MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, September 9th - Page Two
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati – 7:10 PM EST
| Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | ||||||||
 | J.A. Happ |  | Keyvius Sampson | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-139) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.275 | 0.793 | 0.345 | 0.238 | SP vs. Left | 0.361 | 0.984 | 0.424 | 0.211 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.733 | 0.321 | 0.18 | SP vs. Right | 0.278 | 0.764 | 0.333 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
J.A. Happ : FD: $7,300 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 301.0 — SIERA: 4.00 — ERA: 4.07 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 7.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 3.41 — ERA: 0.60 — K%: 22.8% — BB%: 4.4% — HR/9: 0.3
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 17.3% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Happ has been in surprisingly good form recently, posting a 3.41 SIERA (0.60 ERA) with a strikeout rate of 22.8% over the last month of play. While another southpaw (Francisco Liriano) had success against the Reds last night, these two pitchers are not of the same caliber. This is still a fairly difficult matchup, as the Reds are ranked ninth in team wOBA and eighth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Even though his indicators look good, I will continue to avoid Happ.
Pitcher Rating: 66.0
Keyvius Sampson : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 31.0 — SIERA: 4.64 — ERA: 6.68 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 10.7% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.0 — SIERA: 5.14 — ERA: 7.20 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 11.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Sampson has really struggled in his last few starts, posting a 5.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.9% and a walk rate of 11.9%. His matchup against the Pirates is mediocre at best and he has to face them at home in the hitter-friendly confines of the Great American Ballpark. There are better pitching options tonight in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 44.7
Batter Grind Down
Pittsburgh
The Pirates see a small ballpark boost tonight playing in Cincinnati and they also draw a favorable matchup against Keyvius Sampson, who has allowed a .333+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season.
Elite Plays:
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 659 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.113 — wRC+: 108
Secondary Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 981 — wOBA: 0.398 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 159
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 155
Neil Walker : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 873 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.295 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 87
Cincinnati
Even though J.A. Happ has been pitching well recently, I’m not convinced that it will last. Over the last two seasons, Happ has given up a .321+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters. A discounted Todd Frazier remains an elite play on FanDuel.
Elite Plays:
Todd Frazier : FD: $2,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 278 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 133
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 92
Secondary Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 234 — wOBA: 0.423 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 169
Last 30 Days: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.515 — ISO: 0.344 — wRC+: 231
Eugenio Suarez : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 160 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.210 — wRC+: 114
Jason Bourgeois : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 36 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.141 — wRC+: 95
Toronto at Boston – 7:10 PM EST
| Toronto | Boston | ||||||||
 | Drew Hutchison |  | Joe Kelly | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-112) | 10 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.774 | 0.338 | 0.203 | SP vs. Left | 0.246 | 0.697 | 0.311 | 0.176 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.723 | 0.317 | 0.236 | SP vs. Right | 0.269 | 0.775 | 0.339 | 0.17 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Drew Hutchison : FD: $8,500 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 328.1 — SIERA: 3.77 — ERA: 4.74 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 7.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 3.51 — K%: 19.8% — BB%: 3.0% — HR/9: 1.4
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 17.2% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Hutchison has been in good form over the last month of play, posting a 3.54 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19.8%. He draws an awful matchup tonight against the Red Sox, who are ranked seventh in team wOBA and second in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. This game has the highest run total on the board and both pitchers can be avoided in what is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 59.2
Joe Kelly : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 222.2 — SIERA: 4.28 — ERA: 4.57 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.2 — SIERA: 4.49 — ERA: 1.65 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.383 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Kelly has a 1.65 ERA over the last month of play, but his 4.49 SIERA and 15.9% strikeout rate are mediocre at best. He draws the worst matchup in all of baseball tonight, as he has to face the Blue Jays, who are ranked second in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Avoid Kelly at all costs tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 42.6
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
The Blue Jays haven’t been tearing the cover off the ball in this series, but I believe that they have just been saving themselves for tonight’s matchup against Joe Kelly, who is a reverse-splits pitcher. The Blue Jays have the highest team total on the board and all of the right-handed bats are in play tonight in Boston.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $4,700 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 858 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.490 — ISO: 0.455 — wRC+: 219
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 679 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.176 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.264 — ISO: 0.100 — wRC+: 62
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 999 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.323 — wRC+: 187
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 982 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.341 — wRC+: 187
Ben Revere : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 827 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.060 — wRC+: 93
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.031 — wRC+: 118
Boston
The Red Sox have a tendency to let us down in favorable matchups, but once again, they have one of the highest team totals on the schedule tonight. They draw a nice matchup against Drew Hutchison, who has not fared well against hitters from either side of the plate. David Ortiz and Mookie Betts are both elite plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 777 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.476 — ISO: 0.395 — wRC+: 206
Mookie Betts : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 557 — wOBA: 0.346 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 153
Secondary Plays:
Travis Shaw : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 106
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 120
Pablo Sandoval : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 761 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.261 — ISO: 0.139 — wRC+: 57
Milwaukee at Miami – 7:10 PM EST
| Milwaukee | Miami | ||||||||
 | Ariel Pena |  | Tom Koehler | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIA (-118) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | SP vs. Left | 0.241 | 0.685 | 0.305 | 0.192 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.25 | 0.9 | 0.359 | 0.2 | SP vs. Right | 0.251 | 0.732 | 0.322 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ariel Pena : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 3.0 — SIERA: 5.54 — ERA: 6.00 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 3.0 — SIERA: 5.54 — ERA: 6.00 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.0
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 16.4% (Rank: 3)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: While Pena did make an appearance the other night, this will be his first career major league start. He has shown great strikeout potential in the minors with a K/9 over 9.0 in each of the last two seasons. He may not be the Brewers’ top prospect, but he is in their list of top ten. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Marlins, who are ranked 30th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Pena is not a recommended cash game option, but I certainly can’t deny the tournament appeal at his cheap price point.
Pitcher Rating: 39.8
Tom Koehler : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 348.0 — SIERA: 4.38 — ERA: 3.93 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 5.27 — ERA: 5.35 — K%: 14.3% — BB%: 10.6% — HR/9: 1.3
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.362 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 21.0% (Rank: 23)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Koehler has not been sharp in his last few outings, posting a 5.27 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 14.3% over the last month of play. He is an easy avoid tonight against the Brewers, who are ranked fifth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Koehler’s price point may be appealing, but his recent form takes him out of fantasy consideration tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 51.7
Batter Grind Down
Milwaukee
The Brewers may not be playing in the most hitter-friendly ballpark tonight, but they do draw a favorable matchup against Tom Koehler, who has given up a .322 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Jonathan Lucroy has a .395 wOBA over the last month of play and he remains an elite catching option tonight.
Elite Plays:
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 803 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.241 — wRC+: 148
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 833 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.429 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 171
Adam Lind : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 677 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 152
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.386 — ISO: 0.194 — wRC+: 142
Miami
The Marlins draw an intriguing matchup against Ariel Pena, who is major his first major league start tonight. While Pena has shown some promise in the minor leagues, these debuts often don’t turn out the way that the pitcher envisions. The Marlins are sneaky targets in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
Dee Gordon : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 909 — wOBA: 0.317 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 127
Secondary Plays:
Justin Bour : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 375 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 127
Minnesota at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Minnesota | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Mike Pelfrey |  | Kris Medlen | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-167) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.274 | 0.783 | 0.347 | 0.12 | SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.735 | 0.324 | 0.254 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.314 | 0.782 | 0.343 | 0.108 | SP vs. Right | 0.276 | 0.697 | 0.304 | 0.183 |
| Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Mike Pelfrey : FD: $5,900 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 170.1 — SIERA: 4.86 — ERA: 4.70 — K%: 11.4% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.2 — SIERA: 4.05 — ERA: 5.84 — K%: 16.4% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.7
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 15.4% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 14.4% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Pelfrey has been in decent form, but his low strikeout rate takes him out of consideration, regardless of who the opponent is. Once you factor in his matchup against the Royals, he becomes one of the worst pitching options available tonight. The Royals are ranked third in team wOBA and first in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 33.3
Kris Medlen : FD: $6,900 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 31.1 — SIERA: 3.35 — ERA: 4.88 — K%: 22.1% — BB%: 6.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.2 — SIERA: 3.16 — ERA: 4.74 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 4.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 27.2% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Medlen is coming off of his worst start of the season. The good news is that the Royals let him throw 98 pitches in that outing, which was 20 pitches more than his previous season high. Without a pitch count to worry about, Medlen becomes a very interesting play tonight against the Twins, who are ranked 26th in team wOBA and 27th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. At a ridiculously cheap price of $4,600 on DraftKings, I have him locked in as my SP2.
Pitcher Rating: 76.5
Batter Grind Down
Minnesota
The Twins’ offense is sputtering right now and a matchup against Kris Medlen in a pitcher-friendly ballpark may not help matters. Medlen has pitched well this season and he has a great defense behind him. Miguel Sano is the only fantasy option of note in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Sano : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 159 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.338 — wRC+: 179
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.370 — wRC+: 179
Kansas City
The Royals draw a favorable matchup against Mike Pelfrey, who has given up a .343+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. They have one of the highest team totals on the board and they should be in for another nice outing offensively.
Elite Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 715 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.161 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 114 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 122
Alex Gordon : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 660 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 17 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 154
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 694 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 144
Mike Moustakas : FD: $2,900 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 710 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.162 — wRC+: 104
Last 30 Days: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.435 — ISO: 0.329 — wRC+: 182
Cleveland at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST
| Cleveland | Chicago White Sox | ||||||||
 | Josh Tomlin |  | Jeff Samardzija | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-111) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.22 | 0.641 | 0.275 | 0.22 | SP vs. Left | 0.258 | 0.744 | 0.323 | 0.208 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.293 | 0.835 | 0.361 | 0.218 | SP vs. Right | 0.24 | 0.655 | 0.288 | 0.206 |
| Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Josh Tomlin : FD: $8,100 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 139.1 — SIERA: 3.25 — ERA: 4.20 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 3.0% — HR/9: 1.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 3.17 — ERA: 2.55 — K%: 24.6% — BB%: 2.3% — HR/9: 1.8
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 16.5% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Tomlin has been a nice addition to the Indians’ rotation down the stretch. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.17 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.6%. Those numbers rival those of Corey Kluber during that stretch. He draws a nice matchup tonight against the White Sox, who are ranked 21st in team wOBA and 17th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Tomlin is a bit overpriced on DraftKings, but he is playable tonight on FanDuel.
Pitcher Rating: 86.1
Jeff Samardzija : FD: $8,000 — DK: $8,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 408.0 — SIERA: 3.57 — ERA: 3.86 — K%: 20.7% — BB%: 5.2% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.1 — SIERA: 4.40 — ERA: 7.13 — K%: 19.3% — BB%: 9.0% — HR/9: 1.8
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 5)
Pitches per PA: 3.90 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: Samardzija has been a boom or bust fantasy option all season. His form seems to change with each start, which makes it extremely difficult to predict how he is going to perform in a certain matchup. On paper, the Indians present a tough matchup, which is why Samardzija should be restricted to tournament play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 63.2
Batter Grind Down
Cleveland
The Indians draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Jeff Samardzija, who has given up a .323 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. I don’t see any of the Indians’ bats as elite plays, but Michael Brantley and Jason Kipnis are both viable secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Michael Brantley : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 772 — wOBA: 0.396 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 158
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.426 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 177
Jason Kipnis : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 723 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 78 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 70
Chicago White Sox
Even though Josh Tomlin has pitched well recently, he has still given up a .361 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Jose Abreu makes a nice play here, as he has a .388 wOBA and a .245 ISO against right-handed pitching since the start of the 2014 season.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 892 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 150
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 113
Secondary Plays:
Alexei Ramirez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 904 — wOBA: 0.293 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 84
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.096 — wRC+: 116