MLB First Look: Sunday, October 4th
The MLB First Look, written by Notorious, is complete with sortable odds and pitcher/offensive rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
Included is a brief overview of the MLB odds, which are subject to change throughout the day. Below you’ll also find Notorious’ overall pitcher and offense ratings (along with some other key statistics) to be used as a starting point for your DFS MLB lineups. Note that ratings may change throughout the day based on line movement.
MLB Schedule & Odds
| Home | Away | Vegas Line | Run Total | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | St. Louis | STL -138 | 7.5 | 1:35 PM EST |
| Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | PIT -180 | 7.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Baltimore | NY Yankees | NYY -140 | 8.0 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Philadelphia | Miami | MIA -125 | 8.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| San Francisco | Colorado | SF -180 | 7.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Texas | LA Angels | TEX -130 | 8.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| LA Dodgers | San Diego | LAD -300 | 6.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Seattle | Oakland | SEA -140 | 8.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Chicago White Sox | Detroit | CWS -115 | 8.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Tampa Bay | Toronto | TOR -115 | 8.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| NY Mets | Washington | NYM -200 | 7.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Milwaukee | Chicago Cubs | CHC -170 | 8.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Minnesota | Kansas City | KC -170 | 8.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Cleveland | Boston | CLE -155 | 7.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Arizona | Houston | HOU -160 | 8.5 | 4:10 PM EST |
Pitcher Rankings
| Pitcher | Opponent | Vegas Line | SIERA | K% | Opp. wOBA | Opp. K% | Rating | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | SD | -300 | 2.19 | 32.8% | 24 | 26 | 95.4 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Jacob deGrom | WAS | -200 | 3.10 | 26.3% | 16 | 26 | 93.9 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Lance McCullers | ARI | -160 | 3.57 | 24.8% | 12 | 19 | 82.2 | 4:10 PM EST |
| David Price | TB | -115 | 2.98 | 26.2% | 7 | 23 | 82.2 | 3:10 PM EST |
| J.A. Happ | CIN | -180 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 17 | 13 | 81.0 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Jorge Lopez | CHC | 170 | 2.68 | 29.2% | 14 | 30 | 80.4 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Michael Pineda | BAL | -140 | 3.21 | 22.3% | 3 | 26 | 79.7 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Cole Hamels | LAA | -130 | 3.37 | 24.2% | 23 | 4 | 79.4 | 3:05 PM EST |
| John Lackey | ATL | -138 | 3.79 | 19.6% | 28 | 2 | 77.6 | 1:35 PM EST |
| Johnny Cueto | MIN | -170 | 3.43 | 23.0% | 26 | 22 | 76.2 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Danny Salazar | BOS | -155 | 3.38 | 25.5% | 6 | 2 | 74.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Adam Conley | PHI | -125 | 3.87 | 22.2% | 21 | 21 | 70.3 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Dan Haren | MIL | -170 | 4.07 | 18.0% | 19 | 23 | 68.9 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Vidal Nuno | OAK | -140 | 3.85 | 20.0% | 19 | 2 | 64.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Ricky Nolasco | KC | 170 | 4.02 | 17.4% | 10 | 1 | 63.2 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Rick Porcello | CLE | 155 | 3.84 | 17.5% | 17 | 8 | 62.7 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Garrett Richards | TEX | 130 | 3.62 | 22.0% | 6 | 8 | 60.9 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Matt Cain | COL | -180 | 4.34 | 17.6% | 2 | 21 | 56.1 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Chris Bassitt | SEA | 140 | 4.35 | 17.4% | 18 | 28 | 52.8 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Daniel Norris | CWS | 115 | 4.63 | 17.4% | 29 | 10 | 52.4 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Shelby Miller | STL | 138 | 4.38 | 18.3% | 6 | 11 | 51.6 | 1:35 PM EST |
| Robbie Ray | HOU | 160 | 4.28 | 19.7% | 8 | 16 | 51.1 | 4:10 PM EST |
| Josh Smith | PIT | 180 | 5.32 | 18.3% | 14 | 17 | 44.2 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Chris Tillman | NYY | 140 | 4.45 | 16.7% | 4 | 12 | 44.2 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Matt Moore | TOR | 115 | 4.66 | 16.1% | 1 | 3 | 43.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Frank Garces | LAD | 300 | 4.32 | 18.9% | 3 | 13 | 43.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Tanner Roark | NYM | 200 | 4.05 | 16.3% | 19 | 13 | 42.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| David Buchanan | MIA | 125 | 4.57 | 13.1% | 29 | 6 | 37.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Christian Bergman | SF | 180 | 4.48 | 13.1% | 4 | 6 | 35.4 | 3:05 PM EST |
Team Offense Rankings
| Team | Opposing Pitcher | Team Total | Ballpark | Team wOBA (LH/RH) | Team ISO (LH/RH) | Team Rating | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Robbie Ray | 4.60 | Chase Field | 0.324 | 0.183 | 80.6 | 4:10 PM EST |
| LA Dodgers | Frank Garces | 4.40 | Dodger Stadium | 0.329 | 0.154 | 77.4 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Toronto | Matt Moore | 4.09 | Tropicana Field | 0.353 | 0.184 | 73.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| NY Yankees | Chris Tillman | 4.23 | Camden Yards | 0.322 | 0.177 | 71.8 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Chicago Cubs | Jorge Lopez | 4.66 | Miller Park | 0.316 | 0.161 | 71.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Kansas City | Ricky Nolasco | 4.41 | Target Field | 0.319 | 0.149 | 70.0 | 3:10 PM EST |
| San Francisco | Christian Bergman | 4.21 | AT&T Park | 0.322 | 0.148 | 68.6 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Detroit | Frankie Montas | 4.16 | U.S. Cellular Field | 0.317 | 0.142 | 68.3 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Texas | Garrett Richards | 4.43 | Rangers Ballpark | 0.321 | 0.152 | 67.8 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Pittsburgh | Josh Smith | 4.21 | PNC Park | 0.316 | 0.139 | 65.1 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Seattle | Chris Bassitt | 4.23 | Safeco Field | 0.311 | 0.166 | 64.8 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Miami | David Buchanan | 4.40 | Citizens Bank Park | 0.296 | 0.121 | 63.2 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Chicago White Sox | Daniel Norris | 4.34 | U.S. Cellular Field | 0.284 | 0.110 | 62.3 | 3:10 PM EST |
| St. Louis | Shelby Miller | 3.97 | Turner Field | 0.321 | 0.150 | 59.4 | 1:35 PM EST |
| NY Mets | Tanner Roark | 4.08 | Citi Field | 0.310 | 0.153 | 58.9 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Tampa Bay | David Price | 3.91 | Tropicana Field | 0.326 | 0.174 | 58.2 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Cleveland | Rick Porcello | 4.07 | Progressive Field | 0.312 | 0.147 | 56.8 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Baltimore | Michael Pineda | 3.77 | Camden Yards | 0.323 | 0.184 | 56.5 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Philadelphia | Adam Conley | 4.10 | Citizens Bank Park | 0.303 | 0.120 | 53.3 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Colorado | Matt Cain | 3.29 | AT&T Park | 0.331 | 0.186 | 52.2 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Arizona | Lance McCullers | 3.90 | Chase Field | 0.318 | 0.148 | 51.9 | 4:10 PM EST |
| Milwaukee | Dan Haren | 3.84 | Miller Park | 0.310 | 0.141 | 51.8 | 3:10 PM EST |
| LA Angels | Cole Hamels | 4.07 | Rangers Ballpark | 0.297 | 0.139 | 49.4 | 3:05 PM EST |
| San Diego | Clayton Kershaw | 2.10 | Dodger Stadium | 0.296 | 0.127 | 48.9 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Oakland | Vidal Nuno | 3.77 | Safeco Field | 0.307 | 0.135 | 47.3 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Boston | Danny Salazar | 3.43 | Progressive Field | 0.321 | 0.152 | 43.8 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Minnesota | Johnny Cueto | 3.59 | Target Field | 0.302 | 0.155 | 43.5 | 3:10 PM EST |
| Cincinnati | J.A. Happ | 3.29 | PNC Park | 0.311 | 0.155 | 40.0 | 3:05 PM EST |
| Atlanta | John Lackey | 3.53 | Turner Field | 0.299 | 0.108 | 35.6 | 1:35 PM EST |
| Washington | Jacob deGrom | 2.92 | Citi Field | 0.313 | 0.151 | 25.0 | 3:10 PM EST |