NFL DFS First Look: Divisional Round

Lions running back Gibbs

The NFL DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, matchup previews, and projected starters, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our NFL DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

ComboGeneral_2024_1000x400

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Houston Texans 16.5 Kansas City Chiefs 25.0 KCC -8.5 41.5 Saturday 5:30 pm Main
Washington Commanders 23.0 Detroit Lions 32.5 DET -9.5 55.5 Saturday 8:00 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 19.0 Philadelphia Eagles 25.5 PHI -6.5 44.5 Sunday 3:00 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens 26.5 Buffalo Bills 25.0 BAL -1.5 51.5 Sunday 6:30 pm Main

NOTE: Used our new and improved SimLabs tool yet? Check out the video below by Dan Back, which will walk you through the premier tool in the industry. Get access to SimLabs and much more with an NFL Premium subscription!

Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart

Offense Spread Total Matchup t EPA t PFF p EPA p PFF r EPA r PFF QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 25.0 vs HOU 5 10 7 10 6 16 22 3 22 12 5:30 pm Main
Houston Texans 8.5 16.5 at KCC 15 2 15 3 10 10 20 1 18 29 5:30 pm Main
Detroit Lions -9.5 32.5 vs WAS 22 29 22 27 27 29 4 18 9 9 8:00 pm Main
Washington Commanders 9.5 23.0 at DET 7 5 6 4 12 12 25 4 31 1 8:00 pm Main
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 25.5 vs LAR 23 18 28 19 20 14 26 13 14 30 3:00 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 6.5 19.0 at PHI 3 1 3 1 2 2 3 2 7 2 3:00 pm Main
Buffalo Bills 1.5 25.0 vs BAL 11 7 14 9 3 4 22 5 28 21 6:30 pm Main
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 26.5 at BUF 12 27 19 24 5 27 19 27 20 16 6:30 pm Main

Note: T EPA = total defensive EPA. T PFF = total defense on PFF. P EPA = EPA against the pass. P PFF = PFF grade against the pass. R EPA = EPA against the run. R PFF = PFF grade against the run. DVP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressure Rate & Sack Potential

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press P Rush Matchup Opp Total O Press P BLK Defense Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Chiefs -8.5 $3,600 $4,500 38.1% 9 vs HOU 17.0 33.9% 19 Chiefs 3 5:30 pm Main
Texans 8.5 $2,500 $3,800 36.3% 11 at KCC 25.5 36.7% 13 Texans 5 5:30 pm Main
Lions -9.5 $3,200 $4,200 38.0% 8 vs WAS 23.0 37.3% 22 Lions 2 8:00 pm Main
Commanders 9.5 $2,300 $3,400 31.4% 14 at DET 32.5 29.7% 18 Commanders 4 8:00 pm Main
Eagles -6.5 $3,400 $4,700 33.6% 2 vs LAR 19.3 30.9% 30 Eagles 1 3:00 pm Main
Rams 6.5 $2,700 $3,500 35.1% 10 at PHI 25.3 38.7% 6 Rams 7 3:00 pm Main
Bills 1.5 $3,000 $4,300 36.6% 6 vs BAL 26.5 37.7% 7 Bills 6 6:30 pm Main
Ravens -1.5 $2,900 $4,100 32.2% 12 at BUF 25.0 37.2% 5 Ravens 8 6:30 pm Main

Note: PRESS = pressure rate on the opposing quarterback. PROE = pressure rate over expectation. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. C PRESS = the combined pressure rate of the defensive line and opposing offensive line. SACK POT = sack potential

Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Matchup p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Chiefs -8.5 25.0 13 10 15 13 vs HOU 10 7 16 6 Chiefs 5 6 5:30 pm Main
Texans 8.5 16.5 13 21 12 23 at KCC 3 15 10 10 Texans 7 7 5:30 pm Main
Lions -9.5 32.5 6 3 7 5 vs WAS 27 22 29 27 Lions 2 2 8:00 pm Main
Commanders 9.5 23.0 4 4 9 4 at DET 4 6 12 12 Commanders 4 5 8:00 pm Main
Eagles -6.5 25.5 24 8 10 1 vs LAR 19 28 14 20 Eagles 6 3 3:00 pm Main
Rams 6.5 19.0 19 14 22 15 at PHI 1 3 2 2 Rams 8 8 3:00 pm Main
Bills 1.5 25.0 8 2 3 3 vs BAL 9 14 4 3 Bills 3 4 6:30 pm Main
Ravens -1.5 26.5 2 1 1 2 at BUF 24 19 27 5 Ravens 1 1 6:30 pm Main

Note: P PFF = PFF grade against the pass, P EPA = EPA against the pass, P PFF = PFF grade against the run, R EPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G QBR FPPG Opp p PFF P EPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Patrick Mahomes KCC -8.5 25.0 $6,000 $7,700 245.5 1.6 20.8 0.1 0.7 93.5 0.4 vs HOU 10 7 22 5:30 pm Main
C.J. Stroud HOU 8.5 16.5 $5,000 $7,200 219.2 1.2 14.9 0.0 0.7 87.0 0.4 at KCC 3 15 20 5:30 pm Main
Jared Goff DET -9.5 32.5 $6,300 $8,000 272.3 2.2 4.1 0.0 0.7 111.8 0.6 vs WAS 27 22 4 8:00 pm Main
Jayden Daniels WAS 9.5 23.0 $7,000 $8,500 209.9 1.5 33.9 0.1 0.5 100.1 0.5 at DET 4 6 25 8:00 pm Main
Jalen Hurts PHI -6.5 25.5 $6,800 $8,200 193.5 1.2 24.3 0.0 0.3 103.7 0.6 vs LAR 19 28 26 3:00 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR 6.5 19.0 $5,200 $7,300 235.1 1.3 2.4 0.0 0.5 93.7 0.4 at PHI 1 3 3 3:00 pm Main
Josh Allen BUF 1.5 25.0 $7,700 $9,000 219.5 1.6 22.5 0.2 0.4 101.4 0.7 vs BAL 9 14 22 6:30 pm Main
Lamar Jackson BAL -1.5 26.5 $7,800 $8,700 245.4 2.4 24.2 0.0 0.2 119.6 0.7 at BUF 24 19 19 6:30 pm Main

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, FPPG = fantasy points per game, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Tar % Rte % FPPG xFPPG Diff Opp R PFF R EPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Isiah Pacheco KCC -8.5 25.0 $5,500 $5,700 11.9 44.3 2.3 11.3 6% 28% 8.1 10.8 2.7 vs HOU 16 6 3 5:30 pm Main
Kareem Hunt KCC -8.5 25.0 $5,000 $5,800 15.4 56.0 2.2 13.5 6% 30% 12.0 14.4 2.4 vs HOU 16 6 3 5:30 pm Main
Joe Mixon HOU 8.5 16.5 $6,500 $7,600 17.5 72.6 3.5 22.1 11% 38% 17.2 17.2 0.0 at KCC 10 10 1 5:30 pm Main
Dare Ogunbowale HOU 8.5 16.5 $4,000 $4,300 1.8 6.6 1.5 11.6 4% 26% 3.3 3.5 0.2 at KCC 10 10 1 5:30 pm Main
Jahmyr Gibbs DET -9.5 32.5 $7,700 $8,900 14.7 83.1 3.6 30.4 11% 47% 21.4 15.3 -6.1 vs WAS 29 27 18 8:00 pm Main
David Montgomery DET -9.5 32.5 $5,700 $4,000 13.2 55.4 2.7 24.4 8% 27% 15.9 13.9 -2.0 vs WAS 29 27 18 8:00 pm Main
Brian Robinson WAS 9.5 23.0 $5,300 $6,000 13.4 57.1 1.7 11.4 6% 27% 11.6 11.8 0.2 at DET 12 12 4 8:00 pm Main
Austin Ekeler WAS 9.5 23.0 $5,100 $5,500 6.4 30.6 3.4 30.5 11% 45% 11.0 9.4 -1.6 at DET 12 12 4 8:00 pm Main
Saquon Barkley PHI -6.5 25.5 $8,200 $9,300 21.6 125.3 2.4 17.4 10% 52% 22.3 16.9 -5.4 vs LAR 14 20 13 3:00 pm Main
Kenneth Gainwell PHI -6.5 25.5 $4,700 $4,800 4.4 17.1 1.3 6.8 5% 20% 3.7 4.6 0.9 vs LAR 14 20 13 3:00 pm Main
Kyren Williams LAR 6.5 19.0 $6,900 $7,700 19.8 81.2 2.4 11.4 7% 59% 17.2 17.0 -0.2 at PHI 2 2 2 3:00 pm Main
Ronnie Rivers LAR 6.5 19.0 $4,100 $4,900 3.7 16.5 1.0 5.7 3% 15% 3.1 3.4 0.3 at PHI 2 2 2 3:00 pm Main
James Cook BUF 1.5 25.0 $6,700 $7,400 12.9 63.1 2.4 16.1 8% 35% 16.7 12.6 -4.1 vs BAL 4 3 5 6:30 pm Main
Ty Johnson BUF 1.5 25.0 $4,500 $5,200 2.4 12.5 1.5 16.7 5% 31% 5.4 4.1 -1.3 vs BAL 4 3 5 6:30 pm Main
Derrick Henry BAL -1.5 26.5 $8,000 $9,600 19.1 113.0 1.2 11.4 4% 26% 19.8 13.9 -5.9 at BUF 27 5 27 6:30 pm Main
Justice Hill BAL -1.5 26.5 $4,800 $5,400 2.8 13.4 2.8 22.5 10% 40% 7.5 6.2 -1.3 at BUF 27 5 27 6:30 pm Main

Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Opp P EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Xavier Worthy KCC -8.5 25.0 $5,200 $6,300 5.6 3.5 37.5 16% 25% 70% 9.5 20% 11.0 10.8 -0.2 vs HOU 7 22 5:30 pm Main
Marquise Brown KCC -8.5 25.0 $4,200 $6,000 7.5 4.5 45.5 19% 26% 42% 8.1 23% 9.1 11.9 2.8 vs HOU 7 22 5:30 pm Main
DeAndre Hopkins KCC -8.5 25.0 $4,700 $5,800 5.0 3.5 38.1 14% 24% 51% 11.6 18% 9.2 10.4 1.2 vs HOU 7 22 5:30 pm Main
Nico Collins HOU 8.5 16.5 $7,600 $8,500 8.3 5.7 83.8 24% 37% 72% 11.7 31% 17.6 16.2 -1.4 at KCC 15 18 5:30 pm Main
John Metchie HOU 8.5 16.5 $3,800 $5,600 2.8 1.8 19.5 9% 10% 45% 8.9 8% 4.3 5.0 0.7 at KCC 15 18 5:30 pm Main
Robert Woods HOU 8.5 16.5 $3,600 $5,000 1.9 1.3 13.5 6% 7% 29% 9.2 4% 2.6 3.6 1.0 at KCC 15 18 5:30 pm Main
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET -9.5 32.5 $7,200 $8,700 8.3 6.8 74.3 26% 31% 84% 8.2 32% 18.7 14.5 -4.2 vs WAS 22 9 8:00 pm Main
Jameson Williams DET -9.5 32.5 $6,100 $6,700 6.0 3.9 66.7 18% 30% 80% 11.9 23% 14.1 11.7 -2.4 vs WAS 22 9 8:00 pm Main
Tim Patrick DET -9.5 32.5 $3,700 $5,200 2.8 2.1 24.6 9% 15% 55% 11.4 9% 5.8 5.7 -0.1 vs WAS 22 9 8:00 pm Main
Terry McLaurin WAS 9.5 23.0 $6,300 $7,600 6.7 4.8 64.5 22% 40% 78% 13.7 27% 15.8 13.6 -2.2 at DET 6 31 8:00 pm Main
Dyami Brown WAS 9.5 23.0 $3,900 $5,100 2.4 1.9 19.3 8% 8% 39% 7.7 10% 4.3 4.9 0.6 at DET 6 31 8:00 pm Main
Olamide Zaccheaus WAS 9.5 23.0 $4,300 $5,400 3.7 2.6 29.8 12% 10% 42% 6.5 14% 6.7 6.9 0.2 at DET 6 31 8:00 pm Main
A.J. Brown PHI -6.5 25.5 $7,000 $8,300 7.4 5.2 83.0 31% 50% 89% 12.4 42% 16.7 13.9 -2.8 vs LAR 28 14 3:00 pm Main
DeVonta Smith PHI -6.5 25.5 $5,600 $7,300 6.5 5.2 64.1 25% 33% 89% 10.0 34% 15.3 11.5 -3.8 vs LAR 28 14 3:00 pm Main
Jahan Dotson PHI -6.5 25.5 $3,600 $4,700 1.8 1.1 12.7 7% 9% 71% 10.1 8% 2.5 3.0 0.5 vs LAR 28 14 3:00 pm Main
Puka Nacua LAR 6.5 19.0 $7,400 $8,600 9.5 7.2 90.0 28% 31% 72% 8.0 35% 18.8 17.7 -1.1 at PHI 3 7 3:00 pm Main
Cooper Kupp LAR 6.5 19.0 $5,400 $6,400 8.1 5.6 59.2 25% 27% 80% 8.0 32% 14.6 15.0 0.4 at PHI 3 7 3:00 pm Main
Demarcus Robinson LAR 6.5 19.0 $4,000 $4,900 3.5 1.8 29.7 11% 24% 79% 16.3 13% 7.3 8.3 1.0 at PHI 3 7 3:00 pm Main
Khalil Shakir BUF 1.5 25.0 $5,000 $6,100 6.5 5.1 54.7 21% 15% 71% 5.6 25% 12.2 11.4 -0.8 vs BAL 14 28 6:30 pm Main
Keon Coleman BUF 1.5 25.0 $4,100 $5,300 4.3 2.2 42.8 14% 28% 69% 15.3 20% 8.6 9.6 1.0 vs BAL 14 28 6:30 pm Main
Mack Hollins BUF 1.5 25.0 $3,500 $4,800 2.9 1.8 22.2 9% 16% 59% 13.7 11% 5.8 5.8 0.0 vs BAL 14 28 6:30 pm Main
Zay Flowers BAL -1.5 26.5 $5,900 $6,900 6.8 4.4 62.3 24% 30% 82% 10.9 30% 12.3 13.4 1.1 at BUF 19 20 6:30 pm Main
Rashod Bateman BAL -1.5 26.5 $4,900 $6,200 3.9 2.6 44.5 14% 24% 76% 15.0 15% 10.3 7.2 -3.1 at BUF 19 20 6:30 pm Main
Nelson Agholor BAL -1.5 26.5 $3,300 $5,100 1.9 1.0 16.5 7% 11% 41% 14.0 8% 3.5 3.6 0.1 at BUF 19 20 6:30 pm Main

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Opp P EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Travis Kelce KCC -8.5 25.0 $5,000 $6,500 8.0 6.1 51.4 22% 24% 77% 6.8 24% 12.3 14.0 1.7 vs HOU 7 12 5:30 pm Main
Dalton Schultz HOU 8.5 16.5 $3,300 $5,300 4.9 3.1 31.3 15% 15% 69% 7.7 15% 7.0 8.4 1.4 at KCC 15 29 5:30 pm Main
Sam LaPorta DET -9.5 32.5 $4,200 $6,000 4.9 3.8 45.4 15% 18% 72% 7.8 16% 10.9 9.4 -1.5 vs WAS 22 9 8:00 pm Main
Zach Ertz WAS 9.5 23.0 $4,000 $5,500 5.2 3.9 38.5 17% 19% 69% 8.4 17% 10.4 9.9 -0.5 at DET 6 1 8:00 pm Main
Dallas Goedert PHI -6.5 25.5 $3,900 $6,100 5.2 4.2 49.6 18% 17% 62% 7.0 22% 10.4 8.8 -1.6 vs LAR 28 30 3:00 pm Main
Tyler Higbee LAR 6.5 19.0 $3,400 $5,200 4.0 2.7 22.0 13% 8% 32% 2.5 18% 8.9 8.1 -0.8 at PHI 3 2 3:00 pm Main
Dalton Kincaid BUF 1.5 25.0 $3,700 $5,400 5.5 3.4 34.5 18% 19% 58% 8.3 21% 7.8 9.9 2.1 vs BAL 14 21 6:30 pm Main
Mark Andrews BAL -1.5 26.5 $4,500 $5,900 4.1 3.2 39.6 15% 18% 60% 10.8 16% 11.1 7.6 -3.5 at BUF 19 16 6:30 pm Main

Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Stats Credit: ProFootballFocus (PFF) and Fantasy Points Data

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious