MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, September 29th - Page Two

Miami at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST

Miami Tampa Bay
miamimlb Adam Conley tampabaymlb Matt Moore
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TBR (-145) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.29 0.832 0.376 0.237 SP vs. Left 0.28 0.87 0.369 0.121
SP vs. Right 0.25 0.708 0.304 0.223 SP vs. Right 0.308 0.854 0.37 0.186
Batter Splits MIA BvP MIA vs L Batter Splits TBR BvP TB vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Adam Conley : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 55.0 — SIERA: 3.82 — ERA: 3.93 — K%: 22.5% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.1 — SIERA: 3.34 — ERA: 2.42 — K%: 27.2% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.4

Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 22.3% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 16)

Analysis: Conley has been in terrific form recently, posting a 3.34 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.2% over the last month of play. He draws a decent matchup tonight against the Rays. While Tampa Bay does hit left-handed pitching well as a team, they also have the eighth-highest strikeout rate against southpaws this season. Conley would be a better play if this game was being played at home, but he is an intriguing tournament option tonight on the road.

Pitcher Rating: 62.8


Matt Moore : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,900

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 60.0 — SIERA: 4.68 — ERA: 5.85 — K%: 16.6% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 23.1 — SIERA: 3.59 — ERA: 3.86 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 1.5

Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.346 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 16.7% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)

Analysis: After a terrible start to the season, Moore has pitched well in his last two outings. He has only allowed two earned runs over 14 innings of work, while striking out 16 hitters. Could this be the time to jump on board? Even though the Marlins are an above-average offense against left-handed pitching, they still lack power in their lineup. Moore is in a sneaky spot tonight at home and he can be targeted in both tournaments and as an SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.

Pitcher Rating: 57.8

Batter Grind Down

Miami

The Marlins draw a favorable matchup against Matt Moore on paper, but the splits don’t tell the whole story. Moore has pitched well in each of his last two starts and the Marlins are sizable underdogs in a game that features a total of only 7.5 runs.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Martin Prado : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 241 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 146

Marcell Ozuna : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 207 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 107


Tampa Bay

The Rays draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Adam Conley. While he has really come into his own over the last month of play, Vegas has the Rays listed as sizable favorites at home. The right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play against the southpaw.

Elite Plays:

Evan Longoria : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 350 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 122

Secondary Plays:

Logan Forsythe : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 1B/2B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 348 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 136
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.186 — wRC+: 134

Mikie Mahtook : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,300

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 67 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.328 — wRC+: 177
Last 30 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.463 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 205


Minnesota at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST

Minnesota Cleveland
minnesotamlb Kyle Gibson clevelandmlb Cody Anderson
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
CLE (-120) 8
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.255 0.702 0.311 0.127 SP vs. Left 0.257 0.762 0.326 0.116
SP vs. Right 0.25 0.681 0.299 0.189 SP vs. Right 0.221 0.603 0.264 0.13
Batter Splits MIN vs R Batter Splits CLE BvP CLE vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Kyle Gibson : FD: $6,300 — DK: $7,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 368.0 — SIERA: 4.18 — ERA: 4.21 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 3.73 — ERA: 4.70 — K%: 19.7% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 0.6

Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.90 (Rank: 4)

Analysis: Don’t look now, but the Twins are only a half game behind the Astros for the last Wildcard spot. They need a big outing from Gibson tonight, as they square off against the Indians at Progressive Field. This is a difficult matchup, as the Indians are ranked 17th in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. I’d rather target Matt Moore tonight and he is considerably cheaper than Gibson.

Pitcher Rating: 53.8


Cody Anderson : FD: $6,500 — DK: $7,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 84.1 — SIERA: 4.74 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 12.4% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 4.71 — ERA: 1.69 — K%: 14.1% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 0.6

Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 18.3% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Anderson has one of the lowest strikeout rates of any starter this season. He owns a 4.74 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 12.4%. He draws a nice matchup against the Twins, but the upside just isn’t there. Anderson should be avoided in all league formats tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 48.2

Batter Grind Down

Minnesota

The Twins draw a favorable matchup tonight against low-strikeout pitcher, Cody Anderson. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play in a must win game against the Indians.

Elite Plays:

Miguel Sano : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 214 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.289 — wRC+: 163
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 138

Secondary Plays:

Brian Dozier : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 973 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 91

Eddie Rosario : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 330 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 89
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.253 — wRC+: 94


Cleveland

The Indians draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Kyle Gibson, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .315 wOBA over the last two seasons. The left-handed bats are in play here, but they are secondary options at their respective positions.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 266 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.410 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 165

Carlos Santana : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 862 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 138

Jason Kipnis : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 770 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.254 — ISO: 0.114 — wRC+: 57


Washington at Atlanta – 7:10 PM EST

Washington Atlanta
washingtonmlb Tanner Roark atlantamlb Matt Wisler
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
WAS (-140) 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.255 0.737 0.323 0.122 SP vs. Left 0.348 1.063 0.449 0.088
SP vs. Right 0.249 0.643 0.282 0.203 SP vs. Right 0.232 0.67 0.285 0.224
Batter Splits WAS BvP WAS vs R Batter Splits ATL BvP ATL vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tanner Roark : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,600

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 297.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 16.3% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 19.0 — SIERA: 5.33 — ERA: 5.68 — K%: 9.3% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.4

Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.296 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 15.2% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)

Analysis: Roark has not performed well as a starter this season. His SIERA has gone up, while his strikeout rate has dropped considerably. Even in a favorable matchup against the Braves, Roark is not on my radar tonight. There isn’t enough upside to warrant consideration and once again, I’d rather target Matt Moore at this price point.

Pitcher Rating: 54.1


Matthew Wisler : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 93.1 — SIERA: 5.00 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.2 — SIERA: 5.05 — ERA: 5.34 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 0.9

Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.330 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 19)

Analysis: Wisler has been one of the most hittable pitchers in all of baseball this season. He comes into tonight’s start in less than ideal form, posting a 5.05 SIERA with a walk rate of 10.7%. He can safely be avoided tonight against the Nationals. Even though their team is clearly in disarray right now, they should still have some success against Wisler.

Pitcher Rating: 42.0

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Matt Wisler, who has allowed a .449 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Bryce Harper and Clint Robinson are both elite plays here, while the right-handed bats of Anthony Rendon and Yunel Escobar are also worth a look.

Elite Plays:

Bryce Harper : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 734 — wOBA: 0.428 — ISO: 0.269 — wRC+: 175
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.505 — ISO: 0.411 — wRC+: 226

Clint Robinson : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 300 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 116

Secondary Plays:

Yunel Escobar : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,800

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 856 — wOBA: 0.327 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.050 — wRC+: 133

Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 776 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 120
Last 30 Days: PA: 129 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 113


Atlanta

The Braves are one of the worst offenses in the majors, but they do draw a favorable matchup tonight against Tanner Roark, who has really struggled as a starter this season. Freddie Freeman is a borderline elite play. He has a .388 wOBA and a .161 ISO over the last month of play.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Freddie Freeman : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 835 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.207 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 147


Detroit at Texas – 8:05 PM EST

Detroit Texas
detroitmlb Daniel Norris texasmlb Cole Hamels
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
TEX (-200) 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.233 0.796 0.344 0.209 SP vs. Left 0.226 0.648 0.294 0.202
SP vs. Right 0.228 0.69 0.3 0.174 SP vs. Right 0.237 0.655 0.288 0.252
Batter Splits DET BvP DET vs L Batter Splits TEX BvP TEX vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Daniel Norris : FD: $6,200 — DK: $5,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 60.0 — SIERA: 4.53 — ERA: 4.05 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 8.2 — SIERA: 2.24 — ERA: 1.04 — K%: 29.6% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 1.0

Texas Rangers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.366 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.6% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 15)

Analysis: Norris has been extremely inconsistent in his short stint in the majors. He is coming off of a strong start, but he draws a tough matchup tonight against the Rangers, who have the highest team wOBA over the last two weeks. Norris is one of the largest underdogs on the board tonight. He should be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating: 53.0


Cole Hamels : FD: $10,600 — DK: $10,000

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 402.0 — SIERA: 3.38 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 24.1% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.52 — ERA: 2.91 — K%: 20.4% — BB%: 4.2% — HR/9: 0.5

Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.348 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 16)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 12)

Analysis: This is a big game for the Rangers, as they currently hold a one-and-a-half game lead over the Astros in the American League West Division. Hamels comes into tonight’s start in nice form, posting a 3.52 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.4% over the last month of play. While the Tigers have one of the highest team wOBAs against southpaws this season, you have to question their motivation at this point in the season. Hamels should see plenty of run support and unlike Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner, he is actually a large favorite, which is something to keep in mind on FanDuel.

Pitcher Rating: 86.2

Batter Grind Down

Detroit

The Tigers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Cole Hamels, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA over the last two seasons. Miguel Cabrera and J.D. Martinez are both nice tournament plays in a hitter-friendly ballpark, but the Tigers can be avoided in cash games.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Miguel Cabrera : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 276 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.238 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.274 — ISO: 0.034 — wRC+: 69

J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 259 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.295 — wRC+: 158
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.312 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 95

Rajai Davis : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,700

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 301 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 137
Last 30 Days: PA: 63 — wOBA: 0.428 — ISO: 0.322 — wRC+: 176


Texas

The Rangers have a high team total tonight, as they take on Daniel Norris in the hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. Both left and right-handed hitters are in play tonight, as Norris has not been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

Adrian Beltre : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,600

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 360 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.185 — wRC+: 135

Mike Napoli : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 309 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.231 — wRC+: 156
Last 30 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 139

Secondary Plays:

Shin-Soo Choo : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 392 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 130 — wOBA: 0.462 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 194

Delino Deshields : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,200

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.115 — wRC+: 101
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.095 — wRC+: 65

Prince Fielder : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,300

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 329 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.165 — wRC+: 112

Mitch Moreland : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 188 — wOBA: 0.277 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 66
Last 30 Days: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 122


Kansas City at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST

Kansas City Chicago White Sox
kansascitymlb Johnny Cueto whitesoxmlb Jeff Samardzija
RIGHT RIGHT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
KCR (-131) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.2 0.571 0.257 0.239 SP vs. Left 0.258 0.753 0.326 0.205
SP vs. Right 0.222 0.659 0.289 0.226 SP vs. Right 0.242 0.66 0.29 0.206
Batter Splits KCR BvP KC vs R Batter Splits CHW BvP CWS vs R
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Johnny Cueto : FD: $10,500 — DK: $8,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 444.2 — SIERA: 3.41 — ERA: 2.79 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 4.55 — ERA: 6.44 — K%: 13.6% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 1.2

Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.80 (Rank: 18)

Analysis: Cueto has not been the dominant pitcher that we have seen over the last few seasons. Since joining the Royals, he has been mediocre at best. Over the last month of play, he has a 4.55 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 13.6%. If you take his name out of the equation, you would never consider targeting a pitcher with those type of numbers. Even in a favorable matchup against the White Sox, I will be avoiding Cueto in both cash games and tournaments.

Pitcher Rating: 77.4


Jeff Samardzija : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,500

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 426.2 — SIERA: 3.63 — ERA: 3.99 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.58 — ERA: 6.75 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 8.8% — HR/9: 1.5

Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 23.2% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 30)

Analysis: Samardzija has had a season to forget. He has been unable to get any sort of rhythm going and his strikeout rate has taken a hit. He draws arguably the worst matchup on the board tonight, as the Royals are ranked seventh in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 65.4

Batter Grind Down

Kansas City

The Royals are one of the best offenses in baseball, but none of their hitters stand out as elite plays tonight against Jeff Samardzija. The left-handed bats in this lineup are decent secondary plays though, as Samardzija has allowed a .326 wOBA to hitters from that side of the plate.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Mike Moustakas : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.321 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 137

Alex Gordon : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 715 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 85 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 86


Chicago White Sox

This is a tough spot to predict. On one hand, Johnny Cueto has really struggled in his last few starts. On the other hand, he has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .290 wOBA over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu is a decent tournament option, but he is the only fantasy option of note here.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Jose Abreu : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,900

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 958 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.246 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 111


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious