MLB Grind Down: Saturday, September 12 - Page Three
Oakland at Texas – 8:05 PM EST
| Oakland | Texas | ||||||||
 | Sean Nolin |  | Yovani Gallardo | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TEX (-170) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.633 | 0.277 | 0.083 | SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.686 | 0.304 | 0.166 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.214 | 0.742 | 0.329 | 0 | SP vs. Right | 0.262 | 0.701 | 0.31 | 0.164 |
| Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | Batter Splits | TEX BvP | TEX vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Sean Nolin has to make his second career start in a very hitter-friendly environment in Texas. The matchup and park alone make him a tough play on a night packed with some solid top options in good spots. Rating = 3
Salaries: $5,000 FD, $4,700 DK
Gallardo continues to pitch well above what his advanced statistics show. He has a 3.16 ERA on the season, but his SIERA is more than a full run higher at 4.62. He is striking batters out at a career low 15% and although the matchup is not terrible, is hard to be trusted. Rating = 5
Salaries: $8,000 FD, $6,500 DK
Batter Grind Down
Oakland
While the Athletics offense has not been great this season, they do have a solid matchup tonight and are playing in the highest total game of the night. Gallardo has allowed a .321 wOBA to left-handed bats on the season, which puts Reddick into an elite play, especially for his price at FD.
Elite Plays:
Josh Reddick
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.189
Secondary Plays:
Danny Valencia
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.236
Mark Canha
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.366— ISO: 0.241
Texas
The Rangers have the highest team total of the night slate against Nolin at 5.16. The Rangers are better against right-handed pitching, but still should be able to put up a number of runs on the young lefty.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Beltre
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.179
Delino DeShields
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.127
Secondary Plays:
Prince Fielder
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.168
Mike Napoli
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.269
LA Dodgers at Arizona – 8:10 PM EST
| LA Dodgers | Arizona | ||||||||
 | Mike Bolsinger |  | Rubby De La Rosa | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-115) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.291 | 0.77 | 0.338 | 0.177 | SP vs. Left | 0.303 | 0.89 | 0.383 | 0.149 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.231 | 0.672 | 0.294 | 0.241 | SP vs. Right | 0.232 | 0.675 | 0.295 | 0.217 |
| Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | Batter Splits | ARI vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Bolsinger came back last week and put up a decent effort against the Padres. He allowed only two hits (both home runs) over five innings with six strikeouts. He does have a tough matchup tonight against the Diamondbacks who are a solid offense in Chase Field. He is a tournament SP2 at best due to his upside (strikeout rate of 21.9%), but with some attached. Rating = 5.5
Rubby De La Rosa
Rubby De La Rosa has been an average major league starter all year long. He comes into this game with a SIERA of 4.04 and strikeout rate of 19%. His problem has been getting left-handed bats out (.396 wOBA allowed), which makes the matchup against the Dodgers tough tonight who have a lot of lefties and are the fourth ranked team in team wOBA against righties. Rating = 4
Salaries: $6,400 FD, $6,700 DK
Batter Grind Down
LA Dodgers
Rubby has struggled against left-handed hitters mightily this year. He has allowed a wOBA of .396 to lefties making Adrian Gonzalez a clear, elite play. This Dodgers offense has a high team total of 4.34 and should be targeted.
Elite Plays:
Adrian Gonzalez
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.372— ISO: 0.226
Andre Ethier
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.380— ISO: 0.205
Carl Crawford
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308— ISO: 0.158
Secondary Plays:
Corey Seager
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.361— ISO: 0.167
Chase Utley
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.380— ISO: 0.245
Arizona
The Diamondbacks get a decent matchup against Bolsinger in hitter-friendly Chase where they have a team total of 4.16. Paul Goldschmidt is always in play at home against non-elite starers, while David Peralta and Ender Inciarte make good plays as well.
Elite Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.224
David Peralta
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.224
Ender Inciarte
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.114
Secondary Plays:
Houston at LA Angels – 9:05 PM EST
| Houston | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Lance McCullers |  | Hector Santiago | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-121) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.206 | 0.57 | 0.255 | 0.301 | SP vs. Left | 0.226 | 0.604 | 0.272 | 0.195 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.24 | 0.725 | 0.315 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.728 | 0.318 | 0.212 |
| Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | Batter Splits | ANA vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
McCullers has had a great rookie campaign. At just 21 years old, McCullers comes into this game with a 3.53 SIERA and solid 25.4% strikeout rate after 17 starts. He has a decent matchup against the Angels who are ranked 23rd in the league against righties. If he can pitch around Trout tonight, he should be a great contrarian play for a bit of a discount from the top three studs going. Rating = 7.5
Salaries: $6,700 FD, $9,900 DK
Santiago has struggled for the Angels recently. Over the last month, Santiago has posted a 5.28 ERA (5.81 SIERA). He now has a tough matchup against an Astros squad with some monster right-handed bats. He is an easy avoid tonight. Rating = 4.5
Salaries: $7,600 FD, $7,200 DK
Batter Grind Down
Houston
The Astros get a great matchup against Hector Santiago who has been pitching in poor form. On the year, he has allowed right-handed bats a wOBA of .312 on the season, but more importantly, 20 home runs. Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve are clear elite plays while the rest of the righties are in play as well.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Correa
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.278
Jose Altuve
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.125
Secondary Plays:
George Springer
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.260
Jed Lowrie
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.495 — ISO: 0.390
LA Angels
McCullers is a solid play tonight, and as a result, the Angels’ team total is set at a low 3.91. Trout is still a solid play, but a tournament one only tonight.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout
2015 vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.280
San Diego at San Francisco – 9:05 PM EST
| San Diego | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Ian Kennedy |  | Madison Bumgarner | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-175) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.235 | 0.732 | 0.318 | 0.255 | SP vs. Left | 0.224 | 0.569 | 0.252 | 0.316 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.253 | 0.748 | 0.326 | 0.235 | SP vs. Right | 0.236 | 0.66 | 0.289 | 0.245 |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs L | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kennedy has been solid over the last month of the season. He has an elite 31.7% strikeout rate to go along with a 3.03 SIERA during that span. He has a tough matchup against the Giants and the win will be difficult against MadBum, but he does have upside to deserve SP2 consideration. Rating = 6.5
Salaries: $8,200 FD, $9,100 DK
Bumgarner has been stellar recently. In his last 30 days, he has a ridiculously low 2.20 SIERA and is striking batters out at a 32.5% rate. The Padres are not the easy offense to pick on anymore, but they are still in the bottom third of the league in team wOBA against lefties. He is the top option on the night slate. Rating = 9.5
Salaries: $12,600 FD, $12,200 DK
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
Avoid the Padres bats against Bumgarner tonight who has kept batters to a wOBA under .276 from both sides of the plate this year. This Padres squad has the lowest team total by far (2.79) on the slate.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
None
San Francisco
Kennedy has been solid for the Padres recently, which does make it tough to take bats against him. This game features the lowest total of the day at six and a half and batters from both sides should be avoided.
Elite Plays:
None
Secondary Plays:
None
Colorado at Seattle – 9:10 PM EST
| Colorado | Seattle | ||||||||
 | Yohan Flande |  | Roenis Elias | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| 8 | |||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.190 | 0.584 | 0.263 | 0.137 | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.669 | 0.302 | 0.26 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.282 | 0.856 | 0.363 | 0.151 | SP vs. Right | 0.250 | 0.731 | 0.323 | 0.183 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Flande has not been terrible this year (3.99 SIERA) but lacks the upside to be used for DFS. His 15.3% strikeout rate and 1.80 HR/9 (mostly Coors-induced) makes him a very low upside play, even in a decent matchup against the Mariners. Rating = 4
Salaries: $5,400 FD, $4,200 DK
Elias is another pitcher that is tough to target. He comes into this game with a 4.25 SIERA and 18.9% strikeout rate. He faces a Rockies squad that has struggled against lefties this year (26th in team wOBA), which makes Elias a cheap tournament option tonight. Rating = 5.5
Salaries: $7,700 FD, $6,300 DK
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
This Rockies team features a low team total of 3.65 tonight against Elias. With that said, they still have Nolan Arenado who is still an elite play at his position tonight.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.135
Secondary Plays:
None
Seattle
Flande has allowed a wOBA of .378 to right-handed bats this year. That makes Nelson Cruz one of the top options in the outfield for the night slate. This Seattle team does feature a 4.35 team total tonight so they could be an off the board stack option against Flande.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.465 — ISO: 0.331
Franklin Gutierrez (Check Status)
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.446 — ISO: 0.326
Mark Trumbo
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.220
Secondary Plays:
Ketel Marte
2015 vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.105