MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 22nd - Page Two
Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Boston | ||||||||
 | Matt Moore |  | Henry Owens | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| BOS (-129) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.269 | 0.876 | 0.37 | 0.135 | SP vs. Left | 0.303 | 0.925 | 0.403 | 0.231 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.316 | 0.878 | 0.38 | 0.165 | SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.689 | 0.303 | 0.182 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs L | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Moore : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 53.1 — SIERA: 4.86 — ERA: 6.24 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 8.6% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.2 — SIERA: 3.91 — ERA: 4.32 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 2.2
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.95 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Moore is coming off of his best start of the season, striking out nine batters in seven scoreless innings against the Orioles. While that outing was promising, he has been wildly inconsistent this year. Add in a matchup against the Red Sox in Fenway Park and he becomes a deep tournament play at best tonight. On the season, Boston is ranked fourth in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching.
Pitcher Rating: 39.4
Henry Owens : FD: $5,900 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 43.2 — SIERA: 4.61 — ERA: 4.33 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.2 — SIERA: 5.19 — ERA: 4.12 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 11.4% — HR/9: 0.9
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 24)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 23.9% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Owens has been a serviceable pitcher, posting a 4.61 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.3%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Rays, who are ranked sixth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Owens may be a small favorite tonight, but the total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. This game is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 54.9
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays face another left-handed pitcher with reverse-splits. It was Eduardo Rodriguez last night and it is Henry Owens tonight. While the left-handed bats may have the splits in their favor, the right-handed hitters are still the preferred targets in this matchup.
Elite Plays:
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 334 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.238 — wRC+: 106
Brandon Guyer : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 327 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 103
Secondary Plays:
Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 331 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 150
Mikie Mahtook : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.452 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 197
Boston
The Red Sox draw a favorable matchup tonight against Matt Moore, who has allowed a .370+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Boston has one of the highest team totals on the board tonight and they are viable fantasy options in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.401 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 153
Xander Bogaerts : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 136
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 368 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.415 — wRC+: 183
Dustin Pedroia : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 267 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.483 — ISO: 0.368 — wRC+: 210
Rusney Castillo : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 70
Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs – 8:05 PM EST
| Milwaukee | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
 | Tyler Cravy |  | Jake Arrieta | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-300) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.308 | 0.939 | 0.403 | 0.156 | SP vs. Left | 0.177 | 0.504 | 0.229 | 0.294 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.301 | 0.857 | 0.369 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.213 | 0.563 | 0.249 | 0.243 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | CHC vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyler Cravy : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 33.2 — SIERA: 4.61 — ERA: 6.15 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 6.2 — SIERA: 2.72 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 30.3% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 24.1% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Cravy has not performed well in his short stint in the majors, posting a 4.61 SIERA (6.15 ERA) with a walk rate of 10.3% in his first 33 innings of work. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Cubs, who are ranked 11th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The Cubs also average the most pitches per plate appearance. I’m not often surprised by the results of major league baseball games, but the Brewers beating the Cubs tonight would definitely shock me.
Pitcher Rating: 51.4
Jake Arrieta : FD: $12,300 — DK: $14,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 363.2 — SIERA: 2.88 — ERA: 2.20 — K%: 26.7% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 39.0 — SIERA: 2.31 — ERA: 0.46 — K%: 27.9% — BB%: 3.6% — HR/9: 0.2
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 24.3% (Rank: 27)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Arrieta is making a case for the National League Cy Young award. He has been absolutely dominant over the last two seasons, posting a 2.88 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.7%. He rarely walks batters, which allows him to pitch deep into games. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Brewers, who are ranked below the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Arrieta is the chalk play in cash games tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 98.8
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
Jake Arrieta has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .250 wOBA over the last two seasons, which is truly impressive. He has been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball and we should avoid all hitters against him.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a favorable matchup tonight against Tyler Cravy, who has allowed a .363+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. We can expect another big outing from this offense. Load up on Cubs in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Anthony Rizzo : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 908 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 123
Dexter Fowler : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 881 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 124
Secondary Plays:
Kyle Schwarber : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: C/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 173 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.331 — wRC+: 171
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 90
Starlin Castro : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 860 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 95
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.463 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 198
Miguel Montero : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 764 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 137
LA Angels at Houston – 8:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Houston | ||||||||
 | Hector Santiago |  | Lance McCullers | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-160) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.232 | 0.62 | 0.278 | 0.194 | SP vs. Left | 0.213 | 0.598 | 0.265 | 0.282 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.236 | 0.736 | 0.321 | 0.209 | SP vs. Right | 0.242 | 0.714 | 0.311 | 0.195 |
| Batter Splits | ANA vs R | Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Hector Santiago : FD: $7,600 — DK: $7,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 293.1 — SIERA: 4.41 — ERA: 3.59 — K%: 20.5% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 20.2 — SIERA: 6.43 — ERA: 7.40 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 15.6% — HR/9: 2.6
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Santiago has been downright awful in his last few starts, posting a 6.43 SIERA with a walk rate of 15.6% and a HR/9 rate of 2.6. Tonight he has to face a very capable Astros’ offense in the home run friendly Minute Maid Park. Avoid Santiago tonight and stack up the Houston bats.
Pitcher Rating: 45.6
Lance McCullers : FD: $8,700 — DK: $9,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 107.2 — SIERA: 3.74 — ERA: 3.18 — K%: 23.9% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.03 — ERA: 3.19 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: McCullers has enjoyed a nice rookie season, posting a 3.74 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.9%. He is a sizable favorite tonight at home against the Angels, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. McCullers may not be the safest pitching option on the board, but he provides good upside at his price point and we can expect plenty of run support to help his cause.
Pitcher Rating: 76.5
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels draw a difficult matchup tonight against Lance McCullers, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons. Mike Trout is a nice tournament play in a home run friendly ballpark, but the rest of the Angels can be avoided tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1003 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 167
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.293 — wRC+: 162
Houston
The Astros are one of the top offenses to target tonight, as they take on the struggling Hector Santiago at home. Santiago has had trouble keeping the ball in the park and he has also struggled against right-handed hitters. Load up on Astros in both cash games and tournaments tonight.
Elite Plays:
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 352 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 175
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 150
George Springer : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 237 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 89
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.271 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 98
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 270 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 122
Jed Lowrie : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 221 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 86 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 87
Seattle at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Seattle | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Hisashi Iwakuma |  | Jeremy Guthrie | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-110) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.27 | 0.716 | 0.312 | 0.193 | SP vs. Left | 0.301 | 0.859 | 0.373 | 0.139 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.598 | 0.261 | 0.24 | SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0.683 | 0.301 | 0.13 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Hisashi Iwakuma : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 287.1 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 3.66 — K%: 21.5% — BB%: 3.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 3.55 — ERA: 4.34 — K%: 22.6% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 15.8% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 5)
Pitches per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Iwakuma has been a boom or bust fantasy option all season. He is an above-average pitcher, but he draws the worst pitching matchup on the board tonight. The Royals are ranked third in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is more risk than potential reward with Iwakuma tonight in Kansas City.
Pitcher Rating: 75.4
Jeremy Guthrie : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 347.0 — SIERA: 4.66 — ERA: 4.72 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.1 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 4.70 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 2.4
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Guthrie is rarely on my radar as a pitcher to target in DFS. He has a high SIERA, a low strikeout rate, and he can’t seem to get left-handed hitters out. He is a favorite tonight at home, but his limited upside takes him out of consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 50.7
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
Since the start of the 2014 season, Jeremy Guthrie has allowed a .373 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Robinson Cano has quietly been playing well over the last month of play, posting a .386 wOBA and a .162 ISO. Kyle Seager is also worth a look in tournaments, although the price is a bit steep for cash games.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Robinson Cano : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 807 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 151
Kyle Seager : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 823 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.416 — ISO: 0.261 — wRC+: 172
Kansas City
The Royals draw a difficult matchup tonight against Hisahsi Iwakuma, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons. This is one of those games that isn’t very appealing for fantasy purposes. I will likely be avoiding it altogether tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 758 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.283 — ISO: 0.076 — wRC+: 76
Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 749 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.435 — ISO: 0.344 — wRC+: 181
Cleveland at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Danny Salazar |  | Ervin Santana | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-115) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.715 | 0.31 | 0.277 | SP vs. Left | 0.278 | 0.787 | 0.341 | 0.178 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.696 | 0.305 | 0.247 | SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.683 | 0.302 | 0.238 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Danny Salazar : FD: $9,100 — DK: $11,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 278.1 — SIERA: 3.32 — ERA: 3.78 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.2 — SIERA: 3.74 — ERA: 5.02 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 1.6
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Salazar has not been as sharp over the last month of play, posting a 3.74 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.1%. He has a good chance to bounce back tonight though, as he faces a Twins’ offense that is ranked 26th in team wOBA and 23rd in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Salazar is not the safest cash game option, but he is a terrific tournament play tonight on the road.
Pitcher Rating: 80.6
Ervin Santana : FD: $6,900 — DK: $8,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 283.0 — SIERA: 3.89 — ERA: 4.13 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 3.51 — ERA: 2.84 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 0.3
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.356 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Santana has been a tough pitcher to predict this season, but he has been in good form recently, posting a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.8% over the last month of play. The issue here is his matchup. On the season, the Indians are ranked 16th in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Santana is not on my radar tonight, as there are better pitching options for both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 63.5
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a favorable matchup against Ervin Santana, who has given up a .341 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The Indians will get overlooked tonight with a game in Coors Field, but the left-handed bats are all in play here.
Elite Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 799 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 141
Secondary Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 245 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.470 — ISO: 0.301 — wRC+: 206
Jason Kipnis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 753 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 66
Minnesota
The Twins draw a difficult matchup tonight against Danny Salazar. While he hasn’t been as dominant recently, he has still held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. Miguel Sano is an intriguing tournament play, but he’s really the only Twins’ hitter on my radar tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Sano : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.318 — wRC+: 171
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.299 — wRC+: 160