MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, July 7th - Page Three
Atlanta at Milwaukee – 8:10 PM EST
| Atlanta | Milwaukee | ||||||||
 | Manny Banuelos |  | Tyler Cravy | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIL (-143) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.32 | 0.6 | SP vs. Left | 0.167 | 0.536 | 0.252 | 0.143 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.071 | 0.204 | 0.107 | 0.267 | SP vs. Right | 0.294 | 0.686 | 0.305 | 0.222 |
| Batter Splits | ATL BvP | Batter Splits | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Manuel Banuelos : FD: $5,400 — DK: $5,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 5.2 — SIERA: 1.49 — K%: 35.0% — BB%: 0.0% — FB Rate: 18.2% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.2 — SIERA: 1.52 — K%: 35.0% — BB%: 0.0% — FB Rate: 18.2% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Milwaukee Brewers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.277 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.368 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 14.7% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 26)
Analysis: Banuelos was terrific in his major league debut, striking out seven batters in five and two-thirds scoreless innings of work. He was once considered a top prospect and after years in the minor leagues, he’s finally getting his chance in the majors. While his first start was promising, I need to see more than one good outing before I become a believer. If he can put up a similar outing against the red-hot Brewers tonight, then he’ll have my attention.
Pitcher Rating:53.7
Tyler Cravy : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 9.0 — SIERA: 3.96 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 9.4% — FB Rate: 21.7% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 2.0 — SIERA: 6.92 — K%: 0.0% — BB%: 11.1% — FB Rate: 25.0% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Atlanta Braves Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 17.0% (Rank: 3)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.273 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 18)
Analysis: Cravy is also making his second career major league start tonight. In 14 minor league starts this season, he has posted a 4.03 FIP with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. He draws a decent matchup against the Braves, although they do have the third-lowest strikeout rate (17.0%) of any team against right-handed pitching this season. Cravy is not on my radar tonight in cash games or tournaments.
Pitcher Rating:54.9
Batter Grind Down
Atlanta
The Braves’ offense came alive in last night’s win over the Brewers. Miller Park is a much better hitter’s park than Turner Field and we should see a decent series from them offensively, especially against this weak starting rotation. Tyler Cravy is a young right-hander that is only making his second career major league start. Target the left-handed bats in the Braves’ lineup tonight.
Elite Plays:
Kelly Johnson : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 395 — wOBA: 0.302 — ISO: 0.147 — wRC+: 90
Last 14 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 90
Secondary Plays:
Jace Peterson : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 302 — wOBA: 0.289 — ISO: 0.099 — wRC+: 82
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.179 — ISO: 0.080 — wRC+: 7
A.J. Pierzynski : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 441 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.124 — wRC+: 92
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.280 — ISO: 0.150 — wRC+: 76
Milwaukee
It will be interesting to see what type of encore Manny Banuelos puts on tonight, after pitching very well in his major league debut. I’m siding with the Brewers’ offense in this one, as they have the highest team wOBA in baseball over the last 14 days. The right-handed bats in this lineup are the preferred targets against the young lefty.
Elite Plays:
Carlos Gomez : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 194 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.304 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 89
Jonathan Lucroy : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 190 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 104
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.059 — wRC+: 112
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Braun : FD: $4,900 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 218 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.223 — wRC+: 127
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.451 — ISO: 0.173 — wRC+: 190
Jean Segura : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 188 — wOBA: 0.262 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 60
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 65
Toronto at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST
| Toronto | Chicago White Sox | ||||||||
 | Felix Doubront |  | Jose Quintana | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-121) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.324 | 0.842 | 0.372 | 0.157 | SP vs. Left | 0.24 | 0.652 | 0.287 | 0.225 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.258 | 0 | 0.354 | 0.132 | SP vs. Right | 0.27 | 0.709 | 0.312 | 0.203 |
| Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs L | Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Felix Doubront : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 82.0 — SIERA: 4.80 — K%: 13.9% — BB%: 8.9% — FB Rate: 38.7% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 2.1 — SIERA: 2.91 — K%: 11.1% — BB%: 0.0% — FB Rate: 12.5% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.255 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 23.2% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.326 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 19.7% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 22)
Analysis: Doubront will get the start for the Blue Jays tonight. He was one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball last season, posting a 4.80 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 13.9%. Even though the White Sox are ranked dead last in wOBA (.255) against left-handed pitching, Doubront should be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:49.8
Jose Quintana : FD: $8,000 — DK: $7,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 299.2 — SIERA: 3.58 — K%: 20.9% — BB%: 6.2% — FB Rate: 32.9% — HR/FB: 6.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 39.0 — SIERA: 3.89 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 4.2% — FB Rate: 34.1% — HR/FB: 9.1%
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.377 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 16.8% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.334 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 17.1% (Rank: 4)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Quintana hasn’t been as sharp in his recent outings, posting a 3.89 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 17.4%. He typically has great command and a good strikeout rate for a pitcher at his price point, but he’s a tough sell against the Blue Jays. On the season, Toronto is ranked first in wOBA (.377) and second in strikeout rate (16.8%) against left-handed pitching. The risk outweighs the potential reward for Quintana tonight.
Pitcher Rating:56.5
Batter Grind Down
Toronto
The Blue Jays are the best offense in baseball against left-handed pitching. They have a lineup full of right-handed power bats that really make it tough on southpaws from hitters one through nine. Jose Quintana is a quality left-handed pitcher, but the right-handed bats of Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, and Chris Colabello are all in play.
Elite Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $4,100 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 249 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.329 — wRC+: 178
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 93
Secondary Plays:
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 204 — wOBA: 0.455 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 196
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 130
Chris Colabello : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 123 — wOBA: 0.335 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 113
Last 14 Days: PA: 32 — wOBA: 0.370 — ISO: 0.258 — wRC+: 136
Chicago White Sox
Even though the White are small underdogs in this one, they are one of my favorite contrarian offenses to target. Felix Doubront gave up a .354+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters last season and the White Sox are playing at home in the hitter-friendly U.S. Cellular Field.
Elite Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $3,600 — DK: $5,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 220 — wOBA: 0.432 — ISO: 0.271 — wRC+: 180
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 153
Melky Cabrera : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 245 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 90
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 159
Secondary Plays:
Adam Eaton : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 230 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.062 — wRC+: 81
Last 14 Days: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 115
Avisail Garcia : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.196 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.048 — wRC+: 108
Baltimore at Minnesota – 8:10 PM EST
| Baltimore | Minnesota | ||||||||
 | Kevin Gausman |  | Kyle Gibson | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| MIN (-104) | 8 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.72 | 0.32 | 0.181 | SP vs. Left | 0.257 | 0.697 | 0.311 | 0.106 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.236 | 0.618 | 0.275 | 0.203 | SP vs. Right | 0.243 | 0.666 | 0.295 | 0.19 |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs R | Batter Splits | MIN BvP | MIN vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kevin Gausman : FD: $6,700 — DK: $5,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 136.2 — SIERA: 4.04 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 36.8% — HR/FB: 6.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 11.1 — SIERA: 4.09 — K%: 17.8% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 39.4% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Minnesota Twins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.298 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 20.1% (Rank: 20)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Gausman is coming off of one of his best starts in his career. He struck out seven batters over six and one-third innings against the Rangers. He threw 95 pitches in that start, so a pitch count is not a concern. He has always had electric stuff, but he’s never been able to turn that into an elite strikeout rate. He makes sense as a sleeper play tonight in tournaments, as he faces a Twins’ offense that is ranked 23rd in wOBA (.298) and 20th in strikeout rate (20.1%) against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:50.4
Kyle Gibson : FD: $6,600 — DK: $6,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 280.0 — SIERA: 4.17 — K%: 14.6% — BB%: 7.7% — FB Rate: 26.0% — HR/FB: 9.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 38.2 — SIERA: 3.23 — K%: 22.0% — BB%: 7.6% — FB Rate: 21.3% — HR/FB: 21.7%
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.81 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Gibson has pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 3.23 SIERA with an uncharacteristically high strikeout rate of 22.0%. He is generating a decent 8.6% swinging strike rate, so we could see him hold a strikeout rate of around 20% moving forward. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the Orioles, but the strikeout potential is there. Unfortunately, I’m not buying in quite yet. Like Kevin Gausman, he is a deep tournament play at best tonight.
Pitcher Rating:57.1
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
Kyle Gibson has pitched well in his recent starts and he doesn’t give up a high wOBA to hitters from either side of the plate. If you are targeting any Orioles’ hitters tonight, target the ones that are swinging hot bats. That includes the likes of Manny Machado and Chris Davis.
Elite Plays:
Manny Machado : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 525 — wOBA: 0.366 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 135
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 132
Secondary Plays:
Chris Davis : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 604 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 105
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.374 — ISO: 0.229 — wRC+: 140
Minnesota
The Twins draw a decent matchup against Kevin Gausman, but they don’t have many left-handed hitters to take advantage of the fact that Gausman has given up a .320 wOBA to lefties in the last two seasons. Brian Dozier and Eddie Rosario are both secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brian Dozier : FD: $3,600 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 751 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 58 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 119
Eddie Rosario : FD: $2,600 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 132 — wOBA: 0.316 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 101
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.287 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 80
LA Angels at Colorado – 8:40 PM EST
| LA Angels | Colorado | ||||||||
 | Andrew Heaney |  | Chad Bettis | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAA (-131) | 11 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.185 | 0.487 | 0.219 | 0.263 | SP vs. Left | 0.262 | 0.745 | 0.327 | 0.156 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.264 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.147 | SP vs. Right | 0.309 | 0.876 | 0.38 | 0.169 |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs R | Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Andrew Heaney : FD: $6,700 — DK: $6,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 42.1 — SIERA: 3.82 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 5.8% — FB Rate: 36.0% — HR/FB: 15.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 13.0 — SIERA: 3.24 — K%: 25.5% — BB%: 6.4% — FB Rate: 37.5% — HR/FB: 8.3%
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.289 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 25.0% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Heaney has pitched well in his first two starts of the season, but tonight he travels to Coors Field where pitcher’s ERAs go to die. He may be a small favorite here, but he should not be on your radar. The Rockies have the second-highest team total on the board and as usual, we should avoid all pitching options in Coors.
Pitcher Rating:47.0
Chad Bettis : FD: $6,100 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 86.0 — SIERA: 4.15 — K%: 16.2% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 29.0% — HR/FB: 9.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 4.20 — K%: 18.3% — BB%: 9.5% — FB Rate: 26.7% — HR/FB: 16.7%
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.340 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 8)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 17)
Analysis: Bettis has actually pitched fairly well this season. When I say fairly well, I mean by the Rockies’ starting rotation’s standards, which aren’t particularly high. Over the last month, he has a 4.20 SIERA with strikeout rate of 18.3%. The problem is that he is pitching in Coors Field. He can safely be avoided against the Angels, who have the highest team total on the board.
Pitcher Rating:40.9
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
As mentioned above, the Angels are projected to score the most runs of any team on the schedule tonight. They see a huge ballpark boost playing in Coors Field and they draw a favorable matchup against Chad Bettis, who has given up a .327+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. All Angels’ hitters in the lineup are in play tonight, with an emphasis on the first five batters.
Elite Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $5,600 — DK: $6,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 798 — wOBA: 0.404 — ISO: 0.281 — wRC+: 168
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.413 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 175
Albert Pujols : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 784 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 140
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.392 — ISO: 0.326 — wRC+: 159
Kole Calhoun : FD: $4,300 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 658 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.166 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 135
Secondary Plays:
Erick Aybar : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 717 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.092 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.500 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 235
Johnny Giavotella : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 260 — wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.089 — wRC+: 88
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.239 — ISO: 0.061 — wRC+: 53
Colorado
The Rockies are one of the best hitting teams in all of baseball when they are playing at home. Coors Field is a hitter’s paradise and we can expect there to be plenty of fireworks in this one. Andrew Heaney is a young left-handed pitcher that will likely struggle against the Rockies. All of the right-handed hitters in this lineup are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,100 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 196 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.243 — wRC+: 128
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.489 — wRC+: 170
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 164 — wOBA: 0.518 — ISO: 0.350 — wRC+: 221
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.434 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 164
Secondary Plays:
Wilin Rosario : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 156 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 143
DJ LeMahieu : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 203 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.033 — wRC+: 75
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.249 — ISO: 0.071 — wRC+: 38
Detroit at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Seattle | ||||||||
 | Kyle Ryan |  | Taijuan Walker | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SEA (-165) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.295 | 0.803 | 0.347 | 0.174 | SP vs. Left | 0.248 | 0.702 | 0.311 | 0.227 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.24 | 0.741 | 0.33 | 0.097 | SP vs. Right | 0.240 | 0.699 | 0.309 | 0.224 |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Kyle Ryan : FD: $5,600 — DK: $4,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 38.0 — SIERA: 4.76 — K%: 12.0% — BB%: 9.4% — FB Rate: 31.4% — HR/FB: 13.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 24.2 — SIERA: 4.86 — K%: 14.3% — BB%: 9.5% — FB Rate: 38.2% — HR/FB: 17.2%
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.274 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Ryan has not pitched well in his short time in the majors, posting a 4.76 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 12.0%. He draws a favorable matchup against the Mariners, but that’s not enough to overlook his low strikeout potential. He is a large underdog tonight on the road and he can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:31.1
Taijuan Walker : FD: $8,100 — DK: $8,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 129.1 — SIERA: 3.67 — K%: 22.6% — BB%: 8.0% — FB Rate: 36.3% — HR/FB: 11.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.1 — SIERA: 2.47 — K%: 28.4% — BB%: 1.6% — FB Rate: 40.7% — HR/FB: 8.6%
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.364 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.1% (Rank: 11)
Pitchers per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Despite being dominant in the last month, there is very little buzz around Walker tonight and I’m not exactly sure why. He has a 2.47 SIERA with an elite strikeout rate of 28.4% over the last 30 days. He also gets to face a Miguel Cabrera-less Tigers’ offense at home in a fairly pitcher-friendly ballpark. Walker is one of the largest favorites on the board and the Tigers have one of the lowest team totals. I will continue to buy low on Walker until his price matches his recent level of production.
Pitcher Rating:84.3
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers had a big outing against Hisashi Iwakuma and the Mariners last night, but they are still missing their offensive anchor in Miguel Cabrera. They have a low team total tonight and they draw a difficult matchup against Taijuan Walker, who comes into tonight’s game with great form. J.D. Martinez and Victor Martinez are both secondary options.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
J.D. Martinez : FD: $4,400 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 606 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.511 — ISO: 0.500 — wRC+: 236
Victor Martinez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 631 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 126
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.326 — ISO: 0.111 — wRC+: 106
Seattle
The Mariners draw a favorable matchup tonight against Kyle Ryan, who has given up a .330+ wOBA to hitters from both sides of the plate. The Mariners may not hit left-handed pitching well as a whole, but they do have a couple of hitters that excel against southpaws.
Elite Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 226 — wOBA: 0.449 — ISO: 0.319 — wRC+: 195
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 97
Secondary Plays:
Austin Jackson : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 250 — wOBA: 0.334 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.223 — ISO: 0.048 — wRC+: 40