MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 17th - Page Two
Tampa Bay at Houston – 8:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Houston | ||||||||
 | Erasmo Ramirez |  | Scott Kazmir | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-155) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.66 | 0.296 | 0.191 | SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.675 | 0.3 | 0.188 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.177 | SP vs. Right | 0.213 | 0.608 | 0.272 | 0.22 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Erasmo Ramirez : FD: $7,000 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 185.2 — SIERA: 4.17 — ERA: 4.27 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 3.98 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 15.2% — BB%: 3.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Ramirez has pitched well recently, but he is still someone that I have a hard time using in cash games. His strikeout rate is below the league average and tonight he faces an Astros’ offense that leads the majors in home runs. Ramirez is a large underdog tonight on the road. He can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 45.7
Scott Kazmir : FD: $9,200 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 326.0 — SIERA: 3.71 — ERA: 2.95 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.1 — SIERA: 4.49 — ERA: 1.05 — K%: 15.7% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.366 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.2% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Kazmir may have a 1.05 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators suggest some regression. During that same time period, he posted a 4.49 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 15.7%. He may be a popular target tonight, given the fact that he is a sizable favorite in what is expected to be a low scoring game, but I’m not completely sold. The Rays are actually one of the best hitting teams against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 69.6
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays have the fifth-highest team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. They draw a difficult matchup tonight against Scott Kazmir, but they get to face him in the hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. Evan Longoria and Logan Forsythe are both in play as secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 132
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.324 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 142
Houston
The Astros draw a favorable matchup tonight against Erasmo Ramirez, who has given up a .335 wOBA to right-handed hitters. That’s not to say that we can’t target the left-handed bats in this lineup, but Ramirez is clearly a reverse-splits pitcher. Carlos Correa is an elite play tonight at the very thin shortstop position.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.253 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.299 — wRC+: 170
Secondary Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 325 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 86
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.076 — wRC+: 121
Preston Tucker : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 195 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.296 — wRC+: 131
Miami at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| Miami | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Justin Nicolino |  | Matt Garza | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIL (-145) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.333 | 0.844 | 0.369 | 0.2 | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.72 | 0.319 | 0.166 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.289 | 0 | 0.345 | 0 | SP vs. Right | 0.246 | 0.698 | 0.305 | 0.18 |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Justin Nicolino : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 16.2 — SIERA: 5.54 — ERA: 4.86 — K%: 5.9% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.2 — SIERA: 5.67 — ERA: 6.35 — K%: 0.0% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 0.0
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Nicolino has not fared that well in his first 16 major league innings of work. The sample size is still extremely small, but he has only managed to strikeout 5.9% of the batters that he has faced. He is an easy avoid tonight against the Brewers in Miller Park. If you are looking for a value pitcher tonight, scroll down to the game being played in Petco.
Pitcher Rating: 40.1
Matt Garza : FD: $6,500 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 294.0 — SIERA: 4.24 — ERA: 4.16 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 4.60 — ERA: 2.56 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Garza may have a 2.56 ERA over the last month of play, but his peripheral statistics suggest that he has been the same pitcher that he has been all season. During that stretch, he posted a 4.60 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.3%. Garza does draw a favorable matchup against the Marlins, though, and he should see plenty of run support. He could be worth a look as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 58.9
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins see a favorable ballpark shift tonight and they draw a decent matchup against Matt Garza, who has been very hittable this season. Dee Gordon and Derek Dietrich are both in play here, although neither player stands out as an elite play at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 315 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 89
Derek Dietrich : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.212 — wRC+: 120
Milwaukee
The Brewers draw a favorable matchup against left-hander Justin Nicolino, who is still inexperienced at the major league level. A Brewers’ stack is certainly in play here. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play for cash games.
Elite Plays:
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.225 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 33
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.109 — wRC+: 64
Jean Segura : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.217 — ISO: 0.040 — wRC+: 28
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.256 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.202 — wRC+: 129
Khris Davis : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.241 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 44
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 104
San Francisco at St. Louis – 8:15 PM EST
| San Francisco | St. Louis | ||||||||
 | Chris Heston |  | Michael Wacha | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-140) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.26 | 0.752 | 0.331 | 0.138 | SP vs. Left | 0.213 | 0.592 | 0.266 | 0.199 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.227 | 0.587 | 0.263 | 0.225 | SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.669 | 0.294 | 0.22 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Heston : FD: $7,400 — DK: $7,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 146.1 — SIERA: 3.83 — ERA: 3.44 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 5.05 — ERA: 3.38 — K%: 14.5% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 0.6
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 14)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Heston has not been sharp in his recent outings, posting a 5.05 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.5% over the last month of play. To make matters worse, he draws a bad matchup against the Cardinals, who are ranked 12th in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Heston is more risk than potential reward tonight on the road.
Pitcher Rating: 55.7
Michael Wacha : FD: $9,200 — DK: $10,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 245.1 — SIERA: 3.71 — ERA: 3.04 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 2.90 — K%: 25.6% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 1.2
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Wacha has pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 3.56 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.6%. The biggest issue tonight is his matchup against the Giants, who are ranked fourth in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. At this price point, I prefer Gerrit Cole, but Wacha could be a nice pivot in tournaments. He has a great chance to pick up another win tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 76.0
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
The Giants draw a difficult matchup tonight against Michael Wacha, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Giants are one of the best offenses in baseball against right-handed pitching, but their hitters are overpriced for their matchup against Wacha.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw a decent matchup tonight against Chris Heston, who has struggled in his last few starts. On the season, Heston has given up a .331 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Hot-hitting Matt Carpenter remains an elite play in cash games. Jason Heyward and Kolten Wong are both viable secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 312 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.361 — wRC+: 177
Secondary Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 301 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 134
Kolten Wong : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 324 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.262 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 64
Chicago White Sox at LA Angels – 10:05 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | Carlos Rodon |  | Andrew Heaney | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-145) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.204 | 0.554 | 0.256 | 0.282 | SP vs. Left | 0.219 | 0.543 | 0.241 | 0.229 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.292 | 0.861 | 0.376 | 0.23 | SP vs. Right | 0.262 | 0.772 | 0.336 | 0.144 |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | Batter Splits | ANA vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Carlos Rodon : FD: $6,200 — DK: $6,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 91.2 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 4.61 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 12.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.1 — SIERA: 3.23 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 28.0% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 1.1
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.249 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Rodon may have a 6.75 ERA over the last month of play, but his low SIERA and high strikeout rate suggest that he could be in for a very strong finish to the regular season. He dominated this same Angels lineup in his last start, although tonight he has to face them in Los Angeles. It’s always difficult to pitch well against the same team in two straight starts. While I like his upside that he provides, I’m not sure that tonight is the best time to target him.
Pitcher Rating: 63.6
Andrew Heaney : FD: $7,100 — DK: $9,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 86.1 — SIERA: 3.98 — ERA: 3.65 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.2 — SIERA: 4.49 — ERA: 3.64 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 0.9
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 12)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Heaney is another impressive young left-hander. He has cooled off after his great start to the season, but he still has a 3.98 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.1% since the start of 2014. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the White Sox, who are ranked 30th in team wOBA and 17th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Heaney is going to get overlooked tonight, which makes him an intriguing tournament play at home.
Pitcher Rating: 64.4
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
Elite Plays:
The White Sox may not hit left-handed pitching well as a team, but they have a few bats in their lineup that feast on southpaws. The right-handed hitters have a clear advantage in this matchup, as Andrew Heaney has given up a .336 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate over the last two seasons.
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 140
Secondary Plays:
Melky Cabrera : FD: $4,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 69
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 158
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 88
LA Angels
The Angels draw a decent matchup tonight against Carlos Rodon at home. While Rodon did excel in their last meeting, I’m expecting a different result this time around. Rodon has struggled with right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .376 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.312 — wRC+: 183
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.293 — wRC+: 164
Secondary Plays:
Albert Pujols : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.285 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 84
Shane Victorino : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.257 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 62
Erick Aybar : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.237 — ISO: 0.043 — wRC+: 51
Atlanta at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Williams Perez |  | Colin Rea | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-155) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.286 | 0.844 | 0.369 | 0.137 | SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.833 | 0.341 | 0.167 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.622 | 0.288 | 0.156 | SP vs. Right | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.391 | 0.2 |
| Batter Splits | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | SD vs R | ||||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Williams Perez : FD: $5,800 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 68.1 — SIERA: 4.92 — ERA: 4.21 — K%: 14.7% — BB%: 11.0% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 18.1 — SIERA: 6.15 — ERA: 7.85 — K%: 6.9% — BB%: 11.5% — HR/9: 1.0
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Perez may be pitching in Petco Park tonight, but that’s about all that he has going for him. Over the last month of play, he has a 6.15 SIERA with a walk rate (11.5%) that is much higher than his strikeout rate (6.9%). Perez should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 37.9
Colin Rea : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.0
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 16.4% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Rea only threw 75 pitched in his major league debut, but he had four strikeouts in five innings of work in a win over the Reds. The Padres will likely stretch him out a bit tonight and at his price point, he doesn’t have to do a whole lot to reach value. If he can give us six innings and pick up a win, he will be the best value on the board tonight. Obviously, that’s a big IF, but he’s a favorable at home with a nice matchup against the Braves.
Pitcher Rating: 69.6
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
Even though Colin Rea is only making his second career major league start tonight, I’m still not a fan of the Braves’ offense. They lack power and they lack an ability to score runs. They can be avoided tonight in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Diego
The Padres draw a favorable matchup against the struggling Williams Perez, but after coming off of a series in Coors Field, they are way too expensive for Petco Park. Justin Upton and Matt Kemp are both decent tournament plays, but the Padres’ offense can be avoided in cash games.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Justin Upton : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 370 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 137
Matt Kemp : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 390 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 132