MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 15th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Washington at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM EST
| Washington | Philadelphia | ||||||||
 | Stephen Strasburg |  | David Buchanan | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-230) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.232 | 0.661 | 0.291 | 24.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.269 | 0.747 | 0.332 | 10.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.256 | 0.709 | 0.309 | 30.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.316 | 0.891 | 0.386 | 14.50% |
| Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Stephen Strasburg : FD: $10,100 — DK: $9,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 313.1 — SIERA: 2.80 — ERA: 3.50 — K%: 27.5% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.1 — SIERA: 2.54 — ERA: 3.33 — K%: 30.8% — BB%: 2.2% — HR/9: 1.9
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Strasburg — my arch nemesis — takes the mound for the Nationals tonight. He has been in good form since returning from injury, posting a 2.54 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 30.8%. His numbers have dipped away from Nationals Park in his career, but a matchup against the Phillies more than makes up for the fact that this start is on the road. Strasburg is a large favorite that should see plenty of run support with David Buchanan on the mound for the Phillies. Strasburg is playable in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 93.4
David Buchanan : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 170.0 — SIERA: 4.63 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 12.7% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 3.1 — SIERA: 6.99 — ERA: 10.80 — K%: 0.0% — BB%: 13.6% — HR/9: 2.7
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Buchanan has not pitched well over the last two seasons, posting a 4.63 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 12.7%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Nationals, who have the fourth-highest team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Buchanan doesn’t have enough upside to warrant consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 21.8
Batter Grind Down
Washington
The Nationals have a high team total tonight (4.75) as they square off against David Buchanan in Citizens Bank Park. Buchanan has not fared well against hitters from either side of the plate and he has given up 1.1 home runs per nine innings over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 691 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.263 — wRC+: 172
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.485 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 213
Secondary Plays:
Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 728 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 155
Clint Robinson : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 260 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.427 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 174
Philadelphia
The Phillies carry very little fantasy appeal in cash games tonight, but they could be worth a look in the two big tournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings. Stephen Strasburg will give up a big outing to his opponent every now and then and next to no one will be on the Phillies’ offense tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST
| Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh | ||||||||
 | Jon Lester |  | J.A. Happ | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-138) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.699 | 0.307 | 26.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.790 | 0.343 | 24.40% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.232 | 0.644 | 0.284 | 24.3% | SP vs. Right | 0.256 | 0.728 | 0.318 | 18.40% |
| Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs L | Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jon Lester : FD: $10,400 — DK: $9,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 394.2 — SIERA: 3.18 — ERA: 2.92 — K%: 24.7% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 4.91 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.9
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 10)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Lester has not been in the best of form over the last month, posting a 3.56 SIERA (4.91 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 22.1%. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Pirates, who are ranked 17th in team wOBA and 22nd in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Lester is worth a look in tournaments, but with so many great pitching options available tonight, he should be avoided in cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 80.2
J.A. Happ : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 307.0 — SIERA: 3.95 — ERA: 4.05 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.05 — ERA: 0.88 — K%: 25.7% — BB%: 3.5% — HR/9: 0.3
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 26.0% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 24.9% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.99 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Happ has been in surprisingly good form, posting a 3.05 SIERA (0.88 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 25.7%. He could be a very sneaky play tonight against the Cubs, who are ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 30th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Happ is a decent SP2 option on multi-pitcher sites, but I will likely limit my exposure to him in cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 68.9
Batter Grind Down
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a favorable matchup on paper, but J.A. Happ has been terrific over the last month of play. That doesn’t mean that we have to avoid the Cubs altogether though, as Happ has allowed a .318+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Kris Bryant : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 132 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.304 — wRC+: 171
Dexter Fowler : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 262 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 157
Starlin Castro : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 238 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.090 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 163
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a difficult matchup against Jon Lester, but he is the worst pitcher in baseball at holding runners. If, and when, the Pirates get on base, they will look to be very aggressive on the base paths. Given their base-stealing ability, Andrew McCutchen, Gregory Polanco, and Josh Harrison are all on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 237 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 168
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 151
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 198 — wOBA: 0.230 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 44
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 73
Josh Harrison : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 209 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.034 — wRC+: 93
Boston at Baltimore – 7:05 PM EST
| Boston | Baltimore | ||||||||
 | Joe Kelly |  | Ubaldo Jimenez | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BAL (-132) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.247 | 0.698 | 0.311 | 17.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.239 | 0.750 | 0.334 | 20.90% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.268 | 0.770 | 0.338 | 17.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.262 | 0.722 | 0.321 | 21.40% |
| Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Joe Kelly : FD: $6,800 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 228.1 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 4.49 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 4.35 — ERA: 1.67 — K%: 15.1% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.3
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Kelly may have a 1.67 ERA over the last month, but don’t fall for this trap. During that same stretch, he owns a 4.35 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 15.1%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Orioles, who have the fourth-highest team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. To make matters worse, Kelly has to face them on the road in the hitter-friendly Camden Yards.
Pitcher Rating: 51.4
Ubaldo Jimenez : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 285.1 — SIERA: 4.20 — ERA: 4.48 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.47 — ERA: 5.59 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 11.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: I have been avoiding Jimenez for the last couple of months and so far, it’s been a good strategy. His command has not been as sharp as it was earlier in the season, which has led to a lower strikeout rate and a higher walk rate. He should be avoided tonight against the Red Sox, who are ranked eighth in team wOBA and second in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 54.7
Batter Grind Down
Boston
The Red Sox may be small underdogs tonight on the road, but their offense is still in a good spot against Ubaldo Jimenez. Since the start of the 2014 season, Jimenez has allowed a .321+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.456 — ISO: 0.424 — wRC+: 192
Secondary Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 580 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.412 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 162
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 124
Baltimore
The Orioles have a high team total (4.31) tonight, as they square off against Joe Kelly at home. Kelly is a reverse-splits pitcher, but he hasn’t been all that effective against left-handed hitters either. The big bats of Adam Jones, Chris Davis, and Manny Machado are all in play here.
Elite Plays:
Adam Jones : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 935 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 114
Secondary Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 775 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.266 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.299 — wRC+: 170
Manny Machado : FD: $3,500 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 733 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 114
Kansas City at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| Kansas City | Cleveland | ||||||||
 | Kris Medlen |  | Josh Tomlin | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-130) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.214 | 0.670 | 0.300 | 22.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.214 | 0.623 | 0.267 | 22.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.708 | 0.307 | 17.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.295 | 0.858 | 0.369 | 22.00% |
| Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kris Medlen : FD: $6,900 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 37.1 — SIERA: 3.66 — ERA: 4.58 — K%: 20.1% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 3.58 — ERA: 5.00 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 1.3
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.90 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Medlen hasn’t had as much success as a starter as he did out of the bullpen earlier in the season, but that’s often the case with pitchers. He’s not a pitcher that we can expect to pitch deep into a game, which does hurt his fantasy appeal in both cash games and tournaments. Medlen is cheap, but with a full slate of games, he’s not on my radar tonight against the Indians, who have the sixth-lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 54.7
Josh Tomlin : FD: $8,200 — DK: $10,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 145.0 — SIERA: 3.24 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 2.8% — HR/9: 1.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.2 — SIERA: 3.19 — ERA: 2.86 — K%: 25.6% — BB%: 2.3% — HR/9: 2.1
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 15.5% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 15.3% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Tomlin has been terrific over the last month, posting a 3.19 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.6%. The issue here isn’t form, it’s his matchup against the Royals. On the season, Kansas City is ranked fifth in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. There is more risk than potential reward for Tomlin tonight, especially at his elevated price point.
Pitcher Rating: 82.4
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
The Royals draw a difficult matchup tonight against Josh Tomlin, who has been very sharp in his recent starts. Tomlin has struggled against right-handed hitters, but this is case where it may be best to avoid both the pitcher and the offense facing him.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 719 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 119
Cleveland
The Indians have a relatively high team total (4.20) tonight, as they square off against Kris Medlen, who has been hittable in his last few starts. Michael Brantley and Jason Kipnis are both in play here, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 788 — wOBA: 0.399 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 159
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.300 — wRC+: 186
Jason Kipnis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 740 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 57
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Tampa Bay | ||||||||
 | Adam Warren |  | Jake Odorizzi | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-121) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.204 | 0.580 | 0.257 | 20.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.227 | 0.640 | 0.281 | 27.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.239 | 0.684 | 0.303 | 21.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.721 | 0.318 | 18.00% |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Warren : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 193.2 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.16 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 12.0 — SIERA: 2.29 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 30.0% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 1.5
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Warren will draw the start for the Yankees tonight, but he is not expected to pitch deep into this game. He hasn’t thrown more than 50 pitches since June, so it would take a near perfect outing for him to even be eligible for the win tonight. For that reason, he should be avoided tonight against the Rays.
Pitcher Rating: 63.4
Jake Odorizzi : FD: $8,600 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 313.2 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.70 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.29 — ERA: 3.68 — K%: 26.9% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.9
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.90 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Odorizzi has been sharp over the last month of play, posting a 3.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.9%. While his matchup against the Yankees appears tough on paper, their offense has been struggling and he gets to face them at home in the pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field. Odorizzi’s high price tag takes him out of consideration in cash, but he is one of my favorite pitchers to target in the two big tournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 73.2
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees’ offense has been slumping recently and they have a low team total (3.62) tonight against Jake Odorizzi. Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner are viable value plays in the outfield, but they are secondary options at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 721 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.255 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 56
Brett Gardner : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 861 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 89
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Adam Warren and the Yankees bullpen. Given their low team total (3.88) and the fact that they haven’t hit right-handed pitching well this season, they are secondary options at best tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Asdrubal Cabrera : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 795 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 100
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 103
John Jaso : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 72 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 99