MLB First Look: Friday, March 30th
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Ivan Nova – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Jordan Zimmermann – R | PIT-116 | 9.0 | Comerica Park | 1:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | Max Scherzer – R | at | Cincinnati Reds | Homer Bailey – R | WAS-180 | 8.5 | Great American Park | 4:10 PM |
| New York Yankees | Masahiro Tanaka – R | at | Toronto Blue Jays | Aaron Sanchez – R | NYY-136 | 8.5 | Rogers Centre | 7:07 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | David Price – L | at | Tampa Bay Rays | Blake Snell – L | BOS-130 | 7.5 | Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | Kyle Hendricks – R | at | Miami Marlins | Caleb Smith – L | CHC-190 | 8.5 | Marlins Park | 7:10 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Nick Pivetta – R | at | Atlanta Braves | Mike Foltynewicz – R | ATL-105 | 9.0 | SunTrust Park | 7:35 PM |
| Houston Astros | Dallas Keuchel – L | at | Texas Rangers | Doug Fister – R | HOU-165 | 9.0 | Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | Tyler Anderson – L | at | Arizona Diamondbacks | Robbie Ray – L | ARI-140 | 8.0 | Chase Field | 9:40 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | Tyler Skaggs – L | at | Oakland Athletics | Sean Manaea – L | OAK-105 | 9.0 | O.co Coliseum | 10:05 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Jhoulys Chacin – R | at | San Diego Padres | Joey Lucchesi – L | MIL-115 | 8.0 | Petco Park | 10:10 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | Johnny Cueto – R | at | Los Angeles Dodgers | Alex Wood – L | LAD-160 | 7.5 | Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM |
Implied Run Totals
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | HR/FB | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | WAS | at CIN | -180 | $11,100 | $12,700 | N/A | 2.98 | 2.51 | 34.4% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 36.5% | 26.5% | 10.8% | 4:10 PM |
| Robbie Ray | ARI | COL | -140 | $9,500 | $8,700 | $18,900 | 3.53 | 2.89 | 32.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 40.3% | 40.4% | 15.6% | 9:40 PM |
| Dallas Keuchel | HOU | at TEX | -165 | $9,200 | $11,800 | $23,100 | 3.61 | 2.90 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 66.8% | 24.7% | 21.1% | 8:05 PM |
| Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | at TOR | -136 | $8,700 | $9,400 | $17,100 | 3.52 | 4.74 | 25.8% | 5.5% | 15.1% | 49.2% | 31.4% | 21.2% | 7:07 PM |
| David Price | BOS | at TB | -130 | $8,500 | $10,100 | $19,800 | 4.05 | 3.38 | 24.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 39.9% | 32.9% | 9.8% | 7:10 PM |
| Alex Wood | LAD | SF | -160 | $8,400 | $10,400 | $20,400 | 3.57 | 2.72 | 24.6% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 53.0% | 27.7% | 13.5% | 10:10 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | CHC | at MIA | -190 | $8,200 | $9,900 | $17,600 | 4.08 | 3.03 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 50.1% | 30.4% | 14.8% | 7:10 PM |
| Johnny Cueto | SF | at LAD | 160 | $7,800 | $7,900 | $14,000 | 4.49 | 4.52 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 39.4% | 34.6% | 14.0% | 10:10 PM |
| Ivan Nova | PIT | at DET | -116 | $7,700 | $7,200 | N/A | 4.45 | 4.14 | 16.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 45.7% | 34.8% | 15.8% | 1:10 PM |
| Sean Manaea | OAK | LAA | -105 | $7,300 | $6,000 | $12,000 | 4.51 | 4.37 | 20.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 44.1% | 33.3% | 10.6% | 10:05 PM |
| Blake Snell | TB | BOS | 130 | $6,700 | $6,800 | $13,700 | 4.72 | 4.04 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 43.9% | 33.2% | 11.0% | 7:10 PM |
| Jordan Zimmermann | DET | PIT | 116 | $6,600 | $6,700 | N/A | 5.22 | 6.08 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 33.2% | 39.5% | 12.5% | 1:10 PM |
| Mike Foltynewicz | ATL | PHI | -105 | $6,500 | $6,500 | $12,900 | 4.57 | 4.79 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 39.4% | 28.1% | 11.8% | 7:35 PM |
| Jhoulys Chacin | MIL | at SD | -115 | $6,400 | $6,600 | $12,700 | 4.63 | 3.89 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 49.1% | 28.5% | 11.4% | 10:10 PM |
| Nick Pivetta | PHI | at ATL | 105 | $6,300 | $6,100 | $11,800 | 4.32 | 6.02 | 24.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 43.8% | 35.5% | 18.2% | 7:35 PM |
| Tyler Anderson | COL | at ARI | 140 | $6,200 | $6,300 | $13,000 | 4.14 | 4.81 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 43.7% | 32.0% | 19.5% | 9:40 PM |
| Tyler Skaggs | LAA | at OAK | 105 | $6,100 | $7,400 | $14,800 | 4.44 | 4.55 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 41.8% | 32.2% | 14.1% | 10:05 PM |
| Aaron Sanchez | TOR | NYY | 136 | $5,900 | $7,000 | $14,900 | 5.62 | 4.25 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 47.5% | 29.5% | 17.1% | 7:07 PM |
| Doug Fister | TEX | HOU | 165 | $5,700 | $5,100 | $10,400 | 4.44 | 4.88 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 50.6% | 32.5% | 11.8% | 8:05 PM |
| Caleb Smith | MIA | CHC | 190 | $5,600 | $4,900 | $9,200 | 4.86 | 7.71 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 27.6% | 32.8% | 16.0% | 7:10 PM |
| Homer Bailey | CIN | WAS | 180 | $5,500 | $4,900 | N/A | 5.19 | 6.43 | 16.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 44.6% | 31.0% | 13.1% | 4:10 PM |
| Joey Lucchesi | SD | MIL | 115 | $5,500 | $5,700 | $11,100 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 season.
Offenses
| Offense | IRT | Opp. Pitcher | L/R | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 4.88 | Doug Fister | RIGHT | 0.365 | 0.258 | 8:05 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.77 | Caleb Smith | LEFT | 0.381 | 0.347 | 7:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | 4.71 | Homer Bailey | RIGHT | 0.356 | 0.394 | 4:10 PM |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.60 | Jordan Zimmermann | RIGHT | 0.376 | 0.368 | 1:10 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | 4.53 | Tyler Skaggs | LEFT | 0.317 | 0.345 | 10:05 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | 4.53 | Nick Pivetta | RIGHT | 0.306 | 0.409 | 7:35 PM |
| LA Angels of Anaheim | 4.47 | Sean Manaea | LEFT | 0.262 | 0.347 | 10:05 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.47 | Mike Foltynewicz | RIGHT | 0.375 | 0.311 | 7:35 PM |
| New York Yankees | 4.46 | Aaron Sanchez | RIGHT | 0.299 | 0.406 | 7:07 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 4.40 | Ivan Nova | RIGHT | 0.361 | 0.303 | 1:10 PM |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.23 | Tyler Anderson | LEFT | 0.309 | 0.358 | 9:40 PM |
| Texas Rangers | 4.12 | Dallas Keuchel | LEFT | 0.192 | 0.293 | 8:05 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.10 | Johnny Cueto | RIGHT | 0.351 | 0.342 | 10:10 PM |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 4.09 | Joey Lucchesi | LEFT | 10:10 PM | ||
| Toronto Blue Jays | 4.04 | Masahiro Tanaka | RIGHT | 0.316 | 0.333 | 7:07 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | 3.93 | Blake Snell | LEFT | 0.228 | 0.320 | 7:10 PM |
| San Diego Padres | 3.91 | Jhoulys Chacin | RIGHT | 0.338 | 0.266 | 10:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | 3.79 | Max Scherzer | RIGHT | 0.299 | 0.188 | 4:10 PM |
| Colorado Rockies | 3.77 | Robbie Ray | LEFT | 0.268 | 0.285 | 9:40 PM |
| Miami Marlins | 3.73 | Kyle Hendricks | RIGHT | 0.309 | 0.274 | 7:10 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 3.57 | David Price | LEFT | 0.228 | 0.301 | 7:10 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | 3.40 | Alex Wood | LEFT | 0.265 | 0.267 | 10:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017, season with the exception of the pitcher splits by handedness. They are from the last two seasons combined.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| LHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| RHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| HR/FB | Percentage of fly balls a pitcher gives up a home run |
| IRT | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |