MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 22nd
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Baltimore at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Baltimore | Washington | ||||||||
 | Ubaldo Jimenez |  | Gio Gonzalez | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-140) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.748 | 0.333 | 21.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.240 | 0.640 | 0.284 | 22.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.266 | 0.728 | 0.323 | 21.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.248 | 0.698 | 0.308 | 23.90% |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs L | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ubaldo Jimenez : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 290.1 — SIERA: 4.22 — ERA: 4.53 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 10.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.52 — ERA: 5.90 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 10.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Jimenez has not been as sharp as he was earlier in the season, posting a 4.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.1% over the last month of play. While he does get to pitch in a National League ballpark tonight, this isn’t the most ideal matchup on the board. The Nationals are ranked eighth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play and are listed as sizable favorites tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 57.3
Gio Gonzalez : FD: $9,600 — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 318.2 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.70 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.52 — ERA: 3.71 — K%: 28.3% — BB%: 10.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Gonzalez has been in good form recently, posting a 3.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.3% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup against the Orioles, who have been surprisingly awful against left-handed pitching this season. They are ranked 25th in team wOBA and 28th in strikeout rate on the season. On a short slate, Gonzalez is a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 74.8
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles draw a tough matchup tonight against Gio Gonzalez, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. The right-handed hitters have the edge over the left-handers in this lineup, but the Orioles are secondary options at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Adam Jones : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 308 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 145
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 68
Nolan Reimold : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 153
Washington
The Nationals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Ubaldo Jimenez, who has given up a .323+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Bryce Harper is in the midst of another tear, posting a .534 wOBA and a .435 ISO over the last month. He remains an elite play tonight in the outfield.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper : FD: $5,800 — DK: $6,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 707 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 178
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.534 — ISO: 0.435 — wRC+: 247
Secondary Plays:
Jayson Werth : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 732 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.291 — wRC+: 173
Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 748 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 132 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 140
Yunel Escobar : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 827 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.051 — wRC+: 158
NY Yankees at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Luis Severino |  | Marco Estrada | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-129) | 9.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.278 | 0.819 | 0.360 | 19.2% | SP vs. Left | 0.209 | 0.668 | 0.293 | 17.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.195 | 0.608 | 0.265 | 30.5% | SP vs. Right | 0.233 | 0.725 | 0.317 | 20.70% |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | TOR vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Luis Severino : FD: $8,500 — DK: $9,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 43.1 — SIERA: 3.84 — ERA: 3.12 — K%: 24.2% — BB%: 9.7% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — ERA: 3.08 — K%: 22.9% — BB%: 11.9% — HR/9: 1.4
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.344 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Severino is coming off of strong outing against the Rays, striking out seven batter while only allowing a single earned run. He has had a terrific rookie season, posting a 3.84 SIERA with a 24.2% strikeout rate. The issue tonight is his matchup. Not only does he have to face a Blue Jays’ offense that score six runs against him in their last meeting, but he has to face them in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. Severino is an underdog on the road and he can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 61.2
Marco Estrada : FD: $8,900 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 311.0 — SIERA: 4.29 — ERA: 3.73 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 36.2 — SIERA: 5.13 — ERA: 2.95 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 2.0
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Estrada may have a 2.95 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators tell another story. During that stretch, he has a 5.13 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 15.6%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Yankees, who are ranked seventh in team wOBA and 13th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Estrada is a fly-ball pitcher that gives up a lot of home runs. That’s not what we are looking for from a pitcher playing in the Rogers Centre.
Pitcher Rating: 54.7
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees draw a favorable matchup tonight against Marco Estrada, who has given up 1.5 home runs per nine innings over the last two seasons. New York has a high team total tonight and given the team’s recent slump, their hitters prices are depressed.
Elite Plays:
Brian McCann : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 770 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 133
Secondary Plays:
Alex Rodriguez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 401 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 79 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 112
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 738 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.227 — ISO: 0.048 — wRC+: 37
Toronto
The Blue Jays scored six runs in just over four innings of action against Luis Severino in their last meeting. They are the best offense in baseball and they are playing at home in the hitter-friendly confines of the Rogers Centre. Ben Revere is an elite play at his cheap price point, while the big right-handed bats are better secondary options.
Elite Plays:
Ben Revere : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 865 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 118
Secondary Plays:
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1028 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.474 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 207
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 895 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.288 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.514 — ISO: 0.440 — wRC+: 235
Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1045 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.266 — wRC+: 156
Russell Martin : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 730 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.305 — wRC+: 127
Chicago White Sox at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Detroit | ||||||||
 | Jose Quintana |  | Daniel Norris | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHW (-115) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.666 | 0.292 | 21.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.823 | 0.355 | 20.00% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.268 | 0.708 | 0.310 | 20.9% | SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.747 | 0.323 | 17.00% |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jose Quintana : FD: $8,300 — DK: $9,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 390.2 — SIERA: 3.57 — ERA: 3.39 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 5.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.34 — ERA: 2.67 — K%: 23.3% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.6
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Quintana has been in good form over the last month, posting a 3.34 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.3%. Unfortunately, his price has come up across the industry. Throw in a matchup against the Tigers, who are ranked second in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season, and Quintana is an easy pitcher to avoid tonight. There is more risk than potential reward tonight with Quintana.
Pitcher Rating: 69.6
Daniel Norris : FD: $6,200 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 55.0 — SIERA: 4.69 — ERA: 4.42 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 3.2 — SIERA: 2.25 — ERA: 2.45 — K%: 33.3% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 2.5
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.284 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Norris has been a serviceable pitcher in his first 55 major league innings, posting a 4.69 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.8%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the White Sox, but Vegas is not expecting a great outing from Norris. The Tigers are small underdogs in a game that features a total of 8.5 runs.
Pitcher Rating: 57.6
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a favorable matchup tonight against Daniel Norris, who has allowed a .323+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu and Trayce Thompson have both been swinging hot bats recently, they are both elite plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,400 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 299 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.263 — wRC+: 149
Trayce Thompson : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.353 — wRC+: 214
Last 30 Days: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.309 — wRC+: 177
Secondary Plays:
Tyler Saladino : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 71
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 45
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 172 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.071 — wRC+: 68
Detroit
The Tigers draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Jose Quintana. While he has been sharp in his recent outings, the Tigers get to face him at home in the hitter-friendly confines of Comerica Park. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, as Quintana has allowed a .310 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 272 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 91
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 255 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.300 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 123
Rajai Davis : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 296 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.199 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 97
Atlanta at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Matt Wisler |  | Logan Verrett | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-220) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.358 | 1.099 | 0.463 | 8.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.193 | 0.692 | 0.282 | 18.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.679 | 0.289 | 20.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.182 | 0.482 | 0.212 | 21.00% |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matthew Wisler : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 86.1 — SIERA: 5.14 — ERA: 5.63 — K%: 14.5% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.1 — SIERA: 5.73 — ERA: 8.14 — K%: 14.8% — BB%: 13.1% — HR/9: 2.2
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Wisler has been one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball recently, posting a 5.73 SIERA (8.14 ERA) with a walk rate of 13.1% over the last month of play. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Mets, who have been a completely different team offensively in recent weeks. Wisler should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 32.0
Logan Verrett : FD: $6,300 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 37.1 — SIERA: 3.76 — ERA: 2.89 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 15.0 — SIERA: 3.09 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 25.5% — BB%: 3.6% — HR/9: 1.8
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Verrtt has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.09 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.5%. He is in a great spot tonight against the Braves, but there is some concern about how deep he will be able to pitch into this game. He has only thrown more than 63 pitches one time in his major league career. He should put himself in line for the win if he can last five innings, but that’s about as high as his ceiling goes tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 69.1
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves have been one of the worst hitting teams against right-handed pitching this season. They draw a difficult matchup tonight against Logan Verrett, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA. Freddie Freeman is the only fantasy option of note on the Braves in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 822 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 137
NY Mets
The Mets are one of the top offenses to target tonight, as they square off against Matt Wisler at home. The best part is that they will get overlooked by the masses thanks to the fact that there is a game in both Coors Field and the Rogers Centre. The left-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, as Wisler has allowed a .463 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 974 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 157
Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 851 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 99
Secondary Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 976 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.409 — wRC+: 169
Lucas Duda : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 861 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 81
Philadelphia at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Miami | ||||||||
 | Aaron Harang |  | Tom Koehler | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-161) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.283 | 0.784 | 0.343 | 14.1% | SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.676 | 0.301 | 19.50% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.734 | 0.320 | 19.5% | SP vs. Right | 0.250 | 0.732 | 0.322 | 17.00% |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Aaron Harang : FD: $5,200 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 358.0 — SIERA: 4.44 — ERA: 4.20 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 5.29 — ERA: 6.18 — K%: 14.4% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 2.0
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Harang has not been sharp in his recent outings, posting a 5.29 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 14.4%. The good news is that he faces a Marlins’ offense that is ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The bad news is that he Harangatang bandwagon appears to be out of gas. The engine has also quit on us and all four tires are flat.
Pitcher Rating: 47.2
Tom Koehler : FD: $7,500 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 362.0 — SIERA: 4.37 — ERA: 3.85 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.53 — ERA: 3.38 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 0.8
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.251 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 27.5% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Koehler has been in Koehler-esque form recently, posting a 4.53 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.7% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Phillies, who are ranked 30th in team wOBA and 29th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. The problem here is his salary. If he was priced in the $6,000 range, he would be a viable option tonight, but he’s a bit too expensive for what he brings to the table.
Pitcher Rating: 66.8
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Tom Koehler, who has held left-handed hitters to a .301 wOBA over the last two seasons. Andres Blanco is a nice punt option on DraftKings ($2,300), but the rest of the Phillies can be avoided.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Andres Blanco : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 169 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 114
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 116
Miami
The Marlins may not have the most potent offense in baseball, but they draw a nice matchup tonight against Aaron Harang, who has given up a .320+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. There aren’t any must-plays in this lineup, but Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, and Justin Bour all deserve a look.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,900 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 952 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.054 — wRC+: 89
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 847 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 146
Justin Bour : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 413 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 127