DFS Alerts
Every batter above a 115 wRC+ with at least a .200 ISO vs RHP
Matt Koch did strike out seven of 16 Cubs in relief last time out, but has just a 14.1 K%, .409 xwOBA and 12.4% Barrels/BBE this season. At 5.16 implied runs, the Dodgers are second highest outside Coors tonight. RHBs have a wOBA and xwOBA above .400 against Koch tonight. While he has a .275 wOBA against LHBs, that comes with a 44 Hard% and an xwOBA exactly 100 points higher. Every single batter in the Dodger lineup is above a 115 wRC with at least a .200 ISO against RHP this season. EVERY SINGLE ONE! Use them all? Even eighth place hitter Kike Hernandez (117 wRC+, .243 ISO) is pummeling RHP and has a 206 wRC+ over the last week.
Other tagged players: Matt Koch
Updated forecast has some changes
A busy Tuesday night forecast has been updated with some changes from this morning, but still some concerns on the board. The entire update is now available on the Weather page. Premium subscribers will want to join Kevin at 6:30 on Crunch Time for further updates.
Punishing same-handed pitching and facing a reverse split pitcher in a great spot
Chad Bettis is expected to be limited tonight. RHBs have a .363 wOBA against him this season and he’s had a reverse split throughout his career. Even if Rhys Hoskins (138 wRC+, .286 ISO vs RHP) gets just a couple of shots at him, he’s in a strong spot at Coors for a lineup at almost exactly five implied runs. Otherwise, the Rockies are going to mix and match, as this is an important game for them. Wilson Ramos (127 wRC+, .161 ISO) is the only other bat in the lineup above a 105 wRC+ vs RHP this year. Nobody else is above a .180 ISO. Considering the environment, at least the top half of the lineup is probably usable here, but as far as standouts, it’s probably just Hoskins.
Other tagged players: Chad Bettis, Wilson Ramos Gleyber Torres (groin) scratched Tuesday; Adeiny Hechavarria replaces
Torres has been scratched from the New York Yankees original confirmed lineup and will not start in Tuesday’s matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays due to right groin and hip tightness. He’ll be replaced in the lineup by Adeiny Hechavarria, who will play shortstop and into the eighth spot in the order, which does bump Gary Sanchez up one batting position to seventh, respectively. However, the remainder of the Yankees lineup will stay intact offensively as they face off against right-hander Jacob Faria on the road this evening.
As reported by: Bryan Hoch via Twitter Other tagged players: Adeiny Hechavarria
Elite bats return to lineup in a strong spot
After a night off for most of their regulars last night, the Indians return to their regularly scheduled lineup tonight to face James Shields in Chicago. There is some weather concern in this game, but the Tribe currently have an implied run line right around five. Despite Shields being 50 points better against LHBs by wOBA this season, xwOBA has him above .350 against batters from either side and separated by less than 10 points. The issue here is that the bats you want are very obvious. Francisco Lindor (121 wRC+, .253 ISO vs RHP this year), Michael Brantley (136 wRC+, .190 ISO), Jose Ramirez (161 wRC+, .320 ISO) and even Edwin Encarnacion (120 wRC+, .249 ISO) are so far ahead of the rest of the lineup that only Yonder Alonso (103 wRC+, .191 ISO) is even above a 100 wRC+ vs RHP among remaining hitters.
Other tagged players: Michael Brantley, Jose Ramirez, Edwin Encarnacion, Yonder Alonso, James Shields Core pieces and some potentially over-priced against a pitcher with a sizable platoon split
The Rockies are far an away the top projected offense tonight. The Red Sox were the only other team within half an implied run of their 6.01 total before the postponement at Fenway. As was the case last night though, the Rockies are facing another Phillies’ pitcher (Vince Velasquez) with a sizable platoon split in favor of LHBs (.369 wOBA vs .270 wOBA). As was also the case last night, the Rockies offer just three batters above a 100 wRC+ vs RHP this season and no RHB is above a 100 wRC+ over the last week either (10 PA min.). Charlie Blackmon (117 wRC+, .220 ISO vs RHP this year) and David Dahl (116 wRC+, .256 ISO) should be core pieces of daily fantasy lineups, but it’s hard to argue that anyone else might not be over-priced.
Other tagged players: Charlie Blackmon, Vince Velasquez Gabriel Moya will start and serve as an opener for the Twins on Tuesday; Kohl Stewart will follow
The Minnesota Twins have opted to continue occasionally utilizing an opening bullpen arm and will now force Kohl Stewart to come on in relief Tuesday evening to work a majority of the team’s innings, opposed to making his originally scheduled start. He’ll be replaced on the mound at the outset by Gabriel Moya, who, unlike Stewart, is a left-handed pitcher, so his brief presence on the bump shouldn’t alter the projections of the Detroit Tigers hitters in any significant fashion, especially since Christin Stewart is the only batter in the top half of the order that would sacrifice the platoon advantage. That said, still be sure to double check out the Starting Lineups page and projections in LinuepHQ for any notable changes prior to submitting lineups for tonight’s main slate.
As reported by: LaVelle E. Neal III via Twitter Other tagged players: Kohl Stewart A park upgrade and a struggling pitcher
The Astros get a park upgrade for this series in Toronto and as a result of that and a pitcher who has allowed batters from either side of the plat at least a .340 wOBA, they find themselves as one of eight teams between 4.9 and 5.2 implied runs tonight. While Sam Gaviglio is worse against LHBs (.353 wOBA), the Astros don’t really have much muscle from that side of the plate with only Marwin Gonzalez (109 wRC+, .167 ISO) bats among the first six in the order. Alex Bregman (154 wRC+, .243 ISO) is still the lineup’s top bat. Jose Altuve (145 wRC+, .146 ISO) and George Springer (113 wRC+, .156 ISO) are providing offensive output with less power.
Other tagged players: Marwin Gonzalez, Jose Altuve, George Springer, Sam Gaviglio A 13.2 GB% and a park downgrade
With the cancellation in Boston, the Nationals now have the second highest implied run line on the board (5.20) and highest outside Coors tonight. Jeff Brigham makes his fourth start and suffers a park downgrade in Washington tonight. He’s been particularly susceptible to same handed batters so far (.406 wOBA, .425 xwOBA, 50 Hard%, 5.6 GB%), which are some astonishing numbers even with just 25 faced. He’s exactly 100 points better by xwOBA against LHBs, but again, the most extreme aspect is his overall 13.2 GB%. Everything in the air is a concern against a middle of the lineup with power and that’s what the Nationals have in Bryce Harper (136 wRC+, .260 ISO vs RHP this year), Anthony Rendon (136 wRC+, .203 ISO), Juan Soto (149 wRC+, .221 ISO), and Ryan Zimmerman (92 wRC+, .206 ISO). At the top of the order, Adam Eaton (129 wRC+, .121 ISO) and Trea Turner (102 wRC+, .144 ISO) both exceed a 200 wRC+ over the last week.
Other tagged players: Anthony Rendon, Juan Soto, Ryan Zimmerman, Adam Eaton, Trea Turner, Jeff Brigham An 89.3 mph aEV, winds and a potential delay make this game an interesting GPP spot
Chris Archer is a pitcher who can rack up some fantasy points (24.9 K%), but his hard contact rates (89.3 mph aEV) doesn’t always make him the most trustworthy pitcher and a well disciplined Chicago offense (101 wRC+, 12.4 K-BB% vs RHP) doesn’t necessarily seem like the best matchup for him. Still, a 4.97 implied run line for the Cubs at Wrigley is a bit higher than expected against Archer. Weather may have some impact, but not just because the wind is blowing out. There is rain in the area today and winds are expected to be changing directions. The Cubbies do profile well here though. Each of the first six hitters in the order are above a 100 wRC+ vs RHP this season and LHBs have a .354 wOBA with a 41.2 Hard% against Archer this year. The four LHBs in that grouping are all above a 120 wRC+ vs RHP this year with Daniel Murphy (127 wRC+, .199 ISO) and Anthony Rizzo (137 wRC+, .211 ISO) having the most value in the top third of the lineup. Kyle Schwarber (126 wRC+, .271 ISO), Ben Zobrist (127 wRC+, .157 ISO) and due to positional scarcity, even Javier Baez (134 wRC+, .275 ISO) at an expensive price, should play here as well.
Other tagged players: Daniel Murphy, Chris Archer, Kyle Schwarber, Ben Zobrist, Chris Archer, Javier Baez Lineup hits well against pitchers from either side
The Yankees (4.67 implied runs) are in their own little range, without another offense within a quarter of a run in either direction. Jacob Faria will be the opposing pitcher, but he has not faced more than 18 batters in an outing since returning in August and no more than 15 since his first outing back. Faria has allowed just a .311 wOBA to RHBs this year (LHBs .340), but batters from either side of the plate are above a .370 xwOBA against him. The Yankees will see a lot of the Tampa Bay bullpen tonight, but most of their lineup hits pitchers from either side well. The top third of the order is of interest tonight with Andrew McCutchen (114 wRC+, .161 ISO vs RHP this season) leading off, Aaron Judge (147 wRC+, .247 ISO) behind him and Luke Voit (153 wRC+, .295 ISO) in the third spot.
Other tagged players: Luke Voit, Jacob Faria, Andrew McCutchen Tuesday's BAL-BOS game has been postponed due to inclement weather
The matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night has been postponed due to anticipated inclement weather throughout the evening. The teams have already announced that today’s previously scheduled game will be made up on Wednesday, September 25 at 1:05 pm EST as part of a split day-night doubleheader. Players from this matchup will not accrue fantasy points on Tuesday’s slates across the industry, so be sure to remove them from lineups as soon as possible.
As reported by: the Boston Red Sox via Twitter Daily Bullpen Alert: Many starters with low workloads
The Marlins have a 5.67 bullpen FIP (9.1 K-BB%) that is the worst in baseball by a decent margin over the last month and start rookie Jeff Brigham in Washington. The Rangers (5.25 FIP, 7.8 K-BB%) are second worst and starting Yovani Gallardo, but get a park bump in LA (AL). Three more bullpens have risen above a five FIP over the last rolling 30 day period since yesterday. The Twins (5.07 FIP, 10.6 K-BB%) start rookie Kohl Stewart at home against the Tigers in a game where temperatures are expected to be in the 50s. The Royals (5.03 FIP, 6.9 K-BB%) are the only game off the board, in Cincinatti, in a game that has weather concerns. The Pirates (5.02 FIP, 14.7 K-BB%) are the new entrant and the peripherals suggest they may not be here long. They start the erratic Chris Archer at Wrigley. An astounding 10 teams are starting pitchers averaging five or fewer innings per start tonight. Of the ones not already mentioned (Brigham), the Blue Jays (4.51 FIP, 11.3 K-BB%) starting Sam Gaviglio against the Astros, the Phillies (3.84 FIP, 11.6 K%) behind Vince Velasquez at Coors and Orioles (4.37 FIP, 9.7 K-BB%) with Jimmy Yacabonis at Fenway would seem the best spots to attack, though that last one may not even play tonight.
Power Stack
Things I’m looking for in a stack this time of year: speed, power, bad opposing pitcher, and something to play for. The Dodgers check three of those boxes – power, bad opposing pitcher, and something to play for. I have seen it enough already with teams like the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Indians who are also in good spots but have nothing to play for – they jump out to a 5+ run lead, get their starters a few at bats, and then bring in the mass subs. That’s unlikely to happen for a team like the Dodgers who are still looking to clinch the Division. Los Angeles is also seeing it’s implied run total rise throughout the day as they opened with an IRT of 4.7 and it has risen to 5.2. The Dodgers represent one of the top power stacks of the night.
Other tagged players: Joc Pederson, Yasmani Grandal, Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger
A 37.5 K% through 64 batters and relatively cheap
Players should strongly consider paying up for their pitching tonight as the mid and lower tier options do not provide much. Only Vince Velasquez (26.1%) is above a 25% strikeout rate (more than two starts) and he’s at Coors. David Price (24.5 K%, 3.80 SIERA, .325 xwOBA) is facing the Orioles (77 wRC+ vs LHP) in a game that’s destined to be postponed. Jesse James might be the interesting exception. He has struck out 24 of the 64 batters he’s faced and had a 35.2 K% in 92.2 AAA innings. He is up to $8.1K on DraftKings in Toronto (104 wRC+ vs RHP, but with a now depleted lineup). He costs $1.6K less on FanDuel.
Other tagged players: Vince Velasquez, David Price