MLB Grind Down: Monday, September 21st
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Baltimore at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Baltimore | Washington | ||||||||
 | Ubaldo Jimenez |  | Gio Gonzalez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-140) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.748 | 0.333 | 21.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.640 | 0.284 | 22.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.728 | 0.323 | 21.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.248 | 0.698 | 0.308 | 23.90% |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs L | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ubaldo Jimenez : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 290.1 — SIERA: 4.22 — ERA: 4.53 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 10.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.52 — ERA: 5.90 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 10.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Jimenez has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season, posting a 4.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.1% over the last month of play. While he does get to pitch in a National League ballpark tonight, this isn’t the most ideal matchup on the board. The Nationals are ranked eighth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play and are listed as sizable favorites tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 57.3
Gio Gonzalez : FD: $9,600 — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 318.2 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.70 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.52 — ERA: 3.71 — K%: 28.3% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Gonzalez has been in good form recently, posting a 3.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.3% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup against the Orioles, who have been surprisingly awful against left-handed pitching this season. They are ranked 25th in team wOBA and 28th in strikeout rate on the season. On a short slate, Gonzalez is a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 74.8
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles draw a tough matchup tonight against Gio Gonzalez, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. The right-handed hitters have the edge over the left-handers in this lineup, but the Orioles are secondary options at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Jones : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 308 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 68
Nolan Reimold : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 153
Washington
The Nationals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Ubaldo Jimenez, who has given up a .323+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Bryce Harper is in the midst of another tear, posting a .534 wOBA and a .435 ISO over the last month. He remains an elite play tonight in the outfield.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper : FD: $5,800 — DK: $6,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 707 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 178
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.534 — ISO: 0.435 — wRC+: 247
Secondary Plays:
Jayson Werth : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 732 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.291 — wRC+: 173
Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 748 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 132 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 140
Yunel Escobar : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 827 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.051 — wRC+: 158
NY Yankees at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Adam Warren |  | David Price | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-230) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.204 | 0.575 | 0.255 | 20.8% | SP vs. Left | 0.260 | 0.661 | 0.291 | 22.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.244 | 0.694 | 0.307 | 20.9% | SP vs. Right | 0.225 | 0.632 | 0.277 | 27.30% |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs L | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Warren : FD: $6,000 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 197.2 — SIERA: 3.62 — ERA: 3.19 — K%: 20.8% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 11.2 — SIERA: 2.50 — ERA: 4.63 — K%: 27.5% — BB%: 2.0% — HR/9: 1.5
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.362 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Warren had a mediocre start in his last time out, but he only threw 65 pitches. He has not thrown more than 65 pitches in a single appearance in nearly three months. He will likely be on a pitch count again tonight, which limits his fantasy appeal. To make matters worse, he has to face a Blue Jays’ offense that is ranked first in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 55.3
David Price : FD: $12,000 — DK: $12,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 456.2 — SIERA: 2.97 — ERA: 2.88 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 4.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 40.0 — SIERA: 2.70 — ERA: 2.48 — K%: 31.3% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 0.5
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Price is the premier pitching option on the board tonight. He has been in excellent form recently, posting a 2.70 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 31.3% over the last month of play. While he has had some historically bad outings against the Yankees, overall he has a pretty solid track record against them. He is a large favorite at home and the Yankees are in the middle of a hitting slump — 27th in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play.
Pitcher Rating: 89.5
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees draw the most difficult matchup on the board tonight. While they do get to play in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre, David Price has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 over the last two seasons. Alex Rodriguez and Chase Headley are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Alex Rodriguez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 165 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.306 — wRC+: 160
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 105
Chris Young : FD: $2,700 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 248 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 69
Toronto
The Blue Jays draw a favorable matchup tonight against Adam Warren, who has not been nearly as effective as a starter as he has been coming out of the bullpen. Left and right-handed hitters are in play here, as the Blue Jays have the second-highest team total on the board tonight.
Elite Plays:
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1027 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.469 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 203
Ben Revere : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 865 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 133
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,100 — DK: $6,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1044 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.287 — wRC+: 172
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 894 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.289 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.508 — ISO: 0.440 — wRC+: 231
Chris Colabello : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 386 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.459 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 197
Russell Martin : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 730 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 116
Chicago White Sox at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Detroit | ||||||||
 | Erik Johnson |  | Randy Wolf | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-150) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.294 | 0.987 | 0.423 | 8.2% | SP vs. Left | 0.229 | 0.554 | 0.263 | 10.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.253 | 0.711 | 0.313 | 24.2% | SP vs. Right | 0.337 | 0.947 | 0.409 | 17.70% |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | Batter Splits | DET vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Erik Johnson : FD: $6,400 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 40.2 — SIERA: 5.14 — ERA: 5.31 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 12.8% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 17.0 — SIERA: 5.36 — ERA: 3.71 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 11.3% — HR/9: 2.7
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 16)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Johnson has been a serviceable value play here, but a 5.36 SIERA with a walk rate of 11.3% over the last month is nothing that jumps off the page. He should be avoided tonight against the Tigers, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA and 15th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is more downside than upside with Johnson tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 42.9
Randy Wolf : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 50.2 — SIERA: 4.27 — ERA: 5.86 — K%: 16.4% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 4.55 — ERA: 6.48 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.4
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Wolf is past the prime of his career — well past it. He has been a serviceable starter for the White Sox, but we are starting to see some leaks. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.55 SIERA (6.48 ERA) with a low strikeout rate of 15.9%. Even though the White Sox are one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching, Wolf is not a recommended play tonight. This one is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 47.3
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a favorable matchup tonight against Randy Wolf, who has allowed a .409 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight. Trayce Thompson appears to be the real deal, he has a .484 wOBA and a .353 ISO against southpaws this season.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 299 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 138
Trayce Thompson : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.353 — wRC+: 214
Last 30 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 178
Secondary Plays:
Melky Cabrera : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 104
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 172 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.070 — wRC+: 77
Detroit
The Tigers have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Erik Johnson at home in the hitter-friendly Comerica Park. Johnson has allowed a .423 wOBA to left-handed hitters, but don’t count out the big right-handed bats of Miguel Cabrera and J.D. Martinez.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 889 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 155
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 109
Anthony Gose : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 633 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 127
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 828 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 143
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 129
Victor Martinez : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 845 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.238 — ISO: 0.057 — wRC+: 44
Atlanta at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Shelby Miller |  | Jonathon Niese | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-190) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.248 | 0.718 | 0.314 | 17.0% | SP vs. Left | ||||
| SP vs. Right | 0.220 | 0.641 | 0.285 | 20.0% | SP vs. Right | ||||
| Batter Splits | ATL vs L | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Shelby Miller : FD: $7,200 — DK: $8,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 369.0 — SIERA: 4.33 — ERA: 3.37 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 5.56 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 8.4% — HR/9: 0.8
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Miller has been in decent form recently, posting a 4.16 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.0% over the last month of play. The issue tonight is his matchup against the Mets. New York is ranked eighth in team wOBA over the last two weeks and they also average the sixth-most pitches per plate appearance this season. The price point is appealing, but run support from the Braves’ offense is a rare sight these days.
Pitcher Rating: 49.5
Jon Niese : FD: $7,000 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 354.2 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 3.83 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 5.32 — ERA: 8.77 — K%: 11.2% — BB%: 10.4% — HR/9: 1.4
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Niese has not been in the best of form recently, posting a 5.32 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 11.2% over the last month of play. While I generally don’t like to target pitchers in bad form, the combination of price and matchup has me intrigued. The Braves are ranked 28th in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and Niese’s price has come all the way down to $5,800 on DraftKings. He is on my radar as an SP2 tonight, even in cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 60.2
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
If this was any other offense, there would be some hitters to target against Jon Niese. Unfortunately, this is the Braves that we are talking about. They are huge underdogs tonight on the road and they are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball against left-handed pitching.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
NY Mets
The Mets are large favorites tonight at home against Shelby Miller, but their bats seem a bit overpriced for this matchup. Miller has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons. There are better matchups (TOR, DET, PIT, COL) to exploit tonight, so limit your exposure to the Mets in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 973 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 159
Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 851 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 95
Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Boston | ||||||||
 | Chris Archer |  | Eduardo Rodriguez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-114) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.217 | 0.605 | 0.271 | 25.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.284 | 0.894 | 0.380 | 19.40% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.635 | 0.285 | 25.6% | SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.642 | 0.285 | 18.90% |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Archer : FD: $12,000 — DK: $11,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 393.0 — SIERA: 3.33 — ERA: 3.14 — K%: 25.7% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 3.99 — K%: 29.0% — BB%: 9.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.348 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Archer has pitched well recently, posting a 3.43 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 29.0%. The biggest issue that he has had recently is his pitch count. He has throw a lot of pitches per inning in his recent starts, which makes it tough to pitch more than six innings. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Red Sox, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA and second in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. At his price point, Archer should be restricted to tournament play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 80.1
Eduardo Rodriguez : FD: $7,400 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 109.2 — SIERA: 4.15 — ERA: 3.94 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.1 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 1.93 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.4
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Rodriguez may have a 1.93 ERA over the last month, but during that stretch he owns a 4.02 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.0%. This is a matchup that should suit him well, as he is a reverse-splits pitcher. The Rays hit southpaws well, but most of that damage comes off of the bats of the right-handed hitters. Rodriguez is not my favorite pitcher on the board, but he provides nice strikeout upside at a fair price.
Pitcher Rating: 58.5
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
As mentioned above, Eduardo Rodriguez is a reverse-splits pitcher. Unfortunately, the Rays don’t have any left-handed hitters that excel against southpaws. The recommended plays here are still the right-handed hitters, although they are secondary options tonight in Fenway Park.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 129
Asdrubal Cabrera : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 321 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 97
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 121
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 333 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 143
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 88
Boston
The Red Sox draw a difficult matchup tonight against Chris Archer, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA over the last two seasons. David Ortiz has had some success against Archer though, making him an intriguing tournament play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 810 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.415 — wRC+: 182