MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, September 23rd
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Chicago White Sox at Detroit – 1:08 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Detroit | ||||||||
 | Frankie Montas |  | Justin Verlander | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-155) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.333 | 0.884 | 0.397 | 13.3% | SP vs. Left | 0.225 | 0.655 | 0.289 | 19.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.125 | 0.301 | 0.144 | 47.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.295 | 0.789 | 0.345 | 17.50% |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | Batter Splits | DET vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Frankie Montas : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,000
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.327 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Montas has made five appearances out of the bullpen this season, but he will make his first career major league start today against the Tigers. He is a large underdog against the Tigers, who are ranked above the league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. There is more risk than upside with Montas in his first ever major league start.
Pitcher Rating: 34.3
Justin Verlander : FD: $8,800 — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 320.1 — SIERA: 4.14 — ERA: 4.16 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.1 — SIERA: 3.99 — ERA: 2.65 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 0.2
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 22)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Verlander has been in good form in the second half of the season. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.99 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. He is a large favorite and he draws a nice matchup against the White Sox, who are ranked 22nd in team wOBA and 17th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. I won’t be targeting him in the all-day contests, but he is certainly playable in the early slate.
Pitcher Rating: 71.2
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a difficult matchup today against Justin Verlander, who has been a completely different pitcher in the last couple of months. Verlander is a reverse-splits pitcher though, allowing a .345 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu and Melky Cabrera are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 939 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.251 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.263 — wRC+: 149
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 577 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 81
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.071 — wRC+: 68
Detroit
The Tigers draw a favorable matchup against Frankie Montas, who is making his first career major league start tonight. Montas is a right-handed pitcher with a high walk rate throughout his minor league career. Load up on the Tigers in both cash games and tournaments in the early slate.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 892 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 154
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 91
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 831 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 142
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 123
Anthony Gose : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 636 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 98
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 132
Rajai Davis : FD: $2,700 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 529 — wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 81
Last 30 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 97
LA Angels at Houston – 2:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Houston | ||||||||
 | Nick Tropeano |  | Mike Fiers | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| HOU (-165) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.263 | 0.697 | 0.312 | 15.6% | SP vs. Left | 0.211 | 0.609 | 0.267 | 24.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.286 | 0.734 | 0.316 | 18.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.229 | 0.717 | 0.310 | 25.60% |
| Batter Splits | ANA vs R | Batter Splits | HOU BvP | HOU vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Nicholas Tropeano : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 48.1 — SIERA: 4.53 — ERA: 4.84 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.1 — SIERA: 4.43 — ERA: 4.35 — K%: 21.3% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 0.9
Houston Astros Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 23.8% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Tropeano has not had a ton of success in the majors over the last two seasons, posting a 4.53 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 16.8%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Astros, who are ranked fourth in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate over the last two weeks of play. He should be avoided in both the early and the all-day slate of games.
Pitcher Rating: 42.6
Mike Fiers : FD: $8,700 — DK: $9,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 239.2 — SIERA: 3.57 — ERA: 3.19 — K%: 25.0% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 3.95 — ERA: 3.75 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 2.3
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Fiers has really pitched well since coming to the Astros. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.95 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.5% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup against the Angels, who are ranked 24th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. He is a large favorite at home and he should see plenty of run support with Nick Tropeano pitching opposite him.
Pitcher Rating: 79.3
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels’ offense has disappeared over the last month of play. With the exception of Mike Trout, the rest of the team has been slumping for some time now. They draw a difficult matchup tonight against Mike Fiers, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1003 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 167
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.293 — wRC+: 162
Houston
The Astros find themselves in a favorable matchup today against Nick Tropeano, who has not had a ton of success as a starter in the majors. If you are playing in the small early slate of games, try to get as many Tigers and Astros hitters in your lineup as you possibly can.
Elite Plays:
George Springer : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 500 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.203 — wRC+: 119
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 89
Jed Lowrie : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 573 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 96
Last 30 Days: PA: 86 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 87
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Correa : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 255 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 98
Jose Altuve : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 986 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 150
Evan Gattis : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 696 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 122
Colby Rasmus : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 598 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 128
Baltimore at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Baltimore | Washington | ||||||||
 | Chris Tillman |  | Max Scherzer | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-175) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.254 | 0.683 | 0.304 | 16.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.741 | 0.324 | 12.20% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.745 | 0.324 | 16.7% | SP vs. Right | 0.248 | 0.635 | 0.278 | 20.70% |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Tillman : FD: $6,500 — DK: $4,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 361.2 — SIERA: 4.44 — ERA: 4.13 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 4.59 — ERA: 7.76 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 1.4
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.339 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 22.2% (Rank: 18)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Tillman has not been sharp recently, posting a 4.59 SIERA (7.76 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 15.4% over the last month of play. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Nationals, who are ranked sixth in team wOBA over the last two weeks. These two teams have very different motivations right now and we should see that play out in tonight’s contest. Tillman can be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating: 49.3
Max Scherzer : FD: $11,000 — DK: $12,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 425.1 — SIERA: 2.88 — ERA: 3.03 — K%: 28.5% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.0 — SIERA: 3.02 — ERA: 3.44 — K%: 26.3% — BB%: 2.2% — HR/9: 1.9
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 22.5% (Rank: 19)
Pitches per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Scherzer has been giving up home runs at an unsustainable rate, which has been the main reason for his struggles since the All-Star break. Regression is bound to set in soon and it could very well start tonight against a strikeout-happy Orioles’ team. On the season, Baltimore has the third-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. He is the top-rated pitcher on the board tonight, the only question is how deep he will pitch into the game. The Nationals have been pinch-hitting for their starters much earlier in close games.
Pitcher Rating: 96.9
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles draw a difficult matchup tonight against Max Scherzer. While he has struggled to keep the ball in the park recently, he has an elite strikeout rate and he is tough on right-handed hitters. Avoid all Orioles tonight in the pitcher-friendly Nationals Park.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Washington
The Nationals are clinging on to postseason hope, but as of now, they have a 0.1% chance of making it to the playoffs. To quote a classic movie, “so you’re saying there’s a chance!?” They draw a decent matchup tonight against Chris Tillman, who hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate.
Elite Plays:
Bryce Harper : FD: $5,900 — DK: $5,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.432 — ISO: 0.274 — wRC+: 178
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.538 — ISO: 0.409 — wRC+: 249
Secondary Plays:
Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 748 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.171 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 128 — wOBA: 0.390 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 148
Clint Robinson : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 276 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 164
NY Yankees at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| NY Yankees | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Ivan Nova |  | Marcus Stroman | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-180) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.318 | 0.855 | 0.371 | 9.1% | SP vs. Left | 0.226 | 0.634 | 0.282 | 19.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.251 | 0.835 | 0.362 | 18.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.271 | 0.628 | 0.281 | 20.40% |
| Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ivan Nova : FD: $6,100 — DK: $4,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 96.1 — SIERA: 4.67 — ERA: 5.79 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 7.5% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 17.2 — SIERA: 5.58 — ERA: 9.68 — K%: 9.0% — BB%: 7.9% — HR/9: 2.6
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.344 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Nova has not been the pitcher that the Yankees were hoping for him to be this season. He has really struggled in his recent starts, posting a 5.58 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 9.0% over the last month of play. He draws arguably the worst matchup on the board, as he has to face the Blue Jays in their own backyard. There is little to no fantasy appeal here. Nova should be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 32.6
Marcus Stroman : FD: $7,800 — DK: $8,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 142.2 — SIERA: 3.24 — ERA: 3.60 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 12.0 — SIERA: 3.74 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 10.6% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.8
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.91 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Stroman is coming off of a strong outing against the Red Sox, striking out three batters in seven innings of work. He has a ton of talent, the only question is whether he can put that talent on display in critical games down the stretch of the regular season. With so many aces on the mound tonight, it seems unnecessary to take the risk on Stroman. He is a tournament play at best tonight against the Yankees, who are ranked seventh in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 70.6
Batter Grind Down
NY Yankees
The Yankees draw a tough matchup against Marcus Stroman on paper, but again, this is a big spot for a young, inexperienced pitcher. The Yankees could be sneaky targets in both cash games and tournaments, as their salaries have dipped thanks to a recent slump.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brian McCann : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 770 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 94
Last 30 Days: PA: 97 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 133
Jacoby Ellsbury : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 738 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.120 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.227 — ISO: 0.048 — wRC+: 37
Brett Gardner : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 877 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 76
Toronto
The Blue Jays have one of the highest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Ivan Nova at home. Nova has not been able to produce enough swings and misses this season, which is a big concern for his matchup tonight. The Blue Jays lead the majors in team wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 895 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.288 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.514 — ISO: 0.440 — wRC+: 235
Ben Revere : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 865 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 92
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 118
Secondary Plays:
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1028 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.259 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.474 — ISO: 0.337 — wRC+: 207
Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1045 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 128
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.266 — wRC+: 156
Russell Martin : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 730 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.183 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.305 — wRC+: 127
Philadelphia at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Miami | ||||||||
 | David Buchanan |  | Adam Conley | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-164) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.271 | 0.760 | 0.337 | 10.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.308 | 0.909 | 0.408 | 21.20% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.311 | 0.875 | 0.379 | 15.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.261 | 0.743 | 0.318 | 20.90% |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Buchanan : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 176.0 — SIERA: 4.60 — ERA: 5.32 — K%: 13.0% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 9.1 — SIERA: 5.19 — ERA: 5.79 — K%: 11.1% — BB%: 11.1% — HR/9: 1.9
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Buchanan is an easy pitcher to avoid in daily fantasy. He has a mediocre SIERA (4.60) with a low strikeout rate (13.0%) and a high walk rate (7.4%). While he does draw a favorable matchup against the Marlins, that’s not enough to tip the scales in his favor. Even at his discounted price point, he can be avoided in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 37.4
Adam Conley : FD: $6,400 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 49.0 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.1 — SIERA: 3.95 — ERA: 2.96 — K%: 23.9% — BB%: 9.4% — HR/9: 1.0
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.251 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 27.5% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Conley has quietly pitched well for the Marlins over the last month of play, posting a 3.95 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.9%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Phillies, who have all but given up offensively this season. Philadelphia is ranked 30th in team wOBA and 29th in strikeout rate over the last two weeks. It feels a bit weird recommending a Marlins’ pitcher at this stage of the season, but Conley is a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 71.2
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a mediocre matchup against Adam Conley, but they have to face him in the pitcher-friendly Marlins Park. At this point, it’s tough to rely on any production from this lineup. The Phillies should be considered secondary options at best.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Andres Blanco : FD: $3,000 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 116
Darin Ruf : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 174 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 177
Last 30 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 99
Miami
The Marlins actually have a high team total tonight, as they host David Buchanan and the Phillies. Buchanan has not fared well against hitters from either side of the plate, allowing a .337+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 952 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.083 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.054 — wRC+: 89
Secondary Plays:
Christian Yelich : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 847 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 146
Justin Bour : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 413 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.230 — wRC+: 127