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MLB DFS First Look: Wednesday, October 2nd

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2024-10-02 17:41:55

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The MLB DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our MLB DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines

Away Pitcher Handed Line Total Home Pitcher Handed Line Total Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Detroit Tigers Reese Olson RHP 146 7.5 Houston Astros Hunter Brown RHP -174 7.5 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Kansas City Royals Seth Lugo RHP 132 7.5 Baltimore Orioles Zach Eflin RHP -156 7.5 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets Sean Manaea LHP -110 7.5 Milwaukee Brewers Frankie Montas RHP -106 7.5 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Atlanta Braves Max Fried LHP 100 6.5 San Diego Padres Joe Musgrove RHP -118 6.5 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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Pitcher Breakdown

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Pitcher Team Handed Opponent Line Total DK FD xwOBA xERA SIERA ERA K% BB% SS% GB% HC% Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Reese Olson DET RHP at HOU 146 7.5 #N/A #N/A 0.294 3.51 3.93 3.53 22% 7% 13% 51% 31% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Hunter Brown HOU RHP vs DET -174 7.5 $8,300 $9,700 0.284 3.27 3.74 3.49 25% 8% 10% 49% 22% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Seth Lugo KCR RHP at BAL 132 7.5 $8,500 $9,400 0.302 3.72 3.94 3.00 22% 6% 10% 44% 30% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Zach Eflin BAL RHP vs KCR -156 7.5 $7,500 $8,700 0.298 3.62 3.97 3.59 20% 4% 10% 43% 32% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Sean Manaea NYM LHP at MIL -110 7.5 $8,200 $9,100 0.303 3.75 3.96 3.47 25% 9% 12% 38% 32% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Frankie Montas MIL RHP vs NYM -106 7.5 $7,200 $8,300 0.336 4.71 4.38 4.84 23% 10% 11% 42% 31% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Max Fried ATL LHP at SDP 100 6.5 $8,700 $10,200 0.299 3.64 3.61 3.25 23% 8% 10% 59% 26% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Joe Musgrove SDP RHP vs ATL -118 6.5 $8,000 $10,500 0.324 4.34 3.62 3.88 25% 6% 13% 41% 34% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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Offense Breakdown (Team Stats by Handedness)

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Offense Total TvsLHP TvsRHP Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed PvsLHB PvsRHB Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Houston Astros 4.21 0.343 0.326 vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 0.244 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Detroit Tigers 3.29 0.301 0.310 at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 0.318 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Baltimore Orioles 4.06 0.316 0.328 vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 0.252 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Kansas City Royals 3.44 0.297 0.313 at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 0.315 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Milwaukee Brewers 3.75 0.311 0.320 vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 0.262 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
New York Mets 3.75 0.345 0.325 at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 0.272 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
San Diego Padres 3.59 0.304 0.335 vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 0.244 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Atlanta Braves 3.41 0.333 0.307 at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 0.350 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

Hitter Breakdown (Stats by Handedness)

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season.
Batter Team Handed Order Total xwOBA xISO wOBA ISO wRC+ HC% BB% K% DK Pos FD Pos Opponent Opp Pitcher Handed P-wOBAvL P-xFIPvL P-K%vL P-wOBAvR P-xFIPvR P-K%vR Time (ET) FD Slate DK Slate
Parker Meadows DET LH 1 3.29 0.301 0.156 0.322 0.197 111 31% 9% 24% $4,000 OF $3,100 OF at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Kerry Carpenter DET LH 2 3.29 0.385 0.301 0.414 0.326 176 34% 7% 25% $4,300 OF $3,000 OF at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Matt Vierling DET RH 3 3.29 0.313 0.142 0.319 0.184 109 28% 7% 21% $3,900 3B/OF $3,000 OF/3B at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Riley Greene DET LH 4 3.29 0.357 0.232 0.375 0.216 149 31% 13% 26% $4,800 OF $3,200 OF at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Colt Keith DET LH 5 3.29 0.313 0.132 0.297 0.131 94 29% 6% 18% $3,300 2B $2,700 2B at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Spencer Torkelson DET RH 6 3.29 0.284 0.145 0.282 0.119 83 22% 9% 31% $3,700 1B $2,600 1B at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Zach McKinstry DET LH 7 3.29 0.295 0.130 0.280 0.131 82 29% 8% 22% $2,500 2B/SS $2,400 2B/3B/SS/OF at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Trey Sweeney DET LH 8 3.29 0.301 0.203 0.261 0.155 68 40% 4% 24% $3,200 SS $2,700 SS at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Rogers DET RH 9 3.29 0.300 0.198 0.277 0.185 80 33% 5% 30% $2,900 C $2,500 C at HOU Hunter Brown RHP 0.277 3.50 27% 0.318 3.42 25% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jose Altuve HOU RH 1 4.21 0.318 0.142 0.320 0.137 110 29% 7% 18% $5,200 2B $3,400 2B vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Tucker HOU LH 2 4.21 0.407 0.270 0.450 0.351 202 36% 17% 16% $5,800 OF $4,000 OF vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Yordan Alvarez HOU LH 3 4.21 0.416 0.303 0.386 0.261 157 39% 13% 13% $5,400 OF $3,800 OF vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Alex Bregman HOU RH 4 4.21 0.321 0.162 0.341 0.190 125 30% 6% 16% $4,800 3B $3,300 3B vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Yainer Diaz HOU RH 5 4.21 0.340 0.165 0.323 0.136 113 32% 3% 18% $4,100 1B/C $3,000 C vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Victor Caratini HOU SH 6 4.21 0.326 0.143 0.315 0.154 107 28% 8% 18% $2,600 1B/C $2,600 C vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jeremy Pena HOU RH 7 4.21 0.313 0.135 0.290 0.112 90 26% 4% 19% $4,100 SS $2,800 SS vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Jason Heyward HOU LH 8 4.21 0.290 0.119 0.308 0.209 101 26% 9% 18% $3,000 OF $2,500 OF vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Chas McCormick HOU RH 9 4.21 0.290 0.142 0.261 0.106 69 28% 6% 29% $2,500 OF $2,500 OF vs DET Reese Olson RHP 0.314 4.09 23% 0.244 3.46 21% 2:32 PM EDT Main Main
Michael Massey KCR LH 1 3.44 0.312 0.161 0.317 0.188 102 34% 5% 13% $3,800 2B $2,800 2B at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Bobby Witt KCR RH 2 3.44 0.413 0.273 0.423 0.276 177 35% 9% 16% $6,200 SS $4,500 SS at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Vinnie Pasquantino KCR LH 3 3.44 0.331 0.177 0.336 0.188 116 38% 9% 11% $4,100 1B $3,100 1B at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Salvador Perez KCR RH 4 3.44 0.362 0.255 0.328 0.175 110 35% 7% 20% $4,200 1B/C $2,900 C/1B at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Yulieski Gurriel KCR RH 5 3.44 0.322 0.082 0.357 0.091 131 31% 11% 21% $2,500 1B $2,400 1B at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
MJ Melendez KCR LH 6 3.44 0.317 0.190 0.316 0.224 101 36% 9% 26% $3,000 OF $2,500 OF at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Hunter Renfroe KCR RH 7 3.44 0.292 0.144 0.300 0.156 91 31% 8% 21% $3,100 OF $2,600 OF at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Isbel KCR LH 8 3.44 0.281 0.100 0.302 0.152 91 25% 7% 18% $2,700 OF $2,400 OF at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Maikel Garcia KCR RH 9 3.44 0.303 0.111 0.269 0.086 69 29% 7% 18% $3,700 2B/3B $2,600 3B/2B at BAL Zach Eflin RHP 0.278 3.84 22% 0.315 3.21 23% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Gunnar Henderson BAL LH 1 4.06 0.379 0.217 0.392 0.262 162 46% 10% 21% $6,000 SS $3,900 SS vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jordan Westburg BAL RH 2 4.06 0.355 0.215 0.346 0.215 130 41% 4% 19% $4,500 2B/3B $3,200 SS/3B/2B vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Anthony Santander BAL SH 3 4.06 0.328 0.224 0.349 0.274 132 34% 9% 18% $5,300 OF $3,500 OF vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Colton Cowser BAL LH 4 4.06 0.331 0.215 0.347 0.222 130 38% 10% 29% $4,100 OF $3,100 OF vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Adley Rutschman BAL SH 5 4.06 0.319 0.144 0.277 0.123 82 30% 9% 17% $4,400 C $2,900 C vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ryan O’Hearn BAL LH 6 4.06 0.352 0.187 0.336 0.175 123 36% 10% 14% $3,600 1B $2,600 1B/OF vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ryan Mountcastle BAL RH 7 4.06 0.335 0.180 0.301 0.153 98 35% 5% 24% $3,500 1B $2,800 1B vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Cedric Mullins BAL LH 8 4.06 0.293 0.133 0.333 0.196 121 26% 10% 20% $4,200 OF $2,600 OF vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ramon Urias BAL RH 9 4.06 0.331 0.190 0.312 0.155 106 30% 9% 18% $3,400 3B $2,300 3B/2B/1B vs KCR Seth Lugo RHP 0.301 3.79 23% 0.252 3.92 21% 4:38 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Lindor NYM SH 1 3.75 0.381 0.250 0.358 0.204 134 37% 9% 20% $5,700 SS $4,200 SS at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jose Iglesias NYM RH 2 3.75 0.316 0.084 0.331 0.101 116 26% 4% 14% $4,000 2B $2,500 SS/2B/3B at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Brandon Nimmo NYM LH 3 3.75 0.337 0.171 0.322 0.180 110 38% 14% 23% $4,500 OF $3,400 OF at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Mark Vientos NYM RH 4 3.75 0.337 0.229 0.352 0.254 130 37% 8% 29% $4,400 3B $3,000 3B/1B at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Pete Alonso NYM RH 5 3.75 0.345 0.226 0.338 0.217 121 34% 10% 26% $4,700 1B $3,300 1B at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jesse Winker NYM LH 6 3.75 0.329 0.142 0.347 0.164 124 30% 13% 19% $3,700 OF $2,600 OF at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Starling Marte NYM RH 7 3.75 0.339 0.143 0.285 0.108 85 27% 6% 21% $3,900 OF $2,700 OF at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Tyrone Taylor NYM RH 8 3.75 0.307 0.144 0.301 0.156 96 32% 5% 23% $3,300 OF $2,300 OF at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Francisco Alvarez NYM RH 9 3.75 0.294 0.148 0.297 0.146 93 31% 7% 28% $3,200 C $2,600 C at MIL Frankie Montas RHP 0.374 4.97 20% 0.272 3.57 26% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jackson Chourio MIL RH 1 3.75 0.330 0.160 0.302 0.099 93 33% 9% 20% $4,400 OF $3,200 OF vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Garrett Mitchell MIL LH 2 3.75 0.312 0.146 0.303 0.158 93 20% 5% 42% $3,600 OF $2,800 OF vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
William Contreras MIL RH 3 3.75 0.360 0.211 0.418 0.235 168 40% 13% 21% $4,900 C $3,500 C vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Willy Adames MIL RH 4 3.75 0.344 0.227 0.305 0.150 92 36% 15% 27% $4,600 SS $3,600 SS vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Rhys Hoskins MIL RH 5 3.75 0.305 0.193 0.333 0.236 114 36% 13% 27% $4,000 1B $3,000 1B vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Gary Sanchez MIL RH 6 3.75 0.315 0.191 0.348 0.296 123 42% 8% 24% $3,600 C $2,400 C vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Sal Frelick MIL LH 7 3.75 0.277 0.059 0.279 0.107 76 16% 9% 16% $2,800 OF $2,500 OF vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Joey Ortiz MIL RH 8 3.75 0.307 0.111 0.327 0.190 109 34% 12% 25% $3,200 3B $2,700 3B/2B/SS vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Brice Turang MIL LH 9 3.75 0.298 0.082 0.248 0.038 55 26% 8% 19% $4,100 2B $3,000 2B vs NYM Sean Manaea LHP 0.322 2.83 30% 0.262 4.35 24% 7:38 PM EDT Main Main
Michael Harris ATL LH 1 3.41 0.343 0.180 0.302 0.146 92 38% 6% 20% $4,900 OF $2,900 OF at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ozzie Albies ATL SH 2 3.41 0.302 0.141 0.275 0.125 73 29% 7% 16% $4,700 2B $3,300 2B at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Marcell Ozuna ATL RH 3 3.41 0.406 0.297 0.398 0.268 156 42% 10% 23% $5,100 OF $3,700 OF at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Matt Olson ATL LH 4 3.41 0.345 0.208 0.334 0.196 113 40% 12% 25% $5,000 1B $3,200 1B at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jorge Soler ATL RH 5 3.41 0.348 0.206 0.325 0.188 109 38% 11% 26% $4,000 OF $3,000 OF at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Ramon Laureano ATL RH 6 3.41 0.314 0.198 0.291 0.146 85 32% 5% 30% $3,400 OF $2,600 OF at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Travis d’Arnaud ATL RH 7 3.41 0.324 0.206 0.299 0.162 90 33% 7% 26% $3,700 C $2,700 C at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Gio Urshela ATL RH 8 3.41 0.302 0.132 0.305 0.133 98 28% 4% 15% $3,000 3B $2,300 1B/3B at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Orlando Arcia ATL RH 9 3.41 0.264 0.124 0.277 0.148 75 30% 6% 20% $2,800 SS $2,300 SS at SDP Joe Musgrove RHP 0.275 3.57 25% 0.350 3.98 23% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Luis Arraez SDP LH 1 3.59 0.326 0.093 0.304 0.074 92 19% 3% 10% $3,900 1B $2,700 1B/2B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Fernando Tatis SDP RH 2 3.59 0.393 0.250 0.356 0.173 130 32% 13% 22% $5,600 OF $4,300 OF vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jurickson Profar SDP SH 3 3.59 0.364 0.165 0.358 0.178 125 36% 10% 12% $4,200 OF $3,600 OF/1B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Manny Machado SDP RH 4 3.59 0.338 0.193 0.361 0.206 134 36% 10% 19% $5,500 3B $3,600 3B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Xander Bogaerts SDP RH 5 3.59 0.306 0.122 0.318 0.147 104 32% 9% 15% $4,000 SS $2,900 SS/2B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jackson Merrill SDP LH 6 3.59 0.373 0.239 0.280 0.130 82 29% 5% 15% $4,600 OF $3,300 OF vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Donovan Solano SDP RH 7 3.59 0.310 0.129 0.340 0.126 119 23% 8% 19% $2,400 1B $2,500 2B/3B/1B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Jake Cronenworth SDP LH 8 3.59 0.338 0.166 0.267 0.092 71 21% 7% 21% $3,600 2B $2,900 1B/2B vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main
Kyle Higashioka SDP RH 9 3.59 0.301 0.218 0.316 0.293 103 44% 4% 29% $3,000 C $2,400 C vs ATL Max Fried LHP 0.377 3.23 24% 0.244 3.26 24% 8:38 PM EDT Main Main

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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious