DFS Alerts
Talented Underpriced Rookie
Look, if I were to face Martin Perez, then I should probably be priced around Voit. On the year, Perez owns a 5.45 xFIP, 13.1% k rate, and 9.1% walk rate. He gives up hard contact at one of the highest rates in the league (41%) and he’s playing in a ballpark which is not good if you give up a whole lot of hard contact. Voit on the other hand is a lot better hitter than I am and is drastically underpriced. We don’t have a huge sample size here in the majors, but in the minors this year he owns a .391 wOBA and .201 ISO. Don’t worry about how he’s fared so far in the majors, its more of a sample size problem than anything. Play this guy and move on.
Way Better than his Numbers
Look, if you are going to tell me that Stroman has been bad this year and point to his 5.20 ERA then you make worse decisions than me when I see 2 week old Chinese food in my refrigerator and I’m too lazy to go out and get food. Stroman has actually pitched well this year. He currently owns a 3.84 xFIP and a 18.2% K rate. This guy is a major ground ball pitcher who just happened to have some bad luck this season. he draws a matchup against a Rays team that has a whole lot of strikeouts in it vs. RHP (23.3% in the projected lineup). The upside is here for once with Stroman when you consider the lineup he’s facing and the safety is here because the Rays are not a lineup to fear. 7k is way too cheap here and I may end up locking him into my lineups today.
An Extreme Home/Road Split Pitcher
Look, if you read anything about Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde then you pretty much know everything you need to know about Chen. This year he has had some of the most extreme home/Road splits I have ever seen. On the year, his ERA is 10.27 on the road and a tiny 1.94 at home and his K rate is up at home and his walk rate is down. There is nothing to really explain these occurrences, but that doesn’t matter cause I’m buying into it with this tiny price tag. If he’s any bit of a decent pitcher when pitching in this ballpark and up against this trash Mets lineup that only has a .129 ISO and .291 wOBA vs. LHP then he is going to crush value. On a slate with a whole bunch of aces, I’m calling that Chen will be a top 3 scoring pitcher on the slate. Lock him in.
Start of Saturday's ARI-CIN game will be delayed due to rain
The start of the matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds on Saturday night will be delayed due to rain. There’s yet to be any confirmation of an official start time, and the Reds have not committed to a specific timeline for providing further updates. The confirmed late start is potentially better news for the prospects of starting pitchers like Robbie Ray not being pulled from their starts early because of a mid-game delay, and as Kevin Roth detailed in the latest update to his MLB weather forecast, hitters remain firmly in play with minimal chance of a late postponement, though starting pitchers still do run the risk, albeit low, of being hampered by an in-game delay caused by storms looming upstream.
As reported by: Zach Buchanan via Twitter
Yasmani Grandal scratched Saturday; Austin Barnes replaces
Grandal has been scratched from the Los Angeles Dodgers original confirmed lineup and will not start in Saturday’s matchup against the Colorado Rockies due to a presently unspecified reason. He’ll be replaced in the lineup by Austin Barnes, who will handle the catching duties and slot into the eighth spot in the order, which bumps Yasiel Puig up one batting position to seventh, respectively. However, the remainder of the Dodgers lineup will stay intact as they face off against left-hander Kyle Freeland at Coors Field this evening.
As reported by: Eric Stephen via Twitter Other tagged players: Austin Barnes a Cheap Platoon Guy
Really, I shouldn’t have to say anything about Suzuki. Saying any player is playing Wade Miley should be enough to convince you. Since the beginning of this year, Mily owns an over 5 xFIP, one of the highest hard hit rates in the league (46.6%), a high walk rate (12.5%) and a tiny K rate (15.3%). Nothing about this says that he’s any good at all or should even be in the majors. Suzuki on the other hand has absolutly mashed lefties. Since the beginning of last year, Suzuki owns a .311 ISO and .404 wOBA which are ridiculous numbers considering his cheap price tag and scarce position of catcher. Don’t overthink this and just lock in Suzuki. He’s the best play on the board today,
One of the Best Matchups on the board
I am going to do zero to try to convince you that Oswalt is a good pitcher. He is average by virtually every single statistic. Decent walk rate, k rate, gb rate, hard contact rate, etc. but this Miami lineup is just one of the worst I have seen in a while. Looking all the way up and down this lineup the only 2 people I really have any fear for is Realmuto and Dietrich (kind of). We don’t have a huge sample size on a lot of these guys, but the 20.6% K rate that’s showing in plateIQ is defininely too low (a lot of these guys don’t have a big enough sample size to know). If the high K rate weren’t enough, the projected lineup only has a .125 ISO and .293 wOBA. All this and he’s playing in one of the best pitchers ballparks in the league. Essentially what we have is a triple A matchup here in a good ballpark and that’s gonna be more than good enough to pay off Oswalts 5.6k pricetag.
Cheap Pitcher in a Great Ballpark
I’m not going to try to convince you that Straily is a good pitcher, but the situation here is perfect. He’s playing in Miami (which if you need proof that it helps just look at Wei Yen Chen’s splits) and he has a matchup vs. a horrible Mets lineup. Looking at the Met’s lineup there really aren’t many guys that I fear outside of Nimmo and Conforto and they really don’t have much depth. THe K rate on the year so far is around average and over the last few months this team has been absolutely terrible. Straily on the other hand hasn’t been great, but most of his problems have to do with his high hard contact rate which is mostly negated due to the ballpark. On the year, Straily has been mostly splits neutral with an average K rate, so the upside isn’t huge here, but on a slate where there isn’t much cheap pitching, Straily might be the best on the board.
Low Priced Rookie
We don’t have a huge sample size on McNeil, but what we do have tells us this kid is pretty good. On the year in just 49 AB’s, McNeil has a .200 ISO and .400 wOBA. He draws a matchup vs. Straily who isn’t the best pitcher in the world vs. Lefties (42.6% Hard Contact, 20.5% K rate, .364 wOBA). I know that he is pitching in Miami, but keep in mind that most of McNeil’s games have been in NY and that’s a similar ballpark to Miami. I’m not expecting a huge game out of McNeil, but he’s got huge upside for his price and occupies a scarce position at 2B. Throw him in if you need some savings.
A Former Good Bat Picking Things Back Up
There are few things in my life that I hate more than writing up Chris Davis (the list is basically just vegetables and the TV show Girls), but Davis isn’t the worst play on the slate today. At just 3.2K he gives you the flexibility to fit other guys into your lineup. Since the All Star Break, Davis already has 5 bombs in just 59 AB’s. He gets a matchup against a rookie pitcher who in the minors, didn’t strike out guys at a large clip and gives up a decent amount of dingers. This play could end up being a big fat zero in your lineup, but looking at Davis’ game log, he’s only had 3 of those in his last 13. If there’s anytime to get back on the Davis bandwagon, the time is now when he’s hot and facing a bad pitcher in a good ballpark.
Anthony Rendon (hand) scratched Saturday; Mark Reynolds replaces
Rendon has been scratched from the Nationals original confirmed lineup and will not start in Saturday’s matchup against the Chicago Cubs due to a hand injury he sustained when hit by a pitch during Friday’s loss. He’ll be replaced in the lineup by Mark Reynolds, who will play third base and slot into the sixth spot in the order, which bumps Ryan Zimmerman up two spots to fourth and Bryce Harper up one batting position to third, respectively. It goes without saying that there have been some noteworthy changes to this Nationals order, so be sure to check out the updated lineup on the Starting Lineups page as they face off against left-hander Jon Lester on the road this afternoon.
As reported by: Mark Zuckerman via Twitter Other tagged players: Mark Reynolds Affordable Pieces of a High Total Game
Once again tonight, the Coors Field game is not a must play spot with two pretty good pitchers on the mound. But, we also have some very affordable bats because of it. The lineup is going to be a bit of a mystery moving forward and there will be pinch hit risk all around, but assuming Matt Kemp sees a decent lineup spot tonight, his skills are just too strong to overlook at this salary in this altitude. Like teammate Justin Turner, Kemp has the hard hits and fly balls to offset the ground balls of Kyle Freeland. Kemp leads the Dodgers with a .287 ISO and 48% hard hit rate against left-handed pitching this season.
Affordable Pieces of a High Total Game
Once again tonight, the Coors Field game is not a must play spot with two pretty good pitchers on the mound. But, we also have some very affordable bats because of it. Justin Turner is once again showing elite plate skills against lefties, with more walks than strikeouts for the second straight season and a huge 46% hard hit rate and 46% fly balls to go along with it. Kyle Freeland aims for soft contact and ground balls, and that is exactly what Turner doesn’t hit. At this salary on DK/FDRFT, I’m paying for Turner to win this battle.
The Way To Get In Play Here
The Indians are a top offense of the night against James Shields, but it’s very tough to fit in the high end bats of Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez on this slate. Enter Yonder Alonso and his mid-range salary and middle of the order batting spot. With Shields high walks and Lindor/Brantley/Ramirez ahead of him, Alonso is likely to see a plethora of RBI opportunities hitting behind those Three Amigos. Alonso has solid skills across the board against righties with a .216 ISO, .350 wOBA, 38% hard hits and 77% contact rate.
Site Specific Values
The Brewers are way too cheap on FanDuel for a matchup with Julio Teheran. Teheran allows an extreme amount of hard contact and fly balls to lefties along with awful control. He has multiple walks in 14 straight starts and when he does throw a strike, they are getting hit hard. The Brewers are packed with left-handed power, as well as the Jesus Aguilar power from the right side. They are all too cheap on FD, with Mike Moustakas and Eric Thames being the most affordable options. Moustakas has a .240 ISO on 46% hard hits and 48% fly balls against righties with Thames at a 50% hard hit rate and 51% fly balls giving him a .308 ISO.
Other tagged players: Eric Thames