MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, July 29th - Page Two
Milwaukee at San Francisco – 3:45 PM EST
| Milwaukee | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Mike Fiers |  | Jake Peavy | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-125) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.235 | 0.681 | 0.298 | 0.238 | SP vs. Left | 0.245 | 0.777 | 0.337 | 0.173 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.223 | 0.675 | 0.294 | 0.264 | SP vs. Right | 0.26 | 0.714 | 0.315 | 0.189 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | SF vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Fiers : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 183.2 — SIERA: 3.40 — ERA: 3.23 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.14 — ERA: 2.81 — K%: 20.9% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 1.1
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.0% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Fiers has not been the same pitcher that he was last season. When you compare his numbers in the two years, you would think that you were looking at two completely different pitchers. His SIERA and walk rate are both up, while his strikeout rate has taken a big hit this year. Fiers is still priced as an elite strikeout pitcher, but he’s just not that guy anymore. He should be avoided against the Giants, who are ranked fourth in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:59.1
Jake Peavy : FD: $7,000 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 236.0 — SIERA: 4.17 — ERA: 3.89 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 4.56 — ERA: 3.51 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.4
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Peavy has not been sharp over the last month of play, posting a 4.56 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.6%. He draws a tough matchup against a Brewers’ offense that has been very good over the last month. With Felix Hernandez and Jon Lester being in such good spots, there is no reason to target Peavy today against Milwaukee.
Pitcher Rating:60.5
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a decent matchup against Jake Peavy, whose strikeout rate continues to decline. Since the start of last season, Peavy has given up a .337 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Adam Lind and Gerardo Parra are both in play, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Lind : FD: $3,800 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 574 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 159
Last 14 Days: PA: 26 — wOBA: 0.259 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 58
Gerardo Parra : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 741 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 107
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.457 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 194
San Francisco
The Giants draw a favorable matchup against Mike Fiers, who as mentioned above, has been a completely different pitcher this season. In 2015, he has given up a .323+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. Brandon Belt, Buster Posey, and Joe Panik are all in play here.
Elite Plays:
Brandon Belt : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 447 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 141
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 111
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 518 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 126
Atlanta at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST
| Atlanta | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Mike Foltynewicz |  | Chris Tillman | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BAL (-210) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.342 | 0.989 | 0.424 | 0.146 | SP vs. Left | 0.249 | 0.67 | 0.299 | 0.175 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.733 | 0.323 | 0.25 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.732 | 0.321 | 0.171 |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | BAL vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Foltynewicz : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 73.1 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 5.28 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 2.2 — SIERA: 3.08 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 26.7% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 23.2% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Foltynewicz has been a serviceable starter for the Braves, posting a 4.03 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.8%. He’s an easy pitcher to avoid tonight though, as he draws a tough matchup against the Orioles in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. On the season, Baltimore is ranked tenth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. He’s one of the biggest underdogs on the board tonight for a reason.
Pitcher Rating:48.8
Chris Tillman : FD: $6,300 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 312.1 — SIERA: 4.34 — ERA: 3.80 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 1.38 — K%: 22.2% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 0.0
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.258 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Tillman has pitched very well over the last month of play, posting a 3.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.2%. He has improved his command and he is throwing strikes at a much higher clip. While the Braves may not strikeout at a high rate, they are ranked 22nd in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Tillman is cheap and he should get plenty of run support tonight. He deserves consideration in tournaments and as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating:66.1
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves draw a mediocre matchup against Chris Tillman, who has been sharp in his recent outings. The good news here is that they get to face him in a hitter-friendly American League ballpark. Freddie Freeman and Adonis Garcia are both in play, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 151
Last 14 Days: PA: 10 — wOBA: 0.157 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -9
Adonis Garcia : FD: N/A — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 5 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 99
Last 14 Days: PA: 12 — wOBA: 0.529 — ISO: 0.583 — wRC+: 247
Baltimore
The Orioles are the largest favorites in the evening slate of games, second only to the Blue Jays. They draw a favorable matchup against Mike Foltynewicz, who has really struggled with left-handed hitters, allowing a .424 wOBA. The left-handed bats have the edge here, but Manny Machado and Adam Jones are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 645 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 148
Matt Wieters : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.238 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 44
Secondary Plays:
Manny Machado : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 577 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 139
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 129
Adam Jones : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 800 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 102
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 123
Travis Snider : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 503 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.193 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 13
Philadelphia at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Jerome Williams |  | R.A. Dickey | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-239) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.295 | 0.787 | 0.348 | 0.138 | SP vs. Left | 0.226 | 0.694 | 0.309 | 0.156 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.295 | 0 | 0.362 | 0.161 | SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.743 | 0.326 | 0.186 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jerome Williams : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 191.0 — SIERA: 4.25 — ERA: 5.37 — K%: 15.0% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.0 — SIERA: 3.65 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 16.0% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 3.0
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Williams is arguably the worst pitching option on the bump tonight. He hasn’t been as bad as advertised, but over the last two seasons he owns a mediocre SIERA of 4.25 with a low strikeout rate of 15.0%. He gives up a high wOBA to left and right-handed hitters and he draws a nasty matchup against the Blue Jays in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. He should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating:33.7
R.A. Dickey : FD: $7,500 — DK: $6,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 344.2 — SIERA: 4.31 — ERA: 4.02 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 4.31 — ERA: 3.55 — K%: 14.9% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Dickey is the largest favorite on the board tonight, but that says more about the offense behind him than it does the way he has been pitching. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.31 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.9%. He does draw a favorable matchup against the Phillies, but they are not a team that strikes out that often. Dickey may be a cheap source to get that elusive win, but there isn’t a ton of upside tonight in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.
Pitcher Rating:54.0
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies see a major ballpark boost playing in the Rogers Centre. It’s one of the best hitter’s parks in all of baseball. They draw a favorable matchup against R.A. Dickey, who hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. Cesar Hernandez, Maikel Franco, and Ryan Howard are all fine contrarian plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 279 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.070 — wRC+: 75
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 87
Secondary Plays:
Maikel Franco : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 226 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 144
Ryan Howard : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 729 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 33 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 139
Toronto
The Blue Jays have the highest team total on the board tonight, as they square off against Jerome Williams at home. Since the start of the 2014 season, Williams has given up a .348+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Troy Tulowitzki will likely make his debut tonight. He is a strong play here. Don’t be afraid to load up on the Jays.
Elite Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 856 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.364 — wRC+: 157
Editor’s Note: Edwin Encarnacion has been scratched from tonight’s lineup with a jammed finger.
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 741 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 132
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 545 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 74
Secondary Plays:
Russell Martin : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 619 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 134
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 179
Chris Colabello : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 324 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 20 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 105
Washington at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Washington | Miami | ||||||||
 | Doug Fister |  | Tom Koehler | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-108) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.252 | 0.689 | 0.303 | 0.139 | SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.678 | 0.303 | 0.188 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.27 | 0.724 | 0.316 | 0.136 | SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.687 | 0.306 | 0.179 |
| Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Doug Fister : FD: $6,500 — DK: $5,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 238.0 — SIERA: 4.19 — ERA: 3.06 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 4.1% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.0 — SIERA: 4.62 — ERA: 5.32 — K%: 12.5% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.2
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Fister is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy baseball. He has an above-average SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. That’s not a great combination. He does draw a favorable matchup against the Marlins, but there isn’t enough upside to warrant fantasy consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating:49.6
Tom Koehler : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 302.1 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 3.57 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 1.69 — K%: 16.5% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.6
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 26.4% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Koehler has a 1.69 ERA over the last month of play, but don’t let that one statistic fool you. During that stretch, he has a 4.10 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 16.5%. The Nationals had Ryan Zimmermann and Jayson Werth back in their lineup last night, which changes the dynamic of this offense. They are no longer a team that we can pick on each night. Koehler does have a big ballpark at his back, but he’s a bit overpriced for his matchup and what he brings to the table.
Pitcher Rating:57.1
Batter Grind Down
Washington
The Nationals draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Tom Koehler, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. While I don’t love either pitcher in this matchup, it’s hard to get excited about the hitters in a game that features a total of 7.5 runs.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Bryce Harper : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 553 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 163
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 127
Miami
As mentioned above, Doug Fister is a low strikeout pitcher. The problem is that he doesn’t give up a lot of hard contact. Over the last two seasons, he has held left and right-handed hitters under a .320 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Marlins are secondary fantasy options tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 736 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.113 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.054 — wRC+: 89
Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 238 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 133
Last 14 Days: PA: 22 — wOBA: 0.456 — ISO: 0.389 — wRC+: 195
San Diego at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| San Diego | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Tyson Ross |  | Bartolo Colon | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-118) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.672 | 0.304 | 0.243 | SP vs. Left | 0.274 | 0.714 | 0.31 | 0.171 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.231 | 0.621 | 0.28 | 0.247 | SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.738 | 0.32 | 0.191 |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyson Ross : FD: $8,500 — DK: $10,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 318.1 — SIERA: 3.22 — ERA: 3.05 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 2.97 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 0.0
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Ross has pitched well recently, posting a 2.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.0%. Ross does walk a few too many batters, but we can live with it when he is racking up the strikeouts. He has much better numbers at home than he does on the road in his career, but he gets a similar style of park tonight in Citi Field. He has one of the best matchups on the board, as he faces a Mets’ offense that is ranked 26th in team wOBA and 16th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:74.2
Bartolo Colon : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 319.2 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 4.28 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 3.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.1 — SIERA: 3.61 — ERA: 3.55 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 3.8% — HR/9: 0.4
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 23.7% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Colon has been quietly returned to his early season form, posting a 3.61 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.8% over the last month of play. This is a good matchup for him, as the Padres are one of the worst offenses in baseball. On the season, they are ranked 27th in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. There will be very few people on Colon tonight, which makes him an appealing tournament play.
Pitcher Rating:67.9
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
The Padres are not an offense that I want to target right now. They’ve been on a cold stretch for the better part of a month. They do not hit right-handed pitching well and their opponent, Bartolo Colon, has pitched well recently. Matt Kemp and Will Venable are secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Kemp : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 757 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 130
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.518 — ISO: 0.448 — wRC+: 245
Will Venable : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 611 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 92
Last 14 Days: PA: 21 — wOBA: 0.167 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 3
NY Mets
The Mets draw a difficult matchup tonight against Tyson Ross. They are a team that has struggled against right-handed pitching this season, although they have been much better recently. If you are targeting any hitters here, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Lucas Duda : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 771 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 97