DFS Alerts
Sneaky Contender
Conners seemingly came out of nowhere to post solid ball striking weeks quite often in the 2018-2019 season, and this is where he first got things going with rounds of 68-64-68 over his last three to finish in solo second. He hit 70% of fairways (well above field average here) and 80% of greens on his way to that solid performance. He backed that up with more solid finishes throughout the year, and it’s time to start thinking of Conners as an above average golfer on the PGA Tour. He also finished the previous season with four straight top 30 finishes in order to reach the Tour Championship. Though he struggled there, the fact that he made it to the final event is a testament to his potential. Conners is one of the better golfers in this field and should be treated as a top tier option.
Winning Upside In This Field
It’s weird to see Glover as one of the most expensive options on the board, but it’s all relative based on the strength of the field. He has made the cut in each of his last four trips to this event, with a pair of top 15 finishes in his last two visits. Glover is also coming off one of the best seasons of his career, with seemingly everything trending in the right direction. This is a spot where he could easily win the tournament, and he is my favorite option at the top. He is a class golfer in a weak field, and I expect him to play like it. As long as the flat stick cooperates, it would be shocking to see him completely flop here. There’s a nice combination of safety and upside with him these days.
Underpriced Cut Maker
Wagner is just too cheap this week — plain and simple. There are very few tournaments where a golfer that’s this cheap is even in consideration to make my player pool, let alone make the list of core plays. He has made the cut in each of his last four events on tour and has two top 25 finishes during that stretch. While he wasn’t great last week, he did make the cut and his statistics were encouraging. He gained strokes with his irons and gained over three strokes putting. If we see improvements off the tee and around the green, he should easily improve on that T64 finish. He has made the cut at this tournament in each of his last three appearances finish no worse than T35 during that stretch.
Solid Ball Striker Priced at a Discount
Redman is another talented young golfer with a bright future. He’s been very hit or miss on the PGA Tour, but he’s one of the best in this field off the tee (2nd) and he’s ranked in the top 15 in greens in regulation and birdie or better percentage. He had a ho-hum T24 finish at last week’s event, but all four rounds were in the 60’s and he racked up 19 birdies in the process. He finished the week inside the top 20 in both strokes gained off the tee and on approach. He has a lot of missed cuts in his game log, but he typically moves up the leaderboard when he does make the cut. I would typically view him as more of a tournament-specific play, but I’ll take a chance on his talent in a weak field, especially at his cheap price point.
Good Form, Good Stats, and Good Course History
Taylor is the opposite type of golfers as Scheffler, although they have one thing in common — they are both elite iron players that hit a lot of greens. Taylor isn’t the longest off the tee, but he hits fairways, is accurate with his irons, and makes a lot of birdies. The fact that he’s ranked in the top 15 in this field in birdie or better percentage and bogey avoidance bodes well for his chances this week. He’s no stranger to this event, as he’s finished in the top 30 in all four of his appearances. He’s been in solid form for quite some time, making 10 straight cuts on tour with five top 20 finishes during that stretch. He’s ranked second in my model this week and he’s obviously not the second most expensive golfer on any of the DFS sites.
Another Young Golfer on the Verge of a Win
Scheffler doesn’t have a tremendous record on the PGA Tour, but he’s one of the many young golfers that I expect to be a big name on tour for many years to come. He was basically the MVP of the Korn Ferry Tour last season, racking up two wins, two seconds, and four other top 10 finishes. He did well enough to secure his PGA Tour card and he is already making the most of it. At last week’s Military Tribute at the Greenbrier, he finished in a tie for seventh where he was second in the field in strokes gained approach (+8) and first in greens in regulation (83%). This week’s event features sets up well for the young ball strikers, as we should have another birdie fest on our hands. The fairways are fairly wide and the greens are receptive. Don’t be surprised if we see Scheffler in the winner’s circle here in the next few weeks.
Ten Minutes to roster lock, no major news to report
There is no major news to report ahead of the first event of the wraparound the season. Good luck this week. ResultsDB will be up and running within 15 minutes of roster lock. Make sure to check out how your lineups stack up against the field.
Weather update for A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier
Kevin Roth’s weather report for the first event of the 2020 PGA Tour season is up in the main forum. If you are new to DFS golf we like to look at weather in terms of a tee time draw over the first two days of play. If it appears that one side of the draw could potentially have a stronger edge in terms of weather then you can build rosters to adjust for the weather. This week’s weather forecast calls for stronger winds with a chance for rain on Friday afternoon. That being said the winds are not expected to be more than 10mph, so there is not a real clear edge in terms of weather. We would need the wind to be much strong to avoid one wave over another. That being said you could always build a few MME lineups with tee time stacking in mind in case of a preferred draw.
As reported by: Kevin Roth Weather Report Field update for A Military Tribute At The Greenbrier
All four Monday Qualifiers plus John Rollins have been added to the DraftKings player pool. The five golfers listed above are available to use in LineupHq. Last year we saw a few Monday Qualifiers play well during the season, but outside of Rollins and Allan, it’s hard to project how the other three unproven players will perform. With almost no projected ownership these additions are just noteworthy in the sense that they are available to use for the week.
As reported by: LineupHQ Other tagged players: John Rollins, Conrad Shindler, Shintaro Ban Jamie Lovemark returns to action after a long layoff
Playing through injury is something that Jamie Lovemark knows all too well. This very talented golfer has missed more than his fair share of time with a slew of broken-down body parts. Lovemarks’ latest injury ( bum shoulder) kept him out of golf for some 28 weeks. Playing in only his fourth start of the 2019 calendar year, Lovemark will look to get back into the competitive grove at this week’s Military Tribute at The Greenbrier. The long layoff will make it easy for many in The DFS community to take a wait and see approach on Lovemark. Priced only 300 away from the cheapest golfer in the field, Lovemark at low projected ownership has GPP appeal for the week. Despite the layoff, Lovemark has plenty of experience on Tour, and with 3 made cuts in 4 appearances at The Greenbrier, we can definitely make a case for this play in large field GPP’s. It’s worth noting that Lovemark has a T26 and 3rd place showing in his last two starts at The Greenbrier.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Zac Blair set to return to The PGA Tour
The level of talent year in professional golf makes it very common for players to bounce back and forth between the Korn Ferry Tour and the PGA Tour. Fresh off what he hopes to be his only stint on The Korn Ferry Tour, Zac Blair is in this week’s field. As you are looking for value in a week where stars and scrubs lineup builds will be very common, Blair is a player worth considering. With over 110 PGA tour starts under his belt, Blair will not be in an unfamiliar spot in comparison to his fellow tour rookies. Not the longest of golfers Blair will rely on his ability to hit fairways and greens to play well at The Old White Course. Making his fourth start at this event Blair will look to improve on 2 made cuts. From an expectation standpoint, Blair with a made cut and a top 40 type finish should be enough to pay off his salary in this new top 65 and cut format.
As reported by: Pga Value Breakdown Doug Ghim set to make his first PGA Tour start as a full time member
Unable to pull off the feat of earning a PGA Tour card through a handfull of events towards the end of the 2018 season, Doug Ghim had to earn his way to the big leagues via a season on The Korn Ferry Tour. Entering the final stretch of this year’s Korn Ferry Tour, Ghim played the golf he needed over the final three events to earn his spot on the PGA Tour this season. This former number one amateur player in the world should have the game to compete on the PGA Tour for many years to come and is a golfer we should keep an eye on during the wrap-around season. Ghim is currently projected to have a low ownership number this week and has the type of game that translates well to this type of course. In terms of trying to quantify price with talent, the unproven commodity that is Doug Ghim is worth taking a shot on in GPP’s for the first PGA Tour event of the 2020 season.
As reported by: DraftKings Projected Ownership Stuart Appleby is no longer in the field
Stuart Appleby has removed himself from the field this week. He will be replaced by John Rollins.
As reported by: Jeff Sherman Twitter Other tagged players: John Rollins Far too Cheap in a Field this Weak
I rarely list a value play as a core target because in general, the cheaper the golfer, the more volatile they are on a week-to-week basis. I typically look to fade any and all cheap chalk, but I will be loading up on Stefani regardless of his ownership. This is a long par 70, but the course is 2,000 feet above sea level, which allows the ball to travel farther. This helps the shorter hitters out quite a bit. The wide fairways should also help Stefani, as the biggest weak link in his game is off the tee. As long as he keeps the ball in play, he has top 20 upside here. He’s ranked fifth in this field in strokes gained approach and he’s ranked in the top 25 in greens in regulation, birdie or better percentage, and bogey avoidance. He has posted four straight top 35s on the PGA Tour and has made the cut at this event in four of five attempts.
Steady Eddy that Could Ball Strike his Way to a Win
Benny An unfairly got the narrative that he’s a volatile golfer over the summer because he missed three cuts in a six event stretch. However, those three missed cuts are the only three times he hasn’t played the weekend since June of 2018. In other words, he basically went a full year without missing a cut. Sure, his putting is inconsistent, but that doesn’t mean that he’s an inconsistent golfer. He’s ranked in the top 10 in this field in strokes gained off the tee, strokes gained approach, greens in regulation, and bogey avoidance. When we think of bad putters, we naturally think they are bad around the greens as well, but that’s not the case with An. In fact, he gains more strokes around the green than any other golfer in this field. He’s been in stellar form recently and is another golfer that I have my eye on to win one of these swing season events.