DFS Alerts
Justin Rose continues to gain steam
The near miss at this year’s Masters had an effect on Justin Rose. While this past major champion said and did all the right things, overall poor play in the months to come made it easy for many in the DFS community to write Rose off. The three events prior to the Dell Technologies Championship all saw Rose with an ownership level of less than 10%. A top ten finish at the Northern Trust started both a string of good play and an upward trend in the ownership levels for Rose. At $8,900 Rose is predicted to be one of the highest owend players in this weeks field. This very reasonable price makes it extremely easy to fit Rose in a wide variety of roster builds. With four consecutive top six or better finishes in this event, Rose has the skill set needed to play well at East Lake. Normally we look to fade the chalk, but the combination of his recent form and excellent course history makes Rose a great play for the final event of the season. With only 30 players in the field, it will be hard to differentiate your lineups and you would be better suited to try a different spot for a fade. Rose is simply too cheap for the value he brings to the table this week.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership
Third time is the charm for Tony Finau
Tony Finau came through in a big way last week. A final round 64 allowed this rising star to make his first trip to East Lake. After narrowly missing out on opportunities to play in this tournament during his first two seasons on tour, this week is a big step for the very talented Finau. With his birth into The Tour Championship, Finau not only gains entry into the WGC events but he is now also exempt into three of the four majors next season. For Finau, this is a chance to really take his game to the next level. His one tour win came at a venue that did not guarantee entrance into the bigger events of the season. Finau can now set his schedule around the majors and gain the opportunity to compete in all of the bigger events on tour. Historically underpriced on DraftKings, Finau represents a chance to grab talent at a low price. With 12 top 20 or better in finishes in terms of DraftKings scoring Finau once again seems a bit underpriced in comparison to his game log. For what he lacks in the ability to potentially win an event like The Tour Championship, Finau more than makes up for with his ability to dominate DK scoring. Ranked inside the top ten in terms of DK scoring Finau provides the type of upside needed to take down a big GPP.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Russell Henley continues to fly under the radar
With only 30 players in this week’s field, roster differentiation will be a very hard task. As the process of leaving money on the table becomes more of a mainstream idea, we must learn to look at projected ownership numbers to help find for possible pivot plays. An early look at The RotoGrinders Projected Ownership tool reveals that Russell Henley is trending as a possible low owend option for this weeks event. Currently 27th in the FedEx Cup standings, Henley prepares to play in his second Tour Championship. WIth a large majority of his points coming via a win at this year’s Houston Open, Henley played well enough towards the end of this season to maintain his spot in the top 30. In his last 4 starts, Henley has not garnished an ownership higher than 5%. While it’s unlikely to see an ownership number below 5% on any one player this week, it is very reasonable to think that the public perception on Henley will remain the same for the Tour Championship. In his one previous attempt at East Lake Henley posted a very solid 12th place finish. Scoring will be very tight this week, and Henley is very capable of posting the type of finish needed to help differentiate your lineups. While a win is unlikely, a top 10 finish by Henley this week would go a long way in terms of making him a great GPP option.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership Gary Woodland trending as a top value play
Playing in his fifth career Tour Championship Gary Woodland ranks as one of the top plays in terms of PT/$K in the DraftKings RotoGrinders Player projection tool for Tour Championship. Currently ranked in the 28th position in the FedEx Cup standings Woodland made the tour championship largely based upon his early season play. Four of Woodland’s five top 10 finishes accrued prior to March 1st. For what Woodland lacks in terms of great recent form he more than makes up for with his ability to make birdies. Ranked 46th in birdie average this season, Woodland possesses the ability to flourish in light of a high finish. Roster construction will be a hot topic for season’s final event, and Woodland represents a great opportunity to gain much-needed salary relief. The $6,400 price tag on Woodland makes fitting in the bigger names in this week’s field a more realistic option.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Player Projections Justin Rose ranks as a top mid tier play among experts
Justin Rose is one of the few players who can balance playing well on the two biggest professional golf tours in the world. Currently ranked 17th in the FedEx Cup standings Rose is in a great position to play in the season ending Tour Championship. In only 16 starts this season Rose has 8 top 25 or better finishes, and he comes into this event on the heels of back to back top 10’s. At $7,700 Rose ranks easily as the best value in the mid tier pricing range amongst our panel of PGA experts. This 15th ranked player in the world posted a T13 the last time the BMW Championship was played at Conway Farms. The combination of salary relief and potential upside makes Rose a clear cut play in almost any format.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Value Rankings Paul Casey's popularity based on more than just stats this week
Nobody loves a good narrative street more than the DFS community. From revenge games to birthdays the DFS player is always looking for an edge when doing research. Paul Casey comes into this week with perhaps the biggest narrative street item. Casey and his wife Pollyanna welcomed their second child Astaria into the world last week. The already popular Casey will look to continue his excellent play this season. In his last six starts, Casey has four top five or better finishes, and he has not finished outside the top 26 since the second week in March. Currently ranked 8th in the FedEx Cup rankings and fresh off back to back top five finishes Casey only lacks a win to make this truly a special season. With only one career PGA tour victory to his name, Casey has a bit of a reputation for not being able to close a tournament when near the lead. Casey is so close to getting this second win monkey off his back, and now he will come into this week with all of the positive vibes know as baby swag. At $9,200 this 14th ranked player in the world, easily fits into a wide variety of roster constructions. The combination of his reasonable price combined with his excellent form will make Casey one of the higher owned players this week. Normally we look to fade the chalk, but Casey is just simply playing too well to ignore.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Jason Day makes a caddie change
Jason Day become the third big named player this season to announce a caddie breakup. There is no real good time to announce such a split, but it is very ironic that just two years ago at this very event, Jason Day took over the world’s number ranking. Collin Swatton has a unique roll in Jason Day’s life. In addition to being his caddie and swing coach, Swatton is also one of Day’s dearest friends. While the exact nature of the split is still unknown, Day and Swatton will still work together as player and coach. For the most part, this season has been a very big disappointment. Day heads into this week looking to build on some late season momentum. He has not finished worse than a T27 in his last five events, and this week he returns to a course in which seems to suit his game. In his two previous attempts at Conway Farms, Day has one win and a fourth place finish. Caddie player relationships are a strong part of the game, but we should not expect this move to have a negative impact on Day, and he should still be considered a strong play in all formats.
As reported by: PGA Tour Jason Dufner flying under the radar
Jason Dufner is quietly having a very good PGA Tour season. His early season win at The Memorial gave this past Major Champion the fifth victory of his career. Known for his ability to hit quality golf shots Dufner has the game to compete at this week’s venue Conway Farms. Currently ranked 15th in strokes gained approach, Duffner has the iron game that should fair well this weeks venue. Dufner’s ability to make cuts often makes him a great option for a wide variety of roster builds. Mid week ownership projections for Dufner have this 32nd ranked golfer in the world trending toward a very low ownership number. The lack of a cut for this event could keep many in the industry off Dufner for the BMW Championship. With only 70 players in this week’s field, you will most likely need to hit on a few different low owned options in order to take down a big GPP. Not currently guaranteed a spot in the Tour Championship, Dufner needs to play well if he wants to tee it up at East Lake. Dufner has the upside needed to play well this week, and his low ownership makes this a great leverage spot in large field GPP’s.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership Kevin Na looks to stay hot
Fueled by solid recent play Keven Na is projected to be one of the higher picks in terms of PT/$K in the FanDuel RotoGrinders Player projection tool for the BMW Championship. With two top six or better finishes in his last three events, Na enters this week with an outside chance of making it to The Tour Championship. The normally steady Na has been plagued by inconsistent play this season. With seven missed cuts this year, Na has matched the same amount of cuts in his previous two seasons on tour. For Na, this late season surge of good play means he will have a chance to participate in his fourth straight Tour Championship. While Na is not the type of player that most in the DFS community look to actively roster, he does have a good course fit at Conway Farms. Accuracy on second shots will be a key to playing well at Conway Farms. Currently ranked 10th in strokes gained approach to the green. Na has the iron game need to play well this week and the combination of his price and his very solid current form makes Na a very interesting GPP flyer for The BMW Championship.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Player Projections Rory McIlroy on the outside of the FedEx Cup bubble
The top 70 in the FedEx Cup standings will tee it up at Conway Farms for this week’s BMW Championship. At week’s end, the top 30 will move on to the Tour Championship at East Lake. McIlroy won twice during his championship FedEx run last season, but he’s an outsider needing to play well in order to make a return trip to East Lake. McIlroy missed the cut during his title defense at TPC Boston and now will likely need at least a top-5 finish at Conway Farms to make the season finale as he starts the week in 51st place in the FedEx Cup standings. This 6th ranked golfer in the world has the ability to show up and win on any given week but his inconsistent overall form this season has seen a diminished interest in this multiple major winner. McIlroy will need a similar performance to his 4th place finish at the 2015 BMW Championship if he plans on playing in the tour championship. Plagued by injuries and inconsistent play, McIlroy comes into this week as a potential high upside low owned option for the BMW Chamionship. The reduced priced on McIlroy has done little to boost his early week ownership levels, and the upside he brings to the table makes this a great spot for a GPP leverage play.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership BMW Championship projections are live
Marc Leishman is projected to be one of the higher picks in terms of PT/$K in the DraftKings RotoGrinders Player projection tool for the BMW Championship. Currently ranked in the 7th position in the FedEx Cup standings, Leishman is having the best season of his career. In addition to his win at this year’s Arnold Palmer Invitational, Leishman has six top ten finishes. As evident by his near miss in last week’s Dell Technologies Championship Leishman has the skill set needed to compete with the best players in the world. In a no cut event, we are looking to roster players that can dominate the DraftKings scoring in light of a top finish. Leishman ranks 46th in birdie average with 3.73 birdies per round and his 27th ranking in par 5 scoring should come in handy at the BMW Championship. At $7,700 Leishman will easily fit into a wide variety of roster construction formats and should be considered a strong play for both tournaments and cash games.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Player Projections Rory McIlroy looks to rally on past course history
Nagging injuries have kept Rory McIlroy from playing the type of golf needed to win at the highest level. McIlroy even hinted at possibly skipping the FedEx Cup due to his injuries, but in the end, he decided that his health was solid enough to compete. The majority of golf fans have waited patiently for this former number player in the world to display the dominant form used to capture last year’s FedEx Cup. The big question moving into this week is whether or not McIlroy will benefit from his elite course history at The Dell Technologies Open. In six starts at the TPC Of Boston, McIlroy has two wins and a very impressive 68.3 scoring average. Last week’s winner Dustin Johnson flew somewhat under the radar, and the combination of his perceived injury and the extreme upside he provides makes this a great spot to play McIlroy. Currently ranked in the 43rd position in the FedEx Cup standings, McIlroy still has work to do if he plans on making a strong push towards a title defense. With other top named players grabbing up shares of ownership, McIlroy makes for a very strong pivot play at the TPC Of Boston.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership Louis Oosthuizen continues to fly under the radar
Louis Oosthuizen is in the middle of having a very solid year. In sixteen starts this season, this former major winner has posted 9 top 25 or better finishes. Currently ranked in the 26th position in the FedEx Cup Standings, Oosthuizen is on the verge of making it to The Tour Championship for the third time in the last four seasons. In the DFS golf arena, foreign born players tend to go a little under owned. Unless you are a super star like McIlroy or Day, players like Oosthuizen struggle to gain popularity. This week’s ownership projections for the Dell Technologies Championship fall very true to this pattern and Oosthuizen is slated to fall in a very low ownership percentile. This 20th ranked player in the world has a very solid course history at the TPC Of Boston. In addition to a runner up finish, Oosthuizen has two top 12 or better finishes in his other two starts at The Dell Technologies Championship.When you factor in predicted lower ownership with the upside that he provides, Oosthuizen becomes a great leverage play for The Dell Technologies Championship.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Projected Ownership Jhonattan Vegas is trending as a top value play
Jhonattan Vegas is projected to be one of the higher picks in terms of PT/$K in the FanDuel RotoGrinders Player projection tool. Vegas came out of nowhere earlier this season to claim his third career victory at the RBC Canadian Open. Known as somewhat of a streaky player, Vegas has the ability to get hot out of nowhere. Prior to his victory at the RBC Canadian Open, Vegas had missed five consecutive cuts. Currently ranked 10th in the FedEx Cup standings Vegas comes into this week on the heels of a third place finish at the Northern Trust. Rostering Vegas does not come with out risk, but the combination of his affordable price and potential upside makes Vegas a great GPP play option this week. Vegas has made the cut in his two previous attempts at The Dell Technologies Championship.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Player Projections Presidents Team roster spots still in play
The Dell Technologies Championship will serve as the last chance for players to secure a spot in The Presidents Cup Tournament. The top-10 players for each team will be finalized on September 4, with two additional picks named by each captain on September 6. Captian Steve Stricker will have some interesting choices to make in terms of his captain’s picks. Currently 18th in the standings, Phil Mickelson would possibly need a win to make the team on his own merit. Many in the golf community feel that Mickelson is a strong candidate to make the team as a captain’s choice. Mickelson has the track record and experience needed to perform well in a format like the Presidents Cup and appears to be odds on favorite for one of the captain’s spots. The other captain’s pick is very much up for grabs, and there is another left handed golfer who is in a prime position to possibly play his way on to the team. With one win already this season, Brian Harmon is on the verge of making this year’s Presidents Cup Team. In addition to nearly winning the U.S. Open, Harmon has put together a very solid season. Harmon’s come from behind win at this year’s Well Fargo Championship proved that he has what it takes to play well in high-pressure situations. Currently ranked outside the top 10 in the Presidents Cup standings, Harmon will need a good week if he plans on earning one of the spots on USA Team. Both Mickelson and Harmon provide opportunities to roster players motivated to make The Presidents Cup Team. Both players can be had a great value this week, and they make for interesting plays in large field GPP’s.
As reported by: RotoGrinders Other tagged players: Brian Harman