DRAFT MLB Value Watch: Thursday, September 12th

Aaron Hendrix will be bringing Premium subscribers his tiers for all DRAFT contests ranging from head-to-head all the way up to ten-person drafts.

Thursday, September 12th

Good afternoon Grinders! Welcome to our MLB content for DRAFT Premium. Each day, I will go over the MLB slate with tier rankings for head-to-head all the way up to ten-person drafts.

A couple notes to remember about DRAFT contests. One, there is no salary cap so you’re not worried about fitting players in on a budget. Raw fantasy points is what matters most, not the popular point per dollar. Second, while there is no late swap, if a player is ruled out, you will be able to swap them out. For more information on how this works, read the DRAFT Swap Rules Page – for this reason you can take some marginal chances in the later rounds on players that are questionable to play.

View the DRAFT MLB Scoring System here – last, roster requirements are one pitcher, two infielders, and two outfielders. All analysis and rankings will be based on that.

One key note about this article. It is projection based and the analysis will be minimal. It is my feeling the best way to approach DRAFT drafts is to rely on a mathematical approach and to draft the best projected players with some adjustments made for positional scarcity – I will account for this scarcity in my rankings. If there is a question you have on how to interpret the rankings, please leave a comment on the article or shoot me a DM on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer it for you.

The rankings are based on projected values. To get the best feel for the industry, each day I run a comparison of major DFS sites and come up with a average projected value from these sites. These values are how I determine my rankings. I’ve included the overall unadjusted rankings at the end so you can see how players rank in terms of overall fantasy point projection.

Author’s Note – DRAFT does not always utilize the typical position listed for a player in projections. I do my best to go through their lists each morning to make sure the positions are correct, but there is a chance I may miss some. I always include additional players in the positional rankings to account for this as well as injuries and late scratches. The article will not be updated after the initial posting, but if you have any questions please feel free to leave them in the comments or send me a message on Twitter and I’ll be happy to answer them.

Slate Overview

This data is copied from the MLB First Look from Notorious.

Away Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Line Run Total Time (ET)
Arizona Diamondbacks Alex Young – L at New York Mets Marcus Stroman – R NYM-135 8.0 1:10 PM
Milwaukee Brewers Gio Gonzalez – L at Miami Marlins Caleb Smith – L MIL-120 8.5 1:10 PM
New York Yankees J.A. Happ – L at Detroit Tigers Matt Boyd – L NYY-225 10.0 1:10 PM
Kansas City Royals Jorge Lopez – R at Chicago White Sox Lucas Giolito – R CWS-175 8.5 2:10 PM
St. Louis Cardinals Miles Mikolas – R at Colorado Rockies Tim Melville – R STL-155 13.0 3:10 PM
Chicago Cubs Yu Darvish – R at San Diego Padres Dinelson Lamet – R CHC-125 8.0 3:40 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates Joe Musgrove – R at San Francisco Giants Jeff Samardzija – R TBD TBD 3:45 PM
Boston Red Sox Jhoulys Chacin – R at Toronto Blue Jays Clay Buchholz – R BOS-125 10.5 7:07 PM
Atlanta Braves Julio Teheran – R at Philadelphia Phillies Drew Smyly – L ATL-116 10.0 7:15 PM
Los Angeles Dodgers Rich Hill – L at Baltimore Orioles Dylan Bundy – R LAD-200 10.0 7:15 PM
Washington Nationals Patrick Corbin – L at Minnesota Twins Kyle Gibson – R WAS-105 9.5 7:40 PM
Tampa Bay Rays Brendan McKay – L at Texas Rangers Kolby Allard – L TB -140 10.0 8:05 PM
Oakland Athletics Homer Bailey – R at Houston Astros Justin Verlander – R HOU-260 9.0 8:10 PM
Cincinnati Reds Tyler Mahle – R at Seattle Mariners Tommy Milone – L TBD TBD 10:10 PM

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About the Author

thehazyone
Aaron Hendrix (thehazyone)

Aaron Hendrix is a former professional poker player who made the transition from season long fantasy sports to DFS in October of 2014. He used to cover poker tournaments for a living until stepping into his current role at RotoGrinders. He can be found on Twitter at @aaronhendrix