MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, September 2nd - Page Two
Cleveland at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Cleveland | Toronto | ||||||||
| Trevor Bauer | | R.A. Dickey | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-171) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.732 | 0.324 | 0.225 | SP vs. Left | 0.233 | 0.698 | 0.31 | 0.147 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.719 | 0.316 | 0.222 | SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.746 | 0.326 | 0.188 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Trevor Bauer : FD: $7,700 — DK: $8,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 309.2 — SIERA: 4.01 — ERA: 4.24 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 4.72 — ERA: 5.01 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 13.6% — HR/9: 1.4
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.412 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 15.2% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Bauer has not pitched well recently and he now has to head to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays, who are ranked first in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. There is no fantasy appeal here, as the Blue Jays are the best offensive team in all of baseball.
Pitcher Rating: 45.8
R.A. Dickey : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 389.1 — SIERA: 4.40 — ERA: 3.95 — K%: 17.0% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.2 — SIERA: 4.81 — ERA: 4.17 — K%: 14.5% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.347 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Dickey is a large favorite tonight at home, but that’s not enough to warrant fantasy consideration tonight. He draws a difficult matchup against the Indians, who are ranked 13th in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. It also doesn’t help that Dickey has to face them at home in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. He can be avoided in what is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 46.9
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians see a major ballpark boost tonight in the Rogers Centre and they draw a pretty favorable matchup to boot. R.A. Dickey isn’t particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. I will be heavily targeting the left-handed hitters in this lineup.
Elite Plays:
Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 704 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 88
Secondary Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 756 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 159
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.468 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 207
Lonnie Chisenhall : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 628 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.433 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 183
Toronto
The Blue Jays have one of the highest team totals on the board once again, as they square off against the struggling Trevor Bauer, who has given up a .316+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Get as much exposure to these Blue Jays as your salary cap restraints will allow.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 832 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.557 — ISO: 0.524 — wRC+: 266
Ben Revere : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 801 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.062 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.032 — wRC+: 102
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 972 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.465 — ISO: 0.396 — wRC+: 202
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 957 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.432 — ISO: 0.366 — wRC+: 179
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 653 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 84
Philadelphia at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | NY Mets | ||||||||
| Aaron Nola | | Matt Harvey | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-249) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.25 | 0.688 | 0.301 | 0.104 | SP vs. Left | 0.214 | 0.687 | 0.298 | 0.24 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.188 | 0.598 | 0.265 | 0.26 | SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.536 | 0.234 | 0.233 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | NYM vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Aaron Nola : FD: $6,400 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 49.2 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 3.26 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 4.15 — ERA: 3.25 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 0.8
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.392 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 16.3% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Nola has enjoyed a nice rookie season, posting a 3.93 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.0%. While the Mets have struggled against right-handed pitching this season, they are actually ranked second in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Nola does get to face them in the pitcher-friendly Citi Field, but he is the largest underdog on the board. He should be restricted to tournament play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 48.8
Matt Harvey : FD: $11,500 — DK: $11,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 160.0 — SIERA: 3.36 — ERA: 2.48 — K%: 23.7% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 2.64 — ERA: 0.33 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 2.1% — HR/9: 0.3
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Harvey has been a BEAST recently, posting a 2.64 SIERA (0.33 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 25.0% and a walk rate of 2.1% over the last month of play. His early season struggles are long behind him and he should be considered a top fantasy option tonight against the Phillies, who are ranked 26th in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. He is the largest favorite on the board and a nice alternative if you are looking to fade Clayton Kershaw for some strange reason.
Pitcher Rating: 94.9
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies are one of the worst offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching. While they had a huge outing against the Mets last night, expect them to snap back to reality tonight against Matt Harvey, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
NY Mets
The Mets are huge favorites tonight, but their matchup against Aaron Nola is mediocre at best. The sample size is still small, but Nola has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .305 wOBA this season. The Mets should be considered secondary fantasy options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 913 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 152
Kelly Johnson : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 500 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 67 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 90
Detroit at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Kansas City | ||||||||
| Randy Wolf | | Yordano Ventura | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-181) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.574 | 0.272 | 0.121 | SP vs. Left | 0.239 | 0.687 | 0.304 | 0.206 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.308 | 0.819 | 0.357 | 0.187 | SP vs. Right | 0.244 | 0.687 | 0.307 | 0.208 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Randy Wolf : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 39.2 — SIERA: 3.91 — ERA: 4.31 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 4.8% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 14.0 — SIERA: 3.73 — ERA: 2.57 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 3.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 14.8% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 14.1% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Wolf has actually pitched well recently, posting a 3.73 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.5% over the last month of play. The issue here is that he is a bit past his prime and that he draws an awful matchup against the Royals, who are the toughest team to strikeout in the majors. Wolf can safely be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 53.1
Yordano Ventura : FD: $8,500 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 303.1 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.96 — ERA: 3.41 — K%: 23.9% — BB%: 11.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Ventura is finally starting to round into form, posting a 3.96 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.9% over the last month of play. The issue here is his matchup. On the season, the Tigers are ranked eighth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. They are also ranked sixth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. The price is appealing, but there are better pitching options on the board tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 71.4
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
Even though I won’t be targeting Yordano Ventura tonight, I’m not going to have a ton of exposure to the Tigers’ offense either. Since the start of last season, Ventura has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA and the Tigers have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 821 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.473 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 208
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 759 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.277 — wRC+: 155
Kansas City
The Royals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Randy Wolf. While he has pitched well recently, I’m not buying it. He has really struggled with right-handed hitters and the Royals’ offense hits left-handed pitching well as a whole.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 309 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 116
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 303 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.419 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 171
Secondary Plays:
Kendrys Morales : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 358 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 149
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 321 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.220 — ISO: 0.043 — wRC+: 33
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Minnesota | ||||||||
| Carlos Rodon | | Tommy Milone | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-120) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.183 | 0.503 | 0.235 | 0.264 | SP vs. Left | 0.216 | 0.625 | 0.276 | 0.154 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.279 | 0.842 | 0.368 | 0.232 | SP vs. Right | 0.275 | 0.797 | 0.347 | 0.154 |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | Batter Splits | MIN vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Carlos Rodon : FD: $8,300 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 112.2 — SIERA: 4.09 — ERA: 4.15 — K%: 24.0% — BB%: 12.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 3.74 — ERA: 2.48 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 10.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 26.7% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Rodon has been very good in his recent outings, posting a 3.74 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.6% over the last month of play. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Twins, who as I mentioned yesterday, have been tough on elite left-handed pitchers this season. The price point on Rodon is appealing, but he should only be targeted in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 62.4
Tommy Milone : FD: $7,000 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 216.0 — SIERA: 4.51 — ERA: 4.04 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.2 — SIERA: 4.42 — ERA: 4.32 — K%: 15.7% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.281 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Milone is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. Since the start of last season, he has an average SIERA of 4.51 with a below-average strikeout rate of 15.4%. While his matchup against the White Sox is a favorable one, it’s hard to trust Milone in any type of league format. He can safely be avoided tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 50.4
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox may not excel against southpaws, but they do draw a favorable matchup against Tommy Milone. Since the start of the 2014 season, Milone has given up a .347 wOBA to right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 280 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 128
Secondary Plays:
Melky Cabrera : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 307 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 97
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 107
Minnesota
Even though Carlos Rodon has been pitching well recently, the Twins are still small favorites in a game that features a total of 8.0 runs. On the season, Rodon has given up a .368 wOBA to right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,200 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 374 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 81
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Sano : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.422 — ISO: 0.351 — wRC+: 174
Trevor Plouffe : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 324 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 69
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Milwaukee | ||||||||
| Jeff Locke | | Zach Davies | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-140) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.245 | 0.682 | 0.302 | 0.107 | SP vs. Left | ||||
| SP vs. Right | 0.263 | 0.742 | 0.326 | 0.184 | SP vs. Right | ||||
| Batter Splits | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jeff Locke : FD: $6,200 — DK: $5,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 272.2 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 4.19 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 4.52 — ERA: 5.46 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.9
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.283 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.344 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 23.5% (Rank: 24)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Locke has not been sharp in his recent outings, posting a 4.52 SIERA (5.46 ERA) with a low strikeout rate of 13.7%. While his matchup against the Brewers is favorable on paper, they have the seventh-highest team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. The Brewers have quite a few talented right-handed bats in their lineup, which makes Locke an easy fade tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 55.1
Zach Davies : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,000
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Davies is making his major league debut tonight. In 18 minor league starts this season, Davies has a 3.08 FIP with a strikeout rate of 19.3%. He is a nice prospect that the Brewers acquired from the Orioles. While I like the price point, I usually like to give these young pitchers a start or two before targeting them in daily fantasy baseball. Let’s take a wait and see approach on Davies, who is a sizable underdog tonight against the Pirates.
Pitcher Rating: 41.1
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates have a high team total tonight, as they take on a rookie right-hander in the hitter-friendly Miller Park. It’s always difficult to predict how these major league debuts are going to go, but the Pirates are sneaky targets in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 963 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.220 — wRC+: 160
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.446 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 192
Secondary Plays:
Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 319 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 121
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 637 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.132 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 145
Neil Walker : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 857 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 106
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a favorable matchup tonight against the struggling Jeff Locke, who has given up a .326 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. All of the right-handed bats in this lineup are in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 260 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 144
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 161
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 126
Secondary Plays:
Khris Davis : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 217 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 84
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.348 — wRC+: 127
Jean Segura : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 236 — wOBA: 0.267 — ISO: 0.069 — wRC+: 62
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.244 — ISO: 0.048 — wRC+: 46