MLB Grind Down: Thursday, September 24th - Page Two
NY Mets at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST
| NY Mets | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | Steven Matz |  | Josh Smith | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-160) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.231 | 0.643 | 0.318 | 0.206 | SP vs. Left | 0.345 | 1.272 | 0.514 | 0.154 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.212 | 0.602 | 0.26 | 0.216 | SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.805 | 0.355 | 0.151 |
| Batter Splits | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Steven Matz : FD: $8,600 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 3.99 — ERA: 1.80 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.1 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 2.20 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 24)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Despite all of the pressure on this young Mets’ pitching staff, Matz has enjoyed a nice rookie season, posting a 3.99 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.3%. Matz is coming off of an excellent start against the Yankees in which he struck out four batters while only allowing a single earned run in six innings of work. He is a sizable favorite tonight against the Reds and while I do like the upside at his price point, he is best suited as a tournament play.
Pitcher Rating: 74.5
Josh Smith : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 18.2 — SIERA: 5.95 — ERA: 7.71 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 16.3% — HR/9: 1.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.1 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 8.53 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 2.8
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Smith has not pitched well in his first four major league starts, posting a 5.95 SIERA (7.71 ERA) with a walk rate of 16.3%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against a talented Mets’ offense. To make matters worse, he has to face them at home in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Smith should be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 41.2
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets draw a terrific matchup tonight against rookie Josh Smith in a hitter-friendly ballpark. The Mets have a high team total and hitters from both sides of the plate are in play against the inexperienced right-hander. This could be the series where we see the Mets’ offense get rolling again.
Elite Plays:
Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 851 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 110
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 974 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 145
Secondary Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 976 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.434 — wRC+: 181
Travis d’Arnaud : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 500 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.253 — wRC+: 159
Lucas Duda : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 861 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 60
Cincinnati
The Reds draw a tough matchup tonight against Steven Matz. While the sample size is still small, Matz has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .320 wOBA this season. Todd Frazier deserves consideration on FanDuel ($2,900), but he is the only Reds’ hitter on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Todd Frazier : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 294 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 115
Philadelphia at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Miami | ||||||||
 | Alec Asher |  | Jarred Cosart | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-165) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.375 | 1.073 | 0.451 | 0.091 | SP vs. Left | 0.239 | 0.692 | 0.311 | 0.158 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.326 | 1.065 | 0.45 | 0.143 | SP vs. Right | 0.254 | 0.692 | 0.306 | 0.146 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | MIA vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Alec Asher : FD: $4,900 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 19.1 — SIERA: 5.47 — ERA: 9.78 — K%: 11.8% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 2.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.1 — SIERA: 5.48 — ERA: 9.78 — K%: 11.8% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 2.8
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Asher has not pitched well in his first 19 big league innings, posting a 5.48 SIERA (9.78 ERA) with a strikeout rate of only 11.8%. Even with a favorable matchup against the Marlins, he should not be on your radar tonight. There are very few times during the season when the Marlins have this high of a team total (4.63) at home. That should be very telling.
Pitcher Rating: 30.6
Jarred Cosart : FD: $6,400 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 241.1 — SIERA: 4.43 — ERA: 3.88 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.2 — SIERA: 4.44 — ERA: 1.72 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 1.2
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.258 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 28.4% (Rank: 30)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Cosart has been a serviceable pitcher over the last two seasons, posting a 4.43 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.2%. While those numbers don’t leap off the page at us, he is a very interesting play tonight against the Phillies, who are ranked dead last in both team wOBA and strikeout rate over the last two weeks of play. Additionally, Cosart gets to face them at home in the pitcher-friendly Marlins Park. He doesn’t have a high enough floor for consideration on single pitcher sites, but I have my eye on him as an SP2 on DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating: 62.8
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies’ offense has all but disappeared down the stretch of the regular season. To be ranked dead last in both team wOBA and strikeout rate over the last two weeks is impressive. At this point, there is no reason to target the Phillies’ hitters.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Miami
The Marlins draw a favorable matchup tonight against Alec Asher, who has allowed a .450+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season — yes I know, the sample size is small. I will still be heavily targeting this lineup though, as they have a high team total and their bats are very affordable tonight.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,800 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 952 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.056 — wRC+: 91
Justin Bour : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 413 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 119
Secondary Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 847 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 140
Marcell Ozuna : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 851 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 114
Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 368 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 86
Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Boston | ||||||||
 | Erasmo Ramirez |  | Wade Miley | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-119) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.22 | 0.642 | 0.287 | 0.189 | SP vs. Left | 0.249 | 0.69 | 0.306 | 0.191 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.279 | 0.796 | 0.349 | 0.181 | SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0.746 | 0.327 | 0.199 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Erasmo Ramirez : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 226.1 — SIERA: 4.17 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 18.6% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 3.60 — ERA: 4.11 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 4.9% — HR/9: 1.3
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.95 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Ramirez has pitched well this season and though he may not get the credit that he deserves, I will be avoiding him once again tonight. He draws a difficult matchup against the Red Sox in Fenway Park. On the season, Boston is ranked ninth in team wOBA and second in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. There are better plays in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 54.1
Wade Miley : FD: $7,100 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 383.2 — SIERA: 3.91 — ERA: 4.34 — K%: 19.7% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.69 — ERA: 4.08 — K%: 19.5% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.3
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Miley has been in decent form recently, posting a 3.69 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.5% over the last month of play. The issue tonight is twofold: the matchup and the ballpark. On the season, the Rays are ranked sixth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. Vegas is expecting another high-scoring affair in Fenway Park tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 68.5
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a favorable matchup tonight against Wade Miley, who has allowed a .327 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Tampa Bay also sees a sizable ballpark boost playing in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park.
Elite Plays:
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 334 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 125
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,800 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 331 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 142
Mikie Mahtook : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.465 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 206
Boston
The Red Sox are small favorites tonight at home against Erasmo Ramirez. Ramirez is a reverse-splits pitcher, which makes Mookie Betts a terrific play once again. He has been red-hot over the last month, posting a .432 wOBA and a .219 ISO. The left-handed bats of David Ortiz and Travis Shaw are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 596 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.432 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 175
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 811 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.280 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.411 — ISO: 0.400 — wRC+: 160
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 108
Milwaukee at St. Louis – 7:15 PM EST
| Milwaukee | St. Louis | ||||||||
 | Taylor Jungmann |  | Michael Wacha | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-185) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.252 | 0.695 | 0.307 | 0.209 | SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.594 | 0.266 | 0.193 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.211 | 0.653 | 0.288 | 0.224 | SP vs. Right | 0.242 | 0.695 | 0.305 | 0.219 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Taylor Jungmann : FD: $8,600 — DK: $8,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 111.1 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.57 — ERA: 6.16 — K%: 19.9% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 1.8
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 24.1% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Jungmann has not been sharp recently, posting a 4.57 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.9% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup against the Cardinals, who are ranked above the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Jungmann is more risk than potential reward tonight in St. Louis.
Pitcher Rating: 59.1
Michael Wacha : FD: $8,700 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 279.1 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 3.13 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 4.91 — ERA: 4.33 — K%: 18.6% — BB%: 12.1% — HR/9: 2.0
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 25.4% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Wacha has not been in the best of form recently, posting a 4.91 SIERA with a walk rate of 12.1% over the last month of play. While we usually prefer to target pitchers in better form, Wacha draws a terrific matchup tonight against the Brewers, who are ranked 18th in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. It may be a good night to target Wacha in tournaments when the masses are off of him.
Pitcher Rating: 78.0
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
Even though Michael Wacha has struggled in his last few starts, the Brewers are not recommended fantasy options tonight. The Brewers are rolling out what looks like a Triple-A lineup these days and Wacha has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
St. Louis
The Cardinals may not have the best matchup on paper, but Taylor Jungmann has been in bad form and he is a rookie pitcher playing on the road. We shouldn’t go overboard targeting the Cardinals’ offense, but there are a few decent plays here.
Elite Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 914 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 160
Secondary Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 889 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 116
Jhonny Peralta : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 921 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.212 — ISO: 0.022 — wRC+: 29
Seattle at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Seattle | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | James Paxton |  | Johnny Cueto | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-160) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.303 | 0.771 | 0.35 | 0.244 | SP vs. Left | 0.198 | 0.567 | 0.255 | 0.241 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.212 | 0.611 | 0.271 | 0.181 | SP vs. Right | 0.222 | 0.66 | 0.289 | 0.226 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
James Paxton : FD: $7,100 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 139.2 — SIERA: 4.14 — ERA: 3.35 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 7.1 — SIERA: 4.84 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 27.0% — BB%: 18.9% — HR/9: 0.0
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 15.1% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Paxton is a talented young left-handed pitcher, but he is still a wildcard at this point. He should be avoided tonight against the Royals, who have the lowest strikeout rate of any team against left-handed pitching this season. We should trust Vegas in this situation, as Paxton is a large underdog tonight on the road.
Pitcher Rating: 53.9
Johnny Cueto : FD: $10,200 — DK: $8,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 437.2 — SIERA: 3.39 — ERA: 2.78 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 4.11 — ERA: 7.90 — K%: 16.5% — BB%: 3.9% — HR/9: 2.3
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.355 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Cueto has not been the pitcher that the Royals were hoping to acquire when they traded for him. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.11 SIERA (7.90 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 16.5%. He’s still Johnny Cueto though, and a discounted price point is certainly appealing. He draws a favorable matchup against the Mariners, who are ranked 19th in team wOBA and 27th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 75.6
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
Even though Johnny Cueto has looked very hittable in his last few starts, he has still held both left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Mariners should be considered secondary options at best tonight in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Robinson Cano : FD: $3,600 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 807 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 157
Kansas City
The Royals draw a decent matchup tonight against James Paxton. While Paxton is a reverse-splits pitcher, that doesn’t mean that we have to avoid the right-handed bats in this lineup. Lorenzo Cain is a borderline elite play, as he has a .390 wOBA against southpaws since the start of last season.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 333 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 326 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 124
Alex Gordon : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 320 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 66 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 86