MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, July 28th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.
Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.
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Atlanta at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST
| Atlanta | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Julio Teheran |  | Ubaldo Jimenez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BAL (-173) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.259 | 0.748 | 0.328 | 18.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.747 | 0.335 | 20.90% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.221 | 0.625 | 0.277 | 23.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.705 | 0.315 | 23.00% |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Julio Teheran : FD: $8,300 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 341.1 — SIERA: 3.82 — ERA: 3.45 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 3.68 — ERA: 3.98 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 23.2% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Teheran is in play when he pitches at home and he should be avoided when he pitches on the road. In his career, he has a 4.24 SIERA on the road with a strikeout rate of only 18.0%. The Orioles are a team that strikes out at a high rate, but they also hit right-handed pitching well, ranking tenth in team wOBA this season. If this game was being played in Turner Field, it may be a different story, but Teheran can continue to be avoided on the road.
Pitcher Rating:57.3
Ubaldo Jimenez : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 231.2 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 4.35 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 5.00 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 1.7
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.258 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: We are finally starting to see some cracks in the foundation. Over the last month of play, Jimenez has a 5.00 ERA (3.86 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 19.2%. He still has good strikeout potential, but he is facing a Braves’ offense that has the fourth-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The Braves also have their best hitter, Freddie Freeman, back in the lineup, which should help bolster their offense. The price point is appealing, but Jimenez should only be targeted in tournaments tonight at home in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards.
Pitcher Rating:71.8
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves see a favorable ballpark shift tonight play in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards. They still have one of the lowest team totals on the board, but they draw a decent matchup against Ubaldo Jimenez, who has given up a .335 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis (playing against his former team) are in play here, but they are both secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 151
Last 14 Days: PA: 5 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 99
Nick Markakis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 804 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 77
Baltimore
The Orioles draw a favorable matchup tonight against Julio Teheran, who has struggled on the road throughout his career. Since the start of the 2014 season, Teheran has given up a .328 wOBA to hitters from the left side of the plate. The left-handed bats of Chris Davis, Matt Wieters, and Travis Snider are all in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 645 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 106
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.415 — ISO: 0.306 — wRC+: 169
Secondary Plays:
Matt Wieters : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 117
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.145 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: -20
Travis Snider : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 503 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 100
Last 14 Days: PA: 19 — wOBA: 0.191 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 11
Philadelphia at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Adam Morgan |  | Felix Doubront | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-230) | 9.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.625 | 0.290 | 13.8% | SP vs. Left | 0.322 | 0.814 | 0.361 | 16.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.293 | 0.901 | 0.388 | 15.9% | SP vs. Right | 0.271 | 0.812 | 0.355 | 12.30% |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Morgan : FD: $5,300 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 4.70 — ERA: 4.28 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 4.95 — ERA: 4.98 — K%: 12.9% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.7
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.362 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Morgan is the lowest rated pitcher on the schedule tonight. In just over 27 innings of work this season, he has a 4.70 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 15.4%. Tonight he squares off against the Blue Jays, who are ranked first in team wOBA and third in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Morgan also has to face them in the Rogers Centre, which is the American League’s version of Coors Field.
Pitcher Rating:29.6
Felix Doubront : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 98.1 — SIERA: 4.68 — ERA: 5.31 — K%: 13.6% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 18.2 — SIERA: 3.39 — ERA: 4.34 — K%: 11.9% — BB%: 3.6% — HR/9: 0.5
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 7)
Pitchers per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Doubront has been a serviceable starter for the Blue Jays this season, but his strikeouts have basically been non-existent over the last two seasons. During that stretch, he has a strikeout rate of 13.6% with a walk rate of 8.0%. The matchup against the Phillies may sound favorable, but they are actually ranked 11th in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. He should get plenty of run support, but he doesn’t provide enough upside to warrant fantasy consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating:54.2
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies see a huge ballpark boost tonight playing in the Rogers Centre. They are also playing under American League rules, so they will be able to utilize the DH. They draw a favorable matchup against Felix Doubront, who has given up a .355+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.069 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 87
Jeff Francoeur : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.262 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 64
Last 14 Days: PA: 13 — wOBA: 0.838 — ISO: 0.833 — wRC+: 459
Secondary Plays:
Maikel Franco : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.293 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 84
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 144
Darin Ruf : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 134 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 169
Last 14 Days: PA: 9 — wOBA: 0.548 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 259
Toronto
The Blue Jays may be the top offense to target tonight, both in cash games and tournaments. They get to face rookie Adam Morgan in one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in all of baseball. Morgan has given up a .388 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season, so load up on the Blue Jays righties. Newly-acquired Troy Tulowitzki would have been a great option at shortstop, but it sounds like he will be unavailable for tonight’s game.
Elite Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 268 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.345 — wRC+: 185
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.364 — wRC+: 157
Jose Bautista : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 224 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 175
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.361 — wRC+: 126
Chris Colabello : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 136 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 110
Last 14 Days: PA: 20 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 105
Secondary Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 192 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 133
Russell Martin : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 173 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 29 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.308 — wRC+: 180
Chicago White Sox at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Boston | ||||||||
 | Jeff Samardzija |  | Wade Miley | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-127) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.250 | 0.695 | 0.305 | 21.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.679 | 0.303 | 18.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.645 | 0.284 | 20.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0.759 | 0.334 | 20.10% |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jeff Samardzija : FD: $8,900 — DK: $8,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 360.0 — SIERA: 3.36 — ERA: 3.35 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 39.0 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 2.31 — K%: 16.6% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.5
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 16.4% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.273 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Samardzija has a 2.31 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators suggest that he is not pitching all that well. During that stretch, he has a 4.28 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 16.6%. He should be avoided tonight against the Red Sox, who have the second-fewest strikeouts against right-handed pitching this season. The price point is appealing, but there is more risk than potential reward tonight with Samardzija.
Pitcher Rating:59.9
Wade Miley : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 315.2 — SIERA: 3.92 — ERA: 4.33 — K%: 19.6% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — ERA: 3.96 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 11.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.259 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Miley hasn’t been terrible this season, but he’s not a pitcher that is usually on our radar in daily fantasy baseball. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.1%. He does draw a favorable matchup against the White Sox, but their offense has been much better recently. Given the fact that this game is being played in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park, I will be avoiding Miley in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:59.7
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox may have the worst team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season, but they have some quality right-handed hitters to throw at Wade Miley tonight. Since the start of the 2014 season, Miley has given up a .388 wOBA to hitters from the right side of the plate. Jose Abreu remains an elite play, while Melky Cabrera and Tyler Saladino are better secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 237 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.249 — wRC+: 166
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 64
Secondary Plays:
Melky Cabrera : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 264 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 98
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 172
Tyler Saladino : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 10 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.625 — wRC+: 166
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 125
Boston
The Red Sox draw a difficult matchup against Jeff Samardzija on paper, but as I mentioned above, he hasn’t been as sharp as his low ERA would suggest. Even though they are favored to win this game, it’s hard to justify the elite play tag for any of the hitters in this lineup. Consider David Ortiz and Mookie Betts secondary plays tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 677 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.253 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 37 — wOBA: 0.475 — ISO: 0.400 — wRC+: 210
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.176 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 0
San Diego at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| San Diego | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | James Shields |  | Noah Syndergaard | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-143) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.266 | 0.766 | 0.336 | 19.6% | SP vs. Left | 0.222 | 0.627 | 0.272 | 18.50% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.696 | 0.305 | 24.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.650 | 0.286 | 30.70% |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
James Shields : FD: $9,300 — DK: $9,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 353.2 — SIERA: 3.46 — ERA: 3.41 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.19 — ERA: 2.17 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 13.2% — HR/9: 1.2
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Shields has similar numbers to Jeff Samardzija over the last month of play, as his ERA is a full two runs lower than his SIERA is. The strikeout rate is back up though, which is a good sign. He draws a terrific matchup against the Mets, who are ranked 26th in team wOBA and 16th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The upside is there, but there is no guarantee of run support with Noah Syndergaard on the mound for New York.
Pitcher Rating:64.4
Noah Syndergaard : FD: $8,800 — DK: $10,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 78.2 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 2.97 — K%: 25.2% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.26 — ERA: 1.59 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.5
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 23.7% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Syndergaard has been outstanding this season, posting a 3.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.2%. He throws a lot of strikes and typically avoids walking many batters. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Padres, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA and 27th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Syndergaard has a huge price difference on FanDuel ($8,800) and DraftKings ($10,700), making him a slightly better play on FanDuel.
Pitcher Rating:89.7
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
This game is expected to be a pitcher’s duel. The total for the game is set at only 6.5 runs and it is being played in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. The Padres’ offense should be avoided against Noah Syndergaard, who has held left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
NY Mets
The Mets’ offense can also be avoided tonight, as they square off against James Shields at home. The Mets have won quite a few games this season, but it hasn’t been because of their play on the offensive side of the ball. There are better matchups to exploit tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Detroit at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Tampa Bay | ||||||||
 | David Price |  | Jake Odorizzi | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-105) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.259 | 0.665 | 0.293 | 22.8% | SP vs. Left | 0.231 | 0.649 | 0.287 | 26.90% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.230 | 0.637 | 0.279 | 26.7% | SP vs. Right | 0.232 | 0.699 | 0.311 | 17.60% |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Price : FD: $11,400 — DK: $12,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 388.1 — SIERA: 2.90 — ERA: 2.92 — K%: 25.7% — BB%: 4.1% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.0 — SIERA: 2.63 — ERA: 2.00 — K%: 27.3% — BB%: 4.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.280 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.9% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: There are trade rumors surrounding Price right now, which makes him a risky target tonight. He could technically get traded at any time, even during the game. There is a very small chance of that happening, but when you are paying up for a pitcher, you want some type of guaranteed production. Assuming he doesn’t get traded, he will have a little added motivation to pitch well tonight, as he is facing his former team. The Rays hit left-handed pitching well, but they do strikeout at a high rate. Given the circumstances, Price is a better tournament play tonight.
Pitcher Rating:89.1
Jake Odorizzi : FD: $8,300 — DK: $8,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 259.2 — SIERA: 3.72 — ERA: 3.67 — K%: 22.7% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.0 — SIERA: 5.39 — ERA: 4.80 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 14.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Odorizzi has not pitched well since coming back from injury, posting a 5.39 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 16.2%. He does get to pitch at home tonight, but it’s against a very competent Tigers’ offense that is ranked second in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. Odorizzi is still priced as though he was in the same early season form and until he can string together a couple of quality starts, he can be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:62.4
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers draw a decent matchup against Jake Odorizzi, but they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field. They are small favorites in this game, but the total is set at only 6.5 runs. Victor Martinez and Ian Kinsler are both in play here, but they are secondary options at their respective positions tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Victor Martinez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 690 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.108 — wRC+: 73
Ian Kinsler : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 880 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.449 — ISO: 0.293 — wRC+: 193
Tampa Bay
As of right now, David Price is scheduled to pitch for the Tigers tonight. If he does not get traded, the Rays’ offense should be avoided altogether. Since the start of the 2014 season, Price has held left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE