.324 at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 0.448 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Washington Nationals 4.25 0.297 0.302 vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 0.357 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets 4.25 0.350 0.316 at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 0.319 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Colorado Rockies 5.10 0.328 0.306 vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 0.252 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Milwaukee Brewers 6.40 0.299 0.335 at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 0.341 8:40 PM EDT Main Main

Hitter Breakdown (Stats by Handedness)

The expected stats are from 2024, the rest of the stats are from the last 2 seasons combined.

Batter Team Handed Order Total xwOBA xISO wOBA ISO wRC+ HC% BB% K% DK Pos FD Pos Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed P-wOBAvL P-xFIPvL P-K%vL P-wOBAvR P-xFIPvR P-K%vR Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Jose Altuve HOU RH 1 4.57 0.313 0.150 0.377 0.195 145 28% 9% 19% $5,300 2B $3,800 2B at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Alex Bregman HOU RH 2 4.57 0.289 0.131 0.359 0.177 132 31% 11% 15% $4,200 3B $3,100 3B at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Yordan Alvarez HOU LH 3 4.57 0.391 0.278 0.411 0.301 168 43% 13% 16% $5,700 OF $4,100 OF at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Yainer Diaz HOU RH 4 4.57 0.323 0.151 0.351 0.237 127 34% 3% 16% $4,100 C $2,900 C at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Meyers HOU RH 5 4.57 0.333 0.176 0.294 0.150 88 31% 7% 26% $3,200 OF $2,700 OF at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Jonathan Singleton HOU LH 6 4.57 0.303 0.139 0.270 0.086 72 26% 13% 24% $3,000 1B $2,500 1B at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Jeremy Pena HOU RH 7 4.57 0.301 0.103 0.290 0.095 85 27% 7% 22% $3,900 SS $3,000 SS at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Mauricio Dubon HOU RH 8 4.57 0.294 0.092 0.298 0.117 90 28% 4% 13% $3,100 1B/OF $2,700 2B/3B/1B/OF at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Cesar Salazar HOU LH 9 4.57 $2,200 C $2,600 C at TOR Yariel Rodriguez RHP 0.314 4.34 20% 0.448 5.27 22% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Bo Bichette TOR RH 1 3.93 0.318 0.136 0.331 0.150 113 34% 5% 19% $4,300 SS $2,700 SS vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Spencer Horwitz TOR LH 2 3.93 0.383 0.135 0.361 0.103 135 28% 13% 19% $4,000 1B/2B $2,800 2B/1B vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Vladimir Guerrero TOR RH 3 3.93 0.380 0.199 0.339 0.174 119 39% 9% 16% $4,400 1B $3,300 1B/3B vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Justin Turner TOR RH 4 3.93 0.338 0.133 0.322 0.146 102 27% 8% 17% $3,600 3B $2,800 1B/3B vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
George Springer TOR RH 5 3.93 0.311 0.113 0.308 0.135 97 33% 9% 18% $3,800 OF $2,900 OF vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Daulton Varsho TOR LH 6 3.93 0.251 0.139 0.292 0.206 86 30% 8% 25% $3,900 OF $3,000 OF vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Davis Schneider TOR RH 7 3.93 0.333 0.200 0.350 0.215 128 34% 11% 27% $4,100 2B/OF $2,900 2B/OF vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Alejandro Kirk TOR RH 8 3.93 0.321 0.129 0.295 0.107 88 33% 9% 10% $2,500 C $2,100 C vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Isiah Kiner-Falefa TOR RH 9 3.93 0.296 0.104 0.301 0.120 94 26% 6% 17% $3,400 2B/SS $2,700 SS/OF/3B/2B vs HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.324 3.52 27% 0.355 3.53 25% 3:07 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Lindor NYM SH 1 4.25 0.366 0.224 0.385 0.277 150 42% 7% 14% $4,900 SS $3,600 SS at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Brandon Nimmo NYM LH 2 4.25 0.376 0.200 0.333 0.141 115 33% 5% 21% $4,700 OF $3,400 OF at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
J.D. Martinez NYM RH 3 4.25 0.395 0.281 0.409 0.298 165 51% 11% 28% $4,500 1B/OF $2,900 OF at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Pete Alonso NYM RH 4 4.25 0.338 0.215 0.355 0.299 130 35% 10% 23% $5,000 1B $3,300 1B at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Alvarez NYM RH 5 4.25 0.294 0.135 0.289 0.181 85 40% 12% 24% $3,800 C $2,900 C at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Tyrone Taylor NYM RH 6 4.25 0.296 0.127 0.273 0.162 72 30% 2% 23% $3,100 OF $2,500 OF at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Mark Vientos NYM RH 7 4.25 0.346 0.215 0.320 0.189 107 45% 5% 28% $3,500 3B $3,100 3B/1B at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Jose Iglesias NYM RH 8 4.25 0.332 0.072 0.470 0.095 213 35% 4% 17% $2,800 2B $2,300 SS/2B/3B at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Harrison Bader NYM RH 9 4.25 0.308 0.132 0.333 0.214 116 34% 8% 16% $3,500 OF $2,800 OF at WAS MacKenzie Gore LHP 0.380 3.67 27% 0.319 3.83 27% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
C.J. Abrams WAS LH 1 4.25 0.352 0.177 0.286 0.150 78 25% 4% 23% $6,000 SS $3,800 SS vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Lane Thomas WAS RH 2 4.25 0.331 0.161 0.400 0.238 155 38% 7% 16% $5,400 OF $3,600 OF vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Ildemaro Vargas WAS SH 3 4.25 0.281 0.067 0.349 0.158 121 34% 5% 11% $2,700 2B/SS $2,300 2B/SS/3B/OF vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Harold Ramirez WAS RH 4 4.25 0.265 0.082 0.379 0.136 150 28% 2% 18% $3,200 OF $2,500 OF vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Nick Senzel WAS RH 5 4.25 0.326 0.136 0.407 0.268 157 36% 9% 17% $3,300 3B $2,500 3B vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Joey Meneses WAS RH 6 4.25 0.276 0.113 0.297 0.121 85 34% 6% 20% $3,400 1B $2,700 1B vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Keibert Ruiz WAS SH 7 4.25 0.284 0.098 0.297 0.108 85 23% 4% 8% $3,100 C $2,400 C vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
James Wood WAS LH 8 4.25 $3,500 OF $2,600 OF vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Jacob Young WAS RH 9 4.25 0.308 0.070 0.314 0.090 100 29% 5% 18% $3,700 OF $2,600 OF vs NYM David Peterson LHP 0.344 3.06 28% 0.357 4.02 22% 6:45 PM EDT Main Main
Joey Ortiz MIL RH 1 6.40 0.342 0.143 0.312 0.114 100 26% 12% 26% $4,800 3B $3,300 3B/2B at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
William Contreras MIL RH 2 6.40 0.341 0.190 0.408 0.221 161 37% 10% 20% $6,300 C $3,700 C at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Christian Yelich MIL LH 3 6.40 0.355 0.149 0.317 0.125 100 28% 9% 22% $6,500 OF $4,500 OF at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Willy Adames MIL RH 4 6.40 0.358 0.223 0.321 0.170 102 41% 16% 26% $5,500 SS $3,900 SS at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Jackson Chourio MIL RH 5 6.40 0.269 0.119 0.215 0.056 35 24% 13% 21% $3,500 OF $3,400 OF at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Rhys Hoskins MIL RH 6 6.40 0.334 0.226 0.238 0.086 51 28% 10% 19% $4,600 1B $3,500 1B at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Blake Perkins MIL SH 7 6.40 0.286 0.107 0.278 0.113 74 23% 11% 22% $3,600 OF $3,400 OF at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Andruw Monasterio MIL RH 8 6.40 0.292 0.196 0.316 0.105 98 29% 13% 21% $3,000 2B/3B $2,700 SS/2B/3B at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Brice Turang MIL LH 9 6.40 0.310 0.101 0.247 0.028 53 15% 11% 19% $5,600 2B $3,700 2B at COL Austin Gomber LHP 0.411 4.86 14% 0.341 4.89 15% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Charlie Blackmon COL LH 1 5.10 0.299 0.110 0.330 0.160 94 31% 8% 16% $5,000 OF $3,300 OF vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Brenton Doyle COL RH 2 5.10 0.315 0.144 0.288 0.135 66 35% 7% 31% $4,700 OF $3,400 OF vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Ezequiel Tovar COL RH 3 5.10 0.294 0.165 0.313 0.160 83 32% 3% 25% $5,100 SS $3,400 SS vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Ryan McMahon COL LH 4 5.10 0.365 0.227 0.348 0.213 106 45% 11% 30% $5,200 3B $3,500 3B vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Elias Diaz COL RH 5 5.10 0.285 0.104 0.341 0.141 101 35% 6% 23% $4,400 C $3,200 C vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Nolan Jones COL LH 6 5.10 0.277 0.122 0.368 0.226 118 43% 14% 31% $4,800 OF $3,100 OF/1B vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Brendan Rodgers COL RH 7 5.10 0.308 0.129 0.290 0.110 68 34% 4% 25% $3,700 2B $3,000 2B vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Michael Toglia COL SH 8 5.10 0.305 0.223 0.291 0.205 68 36% 7% 31% $4,300 1B $3,300 1B/OF vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Cave COL LH 9 5.10 0.285 0.103 0.297 0.128 81 31% 8% 25% $3,500 OF $2,800 OF vs MIL Bryse Wilson RHP 0.368 4.72 22% 0.252 4.72 17% 8:40 PM EDT Main Main

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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious