MLB Grind Down: Sunday, August 23rd Page Three
Toronto at LA Angels – 3:35 PM EST
| Toronto | LA Angels | ||||||||
 | R.A. Dickey |  | Garrett Richards | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-112) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.686 | 0.305 | 0.149 | SP vs. Left | 0.207 | 0.567 | 0.254 | 0.228 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.245 | 0.744 | 0.326 | 0.189 | SP vs. Right | 0.227 | 0.614 | 0.276 | 0.205 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
R.A. Dickey : FD: $7,600 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 376.2 — SIERA: 4.38 — ERA: 3.89 — K%: 17.1% — BB%: 8.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 40.1 — SIERA: 4.54 — ERA: 2.45 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 6.2% — HR/9: 0.7
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 18.4% (Rank: 7)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Dickey may have a 2.45 ERA over the last month of play, but his peripheral statistics suggest that he is pitching nearly the same as he has been all season. During that same stretch, he has a 4.54 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 15.4%. He can safely be avoided against the Angels in Los Angeles.
Pitcher Rating: 46.4
Garrett Richards : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 317.2 — SIERA: 3.53 — ERA: 3.03 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 40.2 — SIERA: 3.55 — ERA: 4.20 — K%: 20.6% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 1.1
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 3) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.287 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 20)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Richards has pitched well recently, but he runs into the buzzsaw that is the Blue Jays’ offense. On the season, Toronto is ranked third in team wOBA and seventh in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. This is a case where I will be avoiding both the pitcher and the offense that he is facing.
Pitcher Rating: 73.4
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
Even though the Blue Jays are one of the best offenses in baseball, they are overpriced for their matchup today. Since the start of the 2014 season, Garrett Richards has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .280 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
LA Angels
As mentioned above, we shouldn’t put any stock into R.A. Dickey recent play. His SIERA suggests some regression and that could come today against the Angels. Mike Trout is an elite play at his discounted price point. Kole Calhoun is also worth a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,700 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 911 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 170
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.234 — wRC+: 152
Secondary Plays:
Kole Calhoun : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 776 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.187 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 121 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 130
Tampa Bay at Oakland – 4:05 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Oakland | ||||||||
 | Jake Odorizzi |  | Kendall Graveman | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-123) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.226 | 0.631 | 0.278 | 0.278 | SP vs. Left | 0.279 | 0.741 | 0.331 | 0.146 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.735 | 0.324 | 0.177 | SP vs. Right | 0.277 | 0.798 | 0.344 | 0.167 |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jake Odorizzi : FD: $8,800 — DK: $10,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 290.1 — SIERA: 3.67 — ERA: 3.66 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 7.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 3.08 — ERA: 3.53 — K%: 26.4% — BB%: 4.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 17.9% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Odorizzi is finally back in good form, posting a 3.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.4% over the last month of play. He is an interesting play today against the A’s, but he seems a bit overpriced for the matchup. Odorizzi has been much better at home throughout his career and the A’s are one of the toughest teams to strikeout in all of baseball. If you are paying up for a pitcher, go with Clayton Kershaw.
Pitcher Rating: 78.4
Kendall Graveman : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 114.1 — SIERA: 4.25 — ERA: 4.25 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 21.2 — SIERA: 3.77 — ERA: 6.23 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 1.7
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 22.0% (Rank: 27)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 8)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Graveman has a 6.23 ERA over the last month of play, but his SIERA is nearly two and a half runs lower during that same stretch. He draws a decent matchup today against the Rays, who are ranked 27th in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. I wouldn’t recommend using him in cash games, but at his price, he is a viable tournament play at home.
Pitcher Rating: 52.1
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays’ offense inspires little confidence when they are facing a right-handed pitcher. John Jaso is cheap and has good number against righties over the last two seasons, but he is a secondary option at catcher today.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
John Jaso : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 418 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 130
Last 30 Days: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 102
Oakland
The A’s draw a tough matchup against Jake Odorizzi, but at least they get to face him at home. Even though he has been in good form, Odorizzi has struggled on the road in his career. Josh Reddick is a decent punt play on FanDuel at the bare minimum ($2,200).
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Josh Reddick : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 615 — wOBA: 0.367 — ISO: 0.216 — wRC+: 140
Last 30 Days: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.179 — wRC+: 111
NY Mets at Colorado – 4:10 PM EST
| NY Mets | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Logan Verrett |  | David Hale | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-123) | 11 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.154 | 0.57 | 0.218 | 0.097 | SP vs. Left | 0.293 | 0.84 | 0.362 | 0.132 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.196 | 0.533 | 0.231 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.73 | 0.316 | 0.138 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Logan Verrett : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 22.1 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 2.82 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 8.9% — HR/9: 0.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 1.0 — SIERA: 7.03 — ERA: 0.00 — K%: 0.0% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.272 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Verrett has made 11 appearances out of the bullpen, but he will make his first major league start today. Unfortunately, that start will come in the hitter’s paradise that is Coors Field. Verrett should be avoided in a game that features a total of 11.0 runs.
Pitcher Rating: 43.2
David Hale : FD: $5,000 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 141.1 — SIERA: 4.39 — ERA: 4.39 — K%: 13.5% — BB%: 8.4% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 5.18 — ERA: 10.80 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 11.5% — HR/9: 1.8
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 21)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 25.7% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Hale can also be avoided today in Coors Field. In addition to the hitter-friendly ballpark, he has to face the Mets, who have scored 14 runs in back-to-back games. Both pitchers should be avoided here.
Pitcher Rating: 38.3
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets have enjoyed their trip to the Mile High city, as they have racked up 28 runs in the last two games. Their offense should continue to roll today against David Hale, who has not been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate. All hitters in this Mets’ lineup are in play.
Elite Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $5,300 — DK: $6,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 876 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 126
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.304 — wRC+: 166
Daniel Murphy : FD: $4,100 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 774 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 116
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.214 — wRC+: 135
Secondary Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 882 — wOBA: 0.350 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.378 — ISO: 0.298 — wRC+: 146
Wilmer Flores : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 535 — wOBA: 0.296 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 90
Last 30 Days: PA: 70 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 122
Michael Cuddyer : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 400 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.164 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.223 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 40
Colorado
The Rockies draw a favorable matchup against Logan Verrett, who is making his first career major league start tonight. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here. Don’t be afraid to load up on the Rockies in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 533 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.285 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.489 — ISO: 0.490 — wRC+: 201
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 876 — wOBA: 0.360 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 89
Jose Reyes : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 766 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.110 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.094 — wRC+: 63
Secondary Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,500 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 727 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 108
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 771 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 83
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.116 — wRC+: 117
Ben Paulsen : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 297 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.340 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 99
St. Louis at San Diego – 4:10 PM EST
| St. Louis | San Diego | ||||||||
 | Michael Wacha |  | Colin Rea | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| STL (-137) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.215 | 0.594 | 0.267 | 0.201 | SP vs. Left | 0.217 | 0.598 | 0.261 | 0.2 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.662 | 0.291 | 0.218 | SP vs. Right | 0.368 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.158 |
| Batter Splits | STL vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Michael Wacha : FD: $9,200 — DK: $11,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 252.1 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 21.0% — BB%: 6.6% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 1.64 — K%: 23.0% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 0.6
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 18.0% (Rank: 6)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: The Padres have made it tough on opposing pitchers recently, but Wacha is still a great play today. He has been in good form coming into this start and he gets to face a strikeout-happy offense in the best pitcher’s park in baseball. Wacha is a viable SP2 on multi-pitcher sites, although I still prefer Clayton Kershaw on single-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 77.4
Colin Rea : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 10.2 — SIERA: 3.52 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.2 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 4.6% — HR/9: 0.8
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.312 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Rea has pitched well in his first two major league starts, posting a 3.54 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.2%. He draws a tough matchup against the Cardinals, but he does get to face them in the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park. Rea isn’t the safest play on the board, but at his price, he is worth a look in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 65.7
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw a mediocre matchup against Colin Rea, who has pitched well in his first two major league starts. Matt Carpenter is a decent secondary play, but there are better matchups to exploit in his slate of games.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 827 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.148 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 115 — wOBA: 0.430 — ISO: 0.350 — wRC+: 179
San Diego
The Padres’ offense has been much better recently, but they draw one of the worst matchups on the board today. Since the start of the 2014 season, Michael Wacha has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .295 wOBA.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Chicago White Sox at Seattle – 4:10 PM EST
| Chicago White Sox | Seattle | ||||||||
 | John Danks |  | Taijuan Walker | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-157) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.227 | 0.666 | 0.296 | 0.126 | SP vs. Left | 0.249 | 0.704 | 0.31 | 0.228 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.28 | 0.824 | 0.358 | 0.164 | SP vs. Right | 0.241 | 0.716 | 0.312 | 0.220 |
| Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
John Danks : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 328.1 — SIERA: 4.60 — ERA: 4.69 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 4.47 — ERA: 3.65 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 7.7% — HR/9: 0.7
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.325 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 25.2% (Rank: 28)
Pitches per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Danks is always an easy avoid for me. He may have a decent SIERA, but he has a low strikeout rate and he can’t seem to get right-handed hitters out for the life of him. He can safely be avoided today against Nelson Cruz and the Mariners.
Pitcher Rating: 42.3
Taijuan Walker : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 179.0 — SIERA: 3.67 — ERA: 4.17 — K%: 22.4% — BB%: 7.2% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 34.1 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 3.15 — K%: 23.0% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.8
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 12)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Walker is back in the good graces of daily fantasy baseballers. Over the last month of play, he has a 3.56 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.0%. His price is discounted and he draws a favorable matchup against the White Sox, who are ranked 20th in team wOBA and 18th in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Walker offers great upside at his price point and he makes a strong SP2 today on DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating: 78.2
Batter Grind Down
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a difficult matchup against Taijuan Walker, who has really pitched well recently. They have one of the lowest team totals on the board and they can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Seattle
The Mariners draw a favorable matchup against John Danks, who has given up a .358 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Nelson Cruz and Frankliln Gutierrez are both elite plays in the outfield.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 298 — wOBA: 0.441 — ISO: 0.288 — wRC+: 189
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.516 — ISO: 0.417 — wRC+: 245
Franklin Gutierrez : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 65 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.328 — wRC+: 180
Last 30 Days: PA: 63 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.350 — wRC+: 155
Secondary Plays:
Mark Trumbo : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 221 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 139
Austin Jackson : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 320 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 84
San Francisco at Pittsburgh – 8:00 PM EST
| San Francisco | Pittsburgh | ||||||||
 | Ryan Vogelsong |  | Francisco Liriano | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-170) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.81 | 0.353 | 0.197 | SP vs. Left | 0.236 | 0.66 | 0.297 | 0.276 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.221 | 0.663 | 0.295 | 0.186 | SP vs. Right | 0.208 | 0.614 | 0.278 | 0.255 |
| Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs L | Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Ryan Vogelsong : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 301.1 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 3.97 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 8.3% — HR/9: 1.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 17.0 — SIERA: 3.14 — ERA: 3.18 — K%: 28.8% — BB%: 8.2% — HR/9: 1.1
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 20.7% (Rank: 15)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Vogelsong has pitched very well recently, posting a 3.14 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 28.8% over the last month of play. I’m going to trust the larger sample size though, as he has really struggled on the road over the last few seasons. He can safely be avoided against the Pirates, who have the second-highest team wOBA over the last 14 days of play.
Pitcher Rating: 54.8
Francisco Liriano : FD: $9,400 — DK: $10,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 304.2 — SIERA: 3.43 — ERA: 3.37 — K%: 26.0% — BB%: 10.4% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.2 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 4.88 — K%: 23.8% — BB%: 9.8% — HR/9: 0.3
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 17)
Pitches per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Liriano hasn’t been in perfect form recently, but he still has a 3.75 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.8% over the last month of play. He draws a mediocre matchup against the Giants, but he does get to face them at home in the pitcher-friendly confines of PNC Park. I don’t love targeting pitchers against the Giants, but if you are fading Clayton Kershaw, Liriano is a viable alternative.
Pitcher Rating: 90.5
Batter Grind Down
San Francisco
The Giants draw a tough matchup against Francisco Liriano, who has been tough on both left and right-handed hitters. Buster Posey is the only fantasy option on my radar in this one. He has a .365 wOBA against southpaws over the last two seasons and his price is cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 281 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.113 — wRC+: 117
Pittsburgh
The Pirates draw a favorable matchup against Ryan Vogelsong, who has given up a .353 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Gregory Polanco is an elite play batting leadoff. Neil Walker is also worth a look here, especially if he is batting high up in the Pirates’ lineup.
Elite Plays:
Gregory Polanco : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 616 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 120 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 148
Secondary Plays:
Neil Walker : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 838 — wOBA: 0.354 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 103 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.283 — wRC+: 128