MLB Grind Down: Friday, August 28th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Remember, these write-ups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.
Note: As always, if you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use our DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code to receive the best perks in the industry
Subscribe to our daily newsletter and lineup alerts for the most up-to-date DFS MLB news.
Miami at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Miami | Washington | ||||||||
 | Adam Conley |  | Max Scherzer | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-250) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.318 | 0.938 | 0.415 | 25.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.239 | 0.683 | 0.300 | 25.40% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.271 | 0.777 | 0.327 | 15.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.201 | 0.566 | 0.250 | 32.90% |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Adam Conley : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 4.31 — ERA: 4.88 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 3.97 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 20.2% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 0.8
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 21.7% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.334 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 23.7% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Conley is still getting his feet under him at the major league level. In his first 27 career innings of work, Conley has a 4.31 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.8%. He comes into tonight’s start as the largest underdog on the board. Not only are the Nationals a formidable lineup against left-handed pitching, but run support may also be an issue with Max Scherzer pitching opposite him.
Pitcher Rating: 38.5
Max Scherzer : FD: $11,500 — DK: $12,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 391.1 — SIERA: 2.85 — ERA: 2.99 — K%: 28.7% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 3.23 — ERA: 5.14 — K%: 28.5% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.6
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.290 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 9)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 28)
Analysis: Scherzer may have a 5.14 ERA over the last month of play, but he has been the same pitcher that we have seen all season long. During that same stretch, he has a 3.23 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.5%. While Clayton Kershaw gets the nod as the top pitching option on the board tonight, Scherzer isn’t far behind. He draws a favorable matchup against the Marlins, who are ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Scherzer is a viable alternative to Kershaw if you are looking to save a little bit of cap space.
Pitcher Rating: 95.3
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins are the worst offense in baseball against right-handed pitching and tonight they face one of the best in all of baseball. Since the start of the 2014 season, Max Scherzer has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Washington
The Nationals may get overlooked tonight with the game total set at only 7.0 runs, but they are actually in a very good spot against Adam Conley, who has given up a .327+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters this season.
Elite Plays:
Anthony Rendon : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 212 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 101
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Zimmerman : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 143 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.270 — wRC+: 134
Jayson Werth : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 204 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 134
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.251 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 55
San Diego at Philadelphia – 7:05 PM EST
| San Diego | Philadelphia | ||||||||
 | Ian Kennedy |  | Aaron Nola | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-128) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.237 | 0.742 | 0.321 | 24.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.274 | 0.737 | 0.322 | 10.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.255 | 0.744 | 0.325 | 23.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.202 | 0.618 | 0.274 | 24.80% |
| Batter Splits | SD vs R | Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ian Kennedy : FD: $8,300 — DK: $9,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 329.0 — SIERA: 3.57 — ERA: 3.78 — K%: 23.8% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 31.2 — SIERA: 3.42 — ERA: 2.27 — K%: 26.4% — BB%: 7.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.331 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Kennedy is arguably in his best form of the season. Over the last month of play, he has a 2.27 ERA (3.42 SIERA) with a strikeout rate of 26.4%. He draws an interesting matchup tonight against the Phillies, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The issue here is that the Phillies have made it tough on opposing pitchers recently. Kennedy is not a recommended cash game option, but he is worth a look in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 70.5
Aaron Nola : FD: $6,000 — DK: $8,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 42.2 — SIERA: 3.98 — ERA: 3.59 — K%: 19.4% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.0 — SIERA: 4.26 — ERA: 3.72 — K%: 17.9% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.6
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.368 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.5% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Nola has been in relatively good form recently, posting a 4.26 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.9% over the last month of play. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Padres, but they have been in rare form offensively, ranking fourth in team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. Nola is worth a look in tournaments against the strikeout-happy Padres, but he is a risky cash game option tonight at home.
Pitcher Rating: 47.0
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
Even though the Padres have been hitting the ball well recently, they are still the Padres. They draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Aaron Nola, who has pitched pretty well in his rookie season. Cory Spangenberg will make a nice punt option if he is batting at the top of the lineup again tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Cory Spangenberg : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 238 — wOBA: 0.297 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 91
Last 30 Days: PA: 25 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 119
Philadelphia
The Phillies have been a great source of salary cap relief recently. Their offense has been much better in recent weeks and as usual, their prices have been very affordable. The left-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Andres Blanco : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.459 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 196
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Howard : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 807 — wOBA: 0.320 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 126
Odubel Herrera : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 315 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 129
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $2,800 — DK: $2,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 364 — wOBA: 0.279 — ISO: 0.068 — wRC+: 73
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.069 — wRC+: 69
Colorado at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST
| Colorado | Pittsburgh | ||||||||
 | Jon Gray |  | Francisco Liriano | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-230) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.265 | 0.636 | 0.291 | 10.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.235 | 0.654 | 0.295 | 27.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.821 | 0.346 | 27.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.210 | 0.616 | 0.279 | 25.40% |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jonathan Gray : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 16.2 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 5.94 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 16.2 — SIERA: 4.11 — ERA: 5.94 — K%: 18.9% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.1
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: After pitching well in his first three starts, Gray gave up seven earned runs to the Mets without getting out of the second inning. He is a pitcher to monitor the rest of the season, but he is a huge underdog tonight on the road. The Pirates are a potent offense that is ranked ninth in team wOBA over the last two weeks. Gray should be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 38.1
Francisco Liriano : FD: $9,500 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 310.0 — SIERA: 3.46 — ERA: 3.31 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 10.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 4.35 — ERA: 4.67 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 9.5% — HR/9: 0.3
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 23.4% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 13)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Liriano comes into tonight’s start in bad form, posting a 4.35 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 18.1% over the last month of play. Luckily, he draws a near perfect matchup tonight against the Rockies, who are ranked 28th in team wOBA and 27th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Liriano is a huge favorite at home and his price is currently depressed on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He is in play in both cash games and tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 80.1
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies are one of the worst offenses in baseball against left-handed pitching, which is pretty surprising considering the fact that half of their games have been played in Coors Field. They should be avoided tonight against Francisco Liriano, who has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Pittsburgh
The sample size with Jon Gray is still very small, so it’s hard to trust the splits that he has given up in his first four career starts. That said, the Pirates’ offense is expected to have some success in tonight’s matchup. Andrew McCutchen remains an elite play, as he has a .443 wOBA and a .309 ISO over the last month of play.
Elite Plays:
Andrew McCutchen : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 956 — wOBA: 0.400 — ISO: 0.222 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.443 — ISO: 0.309 — wRC+: 190
Secondary Plays:
Jung-Ho Kang : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 3B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 314 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.402 — ISO: 0.276 — wRC+: 161
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 631 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 147
Detroit at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Detroit | Toronto | ||||||||
 | Matt Boyd |  | R.A. Dickey | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-209) | 9.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.381 | 1.263 | 0.522 | 9.1% | SP vs. Left | 0.232 | 0.694 | 0.308 | 14.70% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.307 | 0.840 | 0.362 | 19.2% | SP vs. Right | 0.248 | 0.750 | 0.327 | 18.70% |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | TOR vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Boyd : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 4.60 — ERA: 7.04 — K%: 15.9% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 2.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.0 — SIERA: 4.99 — ERA: 4.88 — K%: 14.7% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 1.1
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.358 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 18.1% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Boyd has not pitched well recently, posting a 4.99 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 14.7% over the last month of play. He draws the worst matchup on the board tonight, as he has to face the Blue Jays in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. Unless you are playing in a low-ball league, Boyd should not be on your radar tonight. If it is, then I have some bad news: it’s broken and you need to take it back to the radar store.
Pitcher Rating: 23.7
R.A. Dickey : FD: $7,600 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 382.2 — SIERA: 4.42 — ERA: 3.95 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 5.03 — ERA: 3.32 — K%: 12.7% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 14)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.359 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Dickey has a 3.32 ERA over the last month of play, but his SIERA during that stretch is actually higher than it has been over the last two seasons. He draws an awful matchup tonight against the Tigers, who are ranked fourth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Both of these pitchers should be avoided in what is expected to be a shootout.
Pitcher Rating: 46.2
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers may be underdogs tonight, but they draw a favorable matchup against R.A. Dickey in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. Miguel Cabrera may be the hottest hitter in baseball right now. He has a .573 wOBA with a .319 ISO over the last month of play. J.D. Martinez, Ian Kinsler, and Victor Martinez are also in play.
Elite Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 809 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 164
Last 30 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.573 — ISO: 0.319 — wRC+: 278
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $3,900 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 751 — wOBA: 0.385 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 147
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.431 — ISO: 0.313 — wRC+: 179
Ian Kinsler : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 967 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 109
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 181
Victor Martinez : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 774 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.225 — ISO: 0.131 — wRC+: 36
Toronto
The Blue Jays have the highest team total on the board tonight and once again, you should get as many of their bats into your lineup as your salary restrictions will allow. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 208 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 138
Last 30 Days: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.502 — ISO: 0.395 — wRC+: 228
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 200 — wOBA: 0.471 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 191
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.134 — wRC+: 101
Russell Martin : FD: $2,500 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 194 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 80 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.072 — wRC+: 46
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $6,000 — DK: $5,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 292 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.356 — wRC+: 191
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.476 — ISO: 0.386 — wRC+: 211
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,300 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 244 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 165
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.324 — wRC+: 146
Chris Colabello : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 154 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 110
Last 30 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.464 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 202
LA Angels at Cleveland – 7:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Cleveland | ||||||||
 | Andrew Heaney |  | Trevor Bauer | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CLE (-160) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.229 | 0.566 | 0.251 | 21.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.699 | 0.304 | 28.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.265 | 0.782 | 0.339 | 14.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.246 | 0.701 | 0.308 | 25.40% |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | Batter Splits | CLE BvP | CLE vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Andrew Heaney : FD: $7,100 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 95.2 — SIERA: 4.10 — ERA: 4.14 — K%: 16.9% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.0 — SIERA: 4.84 — ERA: 5.88 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.0
Cleveland Indians Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.2% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.92 (Rank: 3)
Analysis: After a great start to the season, Heaney has struggled in his last few starts. He has a 4.84 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 13.7% over the last month of play. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Indians, who are ranked 12th in team wOBA and fifth in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Heaney is not on my radar tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 37.1
Trevor Bauer : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 301.2 — SIERA: 4.02 — ERA: 4.33 — K%: 22.3% — BB%: 9.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 4.62 — ERA: 5.13 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 11.7% — HR/9: 1.6
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.292 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 4)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Danny Salazar has been scratched from his start tonight, which means Bauer will be on the bump for the Indians. He has not been in great form recently, posting a 4.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.0% over the last month of play. He is a small favorite tonight at home, but the Angels are a tough team to strikeout. Bauer is not on my radar in cash games or tournaments tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 60.2
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels draw a slightly better matchup than their original opponent, Danny Salazar. Mike Trout is worth a look at his depressed price point, while the rest of the Angels can be avoided.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 925 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.284 — wRC+: 169
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.152 — wRC+: 104
Cleveland
The Indians draw a nice matchup tonight against Andrew Heaney, who has not pitched well recently. Over the last two seasons, Heaney has given up a .339 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana are both in play tonight at home.
Elite Plays:
Francisco Lindor : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.067 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 131 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 158
Secondary Plays:
Carlos Santana : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 393 — wOBA: 0.344 — ISO: 0.135 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.307 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 95