NBA First Look: Saturday, March 5th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-03-08 04:49:25

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The NBA First Look, complete with sortable odds, offensive rankings, and DvP rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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First Look Legend

Term	Description
Team Total	The implied number of points a team is expected to score based on the Vegas line and total.
PPG	The number of points scored per game by each team.
Team +/-	The difference between a team’s implied total and their average points scored per game.
Pace	The number of possessions a team averages per game.
Projected Pace	Formula = (Team 1 Pace – League Average Pace) + (Team 2 Pace – League Average Pace) + League Average Pace
Pace +/-	The difference between a team’s pace and the projected pace of that night’s game.
Total FPs	The total number of fantasy points allowed by each team.
Usage	The percentage of possessions a player uses while on the floor, adjusted for turnovers.
L5 + / –	The average MPG and FPPG over the last five games, compared to season averages.

NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Favorite	Spread	Total	Tip-Off
Boston Celtics (38-25)	at	Cleveland Cavaliers (43-17)	CLE	-7.5	211.5	7:00 PM
Detroit Pistons (31-30)	at	New York Knicks (25-38)	DET	-5.0	199.5	7:00 PM
Utah Jazz (28-33)	at	New Orleans Pelicans (23-37)	NO	-2.0	197.0	7:00 PM
Indiana Pacers (32-30)	at	Washington Wizards (30-31)	WAS	-2.5	207.5	7:00 PM
Brooklyn Nets (18-44)	at	Minnesota Timberwolves (19-43)	MIN	-5.5	213.5	8:00 PM
Sacramento Kings (25-35)	at	San Antonio Spurs (52-9)	SA	-13.0	210.0	8:30 PM
Houston Rockets (30-31)	at	Chicago Bulls (30-30)	CHI	0.0	214.5	8:30 PM
Atlanta Hawks (34-28)	at	Los Angeles Clippers (40-20)	LAC	-5.5	200.5	10:30 PM

Team Offense Rankings

Team Offense	Opponent	Team Total	PPG	Team +/-	Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
San Antonio Spurs	SAC	111.5	104.7	6.8	96.4	100.6	4.2
Cleveland Cavaliers	BOS	109.5	102.9	6.6	95.3	98.6	3.3
Minnesota Timberwolves	BKN	109.5	101.0	8.5	97.3	96.1	-1.2
Houston Rockets	CHI	107.3	105.6	1.7	100.0	100.8	0.8
Chicago Bulls	HOU	107.3	101.5	5.8	98.9	100.8	1.9
Washington Wizards	IND	105.0	102.7	2.3	100.3	101.5	1.2
Brooklyn Nets	MIN	104.0	97.4	6.6	96.9	96.1	-0.8
Los Angeles Clippers	ATL	103.0	104.9	-1.9	98.4	99.2	0.8
Indiana Pacers	WAS	102.5	102.3	0.2	99.3	101.5	2.2
Detroit Pistons	NY	102.3	101.5	0.8	97.6	95.5	-2.1
Boston Celtics	CLE	102.0	106.1	-4.1	101.4	98.6	-2.8
New Orleans Pelicans	UTA	99.5	102.4	-2.9	98.8	94.0	-4.8
Sacramento Kings	SA	98.5	107.0	-8.5	102.3	100.6	-1.7
Utah Jazz	NO	97.5	97.8	-0.3	93.3	94.0	0.7
Atlanta Hawks	LAC	97.5	102.3	-4.8	98.9	99.2	0.3
New York Knicks	DET	97.3	98.9	-1.7	96.0	95.5	-0.5

Defense vs. Position Rankings

Team Defense	vs. PG	vs. SG	vs. SF	vs. PF	vs. C	Opponent
Sacramento Kings	25	29	23	29	19	San Antonio
Boston Celtics	1	7	18	27	26	Cleveland
Brooklyn Nets	27	20	20	18	23	Minnesota
Chicago Bulls	28	15	22	24	27	Houston
Houston Rockets	14	21	30	30	15	Chicago
Indiana Pacers	10	14	5	12	12	Washington
Minnesota Timberwolves	21	23	21	9	7	Brooklyn
Atlanta Hawks	6	19	13	17	25	L.A. Clippers
Washington Wizards	16	22	26	7	13	Indiana
New York Knicks	18	16	11	6	18	Detroit
Cleveland Cavaliers	20	5	7	1	1	Boston
Utah Jazz	9	4	2	2	3	New Orleans
San Antonio Spurs	5	1	1	4	4	Sacramento
New Orleans Pelicans	15	25	15	14	29	Utah
Los Angeles Clippers	4	8	10	8	22	Atlanta
Detroit Pistons	10	11	3	13	8	New York

Point Guard

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Tony Parker	PG	$5,000	PG	$5,000	27.1	2.0	19.2	23.4	-1.3	0.86	SAC	25
Kyrie Irving	PG	$7,000	PG	$7,500	29.9	2.6	26.1	29.6	2.4	0.99	BOS	1
Ricky Rubio	PG	$6,700	PG	$6,300	30.6	1.0	16.5	30.2	-3.2	0.99	BKN	27
Patrick Beverley	PG	$4,900	PG	$4,700	27.2	4.6	13.9	19.2	5.2	0.71	CHI	28
Derrick Rose	PG	$7,000	PG	$6,900	31.9	-7.4	23.5	26.8	-1.7	0.84	HOU	14
John Wall	PG	$9,800	PG	$9,300	35.8	-0.6	24.7	42.1	2.8	1.17	IND	10
Donald Sloan	PG	$4,800	PG	$4,900	21.2	3.3	14.7	16.8	6.9	0.79	MIN	21
Chris Paul	PG	$10,200	PG	$9,500	33.3	1.6	24.5	41.2	9.8	1.24	ATL	6
George Hill	PG	$5,500	PG	$4,900	35.2	0.2	14.1	24.2	-0.2	0.69	WAS	16
Reggie Jackson	PG	$6,600	PG	$6,600	30.9	-1.1	25.7	31.5	-2.0	1.02	NY	18
Isaiah Thomas	PG	$7,800	PG	$7,600	32.4	-0.6	25.9	35.2	0.7	1.09	CLE	20
Norris Cole	PG	$5,200	PG	$4,800	26.3	3.1	18.7	19.9	8.3	0.76	UTA	9
Rajon Rondo	PG	$9,000	PG	$7,800	35.3	2.8	17.3	38.3	4.8	1.09	SA	5
Shelvin Mack	PG	$3,500	PG	$4,100	12.0	15.3	22.5	10.2	7.6	0.85	NO	15
Jeff Teague	PG	$6,000	PG	$5,900	28.4	0.6	21.7	27.0	-0.9	0.95	LAC	4
Jose Calderon	PG	$3,800	PG	$3,600	28.0	5.4	11.7	18.1	0.4	0.65	DET	10

Shooting Guard

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Danny Green	SG	$4,300	SG	$4,600	26.2	4.9	12.4	17.4	1.4	0.66	SAC	29
J.R. Smith	SG	$4,600	SG	$4,800	30.7	-0.9	16.3	20.1	0.4	0.66	BOS	7
Zach LaVine	SG	$5,300	SG	$5,700	25.7	11.8	21.4	21.6	5.8	0.84	BKN	20
James Harden	SG	$10,900	SG	$10,500	37.7	4.6	27.5	47.1	5.8	1.25	CHI	15
Jimmy Butler	SG	$8,700	SG	$8,300	37.9	#VALUE!	22.1	37.6	#VALUE!	0.99	HOU	21
Garrett Temple	SG	$3,500	SG	$3,200	25.4	-2.3	12.6	14.7	-7.8	0.58	IND	14
Wayne Ellington	SG	$3,700	SG	$3,800	20.8	4.8	15.2	12.4	4.7	0.60	MIN	23
J.J. Redick	SG	$4,900	SG	$5,000	28.6	2.4	19.1	21.3	4.0	0.75	ATL	19
Monta Ellis	SG	$6,300	SG	$5,800	34.3	2.6	18.1	27.2	1.5	0.79	WAS	22
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	SG	$5,000	SG	$4,700	36.6	-1.9	15.7	23.4	-3.6	0.64	NY	16
Avery Bradley	SG	$5,400	SG	$5,000	33.3	2.0	16.9	23.2	-2.6	0.70	CLE	5
Eric Gordon	SG	$5,400	SG	$5,300	33.4	-0.3	17.4	23.1	8.5	0.69	UTA	4
Ben McLemore	SG	$3,500	SG	$3,000	20.8	-1.5	13.7	12.5	0.1	0.60	SA	1
Rodney Hood	SG	$5,600	SG	$5,500	31.4	-1.4	19.1	23.6	-2.9	0.75	NO	25
Kyle Korver	SG	$3,900	SG	$4,400	30.3	-1.3	11.6	18.1	-2.0	0.60	LAC	8
Arron Afflalo	SG	$4,800	SG	$4,300	34.1	-1.4	16.1	21.4	0.7	0.63	DET	11

Small Forward

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Kawhi Leonard	SF	$8,400	SF	$7,900	32.7	2.7	21.6	36.7	7.9	1.12	SAC	23
LeBron James	SF	$9,800	SF	$9,800	35.8	-1.3	27.5	44.4	0.7	1.24	BOS	18
Andrew Wiggins	SG	$6,200	SG	$6,000	34.8	-3.7	23.1	28.3	-5.1	0.81	BKN	20
Trevor Ariza	SF	$6,400	SF	$6,000	35.0	3.8	13.5	24.8	7.3	0.71	CHI	22
Mike Dunleavy	SF	$3,800	SF	$4,200	21.6	4.7	14.7	14.6	5.1	0.68	HOU	30
Otto Porter	SF	$4,800	SF	$4,700	30.2	-4.6	14.4	23.2	-3.7	0.77	IND	5
Bojan Bogdanovic	SF	$4,000	SG	$4,400	26.5	5.8	14.6	15.3	6.7	0.58	MIN	21
Paul Pierce	SF	$3,500	SF	$3,100	17.8	0.3	14.5	11.3	4.3	0.64	ATL	13
Paul George	SF	$8,500	SF	$8,100	35.4	-1.3	25.1	39.0	2.6	1.10	WAS	26
Marcus Morris	SF	$5,400	SF	$5,100	36.1	-0.8	15.9	24.1	2.4	0.67	NY	11
Jae Crowder	SF	$6,200	SF	$6,000	32.1	-1.3	15.9	26.8	3.7	0.83	CLE	7
Dante Cunningham	PF	$3,500	SF	$3,400	21.5	11.3	8.5	10.6	4.5	0.49	UTA	2
Rudy Gay	SF	$6,800	SF	$6,100	33.9	1.1	19.0	30.4	-6.6	0.90	SA	1
Gordon Hayward	SF	$7,400	SF	$6,600	36.2	0.7	22.2	32.0	-1.4	0.88	NO	15
Kent Bazemore	SF	$4,800	SF	$5,300	28.3	-0.3	16.2	23.0	-0.9	0.81	LAC	10
Carmelo Anthony	SF	$8,900	SF	$8,300	35.2	2.2	25.7	37.8	1.4	1.07	DET	3

Power Forward

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
LaMarcus Aldridge	PF	$7,400	PF	$6,800	30.1	3.5	21.6	30.9	4.8	1.03	SAC	29
Kevin Love	PF	$7,000	PF	$7,000	32.2	-0.9	19.7	33.0	-6.2	1.02	BOS	27
Gorgui Dieng	PF	$6,300	PF	$6,600	26.6	6.3	13.1	23.3	5.8	0.88	BKN	18
Donatas Motiejunas	PF	$3,500	PF	$3,000	14.0	2.8	15.2	9.2	1.2	0.66	CHI	24
Cameron Bairstow	PF	$3,500	PF	$3,000	5.7	-1.1	17.2	4.7	0.7	0.82	HOU	30
Markieff Morris	PF	$5,200	PF	$5,400	24.7	0.9	20.2	21.2	2.8	0.86	IND	12
Thaddeus Young	PF	$7,100	PF	$7,000	33.1	3.5	18.2	30.7	6.1	0.93	MIN	9
Jeff Green	SF	$5,000	SF	$4,500	28.7	-3.1	17.0	21.0	-1.5	0.73	ATL	17
Solomon Hill	SG	$3,500	SF	$3,000	12.0	2.6	11.0	8.0	1.1	0.67	WAS	7
Tobias Harris	SF	$5,800	SF	$6,200	32.8	-0.2	16.4	26.6	1.8	0.81	NY	6
Amir Johnson	PF	$4,000	PF	$4,200	22.6	-4.0	11.5	19.7	0.2	0.87	CLE	1
Anthony Davis	PF	$9,800	PF	$9,600	35.8	1.6	24.1	43.9	-3.6	1.23	UTA	2
Quincy Acy	PF	$3,500	PF	$3,100	12.7	9.0	10.0	9.4	5.2	0.74	SA	4
Derrick Favors	PF	$7,500	PF	$7,100	32.5	1.6	20.3	32.5	-2.4	1.00	NO	14
Paul Millsap	PF	$7,900	PF	$8,000	32.6	0.0	20.2	36.9	-5.4	1.13	LAC	8
Kristaps Porzingis	PF	$6,400	PF	$6,400	27.9	-2.3	20.3	28.3	1.2	1.01	DET	13

Center

Projected Starter	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Tim Duncan	C	$5,100	C	$4,700	25.1	-3.0	14.7	24.2	-4.4	0.96	SAC	19
Timofey Mozgov	C	$3,500	C	$3,600	17.8	1.0	13.3	13.6	1.6	0.76	BOS	26
Karl-Anthony Towns	C	$8,900	C	$8,200	30.7	1.3	20.1	35.0	1.2	1.14	BKN	23
Dwight Howard	C	$8,000	C	$7,900	32.6	3.5	15.4	34.1	4.7	1.05	CHI	27
Pau Gasol	C	$8,900	C	$8,100	32.0	-0.1	21.2	38.7	1.9	1.21	HOU	15
Marcin Gortat	C	$7,000	C	$6,600	30.8	-2.0	15.5	30.4	0.8	0.99	IND	12
Brook Lopez	C	$8,500	C	$7,300	33.8	0.0	22.8	36.0	-2.0	1.07	MIN	7
DeAndre Jordan	C	$8,100	C	$7,400	34.0	0.0	12.0	35.2	-3.0	1.03	ATL	25
Ian Mahinmi	C	$5,000	C	$4,600	24.9	0.9	12.2	22.2	2.9	0.89	WAS	13
Andre Drummond	C	$8,500	C	$7,700	33.5	-2.9	20.4	40.2	-1.7	1.20	NY	18
Jared Sullinger	PF	$6,200	C	$6,000	23.9	2.9	18.6	26.1	4.0	1.09	CLE	1
Kendrick Perkins	C	$3,500	C	$3,000	12.3	7.6	6.3	6.1	1.8	0.50	UTA	3
DeMarcus Cousins	C	$10,800	PF	$10,100	34.5	1.5	29.3	47.6	1.8	1.38	SA	4
Rudy Gobert	C	$6,700	C	$6,500	33.1	0.3	11.4	30.3	1.3	0.91	NO	29
Al Horford	C	$7,800	C	$7,400	32.1	2.2	18.1	32.1	8.3	1.00	LAC	22
Robin Lopez	C	$5,700	C	$5,600	26.1	2.6	14.0	21.8	3.3	0.84	DET	8

Notable Bench Players

Player	FD	Salary	DK	Salary	MPG	L5 + / –	Usage	FPPG	L5 + / –	FP/Min	Opponent	DvP
Bobby Portis	PF	$4,600	PF	$5,200	17.9	6.9	18.3	16.0	5.9	0.89	HOU	30
Brad Beal	SG	$5,600	SG	$5,800	30.9	-2.6	21.9	26.7	-4.7	0.86	IND	14
Myles Turner	PF	$5,300	PF	$5,400	22.3	4.8	17.4	20.1	-2.7	0.90	WAS	7
Jrue Holiday	PG	$7,400	PG	$7,200	26.8	3.4	24.8	28.6	2.8	1.07	UTA	9
Ryan Anderson	PF	$5,600	PF	$5,600	30.4	-4.6	20.5	26.2	3.92	0.86	UTA	2
Dennis Schroder	PG	$5,100	PG	$4,800	20.9	-2.2	23.4	21.5	0.58	1.03	LAC	4

Notes:

The DvP rankings listed above are on a per-48 minutes basis and are based on FanDuel’s scoring system. The DvP rankings are for that of the entire season. The players in each table are the projected starters and are listed in order of team total, highest to lowest. The tables are sortable, so you can sort by any of the criteria listed.

1) Stats in BLUE represent elite matchups against a bottom 25th percentile defense.
2) Stats in GREEN represent good matchups against a bottom 50th percentile defense.
3) Stats in YELLOW represent mediocre matchups against a top 50th percentile defense.
4) Stats in RED represent poor matchups against a top 25th percentile defense.