DFS Alerts

Andrew Knapp (illness) scratched Thursday

Andrew Knapp (illness) scratched Thursday

Brendan Rodgers (back) scratched Wednesday

Brendan Rodgers (back) scratched Wednesday

Could a Top Projected Stack Be a Top Leverage Spot Too?

Although there are currently three teams bunched closely atop the board right around five implied runs without any other team eclipsing four and a half, Yankee stacks project to be quite a bit more popular than any other team tonight. Perhaps the surprise here is seeing Texas stacks currently projected for double digit ownership, facing Javier Cristian in his first start. Remember, these numbers are fluid and can change throughout the day though. Early simulations currently see the three AL East teams (Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays) all “smashing” the slate between nine and 11 percent of the time. Boston (4.12) the only one of those teams with a run total below four and a half. In terms of Value, Baltimore stacks project for the most of it by an overwhelming margin on DraftKings, while Texas has a slight edge over Detroit on FanDuel. The Rangers are the only one of those teams not facing a top pitcher tonight.

We don’t usually find an offense with a top Smash% projection and top Leverage ratio, but that does happen to be the case early on this afternoon, as the Red Sox project to both perform well and be low owned. Perhaps part of that is their team 77 wRC+ vs RHP this year, but Ross Stripling has had his own problems. He has kept the ball on the ground (54.5%) with lots of weak contact (83.6 mph), but he’s also been quite lucky that none of his three barrels (9.1%) has left the yard. He’s also only struck out five of 42 batters, while walking four. Stripling has been held below 65 pitches in each of his starts and the Toronto bullpen has been quite good though (3.08 SIERA). However, since last season, batters from either side of the plate own an xwOBA above .330 against Stripling. Alex Verdugo, Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers and J.D. Martinez all have a wRC+ above 130 and ISO above .180 against RHP since last season.

Top Offense with Several Top Projected Value Bats

While we don’t find many Braves atop the overall point total projections (PliateIQ) for batters, despite being a top of the board offense by implied run total tonight, we do find several of them atop the point per dollar value projections. In fact, on DraftKings, the top three projected values are all Braves in Alex Dickerson (84 wRC+, .183 ISO vs RHP since 2021), Travis DeMeritte, who owns a merit for his home run last night, and Adam Duvall (107 wRC+, .266 ISO). This is basically the bottom of the order for the Braves, but they should get some play in a favorable park against Mark Leiter Jr., who has been lit up for nine runs over 7.1 innings with both of his barrels (9.1%) leaving the yard, while he’s struck out seven of 35 batters with six walks. Aside from that, he hasn’t thrown a major league pitch since 2018. This will also give you plenty of room to add Matt Olson (146 wRC+, .227 ISO) and Austin Riley (146 wRC+, .247 ISO) as well.

We also find several Twins among the top point per dollar projections. Michael Pineda may have escaped two trips through the Yankee order without allowing a run in his first start of the season, but he generated just three swings and misses with a 94.1 mph EV. His K-BB has been riding a downward trend the last few years, which is even more important for him because his Barrels/BBE rate is going in the wrong direction. He posted respectable marks of 14.6% and 8.9% last year, but if it gets any worse, he may lose his usefulness. Projections believe Miguel Sano (106 wRC+, .277 ISO), Nick Gordon (84 wRC+, .140 ISO) and Trevor Larnach (102 wRC+, .129 ISO) to be the best DraftKings values against him, though Luis Arraez (120 wRC+) also costs just $3.2K.

It’s more interesting to find several Yankees and a couple of Astros among the top value projections on FanDuel. Joey Gallo (122 wRC+, .258 ISO) and Gleyber Torres (82 wRC+, .091 ISO) cost less than $2.5K, while Giancarlo Stanton (130 wRC+, .238 ISO) costs less than $3K against Tyler Wells. Kyle Tucker (143 wRC+, .235 ISO) is projected to bat leadoff and costs just $2.7K, the same as Michael Brantley (157 wRC+, .143 ISO), against Glen Otto, who has exhibited a massive platoon split in his small major league sample thus far (LHBs .441 wOBA, .401 xwOBA). Aledmys Diaz (84 wRC+) costs just $2.1K and projects as a top value as well.

Two Offenses Feature Multiple Top Projected Bats Tonight

On an eight game slate with some pitcher friendly weather, we find the Yankees (vs Tyler Wells), Braves (vs Mark Leiter Jr.) and Blue Jays (vs Michael Wacha) atop the board, all around five implied runs with no other offense above four and a half. The Braves are the only one of the three teams not to feature multiple hitters among the top 10 overall projected point totals for batters tonight (PlateIQ). In fact, there are no Braves among that group on either site, while the Yankees and Blue Jays are the only teams to feature multiple batters. Aaron Judge (141 wRC+, .234 ISO vs RHP since 2021) tops the board on FanDuel by the barest of margins currently. Giancarlo Stanton (130 wRC+, .238 ISO) is not too far behind, despite posting just a 64 wRC+ this season overall. Three starts for Tyler Wells this season have covered just eight innings and 39 batters, as it’s been mentioned they aim to hold him to around 100 innings this season. With just a 5.1 K-BB% and 17.9 K-BB%, the quality of the work might do that alone, should it keep up at this pace. One thing to keep in mind here, if we’re going to be seeing a lot of the Baltimore bullpen, is that their 3.23 xFIP this season is currently the fifth best mark in baseball.

The Blue Jays actually post three batters inside the top 10. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (172 wRC+, .301 ISO) is essentially tied atop the board with Judge and is joined by George Springer (134 wRC+, .279 ISO) and Bo Bichette (105 wRC+, .169 ISO) in the top 10. Control has been an early issue for Michael Wacha, who’s walked seven of 56 batters. With just an 8.9 K-BB% and marginal contact profile, we’re looking at most estimators in the fours. A 1.88 ERA is the product of a .114 BABIP and 98 LOB%. While he owns a small reverse split since the beginning of last season, batters from either side exceed a .340 xwOBA against him. Zack Collins (114 wRC+, .178 ISO) and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (117 wRC+, .196 ISO) each cost less than $3.5K on either site and can help make this stack more affordable.

Potential Value Arms Include Struggling RHP & Under the Rader LHP

Charlie Morton is within $200 of $8K on either site tonight and while that seems cheap, he has struggled in the early going. He owns just a 9.7 K-BB% and 9.0 SwStr% through three starts with a 32.7 GB% that’s 20 points below his career rate. Three of his four barrels (8.2%) have left the yard. He’s still throwing mostly the same arsenal at roughly the same speed, but both his four-seamer (41.8%) and curveball (41%) have a wOBA and xwOBA above .350. Additionally, the Cubs have been better than expected and own a 10.5 BB% vs RHP, along with a 129 wRC+. That said, Morton is essentially tied for the top projection on the board (PlateIQ) with Shohei Ohtani (though that could change) and expected to be a very popular arm, who may be worth fading if those ownership projections (which are also fluid) remain constant.

Another strongly projected pitcher, who costs a bit less than $8K on either site is Jordan Montgomery. He’s currently behind only Morton it terms of point per dollar value projection on either site. It’s pretty hard to produce quality work in Yankee pinstripes under the radar, but that’s just what Montgomery seems to do every year. He has struck out just 11 of 60, but with a 12.3 SwStr% and solid contact management (87.6 mph EV). He’s allowed just a single barrel (2.3%) so far, producing a 2.59 xERA that matches actual results (2.51 ERA). The O’s own a board high 28.9 K% vs LHP this year.

Paul Blackburn doesn’t project very well, but has decided he’d like to be somewhat of a thing this year. While Oakland has capped him at twice through the order and exactly five innings in each of his three starts, the velocity is up a mile per hour (it was up two mph before dropping in his last start, which is something to watch), as he’s struck out 14 of 55 batters with just a single walk. He’s done this while maintaining his 52% career ground ball rate this year. He faces a dangerous lineup, but with a 24.3 K% vs RHP in a negative run environment. Watch the velocity though, because he had just a 3.2 SwStr% with the drop in his last start. He could be an interesting GPP play though.

On the cheaper end on DraftKings, one pitcher stands out. Glen Otto ($6.5K) struck out five of 18 A’s with a 20 SwStr% in his first start and since that’s kind of like facing a AAA team this year, we can note that he’s also struck out nine of 24 AAA batters too this season. Otto produces an 18 K-BB% over 23.1 major league innings last year. With a league average 8.2% Barrels/BBE over his 28.1 innings now, there does seem to be some upside in this young, unheralded arm. It may surprise you to learn the Astros have a 22.9 K% vs RHP this season.

Some Pitcher Friendly Weather Backing A Couple of Top Arms

While the overall quality of pitching may not be as strong as last night on Wednesday’s eight game slate, there are still several viable arms, some of whom may be weather aided in spots like Minnesota and Washington tonight, where it’s cold with inward blowing winds. Both Shohei Ohtani ($10.5K) and Pablo Lopez ($10.4K) eclipse $10K on FanDuel, while no pitcher does so on DraftKings. Joe Ryan is the only other pitcher on the board above $9K on both sites. Michael Wacha costs $9.4K on DraftKings, but might be best to forget we even saw that. Ohtani has struck out 21 of the 39 Astros he’s faced alone. His one bad start was in Texas (six runs over 3.1 innings), though he still struck out five of 20 and has walked just four batters this year. With a 44.1 K% (16.5 SwStr%), his worst estimator is a 2.68 DRA. The Guardians take a lot of pitches and strike out just 21.1% of the time this season against RHP, but Patrick Sandoval ran up nine last night, so it’s far from impossible. Ohtani is essentially tied atop the board, using PlateIQ projecitons, in terms of both overall point total and ownership. Remember though, that these numbers are fluid throughout the day and may change.

Lopez absolutely rolling with a 21.9 K-BB% and while a 0.52 ERA is obviously a fluke (.227 BABIP, 92.3 LOB%), as none of his four Barrels (9.1%) have left the yard, his worst estimator is a 3.01 DRA. The Nationals have a league average strikeout rate, but just an 86 wRC+ vs RHP this season and we already mentioned the weather boost, despite a park downgrade for Lopez here. Lopez does not currently project as a top overall arm tonight, but if that keeps his ownership below 10%, it’s could be a boon for his backers in GPPs tonight.

Ryan has jumped out to a great start in 2022, not only by allowing just three runs over 16 innings, but with a 26.7 K% that could still be on the way up (14.3 SwStr%). He doesn’t generate many ground balls (29.7%), but has managed contact well (87.6 mph EV). Estimators are pretty tightly grouped between a 3.51 xERA and 4.05 xFIP. The Tigers own an 88 wRC+ and 23.3 K% vs RHP. Ryan won’t only have the cold weather and winds backing him, but potentially a very favorable umpiring situation as well. Ryan is a top three projected arm on DraftKings, where he’s currently expected to be fairly popular, but much less so on FanDuel.

The start of Orioles-Yankees will be delayed due to rain Tuesday

Game update: The start of Orioles-Yankees will be delayed due to rain Tuesday

Kris Bryant (back) scratched Tuesday

Kris Bryant (back) scratched Tuesday

Potential Leverage Spot in Lineup That Includes Two Top Bats

Early stacking numbers are available on LineupHQ and, as expected, with a team run total (now 5.99) so far above any other offense, the Dodgers are projected to be the most popular stack on either site and it’s not particularly close. On DraftKIngs, the Yankees are the only other team to hit double digits, although a few more do so on FanDuel. Smash simulations also have the Dodgers winning the punishing the slate 12.8% of the time with no other offense reaching nine percent on either site. The Royals project as a top Value stack on either site, against Dallas Keuchel, who allowed 10 of the 17 Guardians he faced in his last start to score. Leverage projections, currently find four teams above 5.0 on DraftKings with none reaching that high on FanDuel.

The highest Leverage ratio on either site belongs to the Orioles right now (these numbers are fluid and can change throughout the day), who also currently top the Value% projections on DraftKings. Luis Severino is a tough assignment and the Yankees have a top bullpen, but if we can play some small sample ball, LHBs do have a .412 wOBA & .389 xwOBA since he returned last year. Of the four LHBs projected to be in the Baltimore lineup tonight, only Cedric Mullins (144 wRC+, .154 ISO vs RHP since LY) and Anthony Santander (101 wRC+, .213 ISO) can even be called competent. Boston has a nice Leverage ratio as well and some stronger bats, but going against Kevin Gausman (20.7 SwStr%, 60.3 O-Swing%, 30.1 K-BB%) with a struggling offense seems almost suicidal right now, but it could win the slate if it hits. Batters from either side are below a .300 wOBA and xwOBA against Gausman since last year.

It’s not like there are no positive leverage spots worth attacking though. Josiah Gray has generated just 22.6% of his contact on the ground with a 90.9 mph EV. Just two of four barrels (12.5%) have left the yard, while he’s also walked seven of 58 batters. Batters from either side are within three points of a .350 wOBA against him since he was called up last year and Miami bats are generally cheap tonight. Tigers have a healthy Leverage ratio on either site, while same-handed batters own a .369 wOBA against Chris Paddack since last season. Spencer Torkelson (135 wRC+, .188 ISO) has adjusted well to RHP at the major league level, while Javier Baez (103 wRC+, .215 ISO) retains his pop against same-handed pitching. The biggest negative here is that temperatures will be in the 40s.

The Mets and Angels have much better Leverage ratios on DraftKings. Triston McKenzie has been known to walk a few and can occasionally struggle with contact. He’s only allowed one barrel (3.8%) this year, which stayed in the yard, but has averaged a 90 mph EV with just a 37.5 GB%. Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout own top of the board projections and will likely garner heavy ownership on most slates, but the Angels do have some productive youngsters in the lineup too: Brandon Marsh (123 wRC+, .174 ISO vs RHP since LY), Jared Walsh (161 wRC+, .244 ISO), Taylor Ward (120 wRC+, .238 ISO & two HRs last night).

Jordan Hicks throws hard and has held batters from either side of the plate below a .280 wOBA and xwOBA since last year, pitching mostly in a negative run environment. However, he’s done so in a relief role up until this point. He struck out three of the 12 batters he faced in his first start over 46 pitches and probably won’t go much beyond four innings tonight. The Cardinals exhausted the top of their bullpen in a five run ninth that cost them the game last night. Overall, the pen has a mediocre 3.59 FIP and 3.65 xFIP this year. Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, Eduardo Escobar and Jeff McNeil all exceed a 150 wRC+ this season overall. Robinson Cano and James McCann are the only batters in the projected lineup below a 100 wRC+ vs RHP since last season.

Half of the Contact Against This Lefty Has a 95 mph EV or Higher

A 4.5 implied run line currently has the Astros tied for the fifth highest total on the board and it might be hard to argue that they’re in one of the top spots on the slate. This is especially true should the roof be open, where Statcast Park Factors suggest an eight percent increase in run scoring environment. In addition, they’re facing a lefty with a wide platoon split since last season (RHBs .358 wOBA, .367 xwOBA). Since competing four innings in his first start, Taylor Hearn hasn’t done so since, allowing eight runs over his next 6.1 innings. He’s struck out 14 of 58, but with just a 9.3 BB%, while also walking six. The contact profile is disastrous. He’s allowed 16.7% Barrels/BBE behind a 92.7 mph EV and exactly half his contact at least 95 mph off the bat. He has a 7.59 ERA despite only two of his six barrels leaving the yard. Omitting Martin Maldonado, in the lineup strictly for his defense, the remaining five right-handed batters in the projected Houston offense all exceed a 110 wRC+ vs LHP since last season. Yuli Gurriel (152 wRC+), Aledmys Diaz (120 wRC+) and Chas McCormick (129 wRC+) have all punished them above a .200 ISO as well. McCormick is currently projected to leadoff and is within $300 of $2.5K on either site.

Value Bats in Top Offense That Crushes LHP

Should you be paying up for pitching tonight and foregoing Dodger bats, there are currently four teams, two on each site with multiple top 10 point per dollar projected hitters (PlateIQ). On DraftKings, we find a couple of Royals (3.77 implied runs) and Twins (3.74) against Dallas Keuchel and Eduardo Rodriguez, respectively. After striking out five of 21 Mariners in his first start, Dallas Keuchel didn’t strike out any of the 17 Guardians he faced in his most recent one with 10 of them crossing the plate. He’s still good for the ground balls (59.4%), but not much else. Keuchel hasn’t reached an 11 K-BB% since 2017. RHBs have a .359 wOBA and .385 xwOBA against him since last year. Edward Olivares hasn’t had many opportunities, but is currently projected to bat second with a minimum price tag on either site with a top five projected point per dollar value. Carlos Santana (96 wRC+ vs LHP since 2021) costs just $2.5K on DK. Eduardo Rodriquez has struggled early on. Opponents have drilled him for a 93.5 mph EV (9.3% Barrels/BBE) with just a 31 GB%. RHBs own a .333 wOBA (but just .292 xwOBA) against him since last year, but Kyle Garlick has smashed LHP over that same span (138 wRC+, .318 ISO) and costs the minimum on DK, while Miguel Sano (91 wRC+, .115 ISO) isn’t much more.

RHBs own a wOBA and xwOBA within a point of .385 against Daniel Lynch since he entered the league and if there’s one thing the White Sox (4.73) are extremely proficient at, it’s smashing LHP. Both Yasmani Grandal (174 wRC+, .254 ISO) and Adam Engel (90 wRC+, .184 ISO) cost less than $2.5K on FD, where they’re top projected values. Luis Robert (222 wRC+, .392 ISO), Jose Abreu (154 wRC+, .299 ISO) and Andrew Vaughn (165 wRC+, .292 ISO) are a bit more expensive, but have crushed LHP too. Projections also like the FD price tags on a couple of Marlins (3.89) in Washington. Josiah Gray’s strikeout rate is up (31%), but his swinging strike rate is down (10.4%) with a high mark of 11.3% in his first start. His velocity is down over a mile per hour and he’s generated just 22.6% of his contact on the ground with a 90.9 mph EV. Just two of four barrels (12.5%) have left the yard, while he’s also walked seven of 58 batters. Batters of either side of the plate are within three points of a .350 wOBA against him since being called up last year. The projections like Jorge Soler (88 wRC+, .166 ISO) and Jesus Aguilar (106 wRC+, .181 ISO), both within $100 of $2.5K. Jesus Sanchez (142 wRC+, .269 ISO) has been the star of this lineup against RHP though.

A 95.2 mph EV and 28.6 GB% Has Lead to 17.9% Barrels/BBE

Both sites have cut out the early evening games tonight and feature an 11 game slate with the Dodgers (at D’Backs) clearly at the top (5.59), the only offense above five implied runs at this point. The Yankees (vs O’s), White Sox (vs Royals) and Blue Jays (vs Red Sox) are the only other teams above four and a half runs on a board that features several domes and lots of cool weather. Three of the top four overall projected point totals for hitters tonight belong to Dodgers against Zach Davies (batters from either side of the plate above a .350 wOBA and xwOBA since last season). Cody Bellinger is the only batters in the projected lineup below a 107 wRC+ vs RHP since last season, but seems to have found himself and has a 149 wRC+ in 2022 overall. Mookie Betts (131 wRC+, .218 ISO vs RHP since LY), Freddie Freeman (151 wRC+, .215 ISO) and Trea Turner (119 wRC+, .166 ISO) are those top projected bats with Max Muncy (132 wRC+, .269 ISO) not too far behind. Expect Dodgers bats to be quite popular tonight despite the high price tags as players may choose to go with bats over high priced pitching, considering how far ahead of the rest of the slate the Dodgers are.

Only two other teams feature multiple hitters among the top 10 overall projected point totals (PlateIQ). Shohei Ohtani (146 wRC+, .297 ISO) and Mike Trout (232 wRC+, .425 ISO) seem to rent space here no matter who they’re facing. Tonight, it’s Triston McKenzie, who has displayed some control problems early on again (though nowhere near as severe as last year). He can miss bats, but is also prone to barrels occasionally. He’s only allowed one barrel (3.8%) so far, which stayed in the yard, but has averaged a 90 mph EV with just a 37.5 GB%. He also hasn’t been fully stretched out yet, so the Angels should see a lot of the Cleveland bullpen, which has been fairly mediocre so far (4.00 FIP, but 3.05 SIERA).

Vladimir Guerrero (173 wRC+, .203 ISO) and George Springer (135 wRC+, .283 ISO) have top 10 projections against Nick Pivetta, who has allowed more than a run per innings with just 10 strikeouts and nine walks (1.7 K-BB%). He also owns an astonishing 95.2 mph EV with just a 25.6 GB%. Four of his seven barrels (17.9%) have left the yard. Pivetta does have a bit of a split and the Blue Jays are predominantly right-handed, but same-handed batters still own a healthy .317 wOBA against him since last season. In a protected, somewhat neutral environment, the Jays should be a safe bet tonight with Zack Collins (114 wRC+, .18O ISO) potentially the value bat, within $300 of $3K on either site.

Bottom of the Board Pitchers Could Hold Some Value

Covering the bottom of the board ($7K or less) for those who might looking for a cheaper SP2 on DraftKings specifically… Chris Paddack has not walked any of the 39 batters he’s faced, nor has he allowed a home run with exactly half his contact on the ground and just one barrel against him. His 11.8 SwStr% is right on his career rate (11.3%) too, but he’s struck out just seven of 39 (17.9%). The velocity was down significantly in his first start under difficult weather conditions, but bumped back up to 94 mph last time out. He may be a bit too cheap against the Tigers (89 wRC+, 25.5 K% vs RHP) and does projected as a top three point per dollar value (PlateIQ) on either site tonight.

It was very plain for everyone to see that Eduardo Rodriguez pitched better than his 4.74 ERA last year. His estimators were more than a run lower and the Tigers rewarded him handsomely based on those. Unfortunately, those estimators have adjusted to meet last year’s ERA. E-Rod has just a 9.9 K-BB% and 7.5 SwStr% through three starts. The contact profile isn’t any sexier. Opponents have drilled him for a 93.5 mph EV (9.3% Barrels/BBE) with just a 31 GB%. The odd thing is that his BABIP is actually down 95 points from last season. He currently projects as the top point per dollar value on either site. The Twins have been perfectly average against LHP (98 wRC+, 23.3 K%, 14.4 HR/FB).

Much like last year, half of Marcus Stroman’s contact has been on the ground, which is actually a bit low for him traditionally, but unlike last year, he’s allowed 14 runs over his first three starts. It took him eight starts to allow that many last year. The strikeouts have been there (22.7%), despite just a 7.7 SwStr% and he’s walked 9.7%. You may want to say the .333 BABIP and 30 HR/FB are bound for some serious regression, as he’s allowed more home runs (three) than barrels (two), but opposing batters also have averaged 93.1 mph of exit velocity on contact. He’s in one of the tougher parks (Atlanta) against one of the better offenses (100 wRC+ vs RHP), but there is some upside here (24.6 K% vs RHP) and $5.9K on DK may be too cheap.

Plenty of Mid-Range Upside On a Strong Pitching Board

There are plenty of viable pitching options on tonight’s 11 game slate. The two most expensive arms have shot out of the gate throwing absolute fire, but there are also a number of mid-range arms that project fairly well and/or have quite a bit of upside in their matchups tonight. After 88 pitches in his third outing, Luis Severino should now be fully stretched out. The strikeouts haven’t entirely been there (25%, 12.7 SwStr%), but the pre-injury velocity is, along with exceptional contact management so far (54.1 GB%, 83.6 mph EV). There are some weather concerns in New York tonight, but you can’t argue with the matchup. The O’s have an 84 wRC+ and 24.9 K% vs RHP this year. Severino owns a top three overall projection on either site currently (PlateIQ), but is currently projected for four times the ownership on DK vs FD.

The underlying metrics looked quite a bit better than Max Fried’s results through two starts and he justified that optimism by two hitting the Dodgers over seven innings without a walk and eight strikeouts last time out. He’s walked just a single batter so far (22.5 K-BB%) with 52.9% of his contact on the ground, 25% of his fly balls as popups, an 84.6 mph EV and 3.8% Barrels/BBE. His SIERA (2.46) is more than a run below his 3.50 ERA. The Cubs have a 25.2 K% vs LHP early on, but have also been a fairly patient team (9.8 BB% vs LHP, 10.6% last seven days). Fried is currently projects for the second highest point total on either site, but is expected to be fairly popular around the $9K mark and probably has a higher floor than ceiling.

Sandy Alcantara is within $100 of $9.5K on either site. He has been his usual workhorse self, completing three full trips through the order in two straight starts, which gives him a fairly high floor. The strikeout rate (19.7%) is down through 19.1 innings, but the 12.3 SwStr% is healthy enough that we should expect more going forward. With 49% of his contact on the ground and 86 mph EV, Alcantara has allowed just two barrels (3.8%) and one home run so far. The Nationals have a 95 wRC+, but just a 21.6 K% vs RHP and Alcantara sits just inside the top seven overall in terms of projected point total with very low projected ownership, which makes him another great GPP play.

Tony Gonsolin is within $200 of $8K on either site. He’s struck out just eight of 53 batters with seven walks, which equates to a 1.9 K-BB%. The good news is that he’s had at least a 14.5 SwStr% in all three starts with exactly half his contact on the ground and an 86.8 mph EV. The issue remains the same as last year: walks. There may be some workload issues here, but the D’Backs have a 79 wRC+ and 25 K% vs RHP. He’s a longer shot GPP arm.