DFS Alerts
Top Value after a Mediocre Finish
Harman made the cut last week, but he was one of the bigger disappointments. For the second time in the swing season I’ve targeted him on courses that he didn’t have any great finishes at in the past and for the second time, I wasn’t impressed with the results. The ball striking numbers have been better over the last six months, but he might be a golfer that we should only target on courses that he likes. This should certainly fit the mold, as he’s made five of seven cuts here with two top 10 finishes. He’s accurate off the tee, he’s good with his irons, and he’s ranked first in the field in bogey avoidance.
One of the Few Events he can Win
Gay was a late add to the picks last week and I’m going right back to the well. Despite a shaky second round, he finished in a tie for 14th and even got a hole in one on Sunday. His statistics aren’t going to jump off the page at us, but he’s quietly been in very good form recently. He has made five straight cuts with three top 15 finishes during that stretch. He’s one of the best putters in the world, especially on Bermuda. The biggest weakness is his driver and that shouldn’t be a big issue at this event. He has played here in each of the last two seasons, posting finishes of T3 and T23. I like the form, the course fit, and the potential low ownership.
Cut-Maker with Upside at a Discounted Price Point
Knox continues to make cuts and post middling finishes. After a T11 at the Bermuda Championship, he backed it up with a T33 at last week’s Mayakoba Golf Classic. When it comes to Knox, we typically play him on the same tracks every season — the ones where accuracy is more important than distance off the tee and where his irons can shine. He’s not the best putter around, but we know any golfer can have a good week on the greens. He’s ranked third in this field in strokes gained approach and sixth in greens in regulation. He has played here four times in his career, posting three top 40 finishes. He’s a safe bet to make the cut and a good bet to finish in the top 20.
Four Top 6 Finishes in Five Events
My main man Harris is a core play once again this week. Are we paying a premium for him given his long-term form? Absolutely, but that doesn’t mean that he’s a bad play. If you only look at the last five events played, he’s in the best form of anyone in the field and it’s not particularly close. He’s made the cut in all five outings and has four top six finishes. We don’t have any shot link data from last week, but he hit over 70% of greens in regulation and racked up 24 birdies. Before that event, he had his best four-tournament stretch of ball striking in his entire career. He’s one of the best putters in the world, so we are currently getting the best of both worlds. His course history here is spotty, but he does have three top 30s in seven tries. The swing season is my favorite time to pay a premium for golfers in good form and I will continue that trend this week.
Roger Sloan no longer in the field
Roger Sloan has pulled out of this week’s RSM Classic and has been replaced by Ricky Barnes. At this time there is no injury news associated with Sloan’s decision to withdraw. Barnes should get added to the pricing pool within the next 24 hours. The news should not move the needle too much as either player is at best a GPP dart throw.
As reported by: Rob Bolton Twitter Other tagged players: Ricky Barnes
Looking To Bounce Back
Redman did not have a strong week in Mexico, but I am not concerned in the long run. He only missed the cut by one stroke, and he did not make a lot of mistakes with just two bogeys in his two rounds. He simply couldn’t get any birdie putts to drop. Redman still grades out very well statistically so far in 2019-2020, with solid ranks in ball striking (13th) and strokes gained on approach (33rd). He has plenty of value at these prices, especially since the masses will run away after a missed cut last week. Redman was only one putt away from making the weekend and possibly sneaking out a much better finish, so this is a fine spot to get some GPP leverage.
Quietly Emerging
He seems to be flying under the radar, but Adam Long has quietly had a very strong fall season. He has yet to miss a cut in six starts (though two were no cut events), and he has made a splash with four top 25 finishes. That includes an impressive runner-up finish last week in Mexico, where all four of his rounds landed in the 60’s. He ranks above field average in ball striking and also currently sits 18th on Tour in strokes gained on approach. The lack of positive course history will concern some, but Long is playing some of the best golf of his career right now. I’ll happily buy in GPPs at a price tag that is below the average price you get to spend per golfer on every site.
The Top Option In A Weaker Field
We haven’t seen Simpson on the course since the Shriners back in the first week of October, so he has had quite a break. While rust is always a concern, I’m willing to look past that given all the other circumstances. Simpson always plays well on these southeastern U.S. bermudagrass tracks, and the third place finish here a year ago won’t do anything to hurt that logic. He has four career top 12 finishes at this venue and has one of the best approach/short game combinations on Tour when he is right. I’m hoping the massive price tag helps keep GPP ownership down, but that likely won’t be the case. However, he’s the top option on my overall board for this event, so I’ll have plenty of exposure in all formats.
Ten Minutes to roster lock, tee times delayed due to bad weather
It appears that rosters will lock on time today, but due to bad weather, the tee times for round one will be pushed back two hours. You can check back to see how your lineups stack up against the field as ResultsDB be up and running fifteen minutes after lock. As always we will post any late-breaking news before lock. Good luck this week grinders!!!!!
Weather update for The Mayakoba Classic
Kevin Roth’s weather report for The Mayakoba Classic is up in the main forum. The weather over the first two days could have a bit of rain, but at this point, there does not appear to be an edge in terms of stacking one wave. With multiple chances of rain over the first two days, there is a strong chance of delays on either day. Something to keep in mind if you are playing the Friday Showdown slate is the number of holes a player might have to play due to delays.
As reported by: Kevin Roth Weather Report Monday qualifiers now have projections and are available in LineupHQ
The four Monday qualifiers for The Mayakoba Golf Classic have been added to DFS pricing pools and are now available in LineupHQ. Of the four qualifiers, Ben Silverman has the most experience of the group. In two full seasons on The PGA Tour Silverman has yet to finish inside the top 125 in the year-end FedEx Cup race. Silverman has made 28 of 53 cuts in two seasons on tour with only two top tens. Tyler McCumber is playing in only his 8th tour start this week and will look to build on a 22nd place finish in last year’s Korn Ferry Tour race. Former NCCA individual champion Jimmy Stanger will make his 5th career PGA Tour start this week as he is still trying to find his way in the world of professional golf. Efren Serana rounds out the group as he prepares to play in his third Mayakoba Classic. All four players should be considered only as deep GPP flyers for the week.
As reported by: LineupHQ Other tagged players: Tyler McCumber, Efren Serna, Jimmy Stanger Harris English returns to the site of his last PGA Tour win
In a little over six months’ time, Harris English has gone from a golfer struggling to keep his tour card to a player with a real chance of making a deep FedEx Cup run. The recent form started when English narrowly missed earning his card at The Korn Ferry Tour Championship. Playing early in the season as a conditional member of the PGA Tour, English has used 3 top six or better finishes to lock up his playing status moving forward. Currently inside the top 15 in this year’s FedEx Cup race, and a past champion of this event English is a player worth paying attention to this week. Always a great putter English has started to play of late due to improved form with his iron game. It’s worth noting that English has gained strokes in approach over his last five starts. Prior to that time, English had only gained strokes with his approach game 4 times in 19 starts. With such strong current form, English stands out as a clear source of value as he looks to continue the great start to the 2020 PGA Tour season.
As reported by: PGA DFS Core Plays Russell Knox is a horse for this course
Recent form and course history are things we often use to start off research for any given week on the PGA Tour. Russell Knox is a golfer that will stand out quite a bit this week because he easily checks off both boxes. The combination of his recent form ( 5 straight international made cuts) and his excellent course history ( 3 consecutive top ten’s) makes the addition of Knox to a roster a pretty easy choice. Course fit is an important thing to try and figure out on any given week, and Knox certainty likes playing this venue. El Camaleon is a course that typically favors accuracy over distance, and if the wind blows (some history of wind at this event) then you can see a clear path for success with a player like Knox. Always a great iron player, Knox has a long history of gaining strokes with approach. Knox has played 17 of his career 24 rounds at this course at 69 or better, and with only 3 of those 17 rounds coming in over par, it’s safe to play this tour veteran in all formats this week.
As reported by: PGA DFS Core Plays Scott Piercy looks to bounce back from a rough start to the 2020 season
Scott Piercy has not exactly gotten off a great start to the 2020 PGA Tour season. Outside of a top 20 finish at The Greenbrier, Piercy has finished near the bottom of the field in three out of his four made cuts. Priced-down due to his poor recent form Piercy will look to get his season back on track at a venue that he has played well in the past. In his last three starts at this event, Piercy has three top 20 finishes including a pair of top 6 or better showings. Piercy has gained 27 shots tee to green in his last three starts at El Camaleon. Currently projected at a very low ownership number for the week Piercy could end up being a great GPP leverage play.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Chris Kirk returns to action after an extended layoff
Chris Kirk will tee it up this week with a new perspective on both life and golf. Returning to action after a six-month layoff to deal with alcoholism and depression, Kirk appears to be in a much better place in life. Many gamers will stay away from Kirk due to rust, but it’s worth noting that Kirk played well in a small mini-tour event a few weeks back. It’s good to see Kirk back on tour, and at a bottom price tag he can be considered for GPP dart throws this week. Even if you are not ready to pull the trigger on Kirk on his first week back his return to golf is something you will want to monitor moving forward. Once the rust is off there is a solid chance that Kirk will be worth targeting at a value price in the near future.
As reported by: Pga Value Breakdown