Daily Pitcher Breakdown: April 23rd, 2013

by PSporer Last Updated 2013-04-23 19:14:58

In this article I’ll break down in-depth starting pitcher stats and color code them so you can see which players you should be targeting and avoiding today based on some sabermetrics and other stats that I have created based on studying the starting pitcher position.

LEGEND
Stats Shown in Red Are BELOW AVERAGE
Stats Shown in White are AVERAGE
Stats Shown in Green Are ABOVE AVERAGE
Stats Shown in Blue Are ELITE

For a description of each stat below and the tiers used for them, check out this pop up window FAQ Page by clicking here

Performance and Talent Statistics: April 23rd, 2013

NOTE: Venue and Secondary color-coded stats can be found after the pitcher breakdown portion of the article

PITCHER	TM	IP	ERA	SIERA	WHIP	GEM%	IMP%	K%	BB%	HR/9	G/F
PLAYER		PERFORMANCE						TALENT
Colon	OAK	152.3	3.43	4.19	1.21	50.0%	20.8%	14.3%	3.6%	1	1.26
Aceves	BOS	84	5.36	3.71	1.32	Reliever in 2012	0.0%	20.8%	8.6%	1.18	0.91

Wainwright	STL	198.7	3.94	3.33	1.25	56.3%	18.8%	22.1%	6.3%	0.68	1.93
Detwiler (L)	WAS	164.3	3.4	4.345	1.22	33.3%	7.4%	15.3%	7.6%	0.82	1.55

Locke (L)	PIT	34.3	5.5	3.51	1.37	33.3%	50.0%	23.0%	7.0%	1.57	1.36
Hamels (L)	PHI	215.3	3.05	3.22	1.12	51.6%	9.7%	24.9%	6.0%	1	1.24

Dickey	TOR	233.7	2.73	3.18	1.05	64.0%	15.0%	25.0%	5.8%	0.92	1.35
Gonzalez	BAL	105.3	3.25	4.4	1.21	67.0%	13.0%	17.7%	8.1%	1.11	0.82

Davis	KC	70.3	2.43	2.79	1.09	Reliever in 2012	0.0%	30.6%	10.2%	0.64	0.97
Scherzer	DET	187.7	3.74	2.99	1.27	46.9%	15.6%	29.4%	7.6%	1.1	0.88

Villanueva	CHC	125.3	4.16	3.72	1.27	37.5%	18.8%	23.4%	8.8%	1.65	0.83
Cingrani (L)	CIN	5	1.8	1.63	1.2	Reliever in 2012	0.0%	41.0%	9.1%	1.8	1.75

Hughes	NYY	191.3	4.26	3.95	1.26	46.9%	18.8%	20.0%	5.6%	1.65	0.68
Price (L)	TB	211	2.56	3.16	1.1	67.7%	9.7%	24.5%	7.1%	0.68	1.97

Kershaw (L)	LAD	227.7	2.53	3.24	1.02	66.7%	12.1%	25.4%	7.0%	0.63	1.38
Niese (L)	NYM	190.3	3.4	3.71	1.17	53.3%	13.3%	19.7%	6.2%	1.04	1.57

McAllister	CLE	125.3	4.24	3.93	1.36	36.4%	9.1%	20.0%	7.0%	1.36	1.01
Quintana (L)	CWS	136.3	3.76	4.5	1.35	45.5%	18.2%	14.3%	7.4%	0.92	1.52

Iwakuma	SEA	125.3	3.16	3.78	1.28	43.8%	0.0%	19.5%	8.3%	1.22	1.91
Norris	HOU	168.3	4.65	3.9	1.37	41.4%	20.7%	22.5%	9.0%	1.23	0.99

Fernandez	MIA	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Pelfrey	MIN	19.7	2.29	3.63	1.42	67.0%	0.0%	15.3%	4.7%	0	2.69

Teheran	ATL	6.3	5.68	3.74	0.95	0.0%	0.0%	20.8%	4.2%	0	0.5
Garland	COL	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	DNP	IN 2012	–

Ogando	TEX	66	3.27	2.98	1	Reliever in 2012	0.0%	25.1%	6.5%	1.23	0.9
Vargas (L)	LAA	217.3	3.85	4.39	1.18	45.5%	15.2%	15.9%	6.2%	1.45	0.99

Gallardo	MIL	204	3.66	3.69	1.3	60.6%	15.2%	24.0%	9.4%	1.15	1.51
Richard (L)	SD	218.7	3.99	4.22	1.23	42.0%	18.0%	11.8%	4.6%	1.28	1.93

Corbin (L)	ARI	107	4.54	3.71	1.33	35.3%	17.6%	18.9%	5.5%	1.18	1.47
Cain	SF	219.3	2.79	3.62	1.04	56.3%	15.6%	22.0%	5.8%	0.86	0.9

SP Notes

Starting today the Notes portion is going to contain the pitcher’s 2013 Talent. Samples are still small so things haven’t necessarily stabilized, but seeing their core skills to date is something worth looking at this point. ERAs and WHIPs can still be wacky and insanely skewed by one outing – whether great or awful – so we’ll leave the 2013 Performance on the shelf for a little while longer.

Bartolo Colon

13% K, 0% BB, 0.95 HR/9, 1.17 G/F in 19 IP
He hasn’t pitched in Fenway since 2011 (3.00 ERA, 1.11 WHIP in 9 IP).
He owns David Ortiz holding him to a .146 AVG and 456 OPS in 53 PA (1 HR, 1 2B, 2 RBI).
Jonny Gomes has 2 HR in 14 PA (.385 AVG, 1429 OPS).

Alfredo Aceves

16% K, 12% BB, 3.14 HR/9, 1.31 G/F in 14.3 IP
His Fenway numbers are mostly as a reliever.
He hasn’t faced several current A’s and among those he has faced, “John Jaso(player-profile)”:/players/John_Jaso-10269’s 6 PA lead the charge (.333 AVG, 667 OPS).

Adam Wainwright

25% K, 0% BB, 0 HR/9, 2.56 G/F in 29 IP
In limited experience Ian Desmond (.417 AVG, 833 OPS in 12 PA), Bryce Harper (.500, 1645 in 11 PA), and Kurt Suzuki (.400, 855, in 11 PA) have all been successful against Wainwright.
Adam LaRoche has the most time (35 PA) against him posting a .241 AVG and 722 OPS.
LaRoche, Harper, and Jayson Werth all have homers against him.

Ross Detwiler

ross detwiler

14% K, 4% BB, 0.45 HR/9, 1.94 G/F in 30 IP
Detwiler was brilliant at home last year: 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 90.3 IP.
No Cardinal has logged even 10 PA against Detwiler (Carlos Beltran & Ty Wigginton have 8).
Beltran has the only HR against him.

Jeff Locke

9% K, 13% BB, 2.30 HR/9, 1.50 G/F in 15.7 IP
He hasn’t faced the Phillies.

Cole Hamels

20% K, 10% BB, 1.52 HR/9, 0.89 G/F in 23.7 IP
Hamels has had a sub-3.00 ERA at home the last two years in 199 IP.
Five Pirates have homers against Hamels: Gaby Sanchez, Russell Martinez, Andrew McCutchen, Garrett Jones, and Clint Barmes.
Sanchez has a .259 AVG and 755 OPS in 29 PA.
McCutchen has a .333 and 1051 in his 13 PA.
Barmes has had his number in just seven PA with a .571 AVG and 1857 OPS thanks to his homer and 2 doubles.

R.A. Dickey

20% K, 9% BB, 1.17 HR/9, 1.26 G/F in 23 IP
He hasn’t pitched in Camden Yards since 2010 (1.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP in 7 IP).
No one has even 10 PA against Dickey (Chris Davis has 9 PA).
Davis has a .222 AVG and 556 OPS in those 9 PA.

Miguel Gonzalez

12% K, 12% BB, 1.50 HR/9, 0.96 G/F in 18 IP
Gonzalez has limited MLB experience and thus limited work against TOR.
Rajai Davis leads with 8 PA (.250 AVG, 875 OPS).
Adam Lind has three hits in six tries.
Colby Rasmus has three strikeouts in seven tries.

Wade Davis

22% K, 5% BB, 1.13 HR/9, 1.07 G/F in 14.3 IP
Both Miguel Cabrera (.200 AVG, 1073 OPS in 11 PA) and Alex Avila (.286, 1587 in 9 PA) have 2 HRs against Davis.
Jhonny Peralta (.182, 523 in 12 PA), Victor Martinez (.111, 384 in 11 PA), and Austin Jackson (.125, 325 in 10) join Cabrera as the guys with at least 10 PA against him (which of course isn’t a huge sample, but qualify as the most against him for current Tigers).

Max Scherzer

40% K, 5% BB, 0.47 HR/9, 0.82 G/F IP
Alcides Escobar (737 OPS in 19 PA) and Salvador Perez (2429 in 7 PA) each have 2 HR against Scherzer while Alex Gordon and Jeff Francoeur each have one.
Billy Butler has a .278 AVG and 631 OPS in 37 PA.
Francoeur is at .250 and 750 in his 28 PA.
Gordon is at .389 and 1133 in his 23 PA.

Carlos Villanueva

20% K, 5% BB, 1.29 HR/9, 1.69 G/F in 21 IP
Brandon Phillips (.167 AVG, 544 OPS in 19 PA) and Joey Votto (.364, 1053 in 12 PA) have the most time logged against Villanueva.
Each have a homer, too.

tony%20cingrani

Tony Cingrani

35% K, 13% BB, 1.80 HR/9, 2.00 G/F in 5 IP
Cingrani has 10 career IP, none against the Cubs.

Phil Hughes

15% K, 3% BB, 3.21 HR/9, 0.86 G/F in 14 IP
The three Rays with the most time against Hughes have all had some success: Evan Longoria (.313 AVG, 796 OPS in 19 PA), Yunel Escobar (.438, 1033 in 18 PA), and Matt Joyce (.455, 1844 in 14 PA).
Ben Zobrist has also logged 14 PA, going 0-for-12 with 2 BB.
Joyce has 2 HR and Desmond Jennings has the other of the 3 against Hughes.

David Price

21% K, 7% BB, 1.96 HR/9, 1.71 G/F in 23 IP
Not surprisingly, Yankee hitters haven’t had much success against Price.
Robinson Cano has a .234 AVG and 615 OPS in 51 PA with the lone homer.
Kevin Youkilis is at .333 and 795 in 31 PA.
Vernon Wells is at .148 and 422 in 30 PA.
Eduardo Nunez is at .333 and 817 in 21 PA.

Clayton Kershaw

28% K, 7% BB, 0.94 HR/9, 1.25 G/F in 28.7 IP
Three Mets have double-digit PA against Kershaw, they haven’t fare well.
David Wright is at .167 AVG and 583 OPS in 15 PA.
John Buck is at .125 and 489 in 11 PA.
Justin Turner is at .100 and 282 in 11 PA.

Jonathon Niese

12% K, 9% BB, 0.76 HR/9, 2.47 G/F in 23.7 IP
Niese has allowed a .227 AVG and 484 OPS against current Dodgers in 70 PA.
Juan Uribe is 0-for-11.
Jerry Hairston is 1-for-10 with a walk.
Matt Kemp is 4-for-9 with a walk and 1 RBI.

Zach McAllister

zach%20mcallister

21% K, 4% BB, 0.52 HR/9, 0.95 G/F in 17.3 IP
McAllister has .222 AVG and 607 OPS in 69 PA against current White Sox.
Paul Konerko is just 2-for-12.
Jeff Keppinger is 4-for-7 with a pair of walks so perhaps he can stay hot after a 2-for-4 on Monday.
Adam Dunn has the lone homer (.100, 582 in 11 PA).

Jose Quintana

24% K, 6% BB, 0.51 HR/9, 1.00 G/F in 17.7 IP
No Indian has more than one hit against Quintana (.149 AVG, 437 OPS in 53 total PA).

Hisashi Iwakuma

20% K, 2% BB, 1.35 HR/9, 0.93 G/F in 26.7 IP
Iwakuma has only faced Carlos Pena and Chris Carter (.000 AVG, 200 OPS in 5 PA).

Bud Norris

17% K, 11% BB, 0.95 HR/9, 0.88 G/F in 19 IP
Current M’s only have 28 PA against Norris with a .269 AVG and 783 OPS.
Jason Bay has the lone homer.

Jose Fernandez

27% K, 10% BB, 0 HR/9, 2.67 G/F in 15 IP
Fernandez has 3 career starts.

Mike Pelfrey

7% K, 7% BB, 0 HR/9, 1.63 G/F in 12.3 IP
Current Marlins have a .289 AVG and 794 OPS in 140 PA.
Giancarlo Stanton (.471 AVG, 1432 OPS in 20 PA) has 2 HR while Greg Dobbs (.304, 783 in 23 PA) and Austin Kearns (.313, 889 in 18 PA) each have one.

Julio Teheran

15% K, 9% BB, 2.81 HR/9, 1.14 G/F in 16 IP
He hasn’t faced a Rockie.

Jon Garland

14% K, 4% BB, 0.47 HR/9, 2.29 G/F in 19 IP
Current Braves have a .360 AVG and 909 OPS in 85 PA.
Dan Uggla has a .176 and 476 in 20 PA.
Reed Johnson has a .615 (8-for-13) and 1462 in 13 PA.
Gerald Laird has the lone homer.

Alexi Ogando

24% K, 9% BB, 0.95 HR/9, 1.59 G/F in 19 IP
Ogando has just 13 PA against the 3 superstars obviously having been “Josh Hamilton(player-profile)”:/players/Josh_Hamilton-10510’s teammate and logging just eight and five PAs against Albert Pujols (.333 AVG, 1833 OPS) and Mike Trout (.500, 900), respectively.
Pujols has 2 HRs.

Jason Vargas

( 11% K, 9% BB, 0.61 HR/9, 1.25 G/F in 14.7 IP

Current Rangers are hitting .219 with a 664 OPS in 212 PA.
Three Rangers have logged at least 35 PA: Elvis Andrus (.235, 564 in 38 PA), Ian Kinsler (.343, 966 in 38 PA), and Nelson Cruz (.310, 1106 in 36 PA).
Cruz has 3 HR while Kinsler and Geovany Soto each have one (.200, 1133).

Yovani Gallardo

15% K, 4% BB, 0.81 HR/9, 1.19 G/F in 22.3 IP
Current Padres have a .306 AVG and 886 OPS in 72 PA.
Chase Headley (.417, 1167 in 14 PA), Will Venable (.400, 1338 in 13 PA), and Yonder Alonso (.333, 1000 in 9 PA) each have a homer.

Clayton Richard

11% K, 13% BB, 2.35 HR/9, 1.61 G/F in 15.3 IP
Current Brewers have a .413 AVG and 1050 OPS in 65 PA.
Ryan Braun is hitting .294, but just a 686 OPS with only one extra-base hit (a 2B).
Rickie Weeks, Carlos Gomez, and Jonathan LuCroy each have a homer.

Patrick Corbin

17% K, 9% BB, 0.47 HR/9, 1.56 G/F in 19 IP
Current Giants have a .284 AVG and 758 OPS in 85 PA.
Buster Posey is hitting .364 with an 871 OPS.
Marco Scutaro and Hunter Pence have the lone homers against Corbin.

Matt Cain

20% K, 5% BB, 1.99 HR/9, 0.69 G/F in 22.7 IP
Current D’Backs have a .223 AVG and 650 OPS in 166 PA.
Miguel Montero has a .233 and 735 in 50 PA, though he does have 2 HR.
Gerardo Parra has a .237 and 599 in 42 PA.
Cody Ross has the only other HR against Cain.

In Venue Stats: April 23