DFS Alerts
Ready To Break Out Of a Funk?
Should you want a massive risk/reward play this week, give Rodgers a peek. He has plenty of experience on poa surfaces, and he finished eighth here in his first trip to Pebble Beach last year. His recent slump of three straight missed cuts has been a bit of a head scratcher after a reasonably solid 2018 calendar year, but perhaps he found something with a Friday 69 in Phoenix last week. The price tag is dirt cheap on every site, and Rodgers gives you access to more upside than what you will get with a lot of players in the value range. This field gets relatively tame in a hurry as you get to the value options, and that helps Rodgers look a little more appealing as a value. He has the game to contend at Pebble Beach, and let’s hope he found something in that second round at TPC Scottsdale.
Start The Bandwagon!
If you are not familiar with Ghim, you’re not alone. However, we know that the key is to get on the right bandwagons BEFORE the masses hop aboard. It worked with Im in January, and I hope it works with Ghim this month. The 22 year old is finally finding his feet on the professional Tours, and his last PGA Tour start resulted in a 20th place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open. He also added a top five finish on the Web.Com Tour last week. This is a player who was the top amateur in the world not too long ago, and he could be ready to go on a run like we have seen with Sungjae Im. Buy in before the masses catch on, especially at the bare minimum price tag on FanDuel.
Trending Upward
Reavie is a player who might not be popular this week because the salary has risen to reflect his recent play, but he is absolutely deserving of that price bump. He ranks 7th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy so far this season, and he also ranks 14th in ball striking. Reavie has made the cut in all eight events he has played this year, and two of the last three have resulted in top five finishes. He also finished in a tie for second here a year ago. If you want a great combination of current form, stats, and course fit, don’t overlook Reavie despite the elevated price tag.
Great Bounce-Back Spot
Ahhhhh, here we go. Last week’s highly owned bust equals this week’s gem. Hello, Tony Finau! He has now missed four straight cuts at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, adding another nod to the belt that course history matters in DFS golf. The last case of this that we saw was with none other than Rickie Fowler just a few days ago. He stinks every year at Torrey Pines (missed cuts in five of the last six years), and he generally always follows that up with a great performance in Phoenix. Naturally, he missed the cut at Torrey Pines two weeks ago and went and followed it up with a win in Phoenix. Could Finau be the next man to follow in those footsteps? He finished 23rd here in his debut a few years back, and he seems to have the right personality for this type of event. He’s an underrated ball striker, and while he doesn’t fit the accuracy angle, everything else checks out. He should be looking to bounce back from an ugly missed cut last week, and I think Finau will be in the mix come Sunday.
Kevin Na, Chris Kirk and Kyle Stanley have all withdrawn for The Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Player field news came out a bit later than normal this week in terms of Monday field movement. Usually, we get this kind of activity before salaries are released, but three players in this weeks field have all withdrawn from the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Kevin Na, Kyle Stanley, and Chris Kirk have all decided to not play this week, so please remove them from roster consideration.
As reported by: Rob Bolton Twitter Other tagged players: Kyle Stanley, Chris Kirk
Golf Ownership is live
Results DB is back up and running this morning. Come check out how your ownership numbers stack up vs the field.
As reported by: Results DB Fifteen minutes to roster lock and no major news to report
With a little over fifteen minutes until the roster lock, it’s quiet on the news front. Perfect weather for golf over the first two rounds, so it looks like you can avoid the need to stack tee time waves. ResultsDB is currently under maintenance this morning, and once it’s fixed an alert will be sent out and golf ownership numbers will be updated. Good luck this week grinders, as always if any late news breaks we will provide the updates needed.
Keegan Bradley continues to play well
Short memories are needed to be profitable in DFS golf. For the longest time, Keegan Bradley was a player only reserved for deep sleepers in GPP’s. This former major champion really struggled to adjust to the new putter rules put into place a few years ago. Always a good ball striker, Bradley has finally found the confidence with the putter again and has now emerged as one of the more consistent players on tour. Bradley has not missed a cut since June of last season and has flashed his upside with 6 top 25 or better finishes including a win. If you have played DFS golf for any length of time it’s still hard to trust Bradley, but it appears we have enough data to trust the player we are seeing today. The price is right on Bradley making him a player you can consider in all formats.
As reported by: PGA Cash Breakdown Xander Schauffele flying under the radar
For a player who has already won twice this season, Xander Schauffele is not garnishing much ownership attention this week. Our current FedEx Cup leader has been lost in the shuffle of other popular golfers in the same price range. Currently projected less than 10% ownership, Schauffele can be viewed as a great pivot for this week’s WMPO. Priced up due to his recent form it appears many gamers would rather grab other popular names around him, or drop down for cheaper options. Statistically speaking Schauffele fits this venue. Over his last 20 starts on tour, he has gained strokes in all of the ball striking categories. Looking to build off a solid 17th place finish in last year’s WMPO, Schauffle has shown he is not afraid to take on the best players in the world in big events. The combination of his talent and low ownership makes Schauffle a sneaky top end spend this week.
Martin Laird stands out as a good value this week
TPC Scottsdale is a course where we typically target players who excel at gaining strokes either off the tee and or on approach. Using players with good course history is not necessarily a must, but when you see a player who has done well in the past at this event it does make it easier to pull the trigger on adding him into your roster builds. Martin Laird is that type of player for this course. If you are new to DFS golf, then you have yet to experience the turmoil associated with adding Laird to your squad. This week however Laird makes sense as a solid source of value. Laird has gained an average of 4.5 shots tee to green in his last five starts at The WMPO. This solid play has resulted in Laird having five made cuts with three top ten or better showings. Laird is what you might consider a specialist so to speak, and this is the type of venue where we can feel good about having some shares. This Scottsdale resident played well at times last week and appears to be headed in the right direction for an event that has suited his game in the past.
As reported by: Pga Value Breakdown Phil Mickelson is a horse for this course
Phil Mickelson heads into the 2019 season with plenty of positive energy. Coming off a season which included an end to a multiple year win drought and a victorious win over Tiger in the showdown in Vegas, Mickelson has a ton of momentum to build on for this year. Even though he described himself as rusty prior to the Desert Classic, Mickelson narrowly missed out on a win to start the season and heads into this event with an amazing course history. This three-time champion of The WMPO has made 4 out of his last five cuts at this event including three consecutive top 16 or better finishes. At this point in time last season, many felt Mickelson was perhaps done in terms of being a consistent force on tour. Armed with a ton of confidence and a bit of extra motivation to prove people wrong, Mickelson has both the current form and course history to make your roster builds for the week.
As reported by: DraftKings Expert Survey Tony Finau remains popular despite poor course history
Tony Finau has transformed from a player you would pick on bomber style golf courses to now a player we target each and every week. As the owner of 15 straight cuts made including 12 top 25 or better finishes, Finau has become someone we attack for both floor and ceiling. This week’s WMPO is setting up for a classic battle between talent/current form vs course history. Finau has missed three straight cuts at this event, but according to our ownership projections, he is still the most popular golfer in the field. When you dive into his course history at this event you see that Finau missed the cut last season by one shot ( three-putt last hole on Friday), and only missed the cut by 2 the previous year. While Finau has failed to gain shots tee to green in his last three starts at this event, it’s worth noting that this is not the golfer who has played in this event before. Currently ranked in the 11th spot in the world, and fresh off his first Ryder Cup, Finau has proven he is one of the best talents in the game and ideally has the skill set to play well at TPC Scottsdale. For now, it appears that current form trumps poor course history as Finau is clearly one of the top plays for the week.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Tremendous Stretch of Good Form
Bradley has missed one cut over the last 15 months of golf. How crazy is that? He used to be such a volatile play in DFS, but he’s clearly back to playing his best golf. Even though he doesn’t have an amazing track record at this event, he’s still made five of seven cuts with four top 25 finishes during that stretch. He’s an elite ball striker that has popped on a lot of leaderboards recently. He’s a good total driver of the golf ball and he’s ranked 13th in strokes gained approach.
Sneaky Upside After a Strong Showing
Horschel is one of those golfers that I’m rarely on the right side of. When I play him, he misses the cut. When I fade him, he tends to perform well. Something tells me that it’s more of a coincidence than the universe conspiring against me. He posted a solid T8 finish at Torrey Pines last week and he looked good in all facets of his game. While he doesn’t have any amazing finishes at this event, he’s made four straight cuts and is currently playing with a lot of confidence. We typically don’t see the good form Horschel until we get into the Florida stretch. He’s a safe play with upside, which is never bad in DFS when our ultimate goal is to get as many golfers through the cut as possible.
Time for Another Win
Fowler didn’t play well last week at the Farmers Insurance Open and you will hear that time and time again this week. People will mention his struggles tee to green and talk themselves into fading him this week. Don’t forget that Fowler doesn’t have a top 50 finish at Torrey Pines in five years. We can throw that one bad week out the window, as he was previously on a streak of 12 straight top 30 finishes (five top tens during that stretch). He has nearly won this event twice. He lost in a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama and then he blew his lead on Sunday last year. It’s been a little too long since we’ve seen Fowler in the winner’s circle. I fully expect him to be in contention once again this Sunday.