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MLB DFS First Look: Tuesday, October 1st

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2024-10-01 17:44:06

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The MLB DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our MLB DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines

Away Pitcher Handed Line Total Home Pitcher Handed Line Total Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Detroit Tigers Tarik Skubal LHP 126 6.5 Houston Astros Framber Valdez LHP -148 6.5 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Kansas City Royals Cole Ragans LHP 130 6.5 Baltimore Orioles Corbin Burnes RHP -154 6.5 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets Luis Severino RHP 116 7.5 Milwaukee Brewers Freddy Peralta RHP -136 7.5 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Atlanta Braves Bryce Elder RHP 128 7.0 San Diego Padres Mike King RHP -152 7.0 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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Pitcher Breakdown

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Pitcher Team Handed Opponent Line Total DK FD xwOBA xERA SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% HC% Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Tarik Skubal DET LHP at HOU 126 6.5 $9,600 $11,000 0.259 2.70 2.89 2.39 30% 5% 15% 46% 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Framber Valdez HOU LHP vs DET -148 6.5 $8,500 $10,600 0.288 3.36 3.41 2.91 24% 8% 11% 61% 32% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Cole Ragans KCR LHP at BAL 130 6.5 $8,800 $9,000 0.284 3.27 3.49 3.14 29% 9% 14% 41% 30% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Corbin Burnes BAL RHP vs KCR -154 6.5 $8,300 $9,700 0.284 3.27 3.75 2.92 23% 6% 13% 48% 29% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Luis Severino NYM RHP at MIL 116 7.5 $7,200 $8,200 0.308 3.88 4.22 3.91 21% 8% 9% 46% 29% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Freddy Peralta MIL RHP vs NYM -136 7.5 $7,900 $8,600 0.308 3.88 3.78 3.68 28% 9% 13% 37% 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Bryce Elder ATL RHP at SDP 128 7.0 $6,000 $7,200 0.344 4.97 4.12 6.52 20% 8% 11% 51% 39% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Mike King SDP RHP vs ATL -152 7.0 $8,100 $9,900 0.295 3.54 3.63 2.95 28% 9% 12% 40% 26% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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Offense Breakdown (Team Stats by Handedness)

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Offense Total TvsLHP TvsRHP Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed PvsLHB PvsRHB Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Houston Astros 3.56 0.343 0.326 vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 0.251 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Detroit Tigers 2.94 0.301 0.310 at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 0.267 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Baltimore Orioles 3.88 0.316 0.328 vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 0.265 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Kansas City Royals 3.12 0.297 0.313 at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 0.290 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Milwaukee Brewers 3.97 0.311 0.320 vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 0.276 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets 3.53 0.345 0.325 at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 0.335 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
San Diego Padres 3.84 0.304 0.335 vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 0.336 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Atlanta Braves 3.16 0.333 0.307 at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 0.276 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

Hitter Breakdown (Stats by Handedness)

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Batter Team Handed Order Total xwOBA xISO wOBA ISO wRC+ HC% BB% K% DK Pos FD Pos Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed P-wOBAvL P-xFIPvL P-K%vL P-wOBAvR P-xFIPvR P-K%vR Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Matt Vierling DET RH 1 2.94 0.313 0.142 0.311 0.105 100 30% 9% 18% $3,900 3B/OF $2,900 OF/3B at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Justyn-Henry Malloy DET RH 2 2.94 0.269 0.152 0.384 0.250 155 43% 16% 34% $3,000 OF $2,500 OF at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Riley Greene DET LH 3 2.94 0.357 0.232 0.302 0.167 95 38% 7% 31% $4,800 OF $3,200 OF at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Andy Ibanez DET RH 4 2.94 0.269 0.113 0.346 0.202 126 34% 7% 20% $2,800 2B/3B $2,500 3B/OF/2B/1B at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Wenceel Perez DET SH 5 2.94 0.292 0.116 0.269 0.093 74 34% 9% 25% $3,500 OF $2,600 OF at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Spencer Torkelson DET RH 6 2.94 0.284 0.145 0.342 0.286 121 31% 9% 19% $3,700 1B $2,800 1B at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Parker Meadows DET LH 7 2.94 0.301 0.156 0.325 0.127 111 16% 10% 30% $4,000 OF $3,000 OF at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Rogers DET RH 8 2.94 0.300 0.198 0.299 0.210 91 45% 9% 30% $3,100 C $2,400 C at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Trey Sweeney DET LH 9 2.94 0.301 0.203 0.337 0.154 122 25% 10% 35% $3,200 SS $2,600 SS at HOU Framber Valdez LHP 0.298 2.18 30% 0.267 3.39 23% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jose Altuve HOU RH 1 3.56 0.318 0.142 0.397 0.178 162 28% 9% 16% $5,100 2B $3,400 2B vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Yordan Alvarez HOU LH 2 3.56 0.416 0.303 0.408 0.237 169 45% 9% 20% $5,700 OF $3,800 OF vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Tucker HOU LH 3 3.56 0.407 0.270 0.383 0.246 150 32% 11% 13% $5,800 OF $4,000 OF vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Alex Bregman HOU RH 4 3.56 0.321 0.162 0.306 0.179 97 31% 11% 9% $4,700 3B $3,300 3B vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Yainer Diaz HOU RH 5 3.56 0.340 0.165 0.314 0.161 104 32% 5% 20% $4,200 1B/C $3,000 C vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jeremy Pena HOU RH 6 3.56 0.313 0.135 0.355 0.156 131 28% 4% 12% $4,000 SS $2,800 SS vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Victor Caratini HOU SH 7 3.56 0.326 0.143 0.319 0.064 105 33% 8% 22% $2,800 1B/C $2,600 C vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Mauricio Dubon HOU RH 8 3.56 0.272 0.083 0.322 0.137 108 19% 5% 14% $2,500 2B/OF $2,400 2B/3B/1B/OF/SS vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Meyers HOU RH 9 3.56 0.308 0.153 0.335 0.177 119 34% 9% 23% $3,300 OF $2,700 OF vs DET Tarik Skubal LHP 0.219 2.62 27% 0.251 2.68 33% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Michael Massey KCR LH 1 3.12 0.312 0.161 0.317 0.188 102 34% 5% 13% $3,600 2B $2,800 2B at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Bobby Witt KCR RH 2 3.12 0.413 0.273 0.423 0.276 177 35% 9% 16% $6,200 SS $4,500 SS at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Vinnie Pasquantino KCR LH 3 3.12 0.331 0.177 0.336 0.188 116 38% 9% 11% $4,100 1B $2,000 1B at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Salvador Perez KCR RH 4 3.12 0.362 0.255 0.328 0.175 110 35% 7% 20% $4,400 1B/C $2,900 C/1B at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Yulieski Gurriel KCR RH 5 3.12 0.322 0.082 0.357 0.091 131 31% 11% 21% $2,500 1B $2,500 1B at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
MJ Melendez KCR LH 6 3.12 0.317 0.190 0.316 0.224 101 36% 9% 26% $3,000 OF $2,500 OF at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Tommy Pham KCR RH 7 3.12 0.323 0.151 0.297 0.108 91 30% 7% 23% $3,600 OF $2,800 OF at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Isbel KCR LH 8 3.12 0.281 0.100 0.302 0.152 91 25% 7% 18% $2,700 OF $2,500 OF at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Maikel Garcia KCR RH 9 3.12 0.303 0.111 0.269 0.086 69 29% 7% 18% $3,700 2B/3B $2,600 3B/2B at BAL Corbin Burnes RHP 0.255 3.37 22% 0.290 4.01 23% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Gunnar Henderson BAL LH 1 3.88 0.379 0.217 0.322 0.169 111 36% 12% 25% $6,000 SS $3,900 SS vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Jordan Westburg BAL RH 2 3.88 0.355 0.215 0.330 0.190 116 42% 9% 29% $4,500 2B/3B $3,200 SS/3B/2B vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Anthony Santander BAL SH 3 3.88 0.328 0.224 0.340 0.227 122 36% 11% 25% $5,300 OF $3,500 OF vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Ryan Mountcastle BAL RH 4 3.88 0.335 0.180 0.396 0.239 161 31% 8% 18% $3,500 1B $2,800 1B vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Adley Rutschman BAL SH 5 3.88 0.319 0.144 0.388 0.180 156 24% 13% 12% $4,500 C $2,900 C vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Colton Cowser BAL LH 6 3.88 0.331 0.215 0.287 0.149 88 32% 7% 34% $4,100 OF $3,100 OF vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Ramon Urias BAL RH 7 3.88 0.331 0.190 0.319 0.142 108 29% 6% 21% $3,400 3B $2,400 3B/2B/1B vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Cedric Mullins BAL LH 8 3.88 0.293 0.133 0.269 0.125 72 21% 7% 20% $4,200 OF $2,700 OF vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
James McCann BAL RH 9 3.88 0.315 0.180 0.260 0.179 66 29% 3% 22% $3,000 C $2,500 C vs KCR Cole Ragans LHP 0.320 4.20 20% 0.265 3.35 31% 4:08 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Lindor NYM SH 1 3.53 0.381 0.250 0.358 0.204 134 37% 9% 20% $5,600 SS $4,200 SS at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jose Iglesias NYM RH 2 3.53 0.316 0.084 0.331 0.101 116 26% 4% 14% $3,900 2B $2,700 SS/2B/3B at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Brandon Nimmo NYM LH 3 3.53 0.337 0.171 0.322 0.180 110 38% 14% 23% $4,400 OF $3,300 OF at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Mark Vientos NYM RH 4 3.53 0.337 0.229 0.352 0.254 130 37% 8% 29% $4,400 3B $3,100 3B/1B at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Pete Alonso NYM RH 5 3.53 0.345 0.226 0.338 0.217 121 34% 10% 26% $4,600 1B $3,300 1B at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jesse Winker NYM LH 6 3.53 0.329 0.142 0.347 0.164 124 30% 13% 19% $3,600 OF $2,600 OF at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Starling Marte NYM RH 7 3.53 0.339 0.143 0.285 0.108 85 27% 6% 21% $3,800 OF $2,700 OF at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Tyrone Taylor NYM RH 8 3.53 0.307 0.144 0.301 0.156 96 32% 5% 23% $3,300 OF $2,500 OF at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Alvarez NYM RH 9 3.53 0.294 0.148 0.297 0.146 93 31% 7% 28% $3,200 C $2,600 C at MIL Freddy Peralta RHP 0.277 3.79 28% 0.335 3.44 32% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Brice Turang MIL LH 1 3.97 0.298 0.082 0.303 0.104 93 26% 9% 16% $4,000 2B $3,000 2B vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jackson Chourio MIL RH 2 3.97 0.330 0.160 0.354 0.229 128 37% 6% 22% $4,300 OF $3,200 OF vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Garrett Mitchell MIL LH 4 3.97 0.312 0.146 0.361 0.239 132 31% 12% 30% $3,500 OF $2,800 OF vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Willy Adames MIL RH 5 3.97 0.344 0.227 0.364 0.240 134 32% 9% 26% $4,500 SS $3,600 SS vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jakob Bauers MIL LH 6 3.97 0.305 0.186 0.294 0.164 87 35% 12% 36% $3,100 1B $2,500 1B/OF vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Rhys Hoskins MIL RH 7 3.97 0.305 0.193 0.307 0.195 96 37% 9% 30% $3,900 1B $3,100 1B vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Sal Frelick MIL LH 8 3.97 0.277 0.059 0.293 0.069 86 19% 7% 15% $2,800 OF $2,500 OF vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Joey Ortiz MIL RH 9 3.97 0.307 0.111 0.311 0.134 98 29% 10% 19% $3,200 3B $2,700 3B/2B/SS vs NYM Luis Severino RHP 0.338 4.31 20% 0.276 4.12 22% 5:32 PM EDT Main Main
Michael Harris ATL LH 1 3.16 0.343 0.180 0.302 0.146 92 38% 6% 20% $4,900 OF $2,900 OF at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ozzie Albies ATL SH 2 3.16 0.302 0.141 0.275 0.125 73 29% 7% 16% $4,600 2B $3,300 2B at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Marcell Ozuna ATL RH 3 3.16 0.406 0.297 0.398 0.268 156 42% 10% 23% $5,200 OF $3,700 OF at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Matt Olson ATL LH 4 3.16 0.345 0.208 0.334 0.196 113 40% 12% 25% $5,000 1B $3,200 1B at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jorge Soler ATL RH 5 3.16 0.348 0.206 0.325 0.188 109 38% 11% 26% $3,900 OF $3,000 OF at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ramon Laureano ATL RH 6 3.16 0.314 0.198 0.291 0.146 85 32% 5% 30% $3,400 OF $2,700 OF at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Travis d’Arnaud ATL RH 7 3.16 0.324 0.206 0.299 0.162 90 33% 7% 26% $3,600 C $2,800 C at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Gio Urshela ATL RH 8 3.16 0.302 0.132 0.305 0.133 98 28% 4% 15% $2,900 3B $2,500 1B/3B at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Orlando Arcia ATL RH 9 3.16 0.264 0.124 0.277 0.148 75 30% 6% 20% $2,800 SS $2,600 SS at SDP Mike King RHP 0.292 4.12 24% 0.276 2.84 32% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Luis Arraez SDP LH 1 3.84 0.326 0.093 0.339 0.085 120 25% 4% 3% $3,800 1B $2,700 1B/2B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Fernando Tatis SDP RH 2 3.84 0.393 0.250 0.375 0.253 146 41% 4% 20% $5,500 OF $4,300 OF vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jurickson Profar SDP SH 3 3.84 0.364 0.165 0.361 0.171 137 31% 11% 17% $4,100 OF $3,400 OF/1B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Manny Machado SDP RH 4 3.84 0.338 0.193 0.339 0.194 122 38% 6% 19% $5,400 3B $3,600 3B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jackson Merrill SDP LH 5 3.84 0.373 0.239 0.377 0.235 147 38% 5% 18% $4,300 OF $3,300 OF vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Xander Bogaerts SDP RH 6 3.84 0.306 0.122 0.305 0.120 99 26% 5% 18% $3,900 SS $2,900 SS/2B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Cronenworth SDP LH 7 3.84 0.338 0.166 0.340 0.184 122 35% 10% 18% $3,500 2B $3,000 1B/2B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Donovan Solano SDP RH 8 3.84 0.310 0.129 0.318 0.124 107 32% 5% 24% $2,400 1B $2,500 2B/3B/1B vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Higashioka SDP RH 9 3.84 0.301 0.218 0.315 0.230 105 38% 6% 28% $3,200 C $2,700 C vs ATL Bryce Elder RHP 0.401 5.03 16% 0.336 3.53 22% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious